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Chang Hard Fork Led to $326 Million Cardano (ADA) Sell-Offs

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Cardano’s (ADA) price is far from breaking out of its bullish pattern, and this could be further delayed owing to the current market conditions.

In addition to being overvalued, the altcoin’s key investors, the crypto whales, are showing no bullishness either.

Cardano Needs Some Time After Hard Fork

Considering the network’s condition, the recovery in Cardano’s price is slightly skeptical at the moment. The Network Value to Transaction (NVT) ratio shows that ADA is overvalued.

The NVT ratio measures the relationship between a cryptocurrency’s market capitalization and its transaction volume. It’s often used to assess whether a digital asset is overvalued or undervalued. This indicator is currently at a yearly high of 6.43. 

Read More: How To Buy Cardano (ADA) and Everything You Need To Know

Cardano NVT ratio.
Cardano NVT ratio. Source: Messari

Overvaluation is a bearish sign for any asset since it generally leads to corrections or delays in rallies.

Beyond the technical indicators, support from investors is also missing. The large wallet holders, also known as crypto whales, are one of the most important cohorts. Their accumulation drives rallies, and selling leads to price declines.

In the case of ADA, it is the latter. Addresses holding between $100,000 and $1 million worth of ADA moved to sell their supply over the last ten days. During this time, they dumped over $326 million worth of tokens, representing about 15% of their entire holdings.

Following the recent Chang hard fork event, these crypto whales have initiated their sell-offs, anticipating potential market corrections. This behavior aligns with the ‘sell-the-news’ phenomenon, where traders often capitalize on the hype leading up to significant developments.

Typically, such strategic moves by large-scale holders can precipitate a market correction, as the initial excitement surrounding big events tends to wane, resulting in decreased token prices.

Since then, the accumulation of these investors has also been insignificant, making it difficult for Cardano’s price to register growth.

Cardano Whale Holding.
Cardano Whale Holding. Source: IntoTheBlock

ADA Price Prediction: Holding Back

While recovery for Cardano’s price may not be imminent, it is coming soon. Since the altcoin has spent over four months within the descending wedge that began in mid-April, it will breakout eventually.

However, for now, Cardano’s price will likely note a drawdown to the support of $0.31. This level has served as a crucial support floor, and recovery from this point could help ADA break out. The pattern suggests a 47% rise after breaching the descending wedge, placing the target at $0.53.

Read More: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Cardano Price Analysis.
Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

On the other hand, if the network and investors’ conditions do not improve, further drawdown is possible. This would invalidate the bullish-neutral thesis, extending the breakout delay.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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How Fed Rate Cut Could Help LINK

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Chainlink’s (LINK) price has risen above $11 following the recent Fed rate cut. This increase has ignited fresh speculation about the coin’s short-term outlook.

In this analysis, BeInCrypto examines the factors contributing to the hike, the potential implications of the rate cut, and what traders can expect from LINK.

According to Santiment, alongside the recent rate cut, Chainlink’s 90-day Mean Coin Age (MCA) has risen. The MCA reflects the average age of tokens in circulation, with a low MCA suggesting that previously inactive tokens are being moved from cold wallets, potentially leading to a sell-off and putting downward pressure on the price.

Conversely, a rising MCA indicates that investors are holding onto their tokens and engaging less in trading activity, often signaling a long-term hold strategy. In Chainlink’s case, the spike in the MCA suggests that many investors are choosing to keep their LINK tokens dormant or moving them into self-custody, reducing selling pressure.

Read more: How To Buy Chainlink (LINK) and Everything You Need To Know

Chainlink 90-Day Mean Coin Age.
Chainlink 90-Day Mean Coin Age. Source: Santiment

Beyond the rising coin age, the 4-hour LINK/USD chart reveals a surge in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), a key indicator of market sentiment. Each bar on the CVD shows whether the market is dominated by buying or selling activity. Red bars signal selling pressure, which could drive the price down.

In LINK’s case, the chart shows five consecutive green bars, indicating sustained buying pressure. This suggests that the market’s demand for LINK is growing, potentially supporting the continuation of its uptrend.

Chainlink Cumulative Volume Delta.
Chainlink Cumulative Volume Delta. Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that Chainlink is holding strong at the $10.02 support level, which played a key role in its recent breakout above the $10.83 resistance. Currently, LINK is trading at $11.30, with no significant resistance in sight to halt the uptrend.

Using Fibonacci retracement levels to assess potential price targets, LINK’s next likely move could take it to $11.86, corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If it breaks past this point, the next target could be around $12.98, a level that appears within reach given the current momentum.

Read more: Chainlink (LINK) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Chainlink Daily Analysis.
Chainlink Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, the cryptocurrency could experience a pullback if it fails to surpass $11.86. If that happens, LINK might drop to $9.25. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Will Notcoin Price Break This Key Resistance?

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Like other altcoins in the market, Notcoin (NOT) has seen a price increase in the last 24 hours. Within the period mentioned, NOT has jumped by 8% while its volume has surged 85%, indicating growing interest in the Telegram coin.

With market volatility at a high level, Notcoin faces a crucial momentum that could determine its short-term movement. If NOT fails to break through this key resistance, it risks facing a significant correction that may send its price tumbling.

Notcoin Encounters Challenges

Notcoin is currently trading at $0.0078, still 73% below its all-time high. Despite recent gains in price and volume, which suggest a potential rally, the 4-hour analysis indicates the token could face challenges as it targets $0.011.

The 4-hour chart shows that Notcoin is working its way toward $0.0080, but this level has previously acted as resistance, where the coin faced rejection. If Notcoin fails to break above this price level, it could see a 10% correction. In this case, its value might drop to $0.0072.

Read more: 5 Top Notcoin Wallets in 2024

Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis.
Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

An evaluation of Notcoin on the daily timeframe shows its Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the neutral 50.00 mark. The RSI is a momentum indicator that tracks the speed and size of price changes.

If the RSI moves above the midpoint, it signals bullish momentum and a potential price increase. Conversely, a decline in the RSI suggests weakening momentum.

For Notcoin, the RSI is rising but still below the signal line, indicating the uptrend is uncertain. The token’s upward movement will likely remain shaky unless bulls apply more pressure to push the price higher.

Notcoin Relative Strength Index.
Notcoin Relative Strength Index. Source: TradingView

NOT Price Prediction: Rally Could Stop

Furthermore, the Fibonacci retracement indicator provides insights into NOT’s next movement. From a short-term perspective, bulls might try to break above $0.0085. However, around the same region, Notcoin began a decline that pulled it down to $0.0072 on September 6.

As such, that region is a supply zone that requires notable buying pressure to surpass. Currently, it does not appear that Notcoin has the notable capital flow to keep the upswing going.

Read more: Notcoin (NOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Notcoin Daily Price Analysis.
Notcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

In a highly bearish scenario, Notcoin’s price could drop to $0.0072 and possibly as low as $0.0069. On the other hand, if the token manages to break above the $0.0080 and $0.0085 resistance levels, it could potentially surge to $0.011.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why 2024 Altcoin Season Could Fuel a Rally in These 6 Tokens

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Crypto investors and analysts support that the 2024 altcoin season may have just started, drawing signals from multiple fundamentals, including Bitcoin’s (BTC) sustained foray above $63,000.

The optimism comes after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided a 50 basis points interest rate cut in September, suggesting the US economy is in a good place.

Crypto Banter Founder Highlights Tokens Primed for Altcoins

Crypto Banter, a popular YouTube channel with over 1.08 million subscribers, says the 2024 altcoin season is beginning. Its founder, Ran Neuner, cites the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest cut on Wednesday, increasing global liquidity and the all-time high seen in the money market funds. With this, he lists six tokens that are best positioned to rally if the altcoin season takes off.

SUI

The analyst starts by highlighting Sui (SUI) as a standout token, noting its rising prominence in the market, even posing a threat to Solana (SOL). SUI has been making headlines with major partnerships, including Circle’s USDC integration. Grayscale also recently launched a Sui Trust, which has driven a significant increase in both price and trading volume.

Ran Neuner believes these strong fundamentals position SUI for success in the short term, especially if an altcoin season unfolds.

FTM

The analyst also highlights Fantom (FTM) as a promising altcoin, noting its strong price performance. FTM has gained attention after recent internal developments, including the rebrand to Sonic Labs in August.

The rebrand has sparked renewed investor interest, positioning Fantom for further growth. Sonic Labs is building on this momentum with the launch of Sonic Gateway, a decentralized bridge that enables secure ERC-20 token transfers between Ethereum and Sonic.

This development has provided a boost for FTM, which has risen by 10% since the Thursday session began, trading at $0.33, according to BeInCrypto data.

IMX

ImmutableX (IMX) is also on Crypto Banter’s list of altcoins poised to rally on a possible alt season. The gaming token has broken above a falling wedge pattern, effectively confirming a reversal. Based on this breakout, analysts expect a bullish wave.

Read more: What Is Altcoin Season? A Comprehensive Guide

IMX Price Performance
IMX/USDT 2-day chart, Source: TradingView

AERO

The portfolio rebalancing also considers Aerodrome (AERO), as the central trading and liquidity marketplace continues to thrive on Base L2. The underlying fundamental for AERO is Aerodrome’s MetaDEX model, which combines the best aspects of previous decentralized exchange market leaders.

“When we assess Aerodrome’s implied outcomes through a model, it’s evident that token inflation, in itself, is not inherently bad. Instead, emissions are just one input into an economic model—a cost that can be managed and overcome,” a DeFi researcher echoed.

SOL

If the assumption proves accurate, Solana (SOL) may be gearing up for a strong rally, given its history of delivering impressive gains during altcoin market surges. Solana has often outperformed when broader altcoin momentum picks up, making it a key player to watch.

Currently, SOL is trading at $141.53, marking a 10% increase in the last 24 hours, according to BeInCrypto data.

OM

MANTRA (OM) earns a spot on the analyst’s list due to the upcoming launch of its mainnet in October. This event is expected to be a major milestone for the project, as it will bring real-world assets (RWA) on-chain. The mainnet launch will be a crucial step in integrating traditional finance (TradFi) into the blockchain ecosystem, creating new opportunities for MANTRA’s growth.

Read more: How To Invest in Real-World Crypto Assets (RWA)?

Ran Neuner also highlighted several other tokens that could see strong rallies, including Arweave (ARV), THORChain (RUNE), Render (RNDR), Crown by Third Time Games (CROWN), and SuperVerse (SUPER). These tokens have posted steady, conservative gains despite recent market uncertainty, positioning them for larger increases if an altcoin season takes off.

However, Neuner advises investors to keep an eye on the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) CPI and interest rate decision on Friday. He warns that if the BOJ raises rates, it could disrupt the current rally, potentially leading to a market reversal. On the other hand, if the BOJ cuts interest rates, it could reinforce the ongoing upward momentum.

“Don’t get overconfident. We need good CPI out of Japan tomorrow and for BOJ not to raise rates on Friday. September still has some potential liquidity drains so don’t lever up to the gills, just 8 more days until it is really up only,” GamesMasterFlex wrote.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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