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Cardano (ADA) Could Recover Strongly If It Smashes This Barrier

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Cardano price started a fresh decline below the $0.3550 zone. ADA is consolidating above $0.3400 and might attempt a recovery wave.

  • ADA price started a downward move below the $0.3500 support level.
  • The price is trading below $0.3520 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.3460 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to move down if it stays below the $0.3520 resistance zone.

Cardano Price Consolidates Losses

After testing the $0.3680 resistance, Cardano struggled to continue higher. ADA formed a short-term top and started a fresh decline like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a move below the $0.3550 and $0.3500 support levels.

The price even declined below $0.3450 before the bulls appeared. A low was formed at $0.3409 and the price is now consolidating losses. There was a minor move above the $0.3450 level. The price tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.3681 swing high to the $0.3409 low.

Cardano price is now trading below $0.3520 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $0.3460 zone. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $0.3460 on the hourly chart of the ADA/USD pair.

Cardano Price

The first resistance is near $0.3520 or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $0.3681 swing high to the $0.3409 low. The next key resistance might be $0.3550. If there is a close above the $0.3550 resistance, the price could start a strong rally. In the stated case, the price could rise toward the $0.3680 region. Any more gains might call for a move toward $0.400.

More Downsides in ADA?

If Cardano’s price fails to climb above the $0.3550 resistance level, it could start another decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $0.3420 level.

The next major support is near the $0.3400 level. A downside break below the $0.3400 level could open the doors for a test of $0.3250. The next major support is near the $0.3120 level where the bulls might emerge.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for ADA/USD is losing momentum in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for ADA/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $0.3400 and $0.3350.

Major Resistance Levels – $0.3460 and $0.3550.



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Will Profit-Taking Slow the Surge?

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Cardano (ADA) has been on a winning streak in recent weeks. Over the past seven days, the altcoin’s value has risen by 55%. It currently trades at $0.57, a price level last observed in April.

On-chain data shows that the spike in the coin’s value has delivered substantial gains to Cardano holders, much of which remains unrealized. However, as profit-taking intensifies, ADA may witness a pullback in the short term.

Cardano’s Rally Puts Many of Its Holders in Profit

Cardano’s market value to realized value (MVRV) ratio, which measures the overall profitability of all its holders, has returned only positive values over the past seven days. Per Santiment’s data, as of this writing, the altcoin’s 30-day and 90-day MVRV ratios are 25.70% and 43.87%, respectively. 

Cardano MVRV Ratio.
Cardano MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

When an asset’s MVRV ratio is positive, it is deemed overvalued. This means that its current market price is higher than the average purchase price of its coins in circulation.

Due to this, investors holding profits may be tempted to cash out. This trend often results in a spike in selling activity as investors scamper to lock in their gains, driving down the asset’s price in the short term. 

Therefore, while Cardano’s positive MVRV ratio points to strong holder gains, it also highlights the potential for increased volatility. Some investors may decide to realize profits, putting downward pressure on the coin price in the near term.

Moreover, the fact that daily transactions involving the altcoin have returned more gains than profit over the past few days may be another reason why Cardano holders may be tempted to sell. BeInCrypto’s assessment reveals a sharp increase in the coin’s daily transaction volume in profit over the past seven days. 

Cardano Transaction Volume in Profit.
Cardano Transaction Volume in Profit. Source: Santiment

As of November 13, this totaled 5 billion. That day, the ratio of daily on-chain transaction volume in profit to loss was 1.04, indicating that for every ADA transaction ending in a loss, 1.04 transactions returned a profit. 

ADA Price Prediction: Will Traders Resist the Urge To Sell?

Notably, according to IntoTheBlock, due to the price surge, 52% of all addresses holding Cardano are currently “in the money.” This means that 2.3 million addresses would be profitable if they were to sell their coins at the current market price. Conversely, 41.3% of all Cardano holders, comprising 1.86 million addresses, are “out of the money,” that is, they sit on unrealized losses. 

Cardano Global In/Out of the Money
Cardano Global In/Out of the Money. Source: IntoTheBlock

If the coin’s high profitability prompts many holders to sell their coins, it will put downward pressure on its price, preventing a continued rally toward the $1 price mark. Should selling pressure gain momentum, the Cardano coin price may fall toward support at $0.54. If this level fails to hold, its price may plummet further to $0.47.

Cardano Price Analysis
Cardano Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if holders resist the urge to sell and double down on coin accumulation, it could drive the Cardano coin price above $0.60, setting the stage for a potential move toward its year-to-date high of $0.81.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Uniswap (UNI) Price Vulnerable to Further Downside Pressure

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Uniswap (UNI) price has struggled recently, dropping almost 5% in the last 24 hours and down 5.24% over the past week, despite Bitcoin’s recent surge. The recent decline highlights the weakness in UNI’s momentum, with technical indicators suggesting a cautious outlook.

Although EMA lines still show a bullish structure, the price slipping below short-term EMAs signals fading buying pressure. A potential reversal could still be on the cards, but caution is warranted as the current trend remains vulnerable to further downside.

UNI RSI Is In The Neutral Zone

On November 7, UNI’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) hit 85, driven by a rapid 50% surge in its price within just 24 hours. Since reaching that high, the RSI has gradually declined and currently sits at 43.32. The RSI is an indicator used to assess momentum by measuring the speed and change of price movements, helping identify whether an asset is overbought or oversold.

Typically, an RSI above 70 signals that an asset might be overbought, while an RSI below 30 indicates potentially oversold conditions.

UNI RSI.
UNI RSI. Source: TradingView

With UNI’s RSI now at 43.32, the indicator suggests that the recent momentum has cooled down considerably. This level falls in the middle range, reflecting neither an overbought nor an oversold condition but rather a balanced market sentiment.

It implies that UNI price could stabilize after the sharp rally, with the potential for either consolidation or a new move depending on shifts in buying or selling pressure.

Uniswap ADX Shows The Current Trend Is Not Strong

UNI’s ADX is currently at 19, down significantly from over 40 just a week ago. The Average Directional Index (ADX) measures the strength of a trend without indicating its direction.

Typically, an ADX reading above 25 suggests a strong trend, while values below 20 indicate a lack of trend or weak momentum. The sharp drop from over 40 to 19 signals that the strength behind UNI’s recent trend has dissipated considerably.

UNI ADX.
UNI ADX. Source: TradingView.

With Uniswap price presently in a downtrend, an ADX at 19 indicates that the bearish momentum is weak. This suggests that although the price is declining, the downward pressure isn’t particularly strong, potentially hinting at a period of consolidation rather than an aggressive sell-off.

It could also mean that the current trend might reverse soon or that market participants are waiting for a clearer direction before taking action.

UNI Price Prediction: Can UNI Go Below $7 Next?

UNI’s EMA lines currently display a bullish setting, with the short-term lines positioned above the long-term ones. That indicates previously strong upward momentum. However, the price has now fallen below the short-term EMAs, signaling a weakening in buying pressure.

Moreover, the short-term lines are trending downward, and if they cross below the long-term EMAs, this could form a bearish crossover. Such a crossover often suggests the start of new, potentially strong corrections.

UNI Price Analysis.
UNI Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If the bearish crossover occurs, UNI price could test support levels around $7.5 and $7.1 and potentially fall to $6.6. However, as indicated by the current ADX reading, the downtrend is not particularly strong. That leaves room for a possible reversal.

If the trend shifts to the upside, UNI price may first challenge resistance at $8.7. If this level is broken, the next target would be $9.6, representing a potential 14% price increase.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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FET Price Underperforms in Competitive AI Crypto Space

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FET price has been underperforming compared to its closest competitors over the past week, down more than 8%. Despite being the second-largest AI cryptocurrency by market cap, it has struggled to keep pace with other major players in the sector.

While its competitors have seen impressive gains, FET has lagged behind, raising concerns about its ability to maintain its position. This recent underperformance puts its standing in the market at risk, especially as other AI coins continue to show strong momentum.

Is FET Lagging Behind Other AI Coins?

FET is currently the second-largest Artificial Intelligence coin by market cap, trailing behind TAO. It also ranks second in weekly trading volume, just behind WLD. However, in terms of performance, FET has fallen behind its competitors over the past week, with its price down by 8.16%.

This is significantly lower compared to the impressive gains seen by its peers, such as RNDR, with a 39.14% increase, and WLD, with 17.5%.

Top 4 Biggest Artificial Intelligence Coins.
Top 4 Biggest Artificial Intelligence Coins. Source: Messari

These recent figures suggest that FET could be losing momentum in the AI cryptocurrency race, putting its status as the second-largest AI coin at risk.

If RNDR continues to rise by just 15% more and FET remains stable, their market caps would be equal, potentially leading to a shift in the rankings.

FET Whales Decreased In The Past Week

The number of addresses holding between 1,000,000 and 10,000,000 FET currently stands at 149, down from 153 on November 3. From that day until November 9, this figure declined consistently, bottoming out at 147.

Tracking the activity of these whale addresses is crucial, as they often significantly influence price movements.

Wallets Holding Between 1,000,000 and 10,000,000 FET. Source: Santiment.
Wallets Holding Between 1,000,000 and 10,000,000 FET. Source: Santiment.

While the number of FET whales has recovered slightly from 147 to 149 over the last five days, it remains below the level seen in early November. This indicates that large holders might still be cautious, and the full confidence seen previously hasn’t yet returned.

Although there has been a modest recovery, the reduced whale activity may suggest lingering uncertainty or hesitation, which could affect FET’s price stability and future performance in the short term.

FET Price Prediction: A Possible 16% Correction

The chart for FET price is showing signs of caution, with its EMA lines suggesting potential bearish pressure. The short-term EMA has dropped significantly over the past few days and is close to crossing below the long-term EMA.

If this happens, it will form a “death cross,” a bearish signal indicating a possible shift toward a downtrend.

FET Price Analysis.
FET Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

If the death cross occurs, FET could test its nearest support at $1.18. If this level fails, the price could drop to $1.08, representing a potential 16% correction.

However, if momentum shifts positively, FET price may challenge resistances at $1.45 and $1.53. Breaking these levels could see it rise to $1.64, offering a potential 35% price increase.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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