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Fed May Trigger Dollar Drop to Boost Crypto

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Arthur Hayes, the former CEO of BitMEX, suggests that the Federal Reserve implement an unlimited dollar-yen swap agreement with the Bank of Japan (BOJ) to curb the yen depreciation.

This move could sharply devalue the US dollar, increasing global dollar liquidity, which might benefit the crypto market, particularly Bitcoin.

Hayes’ Perspective on Dollar-Yen Swap

Arthur Hayes explains that the proposed dollar-yen swap would function similarly to yield curve control. The Federal Reserve would swap dollars for the yen with the BOJ unlimitedly.

“The depreciation of the US dollar means a sharp increase in global US dollar liquidity. This will benefit the crypto market, led by Bitcoin,” Hayes said.

The former BitMEX CEO further notes that the BOJ and Japan’s Ministry of Finance would use these dollars to stabilize the yen by purchasing it, avoiding the need to sell US Treasury securities to raise dollars. This strategy helps Japan avoid raising interest rates, which would negatively impact its financial institutions that heavily invest in Japanese government bonds (JGBs).

Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Geopolitically, a stronger yen could affect China, Japan’s direct export competitor. If Japan strengthens the yen through this swap agreement, China might devalue the yuan to maintain its export competitiveness.

Macroeconomic Backdrop and Market Reactions

The macroeconomic backdrop remains crucial for crypto, especially Bitcoin. Recent US data has reduced the likelihood of further rate hikes. Meanwhile, China has significantly increased stimulus measures, adding positive liquidity momentum. 

The People’s Bank of China (PBOC) recently announced plans for an ultra-long bond issuance and a historic rescue package to stabilize the property sector, essentially amounting to quantitative easing (QE) for real estate.

The growing liquidity from the US and China creates a favorable environment for Bitcoin. Spot BTC ETF inflows have increased, with $716 million in net inflows last week, reversing April’s outflows. Major institutional investors are also interested, with Millennium Management holding significant shares in Bitcoin ETFs.

Read more: How To Trade a Bitcoin ETF: A Step-by-Step Approach

Bitcoin Correlation With Equities.
Bitcoin Correlation With Equities. Source: Kaiko

The correlation between Bitcoin and US equities remains a key metric to watch. Last week, Bitcoin’s 90-day correlation with US equities rose to 0.17 from a multi-year low of 0.01 in March. This development highlights the importance of active monitoring and analysis in the current market environment.

In conclusion, the Federal Reserve’s potential implementation of an unlimited dollar-yen swap represents a significant policy shift. This could have far-reaching effects on global liquidity, asset prices, and the competitive dynamics between major economies like Japan and China.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Rallies 10% and Targets More Upside

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
  • The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Regains Traction

Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.

The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.

A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,250

Major Resistance Level – $3,385



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Rallies 10% and Targets More Upside

Published

on



Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $3,220 zone. ETH is rising and aiming for more gains above the $3,350 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $3,220 and $3,300 levels.
  • The price is trading above $3,250 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could gain bullish momentum if it clears the $3,385 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Regains Traction

Ethereum price remained supported above $3,000 and started a fresh increase like Bitcoin. ETH gained pace for a move above the $3,150 and $3,220 resistance levels.

The bulls pumped the price above the $3,300 level. It gained over 10% and traded as high as $3,387. It is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $3,220 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $3,350 level. There is also a short-term contracting triangle forming with resistance at $3,360 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $3,385 level. The main resistance is now forming near $3,420. A clear move above the $3,420 resistance might send the price toward the $3,550 resistance. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,650 resistance zone or even $3,880.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,350 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $3,300 level. The first major support sits near the $3,250 zone.

A clear move below the $3,250 support might push the price toward $3,220 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the recent move from the $3,036 swing low to the $3,387 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,150 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $3,050.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,250

Major Resistance Level – $3,385



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GOAT Price Sees Slower Growth After Reaching $1B Market Cap

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GOAT price has skyrocketed 214.29% in one month, recently breaking into the $1 billion market cap and securing its place as the 10th largest meme coin. It now stands just ahead of MOG, which closely trails its position in the rankings.

However, recent indicators suggest that GOAT’s uptrend may be weakening, raising questions about whether it can sustain its rally or face a potential correction.

GOAT BBTrend Is Negative For The First Time In 4 Days

GOAT BBTrend has turned negative for the first time since November 17, now sitting at -0.54. This shift suggests that bearish momentum is beginning to take hold, with the asset’s recent upward trajectory starting to weaken potentially.

BBTrend measures the strength and direction of price trends using Bollinger Bands, with positive values indicating an uptrend and negative values signaling a downtrend. A negative BBTrend reflects increased downward pressure, which could indicate the start of a broader market shift.

GOAT BBTrend.
GOAT BBTrend. Source: TradingView

GOAT has had an impressive November, gaining 61% and reaching a new all-time high on November 17.

However, the current negative BBTrend, if it persists and grows, could signal the potential for further bearish momentum.

GOAT Is In A Neutral Zone

GOAT’s RSI has dropped to 52, down from over 70 a few days ago when it reached its all-time high. This decline indicates that buying momentum has cooled off, and the market has moved out of the overbought zone.

The drop suggests a shift toward a more neutral sentiment as traders consolidate gains and the strong bullish pressure seen earlier subsides.

GOAT RSI.
GOAT RSI. Source: TradingView

RSI measures the strength and velocity of price changes, with values above 70 indicating overbought conditions and below 30 signaling oversold levels. At 52, GOAT’s RSI is in a neutral zone, neither signaling strong bullish nor bearish momentum.

This could mean the current uptrend is losing strength, and the price may consolidate or move sideways unless renewed buying pressure reignites upward momentum.

GOAT Price Prediction: A New Surge Until $1.50?

If GOAT current uptrend regains strength, it could retest its all-time high of $1.37, establishing its market cap above $1 billion, a fundamental threshold for being among the biggest meme coins in the market today.

Breaking above this level could pave the way for further gains, potentially reaching the next thresholds at $1.40 or even $1.50, signaling renewed bullish momentum and market confidence.

GOAT Price Analysis.
GOAT Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, as shown by indicators like RSI and BBTrend, the uptrend may be losing steam. If a downtrend emerges, GOAT price could test its nearest support zones at $0.80 and $0.69.

Should these levels fail to hold, the price could fall further, potentially reaching $0.419, putting its position in the top 10 ranking of biggest meme coins at risk.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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