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Crypto Markets Eye $1.6 Billion Options Expiration: What’s Next?

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Crypto markets will witness $1.61 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options contracts expire today. The massive expiration could cause a short-term price impact, particularly after Bitcoin briefly broke below $60,000.

With Bitcoin options valued at $1.10 billion and Ethereum at $510.08 million, traders are bracing for potential volatility.

Why Bitcoin and Ethereum Could See Volatility Today

There is a significant increase in Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) contracts due for expiry today compared to last week. Data on Deribit shows 18,271 Bitcoin options contracts will expire with a put-to-call ratio of 0.90 and a maximum pain point of $62,000.

Expiring Bitcoin Options
Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit

Regarding Ethereum, 212,175 contracts are due for expiry today, with a put-to-call ratio of 0.40 and a maximum pain point of $2,450.

Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading.

Expiring Ethereum Options
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

For Bitcoin, the expiring options suggest a generally bullish sentiment after it briefly slipped below $60,000. With a maximum pain point of $62,000, the pioneer crypto, now trading for $60,612 per share, stands well below its strike price. On the other hand, Ethereum is trading for $2,407, which is also below its maximum pain price of $2,450.

The maximum pain point is a crucial metric that often guides market behavior. It shows where the expiry will cause the greatest financial loss to all option holders that have entered into a contract at that strike rate at expiration.

“Keep an eye on the ratios and max pain levels. They might tell us where the market is leaning,” analysts at Crypto Town Hall suggested.

Bitcoin, Ethereum Trade Below Max Pain Price

As Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options near expiration both assets are expected to approach their respective strike prices. This is a result of the Max Pain theory, which predicts that options prices will converge around the strike prices where the largest number of contracts — both calls and puts — expire worthless.

Large institutions, often referred to as smart money, typically sell these options. They have an incentive to push the price toward the “max pain” level by trading in the spot or futures markets. This strategy causes option buyers, who are their counterparties, to lose the most value.

Heading into the expiry, both Bitcoin and Ethereum could gravitate toward these max pain points. The pressure on prices, however, will fade after the options expire, with Deribit expected to settle contracts at 08:00 UTC on Friday.

Currently, buyers of put options on BTC and ETH seem poised to benefit. With the current market underperforming, option sellers will likely push prices upward to reduce their losses. An in-the-money put means the current asset price is below the strike price, enabling holders to sell at a better rate than the market offers.

Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms.

Analysts at Greeks.live advise traders to stay alert, as this market shift could open up new trading opportunities. Recent sector weakness could create favorable conditions for strategic moves.

The analysts also note that the recent market lull led to Bitcoin showing flat implied volatility (IV). This is ideal for building some medium — to long-term calls at a low level. Further, block call trading (large buy or sell orders that often indicate what an institution is doing to its portfolio) has been progressively more active this week.

“With crypto continuing to weaken the key $60,000 level now hotly contested, and ETH near the long-term support line of $2,300, a market change could be just around the corner. The first two weeks of the fourth quarter of this year were poor; the options market is also more depressed. The current options position has fallen to a new low since 2023. But a sluggish market also breeds new trading opportunities,” the analysts noted.

Options expirations often cause short-term price fluctuations, creating market uncertainty. However, markets usually stabilize soon after as traders adapt to the new price environment. With today’s high-volume expiration, traders and investors can expect a similar outcome, potentially influencing future crypto market trends.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Ethereum Price Clings to Support—Upside Break Could Trigger Rally

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Ethereum price started a increase from the $1,550 zone. ETH is now rising and might attempt to recover above the $1,650 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh increase above the $1,580 and $1,600 levels.
  • The price is trading above $1,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $1,590 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could start a fresh increase if it clears the $1,650 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Eyes Upside Break

Ethereum price remained stable above the $1,500 level and started a fresh increase, like Bitcoin. ETH traded above the $1,550 and $1,600 levels to enter a short-term positive zone.

There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $1,590 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The pair even cleared the $1,620 resistance. A high was formed at $1,644 and the price is stable above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,566 swing low to the $1,644 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $1,600 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,640 level. The next key resistance is near the $1,650 level. The first major resistance is near the $1,680 level.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

A clear move above the $1,680 resistance might send the price toward the $1,720 resistance. An upside break above the $1,720 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,800 resistance zone or even $1,840 in the near term.

Downside Correction In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,650 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,620 level. The first major support sits near the $1,605 zone and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $1,566 swing low to the $1,644 high.

A clear move below the $1,605 support might push the price toward the $1,580 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,550 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,500.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $1,600

Major Resistance Level – $1,650



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Will Bittensor Surpass Bitcoin as a Store of Value? Expert Predicts

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Barry Silbert, CEO of Digital Currency Group, has stated that Bittensor (TAO) has the potential to outperform Bitcoin (BTC) as a global store of value.

His comments come amid notable growth in the Bittensor network, with its subnet ecosystem market capitalization and the TAO token’s price on the rise.

Will Bittensor’s Decentralized AI Model Outperform Bitcoin’s Legacy? 

In a recent interview with Raoul Pal, Silbert highlighted the growing influence of artificial intelligence (AI) in the crypto sector. According to him, Bittensor is at the forefront of this revolution, representing the “next big era for crypto.”

“You had the Bitcoin and the Ethereum and the NFTs, and you had the layer 2s and DeFi. I think this is the next big investment theme for crypto,” Silbert stated.

He went on to explain that Bittensor shares the same pioneering spirit as early Bitcoin. Still, its purpose extends beyond financial sovereignty.

“The boldest prediction that I could make for Bittensor is it could be a better version of Bitcoin as a global store of value,” he claimed.

He argued that instead of the $10 to $12 billion spent annually to secure the Bitcoin network, that same amount could be redirected toward incentivizing a global network of individuals working to solve major world problems. He envisions this money fostering innovation on a massive scale, with the potential to grow into a multi-billion-dollar ecosystem. 

While acknowledging the value of securing the Bitcoin network, Silbert emphasized that Bittensor’s potential lies in its ability to harness this vast financial backing to address real-world challenges

He noted that Bittensor operates on a similar economic model to Bitcoin, with halving mechanisms and decentralization, positioning it as a powerful contender in the quest for a more impactful and value-driven global network.

Silbert also noted that while plenty of decentralized AI projects have emerged, Bittensor has set itself apart. He referred to it as having reached “escape velocity.” This term is used to convey a project’s rapid growth and increasing market influence.

“99.9% of crypto tokens that are out there have no reason to exist and are worthless,” he added.

Market data reflects the growing enthusiasm for Bittensor. Notably, amid the ongoing volatility, TAO has fared well in comparison to the broader market, rising 32.1% in the last week. At press time, the altcoin was trading at $328, up 7.2% over the past day.

TAO Price Performance
TAO Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Additionally, TAO is currently the top trending cryptocurrency on CoinGecko, underlining its rising popularity among investors. Google Trends data further proves the growing interest in Bittensor. The search volume peaked at 100 at the time of writing. 

Meanwhile, the Bittensor ecosystem is also seeing notable progress. The latest data indicated that the market capitalization of Bittensor’s subnet tokens more than doubled in April 2025. 

Bittensor Subnet Market Cap
Bittensor Subnet Market Cap. Source: Backprop Finance

It increased by 166%, rising from $181 million at the beginning of April to $481 million at press time. As reported by BeInCrypto, this growth follows a tripling of active subnets over the past year. 

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Bulls Defend $2.00—Is a Fresh Price Surge Loading?

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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