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Ethereum Founder to Sell $37 Million in ETH Before ETF Decision

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Recent significant Ethereum (ETH) transfers to cryptocurrency exchanges have caught the market’s attention. This move has raised speculation about potential profit-taking, portfolio rebalancing, or market speculation.

These developments coincide with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) nearing a decision on the Vaneck Ethereum exchange-traded fund (ETF), which has heightened expectations within the industry.

Investors Transfer ETH to Exchanges

Jeffrey Wilke, one of the founders of Ethereum, has transferred 10,000 ETH, worth around $37.38 million, to the cryptocurrency exchange Kraken. While the motive behind such a significant transfer is unclear, a few hypotheses can be derived from it.

  • Profit Taking: Wilke may be selling off his tokens to realize profits. This could be due to achieving his desired return on investment or anticipating a potential downturn in the market.
  • Rebalancing Portfolios: Wilke might be rebalancing his portfolios by selling some tokens and buying others. This could be based on changes in market conditions, project developments, or his investment strategy.
  • Market Speculation: Wilke might be speculating on short-term price movements or taking advantage of arbitrage opportunities between different cryptocurrency exchanges.
Jeffrey Wilke's Wallet Activity
Jeffrey Wilke’s Wallet Activity. Source: SpotOnChain

Whether Wilke aims to book profits, rebalance his portfolio, or speculate on the market, he appears not the only one. Looking at Ethereum’s balance on exchanges reveals a spike in the tokens available to sell.

  • Balance on Exchanges: This refers to the total amount of Ethereum held in cryptocurrency exchange wallets.

Over the last two weeks, more than 242,000 ETH have moved to cryptocurrency exchange wallets. This indicates increased trading activity on exchanges that can contribute to price volatility.

Ethereum Balance on Exchanges. Source: Glassnode

Ethereum ETF Approval Looms

The timing of these transfers is notable, as it aligns with today’s SEC final ruling regarding the Vaneck Ethereum ETF. Interestingly, on May 20, the SEC requested Nasdaq, CBOE, and NYSE to refine their applications for listing spot Ethereum ETFs, hinting at a potential approval of these filings.

In response to this regulatory development, Eric Balchunas and James Seyffart, ETF analysts at Bloomberg Intelligence, remarked that the likelihood of approval has substantially increased, shifting from only 25% to a considerable 75%.

“Hearing chatter this afternoon that the SEC could be doing a 180 on this increasingly political issue, so now everyone is scrambling. But again, we cap it at 75% until we see more, e.g., filing updates,” Balchunas wrote.

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Ethereum ETF Approval Odds
Ethereum ETF Approval Odds. Source: Polymarket

Similarly, Polymarket, a decentralized prediction market platform that allows users to place bets on world events, shows a significant increase in approval odds, which have risen from 10% to 70% over the past 72 hours.

Warning Signal for Traders

Although industry leaders like Anthony Pompliano see the Ethereum ETF approval as an “approval of the entire industry” and as “the last dam to be broken,” traders must be cautious. The increasing ETH deposits to cryptocurrency exchange wallets hint at the possibility of a sell-off or a spike in profit-taking.

Meanwhile, the Tom DeMark (TD) Sequential indicator presents a sell signal on Ethereum’s daily chart.

  • TD Sequential Indicator: This is a technical analysis tool used to identify potential market trend exhaustion points and upcoming price reversals.
    • Setup Phase: This involves counting a series of nine consecutive price bars, where each bar closes higher (for an uptrend) or lower (for a downtrend) than the bar four periods earlier.
    • Countdown Phase: Following the setup phase, a countdown begins where a series of thirteen additional price bars are counted if they close lower (in a downtrend) or higher (in an uptrend) than the close two bars earlier.

The current green nine candlestick on the daily chart suggests that a spike in selling pressure could see Ethereum retrace for one to four daily candlesticks or even start a new downward countdown phase before the uptrend resumes.

Ethereum Price Analysis
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Despite the bearish signals seen from an on-chain and technical perspective, the In/Out of the Money Around Price (IOMAP) indicator suggests that Ethereum is above significant areas of support that could hold in the event of a correction.

  • IOMAP: This metric helps analyze and visualize the distribution of holders’ positions relative to the current price. It helps understand the potential support and resistance levels based on the number of addresses holding a particular cryptocurrency at different price levels.
    • In the Money: Refers to addresses that acquired the cryptocurrency at a price lower than the current market price, indicating potential support levels as holders are likely to sell at a profit.
    • Out of the Money: Refers to addresses that acquired the cryptocurrency at a price higher than the current market price, indicating potential resistance levels as holders might want to break even or minimize losses.

Based on the IOMAP, over 1.81 million addresses bought around 1.66 million ETH between $3,820 and $3,700. This demand zone could keep Ethereum’s price at bay amid increasing selling pressure. But if it fails to hold, the next key area of support is between $3,580 and $3,462, where 3.13 million addresses purchased over 1.50 million ETH.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum's IOMAP
Ethereum’s IOMAP. Source: IntoTheBlock

On the other hand, the most important resistance barrier for Ethereum is between $3,940 and $4,054. Here, over 1.16 million addresses had previously purchased around 574,660 ETH.

If Ethereum overcomes this hurdle and prints a daily candlestick close above $4,170, the bearish outlook will be invalidated. This could result in a new upward countdown phase toward $5,000.

Summary and Conclusions

Ethereum co-founder Jeffrey Wilke’s recent transfer of 10,000 ETH to Kraken is indicative of broader market activities, where investors are moving significant amounts of ETH to exchanges. This trend aligns with increased trading activity, suggesting potential profit-taking, portfolio rebalancing, or market speculation among Ethereum holders. The balance of ETH on exchanges has spiked, indicating a potential rise in market volatility.

This market movement comes at a critical time, as the SEC is about to make a final ruling on Vaneck’s Ethereum ETF. Analysts have noted a substantial increase in the likelihood of approval, which has surged from 25% to 75%. Such regulatory developments are seen as a positive signal for the broader cryptocurrency market, potentially paving the way for further institutional investment.

Read more: How to Buy Ethereum (ETH) and Everything You Need to Know

Despite technical indicators suggesting a possible short-term bearish trend, the IOMAP indicator shows strong support levels for Ethereum. This suggests that while there may be short-term corrections, the underlying demand for Ethereum remains robust. Long-term holders appear confident, continuing to accumulate ETH, which bodes well for its future price stability and growth.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Base DEX Volume Approaches $3 Billion Amid Growing Adoption

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Base, Coinbase’s Layer-2 (L2) blockchain solution, has reached new heights, setting an all-time high daily decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume near $3 billion.

This milestone reflects Base’s growing prominence in the L2 space and its role in scaling on-chain transactions for Coinbase users.

Base Hits New Milestone in DEX Volume

Blockchain analyst Dan Smith highlighted Base L2’s record-breaking volume of $2.9 billion, including $1.3 billion in ETH-USD trading, which also hit an all-time high. Other trading pairs, such as ETH-cbBTC and BTC-USD, were close to breaking their own records.

Base DEX Volume By Pair Type
Base DEX Volume By Pair Type. Source: Blockworks Research

The $2.9 billion DEX volume reflects Base’s growing appeal among traders, particularly in ETH-USD pairs, which benefited from recent price volatility. Alexander, another blockchain enthusiast, noted that this milestone marked the first time Base nearly tagged $3 billion in daily volume, alluding to the development as evidence of L2’s growing adoption.

AerodromeFi, a liquidity-focused decentralized protocol on Base, also recorded an all-time high of $1.68 billion in volume, further emphasizing the ecosystem’s momentum.

“This is the first time Base nearly passed $3 billion and AerodromeFi set a new ATH of $1.68 billion in volume,” Alexander commented.

Base’s success is particularly notable because it operates without a native token. Coinbase explicitly ruled out launching a token for Base, prioritizing ecosystem growth and user adoption instead. This approach has likely contributed to its traction by focusing on utility and reducing speculative risks that could deter long-term users.

“There are no plans for a Base network token. We are focused on building, and we want to solve real problems that let you build better,” Base lead developer Jesse Pollak stated recently.

Consistent Growth in Transactions and TVL

The recent achievement follows Base’s earlier milestones, including reaching one billion transactions two months ago and surpassing six million daily transactions in October. More closely, the network recently outpaced Ethereum in user growth amid growing crypto markets.

Additionally, Base’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has seen consistent growth, indicating increased user participation, asset inflows, and liquidity within its ecosystem. A rising TVL signals greater confidence in the platform, fostering a stronger and more sustainable DeFi environment.

Base TVL and DEX Volume
Base TVL and DEX Volume. Source: DefiLlama

Despite its impressive growth, Base has faced some criticism. The network was accused of copying aspects of an NFT project, sparking concerns over originality and intellectual property. While this controversy did not deter adoption, it highlights the challenges of rapid innovation in the competitive blockchain space.

Base’s trajectory positions it as a serious contender in the L2 space, competing with established players like Arbitrum (ARB) and Optimism (OP). Its emphasis on utility, combined with rising user participation and liquidity, paints a promising picture for its future.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Is a Drop Below $0.92 Inevitable?

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Cardano’s recent sideways price action has led to a surge in demand for short positions among futures traders.

As the coin’s momentum slows, traders are increasingly betting on a price decline, signaling a bearish sentiment toward ADA.

Cardano Traders Bet on a Price Decline

According to Coinglass, ADA’s Long/Short Ratio is at a monthly low of 0.82, indicating a high demand for short positions.

An asset’s Long/Short Ratio compares the number of its long (buy) positions to short (sell) positions in a market. As with ADA, when the ratio is below one, more traders are betting on the price falling (shorting) rather than rising. If short sellers continue to dominate, this can increase the downward pressure on the asset’s price.

ADA Long/Short Ratio
ADA Long/Short Ratio. Source: Coinglass

Additionally, ADA’s Weighted Sentiment remains negative, currently standing at -0.074, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the altcoin.

Weighted Sentiment gauges the overall market bias by analyzing the volume and tone of social media mentions. A negative value signals growing skepticism among investors, often leading to reduced trading activity and downward pressure on the asset’s price.

ADA Weighted Sentiment.
ADA Weighted Sentiment. Source: Santiment

Notably, ADA whales have reduced their trading activity over the past week, with the coin’s large holders’ netflow dropping by 90.29%, according to IntoTheBlock.

Large holders, defined as addresses holding more than 0.1% of an asset’s circulating supply, play a significant role in market movements. A decline in their netflow indicates reduced buying activity, adding to the downward pressure on ADA’s price.

ADA Large Holders Netflow.
ADA Large Holders Netflow. Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA Price Prediction: Recovery to $1 or Decline to $0.80?

ADA is currently trading at $0.98, hovering just above its support level of $0.90. If bearish pressure intensifies, the price may test this support. A failure to hold at $0.90 could see ADA’s decline extend further, potentially dropping to $0.80.

ADA Price Analysis.
ADA Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

Conversely, if buying activity resurges, ADA’s price could stabilize above the $1 mark.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Will It Smash Another ATH?

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $104,000 zone. BTC is consolidating above $105,000 and might aim for a new all-time high.

  • Bitcoin started a decent increase above the $102,500 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $104,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $103,500 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Regains Traction

Bitcoin price started a decent upward move above the $102,500 zone. BTC was able to climb above the $103,500 and $104,000 levels.

The bulls even pushed the price above the $105,000 level. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $109,112 swing high to the $100,114 low.

Bitcoin price is now trading above $104,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $107,000 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $109,112 swing high to the $100,114 low.

The first key resistance is near the $107,500 level. A clear move above the $107,500 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $109,000.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A close above the $109,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level and a new all-time high. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,500 level.

Downside Correction In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $107,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $104,500 level. The first major support is near the $103,500 level.

The next support is now near the $102,800 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $100,500 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $104,500, followed by $103,500.

Major Resistance Levels – $107,000 and $108,500.



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