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Federal and SEC Impact on Crypto Industry Examined

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The interplay between federal monetary policies and regulatory decisions by the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) continues to shape the cryptocurrency industry. As experts delve into the nuances of these impacts, significant shifts are observed in both market dynamics and institutional strategies.

Michael Saylor of MicroStrategy and Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, provide insights into the potential impact on major cryptocurrencies such as Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH).

Future Predictions for the Crypto Market From Industry Titans

Michael Saylor, executive chairman and co-founder of MicroStrategy, projects a pivotal summer for the cryptocurrency sector. According to Saylor, the SEC will likely classify Ethereum as security.

Consequently, the commission will potentially deny the spot Ethereum ETF applications from several asset managers, including BlackRock. These predictions were shared during his presentation at the MicroStrategy World 2024 conference.

Saylor extends his forecast to other prominent cryptocurrencies such as BNB, Solana (SOL), XRP, and Cardano (ADA). He suggests they, too, will receive similar designations as unregistered securities. Saylor asserts that only Bitcoin (BTC) enjoys full institutional acceptance, epitomized as the “one universal” institutional-grade asset.

“None of them will be wrapped by a spot ETF, none of them will ever be accepted by Wall Street,” Saylor stated,

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Meanwhile, the market’s anticipation for the SEC’s decision on spot Ethereum ETFs has dramatically shifted. Eric Balchunas, senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg Intelligence, said that the “odds of ETH ETF approval by May deadline are down to 35%.”

The pessimism also comes from the issuers themselves. Earlier in April, Jan van Eck, the founder and CEO of asset manager VanEck, shared skepticism regarding the SEC’s likelihood of approving spot Ethereum ETFs. His thoughts are noteworthy as his company and 21Shares are among the asset managers eagerly awaiting Ethereum ETF approval at the end of this month.

The situation is becoming more complex due to the ongoing legal battles between the SEC and Ethereum-based projects such as Uniswap and Consensys—MetaMask’s parent company. BeInCrypto reported that the SEC issued a Wells notice for those two companies.

Consensys filed a lawsuit against the SEC after receiving the notice. The lawsuit’s outcome will be crucial for companies dealing with ETH and related products.

How Federal Policies Influence Crypto Stability and Growth

As regulatory waters are navigated, the broader economic policies of the US Federal Reserve also play a crucial role in determining the liquidity and viability of cryptocurrencies. Arthur Hayes, co-founder of BitMEX, explores the effects of the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to slow its balance sheet reduction pace.

This action effectively introduces $35 billion monthly into the economy.

Concurrently, the Treasury’s issuance of additional short-term Treasury bills aims to bolster liquidity. This effort is further impacted by the Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation’s (FDIC) maneuvers to insure deposits after the collapse of Republic First Bank. These moves collectively seek to stabilize the financial environment by adding significant contingent liabilities to the system.

Hayes interprets these actions as likely to alleviate some financial pressures on cryptocurrencies, predicting a stabilization and gradual increase in Bitcoin prices. He foresees it to consolidate in the $60,000 to $70,000 range by August.

“While I don’t expect crypto to fully realize the recent US monetary announcements’ inflationary nature immediately, I expect prices to bottom, chop, and begin a slow grind higher,” Hayes wrote.

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

Bitcoin’s price has plummeted for the past few days, reaching a low of $56,000. However, at the time of writing, Bitcoin has recovered. It is now trading at $59,345, representing an increase of 2.57% for the last 24 hours.

The crypto industry is currently at a crucial point with the ever-changing regulatory and monetary landscapes. The insights from Saylor and Hayes highlight the complex interdependencies and the potential for both challenges and opportunities ahead. Understanding these dynamics is essential for stakeholders aiming to navigate the uncertainties of this volatile market.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.





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Is the XRP Price Decline Going To Continue?

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Ripple’s XRP hit a year-to-date high of $1.63 on November 23. However, fading bullish momentum has made future traders doubtful about the rally’s sustainability. An increasing number are opening short positions, expecting a near-term price correction.

Currently trading at $1.44, XRP has declined by 6% in the past 24 hours. This analysis explores the recent activity in the token’s futures market and assesses the likelihood of a continued XRP price decline.

Ripple Traders Bet on a Price Drop

A drop in its open interest has accompanied XRP’s price decline over the past 24 hours. Per Coinglass data, this sits at $2.52 billion, falling by 9% during that period. 

Open interest refers to the total number of active contracts in a derivatives market, such as futures or options, that have not been settled. When open interest drops as an asset’s price falls, traders are closing their positions to lock in profits or minimize losses, indicating reduced market participation. 

In XRP’s case, this suggests waning confidence in the continuation of the uptrend and hints at a sustained reversal in the asset’s price movement.

XRP Open Interest.
XRP Open Interest. Source: Coinglass

Moreover, XRP’s Long/Short ratio confirms this bearish outlook. As of this writing, this sits at 0.96%, with 51% of all positions opened shorting the altcoin. 

The Long/Short ratio measures the proportion of long positions (bets on price increases) to short positions (bets on price decreases) in a market. When the ratio is below 1, it indicates that there are more short positions than long positions, suggesting a bearish sentiment among traders. 

XRP Long/Short Ratio.
XRP Long/Short Ratio. Source: Coinglass

This imbalance in the XRP market reflects growing pessimism about the asset’s near-term prospects and may contribute to continued downward pressure on its price.

XRP Price Prediction: More Declines Imminent

XRP is currently trading at $1.44, holding above the $1.33 support level. If bearish sentiment intensifies, the price could drop to this support. A further decrease in buying pressure at that level may push XRP down to $1.15.

XRP Price Analysis.
XRP Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, a shift in market sentiment from negative to positive will invalidate this bearish outlook. Should this happen, the altcoin will reclaim its year-to-date high of $1.63 and attempt to surpass it.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Winklevoss Urges Scrutiny of FTX and SBF Political Donations

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Gemini co-founder Cameron Winklevoss has called for a renewed investigation into the dropped campaign finance charges against Sam Bankman-Fried, the convicted founder of the now-defunct FTX exchange.

Winklevoss emphasized the need for the incoming US Attorney General to address unresolved concerns about how these charges, tied to election interference involving stolen customer funds, were handled.

Winklevoss Demands Probe Into FTX-Linked Election Interference Accusations

In a November 23 post on X, Winklevoss expressed the belief that the campaign finance allegations remain a critical issue. He pointed to the Department of Justice under Merrick Garland, which declined to pursue these charges due to extradition technicalities with the Bahamian government.

According to Winklevoss, the DOJ chose not to work through the required legal processes to include the campaign finance violations in the indictment, leaving the matter unaddressed.

“Merrick Garland’s DOJ refused to pursue campaign finance charges against SBF because they were not included in his extradition…Since when has paperwork stood in between a prosecutor and adding more charges? Especially when it involves election interference with $100m of stolen customer funds,” Winklevoss stated.

Federal prosecutors initially dropped the campaign finance charge last year, attributing their decision to objections from Bahamian authorities. This charge involved over $100 million allegedly funneled from Alameda Research to fund more than 300 political contributions.

According to the indictment, these contributions, often made through straw donors or corporate funds, aimed to enhance Bankman-Fried’s influence in Washington, D.C.

The indictment also noted that Bankman-Fried became a top political donor in the 2022 midterm elections. He allegedly used the funds to gain favor with candidates across party lines, potentially shaping legislation favorable to FTX and the broader crypto industry.

Winklevoss’ remarks come as other key figures in the FTX collapse face their consequences. While Caroline Ellison and Ryan Salame received sentences of two years and 7.5 years, respectively, Gary Wang and Nishad Singh avoided prison by cooperating with prosecutors. Bankman-Fried is currently serving a 25-year prison sentence for fraud and other crimes.

Meanwhile, FTX has announced plans to implement its approved reorganization strategy starting in January. The exchange’s bankruptcy managers have recovered billions of dollars for creditors and are intensifying efforts to reclaim assets held by other entities.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why a New Solana All-Time High May Be Near

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Solana’s (SOL) price clinched a new all-time high of  $264.39 during the trading session on November 23. Its price has since witnessed a 3% correction, causing the popular altcoin to exchange hands at $255.12 as of this writing.

Despite this pullback, the bullish bias toward the altcoin strengthens. An assessment of its daily chart highlights two reasons why a new Solana all-time high may be on the horizon.

Solana Bulls Relegates Its Bears

On the SOL/USD one-day chart, its price is positioned above the green line of its Super Trend indicator. This indicator measures the overall direction and strength of a price trend. It appears as a line on the chart, changing color based on the prevailing trend: green signifies an uptrend, while red indicates a downtrend. 

When the Super Trend line is above an asset’s price, it signals a downtrend, suggesting continued bearish momentum. In Solana’s case, when the Super Trend line turns green and moves below the price, buyers are in control.

This green line often acts as a support level, where increased buying pressure can drive a rebound following price dips. For Solana, this support is currently set at $213.53.

Solana Super Trend.
Solana Super Trend. Source: TradingView

Further, the coin’s price rests significantly above its Ichimoku Cloud, confirming this bullish outlook. This indicator tracks the momentum of an asset’s market trends and identifies potential support/resistance levels.  

When an asset’s price rests above the Ichimoku Cloud, it signals a bullish trend. It indicates that the asset is on an upward trend with the potential for further gains. In this case, the Cloud is a dynamic support zone below the price, reinforcing bullish sentiment.

Solana Ichimoku Cloud.
Solana Ichimoku Cloud. Source: TradingView

SOL Price Prediction: New High on the Horizon

At press time, SOL trades at $255.12, below the new resistance at its all-time high of $264.39. If buying pressure strengthens further, the coin’s price will flip this level into a support floor and attempt to touch a new peak.

Solana Price Analysis
Solana Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if profit-taking activity resurges, SOL’s price will shed some of its current gains to trade at $231.35. Should this level fail to hand, SOL’s price will fall toward the support formed by its Super Trend indicator at $213.53. This will invalidate the possibility of a new Solana all-time high in the near term.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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