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Crypto Market Awaits 3 Key US Economic Reports

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Crypto markets have several US economic events to look forward to this week after a subdued weekend in which Bitcoin’s (BTC) price failed to breach the $65,000 threshold.

For the most part, all eyes will be on the US labor market as maximum employment falls under the Federal Reserve’s list of mandates.

September’s ISM Manufacturing PMI

September’s ISM Manufacturing PMI will be crucial in gauging economic activity, as the data reflects the health of the manufacturing sectors. The consensus looks for the ISM manufacturing survey to print 47.3 in September, which would signify a rather small change compared to the 47.2 recorded in August. 

The September data is due on Tuesday, October 1. The latest 10X Research anticipates anxiety leading up to tomorrow’s release and the ones to follow.

“While most attention has been on US employment data, the ISM Manufacturing Index triggered a 10% market correction during the first week of each of the last three months. Employment data played a crucial role in shaping market sentiment. Weak employment figures fueled recession fears, increasing expectations for Fed rate cuts, while more robust employment data reassured investors that the economy was more resilient than the ISM Manufacturing Index suggested,” the researchers said.

Read more: Crypto Regulation: What Are the Benefits and Drawbacks?

A higher-than-expected PMI, relative to the previous reading of 47.2, indicates a strong economy. If this happens, it could lead to increased investor confidence in traditional markets, potentially prompting them to allocate more capital to riskier assets like cryptocurrencies as a hedge against inflation or market volatility.

ISM Services PMI

Like the manufacturing data, the ISM Services PMI also measures economic activity and is a reflection of the services sector’s health. According to S&P Global’s flash PMI report for September, optimism about service output in the year ahead deteriorated sharply. Specifically, the survey’s future output index fell to its lowest since October 2022.

This dwindling confidence came amid concerns over the outlook for the economy and demand amid uncertainty regarding the Presidential Election.

Expectations are for the Services PMI to rise a touch to 51.7 in September from 51.5 in August. The data is due for release on Thursday, October 3.

If the data comes in higher than expected, it would suggest a strong economy, likely increasing investor confidence in traditional markets. In the same way, investors may be more open to allocating more capital to riskier assets like Bitcoin.

Nonfarm Payrolls and Unemployment Rate

Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) data is a crucial indicator of labor market health, offering insight into job creation and employment levels. A strong NFP report, reflecting robust job growth, can stimulate consumer spending, drive economic expansion, and increase demand for digital assets.

Conversely, a weaker-than-expected NFP report may spark concerns about economic stability, pushing investors toward alternative assets like cryptocurrencies. The Unemployment Rate, another vital economic measure, reflects the strength of the labor market. A declining unemployment rate often signals a stronger economy, boosting consumer confidence and potentially driving crypto prices higher as individuals diversify their portfolios.

The consensus forecast for September expects 145,000 new nonfarm payrolls, up from 142,000 in August, while the unemployment rate is projected to remain steady at 4.2%.

Read more: How to Protect Yourself From Inflation Using Cryptocurrency

Capital Economics notes that while job growth remains positive, it has slowed compared to previous years, with hiring expectations also declining. Consumer confidence in job security is weakening, as indicated by the Conference Board’s survey, which warns of the unemployment rate potentially rising to 5% later this year.

With the labor market cooling, Capital Economics suggests that persistent underperformance in payroll data could prompt the Federal Reserve to consider an additional 50 basis point (bps) rate cut in November, following a similar cut in September.

Jerome Powell Speech

Markets are also bracing for Federal Reserve chair Jerome Powell’s speech on Monday, September 30. Powell is expected to elaborate on the Fed’s decision to cut its benchmark interest rate by half a percentage point and shed light on the considerations that will frame an expected series of interest rate cuts for the remainder of the year and into 2025.

BTC Price Performance US Economic Events
BTC Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

As crypto markets brace for volatility induced by these US economic events, Bitcoin price remains below the $65,000 threshold. As of this writing, it is trading for $64,531, down 1.63% since Monday’s session opened.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Bitcoin Rally Boosts Coinbase, Robinhood in Global App Store

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The recent Bitcoin rally has driven Coinbase to the ninth spot in global app rankings, followed by Robinhood at 13.

This surge in popularity marks a resurgence of retail interest, as Coinbase was ranked 435 the night before the US elections.

Retail Interest Revives: Coinbase Climbs to Ninth Globally in App Store

Coinbase’s rapid rise reflects retail investors returning to the crypto market, eager to join the Bitcoin rally. With Bitcoin’s price on the rise, users are downloading trading apps in large numbers to participate.

Robinhood, another major trading platform, is also trending upward, now ranking 13 in the US App Store, while CashApp trails behind at number 30. This simultaneous growth for Coinbase and Robinhood shows a renewed demand for easy-to-use crypto trading platforms.

In March 2024, Coinbase reappeared among the top 100 apps for a brief period. It was the first time it had done so since two years prior, marking the beginning of this renewed interest.

Now, its spot in the top 10 confirms a new wave of retail adoption, likely driven by Bitcoin’s recent performance. As retail investors respond to these market shifts, the crypto space appears to be gaining fresh momentum.

When Bitcoin and other cryptocurrencies surge, retail investors flock to trading platforms, fueling increased app downloads. Robinhood’s ranking at 20th also suggests that traditional trading apps that cater to retail crypto demand stand to make significant gains.

Known primarily for stock trading, Robinhood now attracts users seeking both stock and crypto investments in a single app. This rise of Robinhood signals that retail investors want easy, simplified access to crypto, especially during price surges.

“Bitcoin sentiment check: Coinbase App Store ranking on apple iOS 7 day moving average = 191 Possibly only 1-2 weeks away from hitting extreme levels, based on the current pace. *The app reached no.1 in December 2017, April 2021, and November 2021,” said one analyst on X on November 11.

Polymarket Bets on the Bitcoin Rally

Polymarket bettors have been quick to jump on the subject. At the time of writing, users estimate a 58% chance that Coinbase will remain among the top 10 free apps on November 15.


Coinbase bets (November 12 to 14)
Coinbase bets (November 12 to 14). Source: Polymarket.

In the crypto industry, app rankings often signal market enthusiasm and can indicate an approaching bull market. This trend also highlights how retail adoption shapes the market for crypto apps.

As platforms like Coinbase climb app rankings, they reveal the crypto market’s vibrancy and responsiveness to price gains. If this pattern persists, more crypto apps could gain popularity, attracting even more retail investors.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price Rockets Upward: Bulls Poised for More Gains

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XRP price is up over 15% and moving higher above the $0.740 support zone. The price could accelerate higher if it clears the $0.8450 resistance zone.

  • XRP price started a strong increase above the $0.720 resistance.
  • The price is now trading above $0.750 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a key bullish trend line forming with support at $0.7400 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $0.7240 support zone.

XRP Price Gains Strength

XRP price remained supported above the $0.620 level. It formed a base and started a strong increase above $0.7000. It outperformed Bitcoin and Ethereum in the past two sessions, with a move above the $0.740 resistance.

The price even climbed above the $0.850 level before the bears appeared. A high was formed at $0.8989 before there was a pullback. The price dipped below $0.820 and tested $0.720. It tested the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.6700 swing low to the $0.8989 high.

The price is now trading above $0.750 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a key bullish trend line forming with support at $0.740 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $0.6700 swing low to the $0.8989 high.

On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.8450 level. The first major resistance is near the $0.8880 level. The next key resistance could be $0.900. A clear move above the $0.900 resistance might send the price toward the $0.9250 resistance.

XRP Price

Any more gains might send the price toward the $0.9550 resistance or even $0.9620 in the near term. The next major hurdle might be $0.9850.

Are Dips Limited?

If XRP fails to clear the $0.8450 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $0.80 level. The next major support is near the $0.7550 level.

If there is a downside break and a close below the $0.7550 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $0.740 support in the near term. The next major support sits near the $0.7240 zone.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.8000 and $0.7550.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.8450 and $0.8880.



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OpSec CEO and Team Resign Amid Fraud Allegations by ZachXBT

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Chris Williams, CEO of OpSec, a purported AI Cloud Security platform, announced that he and “the entire core team” resigned. Williams cited a recent investigation from ZachXBT, who claimed that OpSec was fraudulent.

One user, Zopp0, simultaneously owned OpSec and several other projects and withheld critical information and even payment from Williams’ team.

ZachXBT’s OpSec Investigation

Chris Williams, CEO of AI Cloud Security Platform OpSec, announced that he and OpSec’s entire core team were resigning en masse. Williams cited a recent investigation by crypto sleuth ZachXBT and claimed that the business was “no longer viable.” Specifically, he claimed that OpSec’s anonymous founder deliberately withheld critical information.

“This decision follows recent findings, highlighted by ZachXBT, along with our own assessment of OpSec’s operations. These revelations, coupled with the un-doxxed founder’s prolonged absence and sole control over the company’s finances, have severely limited our ability to lead and execute our vision effectively,” Williams claimed.

So, what were ZachXBT’s allegations, and how did they impact the firm’s operations? On the surface level, OpSec appeared to be a legitimate business, even partnering with other cloud computing firms to create DePin solutions. However, Zach stated that one user, Zopp0, created at least four shaky crypto startups, hoping to attract naive investors.

ZachXBT’s investigation began in March when he posted evidence that OpSec’s purported hardware capacities were nonexistent. In November, however, he followed this up with leaked Telegram chats in which Zopp0 openly discussed his total lack of a plan for executing OpSec’s business model. These chats made it clear that the business had no real core.

ZachXBT's Leaked OpSec Document
ZachXBT’s Leaked OpSec Document. Source: ZachXBT

In other words, Zopp0 managed to insulate Williams and the rest of OpSec’s developers from this lack of functionality. Positive social media buzz, partnerships, and other publicity actions drove up OpSec’s price. Behind the scenes, however, Williams said Zopp0 provided a “lack of clarity regarding OpSec’s direction,” and frequently withheld pay.

The actual fraud here is somewhat similar to several which ZachXBT previously investigated. A seemingly legitimate project courts public interest, but upon closer inspection it cannot execute the purported vision. Zach also claimed that Zopp0 was secretly running OpSec and several less prominent “businesses”, a common tactic in token scams.

After obtaining this leaked information, ZachXBT confronted Zopp0, who became increasingly agitated in private chats. Excerpts from these were again leaked to ZachXBT, building evidence of misconduct.

Zach then released most of this leaked information at once. Williams claimed that this corroborated his team’s own suspicions, leading to the mass resignation.

As of yet, none of Zopp0’s other alleged sham businesses have gone through public employee discontent. Nonetheless, ZachXBT also compiled a list of influencers who helped pump OpSec’s social media presence. He warned of a heightened risk of scammers due to crypto’s bull run and encouraged users to conduct due diligence.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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