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CFTC Eyes Polymarket, Vitalik Buterin Defends Its Social Utility

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Vitalik Buterin backed Polymarket, with the support coming at a time when prediction markets are on the regulator’s radar. The Ethereum co-founder calls them “social epistemic tools,” citing interest from economists and policy intellectuals alike.

Polymarket has recorded growing interest as of late, causing its active traders and monthly volume metrics to go parabolic.

Vitalik Buterin Defends Polymarket Against CFTC Scrutiny

Buterin acknowledges the decentralized prediction market platform’s role in ensuring the public has a view of important events.  He also highlighted Polymarket’s place in mirroring the things that are likely to happen.

“Putting Polymarket into the category of ‘gambling’ is a massive misunderstanding of what prediction markets are or why people (including economists and policy intellectuals) are excited about them,” Buterin wrote.

The assertion comes after the US Commodities and Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) proposed to limit prediction markets like Polymarket in May. The regulator says such markets are against public interest, indicating the risks associated with election-related gambling. US lawmaker Senator Elizabeth Warren shared this sentiment and signed a motion to ban prediction markets related to US elections.

Read more: Crypto Regulation: What Are the Benefits and Drawbacks?

Other crypto powerhouses, in addition to Buterin, have also criticized the CFTC’s assertions. For instance, Gemini has contested these regulations, arguing that they distort the goals of the Commodity Exchange Act (CEA) and go against public interest. Cameron Winklevoss, Gemini’s co-founder, stressed that decentralized prediction markets provide valuable forecasts for future events, praising their genuine public utility.

“Decentralized prediction markets are a significant innovation with real public utility. They provide valuable information on future events rooted in financial accountability. Unlike polls, pundits, or expert opinions, they require participants to put their money where their mouth is — to have skin in the game. This proof-of-stake requirement gives them an integrity that other information sources cannot claim,” Winklevoss noted.

Similarly, Coinbase has pushed back against the proposal, with the exchange’s Chief Legal Officer, Paul Grewal, highlighting concerns over the ambiguous definition of “gaming.”

On the other hand, Opinion Labs sheds light on why the Polymarket prediction market could be mistakenly categorized as a gambling platform. The firm points out that Polymarket isn’t “fully decentralized or permissionless,” noting that several projects using the term “prediction market” essentially function as casinos.

Polymarket Records Soaring Popularity Amid US Election Buzz

Despite the CFTC’s scrutiny potentially acting as a roadblock and bringing decentralized prediction markets under its radar, Polymarket continues to see increased participation, fueled in part by the excitement surrounding the US elections and ongoing campaigns.

Participants are betting on various potential outcomes in the presidential race, where Donald Trump and Kamala Harris are currently tied at 50%. In the Senate predictions, Republicans hold a strong lead, with 71% compared to the Democrats’ 29%.

US Election Outcome Bets, Source: Polymarket Prediction Market
US Election Outcome Bets. Source: Polymarket

Amid this surge of activity, Dune Analytics reports that Polymarket’s monthly trading volume climbed to over $390 million in August, surpassing July’s $387 million. The platform also hit a record number of monthly active traders, reaching 53,981 users, up from 44,523 the previous month.

Daily volume and active trader metrics show consistent growth, largely driven by election-related interest

Read more: How Can Blockchain Be Used for Voting in 2024?

Polymarket Monthly Volume
Polymarket Monthly Volume. Source: Dune

This momentum has led Polymarket to partner with AI firm Perplexity, enhancing user experience with advanced news summarization features. However, concerns remain about the platform’s ability to accurately reflect market sentiment.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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$1.6 Billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum Options Expire After Fed Cut

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The crypto market is bracing for heightened volatility as nearly $1.6 billion worth of Bitcoin (BTC) and Ethereum (ETH) options expire today.

This event coincides with the Federal Reserve’s recent decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points (bps).

Fed’s Decision Fuels the Crypto Market Rally Ahead of Major Options Expiry

According to data from Deribit, 20,037 Bitcoin options contracts worth approximately $1.26 billion will expire on September 20. These contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.85 and a maximum pain point of $58,500.

Expiring Bitcoin Options.
Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit

Similarly, Ethereum’s options market is set to expire with 125,046 contracts worth $308.16 million. Today’s expiring Ethereum contracts have a put-to-call ratio of 0.65, with a maximum pain point of $2,350.

Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading

Expiring Ethereum Options.
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

In options trading, the maximum pain point refers to the price level at which option holders would suffer the largest losses. It is essentially the price at which the highest number of options (both calls and puts) would expire worthless, inflicting maximum financial “pain” on traders. On the other hand, the put-to-call ratio gauges market sentiment by comparing the number of put options (bets on price declines) to call options (bets on price increases).

Greeks. live’s recent analysis outlined the impact of the Fed’s decision to cut rates for today’s expiring crypto options contracts. The analysts noted that the Fed’s move was largely expected and aligned with macroeconomic forecasts.

“Implied volatility declined significantly across all major maturities, with ultra-short-term IVs falling by over 25%, as short-term short-selling expectations by large investors fell short,” they wrote.

Looking ahead, Greeks.live also noted that there will be another interest rate meeting on November 8 and December 19 this year, where the market expects a cumulative 100 bps rate cut. The next rate cut could coincide with the US election, increasing the likelihood of heightened market volatility.

BeInCrypto reported that this week’s rate cut has positively impacted the crypto market. Following the decision, Bitcoin surged from the $59,000 level to surpass the $63,500 mark.

Similarly, Ethereum also experienced a significant increase during the period. Data showed that ETH skyrocketed from $2,293 to as high as $2,482.

However, both assets have now stabilized. At the time of writing, Bitcoin and Ethereum are trading at $62,890 and $2,450, respectively.

Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms

Despite the positive momentum, traders are advised to remain cautious. Historically, options expiration often leads to short-term instability in the market. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether Bitcoin and Ethereum can sustain their upward trends or if a period of correction is imminent.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Crypto Pundit Predicts Historical 9,468% Pump To $27

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

A new XRP price prediction by popular crypto pundit Egrag Crypto projects that the cryptocurrency could experience a historical price surge of about 9,468%. This predicted price gain would push XRP from its current price of $0.58 to $27, marking new All-Time Highs (ATHs).  

XRP Price Forecasted To Pump To These Targets

Egrag Crypto has taken to X (formerly Twitter) to express his bullish outlook on XRP, predicting the cryptocurrency could surge as high as $27. On Wednesday, September 18, the crypto analyst shared a price chart illustrating a speculative breakdown of potential price movements for XRP using five distinctive color indicators to represent various price increase scenarios. 

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XRP price
Source: X

Each of these scenarios has been carefully analyzed, grounded on historical price trends and past price pumps. Additionally, the color indicators — white, yellow, red, blue, and green, are all arranged respectively to represent the ascending price potential of XRP. 

The white color indicator predicts that XRP is set to witness a 932% pump from the analyst’s predicted cycle low of $0.28. While this scenario is relatively conservative compared to other projections, if XRP can achieve the predicted pump, its price could surge to $3, nearing current all-time highs. 

The yellow color indicator foresees XRP increasing by 1,538%, potentially driving its price to fresh all-time highs of $4.85. While this target is much higher than the white scenario, it is still within the realm of possibility if the cryptocurrency maintains a positive momentum.

The red indicator projects that XRP’s price will jump to $6.22, marking a 2,035% increase. This massive surge would signal a strong bull run for the cryptocurrency, likely reflecting the influence of major external factors such as mass adoption and more legal clarity

In the blue color scenario, XRP is set to reach a higher price of $7.68, representing a whopping 2,536% increase. At this price, XRP would likely be seen as a major player in the market with potential long-term viability. 

Finally, the green color indicator predicts that XRP could witness a 9,468% price surge, potentially driving the cryptocurrency to a staggering $27. Although this ambitious prediction would be a historic achievement, it remains a far-fetched possibility with XRP’s current market dynamics

XRP Community Express Skepticism

While Egrag Crypto’s bullish projections for XRP raise the hopes of investors who have been HODLing the coin for years now despite its low value and persistent consolidation phase, many have also expressed doubts. A few crypto members criticized the analyst, calling him out for his overly bullish forecasts for XRP. 

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Other members found the ambitious price predictions humorous, declaring that XRP is a “shit coin” and would remain so for a long period. Additionally, one crypto member underscored XRP’s long-term stagnant growth, highlighting that he had bought $1,000 worth of the cryptocurrency early last year but only accrued a profit of $100. 

XRP price chart from Tradingview.com
XRP shows a lot of volatility | Source: XRPUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Crypto Brands Return to Sports Sponsorships With 26 Deals

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Crypto sports sponsorship is cautiously rebounding in 2024, signaling a modest revival from the downturn following the boom in 2021. Despite these signs of recovery, the sector still falls short of reaching the highs witnessed during the peak year.

The increase in sports sponsorship also indicates a recovery of the crypto market. Brands are sponsoring sports teams because they have additional funds available for such marketing activities.

The crypto industry started heavily investing in sports sponsorship in 2021. During that year, the industry saw an unprecedented expansion with 42 new deals, representing 45.6% of the total 92 sports sponsorships from 2021 to 2024.

This growth was propelled by a bullish digital currency market, which led to significant agreements. Notably, Crypto.com secured a $700 million deal for the naming rights of Staples Center, renaming it to Crypto.com Arena.

Additionally, FTX entered into a $210 million sponsorship with esports group Team SoloMid. The aggressive sponsorship came as firms sought mainstream visibility and adoption.

Read more: 14 Best Crypto Marketing Agencies for 2024

However, the narrative shifted drastically in 2022 with the market’s downturn. The sector saw a severe reduction in new deals, dropping to 25. The collapse of FTX, previously a key player, led to canceled deals, including its partnerships with the Miami Heat and other sports platforms.

Despite the downturn, some firms like Bybit and Vechain managed to secure substantial agreements; Bybit secured a $150 million deal with Red Bull Racing, and Vechain signed a $100 million contract with UFC.

The downward trend persisted into 2023, with only 8 new sponsorships signed, though 14 existing deals were renewed. Amidst prolonged bearish market conditions and the FTX fallout, the industry remained cautious, limiting substantial financial commitments. However, OKX demonstrated resilience by securing a $70 million deal with Manchester City, illustrating that strategic investments could still thrive.

By 2024, the industry witnessed a gentle recovery, with 26 new sponsorships and 16 continuing from prior years. Noteworthy among these was Crypto.com’s sponsorship with the UEFA Champions League and BlockDAG’s $10 million deal with Borussia Dortmund (BVB). Additionally, Bitget announced a new partnership with LaLiga to enhance crypto adoption in Southeast Asia, Eastern Europe, and Latin America.

“The volume of new sponsorships has not surpassed the 2021 levels, but the uptick in activity suggests crypto firms are slowly re-entering the sports space,” CoinGecko said.

Read more: Top 5 Crypto Companies That Might Go Public (IPO) in 2024

Crypto Sponsorships in Sports
Crypto Sponsorships in Sports. Source: CoinGecko

Specifically, crypto sponsorships have primarily focused on football, with early adopters including prominent clubs like Manchester United, Chelsea, and Manchester City. The strategy extended to global events such as the UEFA Champions League and the FIFA World Cup, leveraging football’s massive international following.

Despite the market’s volatility, some partnerships, like Crypto.com’s diverse sponsorships and Bybit’s strong presence in Formula 1, have become long-term success stories.

Disclaimer

All the information contained on our website is published in good faith and for general information purposes only. Any action the reader takes upon the information found on our website is strictly at their own risk.



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