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Federal and SEC Impact on Crypto Industry Examined

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The interplay between federal monetary policies and regulatory decisions by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to shape the cryptocurrency industry. As experts delve into the nuances of these impacts, significant shifts are observed in both market dynamics and institutional strategies.

Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy and Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, provide insights into the potential impact on major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

Future Predictions for the Crypto Market From Industry Titans

Michael Saylor, executive chairman and co-founder of MicroStrategy, projects a pivotal summer for the cryptocurrency sector. According to Saylor, the SEC will likely classify Ethereum as security.

Consequently, the commission will potentially deny the spot Ethereum ETF applications from several asset managers, including BlackRock. These predictions were shared during his presentation at the MicroStrategy World 2024 conference.

Saylor extends his forecast to other prominent cryptocurrencies such as BNB, Solana (SOL), XRP, and Cardano (ADA). He suggests they, too, will receive similar designations as unregistered securities. Saylor asserts that only Bitcoin (BTC) enjoys full institutional acceptance, epitomized as the “one universal” institutional-grade asset.

“None of them will be wrapped by a spot ETF, none of them will ever be accepted by Wall Street,” Saylor stated,

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Meanwhile, the market’s anticipation for the SEC’s decision on spot Ethereum ETFs has dramatically shifted. Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, said that the “odds of ETH ETF approval by May deadline are down to 35%.”

The pessimism also comes from the issuers themselves. Earlier in April, Jan van Eck, the founder and CEO of asset manager VanEck, shared skepticism regarding the SEC’s likelihood of approving spot Ethereum ETFs. His thoughts are noteworthy as his company and 21Shares are among the asset managers eagerly awaiting Ethereum ETF approval at the end of this month.

The situation is becoming more complex due to the ongoing legal battles between the SEC and Ethereum-based projects such as Uniswap and Consensys—MetaMask’s parent company. BeInCrypto reported that the SEC issued a Wells notice for those two companies.

Consensys filed a lawsuit against the SEC after receiving the notice. The lawsuit’s outcome will be crucial for companies dealing with ETH and related products.

How Federal Policies Influence Crypto Stability and Growth

As regulatory waters are navigated, the broader economic policies of the US Federal Reserve also play a crucial role in determining the liquidity and viability of cryptocurrencies. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, explores the effects of the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to slow its balance sheet reduction pace.

This action effectively introduces $35 billion monthly into the economy.

Concurrently, the Treasury’s issuance of additional short-term Treasury bills aims to bolster liquidity. This effort is further impacted by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation’s (FDIC) maneuvers to insure deposits after the collapse of Republic First Bank. These moves collectively seek to stabilize the financial environment by adding significant contingent liabilities to the system.

Hayes interprets these actions as likely to alleviate some financial pressures on cryptocurrencies, predicting a stabilization and gradual increase in Bitcoin prices. He foresees it to consolidate in the $60,000 to $70,000 range by August.

“While I don’t expect crypto to fully realize the recent US monetary announcements’ inflationary nature immediately, I expect prices to bottom, chop, and begin a slow grind higher,” Hayes wrote.

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin’s price has plummeted for the past few days, reaching a low of $56,000. However, at the time of writing, Bitcoin has recovered. It is now trading at $59,345, representing an increase of 2.57% for the last 24 hours.

The crypto industry is currently at a crucial point with the ever-changing regulatory and monetary landscapes. The insights from Saylor and Hayes highlight the complex interdependencies and the potential for both challenges and opportunities ahead. Understanding these dynamics is essential for stakeholders aiming to navigate the uncertainties of this volatile market.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.





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South Carolina Could Spend 10% of Funds on Bitcoin Reserve

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Representative Jordan Pace introduced legislation to create a Bitcoin Reserve for South Carolina, joining a nationwide effort. Currently, nearly half of all US states have an active bill to create a similar Reserve.

However, the talking point that this bill “allows 10% of state funds” in Bitcoin investments is taking off like wildfire. It may scare off fiscal conservatives, which contributed to recent failures.

South Carolina Joins the Bitcoin Reserve Race

Since President Trump announced his intention to create a US Bitcoin Reserve, many state governments have attempted to create smaller models.

In the last month, these efforts have been intensifying, with more and more states joining the effort. Today, South Carolina filed its own Bitcoin Reserve bill, allowing the state to make substantial purchases:

“The State Treasurer may invest in digital assets including, but not limited to, Bitcoin with money that is unexpended, unencumbered, or uncommitted. The amount of money that the State Treasurer may invest in digital assets from a fund specified in this section may not exceed ten precent of the total funds under management,” it reads.

State Representative Jordan Pace proposed South Carolina’s Bitcoin Reserve legislation. He claimed that this bill “gives the Treasurer new tools to protect taxpayer dollars from inflation,” one of crypto’s most well-known use cases. Pace is currently the bill’s only sponsor, and it’s unclear what chances it has of passing.

Still, there may be challenges ahead. Similar proposals in other Republican-led states—like Montana and Wyoming—have already failed. This was largely due to concerns over using public funds to buy cryptocurrency.

Even though Trump backs the idea on a national level, not all GOP lawmakers are convinced at the state level.

That said, there are some signs of progress elsewhere. For example, Texas has advanced its Bitcoin Reserve bill, achieving bipartisan support. A key reason for its success is that the bill doesn’t require the state to make crypto purchases; it simply allows them at the Treasurer’s discretion.

Likewise, South Carolina’s bill wouldn’t force the state to invest 10% of its funds into Bitcoin. It just opens the door for that possibility, giving the state financial flexibility rather than a mandate.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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FDIC and CFTC Rescind Old Crypto Guidelines

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The FDIC and CFTC have both been working to change previous crypto guidelines. As federal regulators reconcile with the industry, they are removing old rules that specifically target crypto.

The former institution is removing the requirement that banks report crypto business, while the latter holds crypto to the same standards as other industries.

FDIC and CFTC Change Crypto Policies

The FDIC is one of the top financial regulators in the US, and it’s turning over a new leaf. After being one of the principal architects of Operation Choke Point 2.0, it recently began declassifying documents and changing rules that allowed crypto debanking.

Today, the agency is revoking a 2022 directive that impacted banks’ interactions with crypto:

“With today’s action, the FDIC is turning the page on the flawed approach of the past three years. I expect this to be one of several steps the FDIC will take to lay out a new approach for how banks can engage in crypto- and blockchain-related activities in accordance with safety and soundness standards,” said FDIC Acting Chairman Travis Hill.

Specifically, it rescinded a rule that mandated that all banks and institutions under its supervision notify the FDIC of any crypto involvement. The new guideline claims that banks “may engage in permissible crypto-related activities without receiving prior FDIC approval” without enacting any other policies.

Since Gary Gensler left the SEC, all the top US financial regulators have been trying to rework their relationship with crypto. In an apparent coincidence, the CFTC made a very similar move to the FDIC by rescinding two crypto guidelines.

Both of these actions did not establish a new policy; they merely removed the old ones.

Essentially, both of the CFTC’s rule changes are set to ensure that crypto-related derivatives are subject to the same requirements as non-crypto ones. This is somewhat surprising, considering that the industry has typically tried to insist that it necessitates specific regulations.

However, this is largely beside the point. The FDIC and CFTC are both working to remove previous guidelines that opposed the crypto industry.

These institutions will undoubtedly be amenable to creating new ones in the spirit of cooperation. In the meantime, this olive branch can help build a lot of goodwill.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Pi Network (PI) Drops Further Despite Telegram Wallet Deal

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Pi Network (PI) has been under heavy selling pressure, with its price down more than 61% over the last 30 days. Despite a recent partnership with the Telegram Crypto Wallet, PI has struggled to regain momentum, as technical indicators remain mostly bearish.

Its BBTrend has been negative for 12 consecutive days, and although the RSI has recovered slightly from oversold levels, it still sits below the neutral 50 mark. With the downtrend firmly intact and critical support levels approaching, PI’s next move will likely depend on whether buyers can step in and reverse the current trajectory.

PI BBTrend Has Been Negative For 12 Days

Pi Network (PI) continues to face bearish pressure, as reflected in its BBTrend indicator, which remains deep in negative territory at -22.34.

This is despite recent headlines about the Telegram Crypto Wallet integrating Pi Network, news that has yet to translate into sustained upward momentum.

The BBTrend hit a recent low of -41 on March 21 and has stayed negative since March 16, marking twelve consecutive days of bearish trend signals. This prolonged weakness highlights the ongoing struggle for buyers to regain control of the market.

PI BBTrend.
PI BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

BBTrend, or Bollinger Band Trend, is a momentum-based indicator that helps gauge the strength and direction of a trend. Positive BBTrend values indicate bullish momentum, while negative values point to bearish sentiment—the further from zero, the stronger the trend.

With PI’s BBTrend sitting at -22.34, the market remains firmly under bearish influence, even if the worst of the recent downtrend may be easing slightly from its extreme lows.

Unless this trend flips back into positive territory soon, PI’s price could remain under pressure, with buyers staying cautious despite the recent integration news.

Pi Network RSI Has Recovered From Oversold But Still Lacks Bullish Momentum

Pi Network is showing early signs of recovery in momentum, with its Relative Strength Index (RSI) rising to 40.45 after hitting 23.8 just two days ago.

While this rebound suggests a reduction in overselling pressure, PI’s RSI hasn’t crossed above the neutral 50 mark in the past two weeks—highlighting ongoing weakness in bullish conviction.

Despite the slight uptick, the market has yet to see enough strength to shift sentiment meaningfully in favor of buyers. This cautious climb could either lead to a breakout or stall into continued consolidation.

PI RSI.
PI RSI. Source: TradingView.

The RSI, or Relative Strength Index, is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements. It ranges from 0 to 100, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and those below 30 suggesting the asset is oversold.

With PI’s RSI currently at 40.45, it’s in a neutral-to-bearish zone—no longer extremely oversold but still lacking strong buying pressure.

For a clearer trend reversal, the RSI would likely need to break above 50, which hasn’t happened in two weeks. Thus, the current move is more of a potential bottoming attempt rather than a confirmed shift.

Will PI Continue Its Correction?

PI price is currently trading within a well-established downtrend, as indicated by the alignment of its EMA (Exponential Moving Average) lines—where shorter-term EMAs remain firmly below longer-term ones.

This setup reflects persistent selling pressure, and if the correction continues, PI could revisit key support levels at $0.718, with a potential drop to $0.62 if that floor fails to hold.

PI Price Analysis.
PI Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

However, recent signs of life in the RSI hint that a short-term rebound might be brewing, offering some hope for a recovery.

If bullish momentum builds, PI could challenge resistance at $1.05 in the near term. A breakout above that level would shift sentiment and open the door for further gains, with $1.23 and even $1.79 as potential targets if the uptrend strengthens.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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