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Ethereum Founder to Sell $37 Million in ETH Before ETF Decision

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Recent significant Ethereum (ETH) transfers to cryptocurrency exchanges have caught the market’s attention. This move has raised speculation about potential profit-taking, portfolio rebalancing, or market speculation.

These developments coincide with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) nearing a decision on the Vaneck Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF), which has heightened expectations within the industry.

Investors Transfer ETH to Exchanges

Jeffrey Wilke, one of the founders of Ethereum, has transferred 10,000 ETH, worth around $37.38 million, to the cryptocurrency exchange Kraken. While the motive behind such a significant transfer is unclear, a few hypotheses can be derived from it.

  • Profit Taking: Wilke may be selling off his tokens to realize profits. This could be due to achieving his desired return on investment or anticipating a potential downturn in the market.
  • Rebalancing Portfolios: Wilke might be rebalancing his portfolios by selling some tokens and buying others. This could be based on changes in market conditions, project developments, or his investment strategy.
  • Market Speculation: Wilke might be speculating on short-term price movements or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities between different cryptocurrency exchanges.
Jeffrey Wilke's Wallet Activity
Jeffrey Wilke’s Wallet Activity. Source: SpotOnChain

Whether Wilke aims to book profits, rebalance his portfolio, or speculate on the market, he appears not the only one. Looking at Ethereum’s balance on exchanges reveals a spike in the tokens available to sell.

  • Balance on Exchanges: This refers to the total amount of Ethereum held in cryptocurrency exchange wallets.

Over the last two weeks, more than 242,000 ETH have moved to cryptocurrency exchange wallets. This indicates increased trading activity on exchanges that can contribute to price volatility.

Ethereum Balance on Exchanges. Source: Glassnode

Ethereum ETF Approval Looms

The timing of these transfers is notable, as it aligns with today’s SEC final ruling regarding the Vaneck Ethereum ETF. Interestingly, on May 20, the SEC requested Nasdaq, CBOE, and NYSE to refine their applications for listing spot Ethereum ETFs, hinting at a potential approval of these filings.

In response to this regulatory development, Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, ETF analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence, remarked that the likelihood of approval has substantially increased, shifting from only 25% to a considerable 75%.

“Hearing chatter this afternoon that the SEC could be doing a 180 on this increasingly political issue, so now everyone is scrambling. But again, we cap it at 75% until we see more, e.g., filing updates,” Balchunas wrote.

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Ethereum ETF Approval Odds
Ethereum ETF Approval Odds. Source: Polymarket

Similarly, Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to place bets on world events, shows a significant increase in approval odds, which have risen from 10% to 70% over the past 72 hours.

Warning Signal for Traders

Although industry leaders like Anthony Pompliano see the Ethereum ETF approval as an “approval of the entire industry” and as “the last dam to be broken,” traders must be cautious. The increasing ETH deposits to cryptocurrency exchange wallets hint at the possibility of a sell-off or a spike in profit-taking.

Meanwhile, the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator presents a sell signal on Ethereum’s daily chart.

  • TD Sequential Indicator: This is a technical analysis tool used to identify potential market trend exhaustion points and upcoming price reversals.
    • Setup Phase: This involves counting a series of nine consecutive price bars, where each bar closes higher (for an uptrend) or lower (for a downtrend) than the bar four periods earlier.
    • Countdown Phase: Following the setup phase, a countdown begins where a series of thirteen additional price bars are counted if they close lower (in a downtrend) or higher (in an uptrend) than the close two bars earlier.

The current green nine candlestick on the daily chart suggests that a spike in selling pressure could see Ethereum retrace for one to four daily candlesticks or even start a new downward countdown phase before the uptrend resumes.

Ethereum Price Analysis
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Despite the bearish signals seen from an on-chain and technical perspective, the In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) indicator suggests that Ethereum is above significant areas of support that could hold in the event of a correction.

  • IOMAP: This metric helps analyze and visualize the distribution of holders’ positions relative to the current price. It helps understand the potential support and resistance levels based on the number of addresses holding a particular cryptocurrency at different price levels.
    • In the Money: Refers to addresses that acquired the cryptocurrency at a price lower than the current market price, indicating potential support levels as holders are likely to sell at a profit.
    • Out of the Money: Refers to addresses that acquired the cryptocurrency at a price higher than the current market price, indicating potential resistance levels as holders might want to break even or minimize losses.

Based on the IOMAP, over 1.81 million addresses bought around 1.66 million ETH between $3,820 and $3,700. This demand zone could keep Ethereum’s price at bay amid increasing selling pressure. But if it fails to hold, the next key area of support is between $3,580 and $3,462, where 3.13 million addresses purchased over 1.50 million ETH.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum's IOMAP
Ethereum’s IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock

On the other hand, the most important resistance barrier for Ethereum is between $3,940 and $4,054. Here, over 1.16 million addresses had previously purchased around 574,660 ETH.

If Ethereum overcomes this hurdle and prints a daily candlestick close above $4,170, the bearish outlook will be invalidated. This could result in a new upward countdown phase toward $5,000.

Summary and Conclusions

Ethereum co-founder Jeffrey Wilke’s recent transfer of 10,000 ETH to Kraken is indicative of broader market activities, where investors are moving significant amounts of ETH to exchanges. This trend aligns with increased trading activity, suggesting potential profit-taking, portfolio rebalancing, or market speculation among Ethereum holders. The balance of ETH on exchanges has spiked, indicating a potential rise in market volatility.

This market movement comes at a critical time, as the SEC is about to make a final ruling on Vaneck’s Ethereum ETF. Analysts have noted a substantial increase in the likelihood of approval, which has surged from 25% to 75%. Such regulatory developments are seen as a positive signal for the broader cryptocurrency market, potentially paving the way for further institutional investment.

Read more: How to Buy Ethereum (ETH) and Everything You Need to Know

Despite technical indicators suggesting a possible short-term bearish trend, the IOMAP indicator shows strong support levels for Ethereum. This suggests that while there may be short-term corrections, the underlying demand for Ethereum remains robust. Long-term holders appear confident, continuing to accumulate ETH, which bodes well for its future price stability and growth.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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FOMC Minutes, Airdrop, and More

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This week, some major news has captured the attention of crypto investors and enthusiasts alike.

The release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting minutes, Etherfi’s airdrop Season 3 launch, and several other significant developments are expected to influence the decentralized finance (DeFi) sector and the broader crypto industry.

FOMC Meeting Minutes and Other Macro Data Releases

This week, the crypto market braces for several macroeconomic data releases, notably the FOMC meeting minutes and the non-farm payroll figures for June. Analysts expect 180,000 new jobs in June, keeping the unemployment rate at 4%, the highest since February 2022. May saw a gain of 272,000 jobs, initially boosting confidence about the economy despite signs of a slowdown.

Investor concerns about US economic momentum may grow with below-expectation numbers. June’s data revealed continuing unemployment claims at 1.84 million, a peak since November 2021, highlighting difficulties for job seekers. The focus will also be on the average hourly earnings growth, expected to decrease to a post-pandemic low of 3.9% year-on-year in June.

Analysts believe these insights will significantly impact Bitcoin (BTC) and the broader crypto market. According to crypto analyst CrypNuevo, Bitcoin has shown preliminary signs of potential market movements.

They observed two crucial liquidity areas of interest. The first is between $62,500 and $63,500, marking the primary short-term liquidity zone. The second area is around $67,100, regarded as a significant mid-term zone.

CrypNuevo also noted a notable issue in the opposite direction involving a long wick. They believe it will likely get filled to balance the open interest gaps.

BTC Price Performance.
BTC Price Performance. Source: X/CrypNuevo

“So I finally came up with this projection: Not necessarily for the week ahead, the time frame is more like 2-3 weeks. Impulsive moves up to liquidate high-leverage short positions and then drop back down to fill the 50% of the wick. Forming a potential accumulation range,” CrypNuevo wrote.

Zero1 Labs, a decentralized AI solution, has announced a major activation for the Zero1 community. This initiative, involving over 25 prominent communities, aims to further decentralize its native token, DEAI.

The new Community Program seeks to foster greater engagement within crypto communities and expand Zero1 Labs into the largest AI crypto community. It delivers exclusive rewards to new supporters by forming strategic alliances with top community projects.

Collaborating with well-known communities, Zero1 Labs offers users a chance to claim a share of a $2 million DEAI prize pool. The protocol aims to reward both existing supporters and attract new participants eager to explore decentralized technology and AI.

Participants can earn rewards by engaging with the community and writing unique content about Zero1 Labs. They can enhance their chances of receiving more rewards by completing various social tasks, such as following on X, joining the Discord community, and discussing DEAI on X. Each action accumulates points, increasing the likelihood of earning rewards.

The Community Program will officially kick off on July 3, 2024. To ensure fair participation, snapshots of specific communities will be taken the day before the announcement. This snapshot will determine eligibility, giving participants limited time to engage in social activities and maximize rewards.

NATIX Token Launch and Listings

NATIX Network will launch its token, NATIX, on July 2. On the same day, major crypto exchanges, including KuCoin and Gate.io, will list the NATIX token on their respective platforms. 

This launch is anticipated to provide significant opportunities for traders and investors as it becomes available on prominent exchanges. NATIX is an AI-powered dynamic map supercharged by the decentralized physical infrastructure (DePIN) and driver community.

Read more: What Is DePIN (Decentralized Physical Infrastructure Networks)?

Etherfi Announces ETHFI Airdrop Season 3

Etherfi, a protocol offering liquid restaking services on the Ethereum network, has recently announced details concerning its Season 2 ETHFI airdrop. The schedule is as follows: the checker tool to verify eligibility for the airdrop will become available on July 5, with the official claiming of airdrops set for July 8.

Additionally, there is exciting news for the upcoming Season 3. Etherfi has committed to distributing 25 million ETHFI tokens. The allocation of these tokens will be based on each community member’s level of participation and engagement.

Season 3 kicked off on July 1 and is expected to run until the beginning of September. Following the end of the season, the airdrop distribution will take place.

SUI and Other Major Token Unlocks

Ethena (ENA), the synthetic currency protocol on Ethereum, will unlock 14.89 million of its native token, ENA, dedicated to ecosystem development. According to Token Unlocks data, these tokens represent 0.92% of ENA’s circulating supply and are worth approximately $7.62 million at the time of writing.

ENA Token Unlocks. Source: token.unlocks

In addition to ENA, DYDX and SUI have also held token unlocks today at midnight UTC. Read this article for further detailed information on major crypto token unlocks this week.

zkSync Introduces Elastic Chain in 3.0 Roadmap

zkSync, an Ethereum layer-2 (L2) network, has introduced a new “Elastic Chain” feature in its latest zkSync 3.0 roadmap. The v24 upgrade transforms zkSync into an Elastic chain from a single ZK chain. This Elastic Chain comprises multiple chains within the zkSync ecosystem, offering users the experience of using a single chain.

Matter Labs, the team behind zkSync, describes the Elastic Chain as an infinitely extensible network of ZK chains. These include rollups, validiums, and volitions. They are secured by mathematical proofs and seamlessly interoperable with a uniform, intuitive user experience.

In a June 29 announcement, the zkSync team promised to share more details on how these ZK chains seamlessly work together this week. This new feature could further enhance the network’s capabilities and user experience.

Read more: What Is zkSync?

Parcl’s Upcoming PRCL Staking Program

Parcl, a real-world asset (RWA) tokenization protocol on the layer-1 blockchain Solana, will present its upcoming PRCL staking program this week. Staking will effectively unlock all participation in the Parcl ecosystem, including governance, existing and future protocol incentives, and Parcl Labs Data API access.

Epochs are a fundamental principle of time for staking, with one epoch equaling seven days. The first epoch will be announced shortly.

PRCL Staking Epoch. Source: Parcl

This week’s news in the crypto space highlights significant milestones and potential market shifts. Investors and enthusiasts closely watch these events, anticipating their impacts on the market dynamics.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Breaking This Resistance Could Trigger a Rally

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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$200 Million Election Bets on Polymarket

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As the US Presidential election approaches, Polymarket, a decentralized prediction platform, is capturing mainstream attention with over $200 million in wagers on the election’s outcome. This surge in activity marks a pivotal moment for cryptocurrency’s integration into mainstream financial practices.

Some believe that Polymarket shows the formula for crypto’s mainstream success.

Polymarket Metrics Surges as US Election Approaches

June witnessed Polymarket hitting its highest monthly volume, surpassing $111 million, as reported by a Dune dashboard. Analysts at Kairos Research project that by year-end, the platform’s trading volume could exceed $1 billion.

Consequently, other key metrics have also seen significant increases – total value locked rose by 68.9% to $40.23 million, and monthly active users surged by 166% to 28,760.

Read more: Top 9 Web3 Projects That Are Revolutionizing the Industry

Polymarket Total Value Locked and Monthly Active Users
Polymarket Total Value Locked and Monthly Active Users. Source: Token Terminal

Yuga Cohler, a Coinbase executive, highlighted the importance of prediction markets.

“Prediction markets are the purest technological manifestation of liberal democracy. They take free markets and free speech as inputs and output truth. In an age when centralized control of information is a systemic risk, prediction markets offer a way of cutting through misleading narratives and viewing the unvarnished truth. Prediction markets are freedom preserving technology that move societies forward,” Cohler said.

Moreover, the widespread citation of Polymarket by mainstream media outlets highlights its seamless market fit and blockchain technology’s invisibility due to its efficiency.

Despite the platform’s success and utility, prediction market platforms such as Polymarket might face regulatory challenges in the US. However, their potential utility in fields beyond finance is becoming increasingly apparent.

Currently, Polymarket shows a 63% probability of Donald Trump winning the upcoming Presidential election, with Joe Biden’s chances falling to 18%. Additionally, speculation is rife about Biden potentially withdrawing from the race, with $8.6 million staked on this outcome following his recent debate performance.

Chances of Joe Biden Dropping out of US Presidential Race
Chances of Joe Biden Dropping out of US Presidential Race. Source: Polymarket

However, some voices express skepticism about the platform’s impartiality. A prominent pseudonymous user on X, BoredElonMusk, questioned the platform’s ability to reflect political sentiment accurately.

“Someone explain to me how Polymarket is an accurate measure of political sentiment when it’s a crypto platform and the users are massively biased against one political party? Am I being naive or are a lot of you ignoring this important data point,” BoredElon Musk asked his 1.6 million followers on X.

Read more: 10 Best Crypto Exchange Reviews for July 2024

The discussion around Polymarket’s role and reliability highlights the broader implications of cryptocurrency technologies. They offer not just financial tools but also platforms that can reshape public discourse and influence.

As the election approaches, these platforms will likely play an increasingly prominent role, offering new insights into public sentiment.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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