Market
Ethereum Struggles Despite Bybit’s Reserve Recovery
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Ethereum (ETH) has fallen more than 8% in the last 24 hours and over 22% in the past 30 days, reflecting a bearish market sentiment. The price was already in decline before the Bybit hack, which further impacted market sentiment.
Although Bybit has since recovered 84% of its reserves, ETH’s price remains under pressure. With key resistance at $2,850 and no break above $2,900 since February 2, Ethereum’s outlook remains uncertain as bearish indicators continue to dominate.
Bybit Is Recovering Its ETH Reserves After the Hack
Ethereum’s supply on Bybit experienced a dramatic decline after the hack, plummeting from 443,000 ETH to just 20,250 ETH in a single day.
This sudden drop triggered panic selling pressure on ETH and also on BTC and other coins, as market participants feared a potential liquidity crisis.
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The sharp decrease in reserves heightened uncertainty, leading to widespread speculation about the aftermath. Some users suggested that Bybit might be forced to buy back ETH to restore its reserves, potentially creating strong buying pressure.
Since February 22, Bybit’s ETH reserves have shown significant recovery, surging from 29,000 ETH to 372,000 ETH by February 24, which accounts for 84% of its pre-hack reserves.
The market’s initial panic selling appears to have been temporary, and the rebound in reserves could lead to renewed buying interest in ETH. However, Ethereum’s price has not recovered to levels before the hack yet.
Indicators Show No Signs of a Bullish Momentum
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) for Ethereum was recovering after the Bybit hack, reaching 63.2 yesterday, indicating strong buying momentum.
However, it has since dropped sharply and is now at 43, signaling a significant shift in market sentiment. RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100.
Typically, an RSI above 70 suggests that an asset is overbought, indicating potential selling pressure, while an RSI below 30 indicates that an asset is oversold, potentially signaling buying opportunities.
An RSI between 30 and 70 is generally considered neutral, with movements within this range reflecting normal market fluctuations.
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Ethereum’s RSI dropping from 63.2 to 43 in just one day suggests a rapid shift from bullish to bearish sentiment. This significant decline could indicate increased selling pressure or reduced buying interest, possibly due to lingering concerns about the aftermath of the Bybit hack.
A drop to 43 also brings RSI closer to the oversold territory, which, if continued, could indicate a further bearish trend. However, if buying interest resumes, the RSI could stabilize or even rebound, suggesting a potential recovery.
Ethereum’s DMI chart shows the ADX at 18.3, down from 21.4 yesterday, indicating weakening trend strength. An ADX below 20 suggests a lack of clear momentum, aligning with Ethereum’s ongoing downtrend.
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Meanwhile, the +DI dropped from 30.4 to 20, showing decreased buying interest, while the -DI rose from 12.3 to 22.9, signaling increased selling pressure.
The crossover of -DI above +DI confirms bearish dominance, suggesting continued downward pressure on Ethereum’s price.
The weakening ADX, combined with rising -DI, points to a declining trend that may persist unless buying momentum returns. This could result in further price drops or sideways movement in the short term
Ethereum Price Has Been Below $2,900 For Three Weeks
Ethereum has struggled to break above the $2,850 resistance, which has been repeatedly tested in recent weeks. If the current downtrend continues, ETH could test the support at $2,551, and if that level fails, it might drop further to $2,159.
Notably, Ethereum hasn’t broken above $2,900 since February 2, highlighting strong resistance in this range.
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However, if Bybit successfully restores its reserves to pre-hack levels, this could boost positive sentiment for ETH. In this scenario, an uptrend might retest the $2,850 resistance, and if broken, Ethereum price could rise to $3,020.
Should momentum continue, the next target would be $3,442. A break above $2,900 would be significant, as ETH has struggled with this level since early February, potentially signaling a bullish reversal.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Meme Coin Industry Will Reduce Fraud Over Time
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In February, the Libra scandal involving Argentine president Javier Milei shook the crypto sector. It also angered many Web3 members, who argue that meme coins damage the ecosystem’s growth and unfairly target smaller investors.
BeInCrypto spoke with Memeland CEO and Founder Ray Chan at Consensus Hong Kong to discuss recent events involving meme coin launches and the sector’s future.
LIBRA: From a Token to a Meme Coin
The LIBRA meme coin scandal was unique in many ways. An unidentified group created a website for the “Viva La Libertad” project, inspired by a slogan Argentine President Javier Milei uses regularly.
The website, which is still active, has a mission statement of boosting the Argentine economy by funding small projects and local businesses. The LIBRA token was launched to channel funding as part of the project’s strategy.
According to the token distribution diagram, 50% of tokens would be used to fuel Argentina’s growth.
A couple of hours after the website went live, the LIBRA token was created on the Solana blockchain. Half an hour after the token launched, Milei published his first X post.
“A liberal Argentina grows! This private project will dedicate itself to incentivizing the growth of Argentina’s economy, funding small businesses and Argentine start-ups. The world wants to invest in Argentina,” it read.
In that same post, Milei included a link to the Viva La Libertad Project website and LIBRA’s contract number. This identification made it easy for investors to locate and start trading the cryptocurrency immediately.
Soon enough, people started to realize that, more than a token, LIBRA resembled a meme coin.
Meme Coins Face a Piling List of Pump-and-Dumps
Milei’s social media post triggered a surge in the token’s price, with the market cap hitting over $4 billion in hours. This surge allowed insiders to cash out over $100 million in profits.
However, the rally was short-lived. The meme coin had no tokenomics; the website was created hours before the launch, and over $87 million was cashed out in the first three hours. The token’s value crashed soon after, indicating a classic pump-and-dump scheme.
The scheme resulted in mounting criticism, which led Milei to delete his post and attempt to backtrack. The president stated that he had not fully understood the project and that, after learning more, he chose to stop endorsing it.
But the damage had already been done. A joint investigation released by blockchain analytics firm Bubblempas and on-chain researcher Coffeezilla added salt to the open wound.
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The investigation revealed evidence that suggested that there were links between the teams behind the LIBRA token launch and the MELANIA coin, launched by First Lady Melania Trump a day before Donald Trump assumed the US presidency.
The analysis confirmed suspicions of insider trading and market manipulation in both cases. It also suggested that this group spearheaded several other token launches, including TRUST, KACY, VIBES, and HOOD, which all ended in sniping schemes and rug pulls.
In response to the scandal, crypto community members took to social media to vent their disappointment in the industry. Some argued that meme coins are extractive, benefiting large insider traders while permanently driving smaller retail investors away from Web3.
“The crypto industry needs to engage in serious self-criticism if it doesn’t want to end up as an irrelevant circus. For years, the major players in the ecosystem have been creating narratives, inflating them, and then dumping tokens on retail investors, securing massive profits while driving the public away from the space. It’s about time we all focus on building value instead of constantly figuring out how to cash out quickly at the expense of those who are just trying to explore what this space is all about,” said blockchain researcher Pablo Sabbatella.
For Memeland founder Ray Chan, a crypto expert with nearly two decades of experience in the meme coin industry, this incident must be analyzed from different perspectives.
It’s common knowledge that the meme coin industry is extractive. Community engagement alone mostly drives many of these coins. Trading is largely speculative, and the market is inherently volatile.
“To me, I think it’s quite important to understand who is launching a token, and what the token is for. If it’s a meme coin, you should expect it to go to zero. Because literally, I think most of these meme coins mentioned that this token doesn’t have any road map or utility. I think this is an entertainment purpose only. If you expect it to go to billions all the time, you’re crazy. That’s on you,” Chan told BeInCrypto.
However, the LIBRA scandal differs from insider cases like the MELANIA coin launch. When Milei shared his original X post, he said the funds would support small businesses and budding Argentine entrepreneurs.
“But at the same time, for some tokens, maybe LIBRA, they mentioned that they are launching a token to support some other companies, to support some goals. If they don’t do it, I think that’s an issue,” he said.
When asked how to safeguard users against common practices in meme coin trading, such as rug pulls, pump-and-dump schemes, insider activity, market manipulation, or sniping, Chan said these issues will likely become less frequent over time.
Meme Coin Industry Still in Its Early Stages
Meme coins have existed for slightly over a decade. The “doge” internet meme became widely popular on social media in mid-2013.
Leveraging this trend, Jackson Palmer and Billy Markus created Dogecoin, launching it as a cryptocurrency on the Bitcointalk forum in December of the same year. This event marked Dogecoin’s distinction as the first cryptocurrency based on an internet meme.
According to Chan, given that this industry is still in its nascent stages, investors need to accept the market’s natural instability before deciding to participate.
“Before going in, or whether you invest $10,000 or $100,000, you have to understand that this industry is very new, and any new thing is very volatile. So, it’s very important to understand the risk before you make the investment or make the gamble,” he said.
Players with extensive knowledge and experience in the field will inevitably have the upper hand.
Expanding the User Pool
Because the meme coin industry is so new, players already well-versed in its mechanisms are more likely to profit from the common schemes associated with the market.
“I think it’s just part of the growing pain because, just like any tech and any sector, someone who is very sophisticated right from the beginning will probably understand the loophole. They will understand the opportunity, be it good or bad, and will just grab the opportunity to make some money,” Chan told BeInCrypto.
As the market ages and the meme coin industry draws new players, these schemes will become less frequent.
“Ultimately, expanding the audience to include more builders who understand crypto and blockchain will attract reputable individuals with their own goals and reputations to uphold. As more legitimate companies and builders enter the space, I expect the entire industry to grow in a healthier direction,” Chan explained.
Consequently, the meme coins will rely less on an important public figure to back them up and focus more on the message they are trying to convey.
“I think the space will be in a better place when support for tokens isn’t driven by influencers but instead by an understanding of the team and their work. Once we reach that stage, it will be a healthier and more sustainable environment,” Chan added.
He also underlined that, though inflating the price of a token based on community engagement has negative aspects, there is also a silver lining.
A Positive to Every Negative
In his interview with BeInCrypto, Chan emphasized the key difference between building on Web2 and building on Web3.
“In Web2, companies heavily rely on venture capital and IPOs, facing numerous constraints. In Web3, however, if you can mobilize a community that understands and supports what you’re building, VC funding becomes far less essential,” Chan explained.
Moreover, launching a meme coin is one of the easiest processes on Web3. Anyone can do it, and this has become one of the most important drivers of its success.
“Number one is the ease of creation. I actually think that tokens are kind of like content. When you lower the barrier of creation, more quote-on-quote creators will join, and they create more content. I think the meme coin is the lowest barrier in crypto. That explains why there are so many new coins launching every single day,” he said.
Jointly using these fundamental aspects of meme coin launches for a specific purpose that prioritizes substance over hype can create much more meaningful outcomes.
“You actually can turn your so-called consumer into a supporter, even into your investor. I think all these kinds of developments and breakthroughs, once you understand them, you won’t give up that easily in crypto and in blockchain,” Chan added.
Given these unique aspects, Chan expects meme coins to have a bright future.
The Future of Meme Coins
Chan argues that the meme coin trend reflects a generalized tendency in technological development. Science and technology are often invented to provide a meaningful solution to an existing problem.
Scientists developed vaccines to prevent terminal diseases like polio and influenza, while engineers invented planes to make the world more interconnected.
Satoshi Nakamoto similarly developed Bitcoin to offer an alternative to traditional financial systems. Blockchain solves acute issues related to data storage, user security, supply chain management, and voting systems, to name a few.
But not all technology is equal in popularity.
“For example, when you look at social networks, the most useful social network is LinkedIn, but the most popular social network is TikTok. That’s because it’s fun, engaging, easy to join, and participate,” said Chan.
Since meme coins in Web3 serve a similar purpose to TikTok in Web2, they can be leveraged to drive further adoption in the long run.
“I think meme coin is the TikTok of crypto. A lot of people say it’s useless, but a lot of people are joining it. And this is actually the biggest driving force of mass adoption. So what I’m believing in when crypto gets more mainstream and when blockchain gets more adopted, meme coin as a category, will gain more market share,” Chan concluded.
Whether or not Chan’s predictions come true largely depends on the sentiment of the crypto sector– especially how newly onboarded users interact with meme coins.
Only time will tell whether the crypto industry’s recent flurry of schemes will push people out of the sector for good or whether the meme coin market will mature like fine wine.
Disclaimer
Following the Trust Project guidelines, this feature article presents opinions and perspectives from industry experts or individuals. BeInCrypto is dedicated to transparent reporting, but the views expressed in this article do not necessarily reflect those of BeInCrypto or its staff. Readers should verify information independently and consult with a professional before making decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Hedera (HBAR) Slumps 4%, Faces Key Resistance Level
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Hedera (HBAR) is down more than 4% in the last 24 hours, with its market cap now at $8.4 billion. Despite a short-term spike earlier today, HBAR’s BBTrend remains negative, signaling persistent bearish momentum.
However, the Ichimoku Cloud indicates a potential bullish reversal if buying interest strengthens. If short-term EMA lines cross above long-term ones, HBAR could test resistance at $0.24 and potentially rise above $0.30 for the first time since February 1.
HBAR BBTrend Shows a Failed Bullish Trend Attempt
HBAR’s BBTrend is currently at -0.71 and has remained negative since February 18, indicating a persistent bearish momentum. The indicator hit a negative peak of -6.21 on February 20 before gradually recovering to -0.06 yesterday, only to drop again.
BBTrend, or Bollinger Band Trend, measures the momentum and direction of price movements relative to the Bollinger Bands. A negative value suggests that the price is trending toward the lower band, signaling bearish sentiment, while a positive value indicates bullish momentum toward the upper band.
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Hedera’s BBTrend at -0.71, dropping from -0.06 yesterday, suggests that bearish momentum is regaining strength after a brief recovery attempt. This reversal indicates renewed selling pressure, potentially leading to further price declines if the negative trend continues.
The inability to maintain a positive shift signals weakness in buying interest, increasing the likelihood of continued downside movement for HBAR. If BBTrend remains negative, HBAR could face more selling pressure until a clear reversal emerges.
HBAR Ichimoku Cloud Shows a Bullish Trend Could Form, But It’s Not Established Yet
The Ichimoku Cloud chart for HBAR shows that the price has recently broken above the cloud, which is typically a bullish signal. However, the cloud ahead is thin and slightly bearish, indicating weak resistance.
The blue Tenkan-sen line is above the red Kijun-sen line, suggesting short-term bullish momentum. Yet, the close proximity of these lines signals a lack of strong trend conviction.
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The green Chikou Span line is above the price, confirming bullish sentiment, but it is close to the candles, indicating indecision. The breakout above the cloud needs to be sustained for a continued uptrend. If the price falls back below the cloud, it could invalidate the bullish breakout.
Overall, while the chart shows a short-term bullish signal, the weak cloud and narrow gap between the Tenkan-sen and Kijun-sen suggest caution, as the trend is not strongly confirmed.
Hedera (HBAR) Could Rise Back To $0.3 If This Happens
HBAR’s EMA lines indicate that the bearish trend remains dominant, with short-term lines positioned above long-term ones, signaling continued selling pressure.
However, the Ichimoku Cloud suggests the possibility of a bullish reversal.
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If the short-term EMA lines cross above the long-term ones, it could trigger buying interest, leading HBAR to test the resistance at $0.24. Breaking above this level could push the price to $0.29, and if the momentum continues, HBAR could rise to $0.32, marking its first move above $0.30 since February 1.
Conversely, if the current downtrend persists, HBAR price could retest the support at $0.19. A break below this level would indicate increased bearish momentum, potentially leading to a drop to $0.179.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
GOP Defections Defeat Bitcoin Reserve Bills
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Despite strong industry momentum, three state-level Bitcoin Reserve bills have already failed. These failures have only happened because several Republican members voted against the bills.
Although the crypto industry made huge gains with Trump’s Presidency, its political influence may be shallower than expected. The remaining proposed bills will be an important test of strength.
Will Bitcoin Reserves Fail Across America?
Over the last few months, several US states have tried to set up their own Bitcoin Reserves. Nearly 30 states proposed a bill to add BTC to its reserve in the past few months. The goal with the majority of these bills is to use the leading cryptocurrency as a hedge against ongoing inflation.
The industry is very bullish because a few successful proposals would trigger billions in new acquisitions. If approved, a Bitcoin reserve would potentially hike the demand for BTC in a market where supply is already shrinking fast.
However, the movement hit a setback today. Montana lawmakers rejected this proposal 41-59, and they’re not its only opponents.
Currently, Montana’s House of Representatives has 58 Republicans and 42 Democrats, meaning that a substantial number of Republicans voted against the bill. North Dakota, a much redder state, saw an even higher number of defections.
Wyoming Senator Cynthia Lummis is a leading national pro-crypto advocate, but her own colleagues rejected a Bitcoin Reserve handily.
In other words, President Trump’s own party could become a major obstacle to state-level Bitcoin Reserves. During his campaign, Trump strongly advocated for a national Bitcoin reserve plan. Last month, he signed an executive order from the cryptocurrency work group to assess the potential for a national digital assets stockpile.
Yet it seems like several Republican members are not completely on board with his vision. If the Republicans continue showing this level of opposition at the state level, it may completely doom the project.
Other state-level Bitcoin Reserves may be facing similar pressure. Although Utah recently advanced its own proposal, other likely states are experiencing troubles.
Most recently, Texas’ new Lt. Governor called a Reserve a “top priority” for 2025, but vocal criticism has been growing. Some Republicans argue the plan is too risky for taxpayer funds, and media outlets are furious:
“Texas Republicans are on a fast track to approving SB 21. The bill will allow [them] to hire a crypto firm to manage the strategic reserve in yet another giveaway to an industry that does little more than waste electricity. SB 21 needs to die,” a column in the Houston Chronicle, the third-largest local paper in Texas, claimed.
Ultimately, these developments may be a major setback, but they don’t prove that a Bitcoin Reserve is doomed. The industry strongly supports this regulation and is prepared to throw significant political capital behind it.
This upcoming battle will be a real test case for the industry’s actual control of the GOP and the US legislature as a whole.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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