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Chainlink (LINK) Faces Critical Test at $14.30 Support Level

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In our previous analysis, Chainlink (LINK) was trading at $16, and BeInCrypto forecasted a substantial price decline, which has since been validated.

This analysis updates the previous one, offering traders and investors data-driven insights on effectively navigating the market.

In the previous analysis published on June 10, 2024, LINK was trading at $16. At that time, BeInCrypto predicted a significant price drop, which has since been confirmed. Chainlink breached a crucial support level at $15.6, continuing its decline to reach the critical support level of $14.30.

Chainlink Price Analysis (Daily). Source: TradingView
Chainlink Price Analysis (Daily). Source: TradingView

LINK’s price has dropped below both the 100 EMA and 200 EMA on the daily chart, which is a strong bearish signal. The price is finding resistance at these EMA levels, reinforcing the downward trend. Furthermore, the price has penetrated the Ichimoku Cloud to the downside, indicating increased downward volatility.

Read More: How To Buy Chainlink (LINK) and Everything You Need To Know

Key support levels to watch are $14.30 and $11.95, the latter being the next major support if $14.30 is breached. Resistance levels are noted around $15.60, $16.00, and $16.65, with significant resistance at the 100 and 200 EMA levels. The RSI has dropped further, from 43 to around 38, indicating sustained bearish momentum.

The breakout of $14.30, a critical support level identified in the previous analysis, confirms the bearish outlook. Continued monitoring of this support is crucial, as failure to hold it could lead to a further decline towards $11.95.

The Number of Addresses Holding Unrealized Losses Is Growing Swiftly

In June 2024, Chainlink (LINK) saw an important rise in the number of addresses holding LINK on the Ethereum blockchain that were facing unrealized losses. The percentage of such addresses jumped from 31.43% to 43.15%. Indicating a bearish trend and a growing trend of cutting losses.

This increase in underwater holdings reflects a negative sentiment among LINK holders, with nearly half now experiencing unrealized losses. The largest daily increase in these addresses occurred on June 11.

Read More: Chainlink (LINK) Breaks Below Key Support, Signaling Potential Downtrend

Chainlink's Historical In/Out of The Money (Ethereum). Source: IntoTheBlock
Chainlink’s Historical In/Out of The Money (Ethereum). Source: IntoTheBlock

At the same time, the proportion of addresses at the break-even point remained stable, starting at 5.07% and ending at 5.81%. This stability suggests few fluctuations in addresses that are neither profit nor loss, indicating a balanced market condition. The biggest daily increase in break-even addresses was on June 10, indicating a period when more addresses found themselves at the break-even point.

Conversely, the proportion of addresses in profit decreased from 63.50% to 51.03%, highlighting a significant drop in profitability. The largest daily decrease in addresses with unrealized profits was also on June 11. Correlating this to the increase in addresses facing losses suggests improving market conditions.

The current outlook for LINK remains bearish. A shift to a bullish trend could occur if the price successfully re-enters the daily Ichimoku Cloud and breaks above the EMAs depicted in the initial chart. However, LINK’s fundamentals are bearish, with over 40% of holders currently experiencing losses.

This could prompt some to sell their holdings, potentially exerting downward pressure on the price. If Bitcoin declines below $65,000, LINK may test a critical support level at $11.90.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Should Investors See This as a Buying Chance?

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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Ethereum Reverses Course: Can ETH Bulls Save The Day?

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Ethereum price failed to climb above the $3,520 zone and corrected gains. ETH is now showing bearish signs below the $3,400 support zone.

  • Ethereum started a downside correction after it failed to surpass the $3,520 zone.
  • The price is trading below $3,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,410 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair is now at risk of more downsides below the $3,350 support zone.

Ethereum Price Dips Again

Ethereum price failed to continue higher above the $3,520 and $3,550 resistance levels. ETH formed a top near $3,520 and started a fresh decline like Bitcoin. There was a move below the $3,450 and $3,420 support levels.

The bears pushed the price below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $3,351 swing low to the $3,516 high. It seems like the price trimmed most gains and might continue to move down below the $3,350 support zone.

Ethereum is trading below $3,400 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. It is also below the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the $3,351 swing low to the $3,516 high.

If there is a recovery wave, the price might face resistance near the $3,400 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance near $3,410 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. The first major resistance is near the $3,435 level.

Ethereum Price

The next major hurdle is near the $3,465 level. A close above the $3,465 level might send Ether toward the $3,520 resistance. The next key resistance is near $3,550. An upside break above the $3,550 resistance might send the price higher. Any more gains could send Ether toward the $3,650 resistance zone.

More Losses In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $3,410 resistance, it could continue to move down. Initial support on the downside is near $3,365. The first major support sits near the $3,350 zone.

A clear move below the $3,350 support might push the price toward $3,250. Any more losses might send the price toward the $3,120 level in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $3,350

Major Resistance Level – $3,435



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Institutions Pour $30 Million into Chainlink Amid Growing Adoption

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Institutional investors have recently acquired over $30 million worth of Chainlink (LINK) tokens.

This significant investment highlights the increasing adoption and trust in Chainlink’s technology across various financial sectors.

According to on-chain analytics platform Lookonchain, 54 new wallets withdrew 2.08 million LINK tokens, valued at $30.28 million, from Binance over the past week. This indicates substantial interest from institutional investors, likely driven by Chainlink’s increasing utility in financial services and blockchain interoperability.

One key driver fueling this interest is Chainlink’s Cross-Chain Interoperability Protocol (CCIP). This protocol offers a straightforward interface for decentralized applications (dApps) and Web3 entrepreneurs, securely addressing their cross-chain needs.

Read more: What Is Chainlink (LINK)?

By enabling the transfer of data, tokens, or a combination of both, CCIP supports smart contracts and externally owned accounts. This facilitates seamless interactions across various blockchains.

Chainlink’s CCIP now supports nine major blockchains. These nine blockchains are Arbitrum, Avalanche, Base, BNB Chain, Ethereum, Kroma, Optimism, Polygon, and WEMIX.

This expansion has been pivotal in attracting institutional attention, as it enhances the utility and reach of Chainlink’s services. For instance, the Depository Trust and Clearing Corporation (DTCC) completed the Smart NAV pilot earlier in May. 

This pilot involved ten market participants using Chainlink’s CCIP to integrate on-chain data into various blockchain applications. By leveraging Chainlink’s decentralized oracle network, the pilot ensured the secure and efficient transmission of net asset value (NAV) data, a crucial metric for mutual funds.

Additionally, Chainlink’s partnerships with several banking institutions have further cemented its reputation. Institutions like Citi, BNP Paribas, Lloyds Bank, and Deutsche Bank have also shown interest in Chainlink’s offerings.

Despite these advancements, Chainlink’s price has yet to reflect the same upward trajectory. Currently, LINK trades at $14.41, a 72.6% decrease from its all-time high of $52.70 in May 2021. 

Analysts attribute this to the increased circulating supply of LINK tokens. In May 2021, the circulating supply was 425 million tokens, which has since risen to 608 million as of June 29, 2024.

LINK Circulating Supply.
LINK Circulating Supply. Source: Dune/synthquest

This significant rise in supply, without a proportional increase in demand, has led to an oversupply in the market. Eventually, it contributes to the token’s price stagnation.

However, market analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook for LINK. Crypto analyst Michaël van de Poppe noted a recurring pattern in LINK’s price movements, predicting an imminent bull market phase.

Read more: How To Buy Chainlink (LINK) and Everything You Need To Know

LINK Price Performance.
LINK Price Performance. Source: X/CryptoMichNL

“LINK has been seeing the same pattern over and over again. First six months downwards. Second six months bull market. We’re in the second six-month part and are slowly grinding upwards. Good times ahead,” van de Poppe stated.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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