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Can Toncoin Avoid a 40% Crash With the Help of These Investors?

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Telegram coin Toncoin’s (TON) price recently experienced a steep 31% decline over the last ten days, which led to the cryptocurrency losing a key support level. 

This sudden drop has alarmed many investors, but the emergence of opportunistic buyers could signal a potential shift from bearish to bullish sentiment. 

Toncoin Saved by an Unlikely Group

New investors have flooded the Toncoin market, seizing the opportunity to buy at discounted prices. The share of short-term holders has increased significantly, rising from 23% to 33% in a short span. 

While a rise in short-term holders is typically seen as a bearish signal, suggesting investors may soon cash out, the context here is different. Given the recent crash, it seems more likely that these investors are accumulating at low prices, anticipating future gains rather than looking for quick exits.

This accumulation phase could indicate a longer-term commitment from these new buyers.

Read more: 6 Best Toncoin (TON) Wallets in 2024

Toncoin Investors' Address Distribution.
Toncoin Investors’ Address Distribution. Source: IntoTheBlock

The potential of accumulation is backed by the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which measures investors’ profits and losses. Currently, TON’s MVRV ratio sits at -17%, signaling that many holders are facing losses. However, this could also mark the end of selling pressure, as investors are less inclined to sell at a loss.

The MVRV ratio is now beyond the typical “opportunity zone,” which falls between -7% and -15%. This means that TON is potentially in an area where investors buy into the weakness. The increased buying activity could help the price recover, especially if sellers start to retreat, allowing the bulls to take control.

Toncoin MVRV Ratio.
Toncoin MVRV Ratio. Source: Santiment

Toncoin Price Prediction: Crash Ahead?

Toncoin’s price is currently forming a head and shoulders pattern, an often bearish signal, and is nearing validation as TON hovers around $4.65, just below the breakdown point. However, the current market conditions and buyer activity suggest the potential for a reversal. With $4.29 acting as a key support level, TON could bounce off this price and recover to $5.00, offering a much-needed relief rally.

Read more: What Are Telegram Bot Coins?

Toncoin Price Analysis.
Toncoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, a deeper drawdown is likely if Toncoin loses the $4.29 support. Technical patterns indicate the potential for a 41% drop, which would bring TON down to $2.85.

Nevertheless, this scenario is less likely to materialize, and in a more realistic outcome, Toncoin’s price might slip to $3.55. This would invalidate the bullish thesis but avoid the extreme downturn many fear.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Can Bulls Stage A Comeback?

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Chainlink is facing increasing bearish pressure as its price continues to edge lower, signalling a potential move toward the further downside. After a period of consolidation, the bears have regained control, pushing Chainlink closer toward the $9.28 support level. 

However, bulls may not be ready to give up just yet. With market sentiment fluctuating, the possibility of a bullish comeback looms on the horizon. By examining key technical indicators and market sentiment, we seek to determine if LINK is poised for a deeper decline or if bullish forces could reverse the current trend and drive the price upward.

At the time of writing, Chainlink was trading around $10.59, marking a 0.10% decline over the past day. The cryptocurrency’s market capitalization stood at approximately $6.4 billion, while trading volume exceeded $206 million, showing increases of 0.10% and 15.36%, respectively.

Current Market Sentiment: Bearish Pressure Mounts On Chainlink

On the 4-hour chart, following a successful drop below the $11 mark, LINK has continued to experience negative momentum, dropping toward the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). As the cryptocurrency approaches the 100-day SMA, it could either find temporary support or risk further declines if the bearish momentum continues to intensify.

Chainlink
LINK showing growing negative momentum after drop below $11 | Source: LINKUSDT on Tradingview.com

Also, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the 4-hour chart, has dropped below the 50% threshold, now sitting at 42%. With the RSI attempting to move deeper into the oversold territory, it shows that bears are gaining control, and an extended decrease could be on the horizon if buying interest does not pick up soon.

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On the daily chart, Chainlink is currently making a bearish movement, toward the $7.14 trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average. This movement underscores strong selling pressure and negative market sentiment, signaling a heightened risk of further losses.

Chainlink
Chainlink drops below the 100-day SMA, targeting the $7.14 level | Source: LINKUSDT on Tradingview.com

Lastly, the 1-day RSI reflects increasing pessimistic pressure on LINK, as the indicator has fallen to 47% after briefly crossing above the 50% threshold. This drop highlights mounting selling activity and signals a stronger potential for additional downward movement.

Will LINK See A Recovery Or Further Decline?

As the cryptocurrency approaches the $9.28 support level, which could spark a potential rebound, technical indicators like the RSI still point to strong selling pressure. If LINK fails to hold this level, a break below could result in persistent declines, potentially testing the $7.14 support level and even lower thresholds.

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However, should Chainlink manage to hold above this crucial support level, it could set the stage for a potential upward move toward the $11.10 resistance. A successful breakout through this resistance could ignite a significant rally, paving the way for the price to aim for the next key resistance at $12.44. If bullish momentum continues to build, Chainlink may even reach higher levels, extending the rally beyond current resistance points.

Chainlink
LINK trading at $10.47 on the 1D chart | Source: LINKUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Medium, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin Price Bounces Back, But Can It Sustain Above $60K?

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Bitcoin price started another increase above the $58,500 resistance. BTC is back above $60,000 and again struggling to continue higher.

  • Bitcoin is correcting gains from the $61,200 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $59,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $60,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could climb again if it stays above the $59,400 support zone.

Bitcoin Price Reclaims $60K

Bitcoin price remained supported above the $57,500 level. BTC formed a base and started another increase above the $58,500 resistance zone. There was a clear move above the $60,000 level.

The price tested the $61,200 resistance zone. A high was formed at $61,300 and the price is now correcting gains. There was a move below the $60,500 level. The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $57,488 swing low to the $61,300 high.

Bitcoin is now trading above $59,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $60,500 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $60,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The first key resistance is near the $60,650 level. A clear move above the $60,650 resistance might start a steady increase in the coming sessions. The next key resistance could be $61,200. A close above the $61,200 resistance might spark more upsides. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $62,500 resistance.

More Downsides In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $60,500 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $60,000 level.

The first major support is $59,750. The next support is now near the $59,400 zone and the 100 hourly Simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $57,488 swing low to the $61,300 high. Any more losses might send the price toward the $58,450 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $60,000, followed by $59,400.

Major Resistance Levels – $60,500, and $61,200.



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BNB Price Set to Outperform: Is a Breakout Coming Soon?

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BNB price started a fresh increase above the $542 resistance zone. The price is now consolidating gains and might aim for more gains above $550.

  • BNB price started a fresh increase above the $540 resistance zone.
  • The price is now trading below $550 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $550 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair (data source from Binance).
  • The pair must stay above the $540 pivot level to start another increase in the near term.

BNB Price Regains Traction

In the past few days, BNB outperformed Ethereum and Bitcoin. It remained stable above $525 and started another increase above the $535 resistance zone.

There was a move above the $542 and $545 resistance levels. The price climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $562 swing high to the $527 low. However, the bears are now active near the $550 resistance zone.

The price is now trading below $550 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. If there is a fresh increase, the price could face resistance near the $550 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at $550 on the hourly chart of the BNB/USD pair. The trend line is close to the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $562 swing high to the $527 low.

BNB Price

The next resistance sits near the $558 level. A clear move above the $558 zone could send the price higher. In the stated case, BNB price could test $565. A close above the $565 resistance might set the pace for a larger move toward the $580 resistance. Any more gains might call for a test of the $592 level in the near term.

Are Dips Supported?

If BNB fails to clear the $550 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $544 level. The next major support is near the $540 level.

The main support sits at $535. If there is a downside break below the $535 support, the price could drop toward the $520 support. Any more losses could initiate a larger decline toward the $505 level.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for BNB/USD is losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BNB/USD is currently above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $540 and $535.

Major Resistance Levels – $550 and $558.



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