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Can Spot ETFs Push Ethereum’s (ETH) Price Beyond $4,000?

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Ethereum (ETH) has been experiencing volatility mainly due to its alignment with broader market trends.

Despite the approval of spot ETH ETFs, the event has not yet impacted the price. However, this could change in the near future.

Do Ethereum ETFs Have a Bright Future?

Spot ETF movements might substantially impact Ethereum’s price in the coming few months. Earlier this week, the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) approved listing spot ETFs by the beginning of July. This has increased investors’ expectations massively.

“We expect the net inflows into ETH ETFs to be 20-50% of the net inflows into BTC ETFs over the first five months, with 30% as our target, implying $1 billion/month of net inflows,” Galaxy Research Team’s Vice President Charles Yu stated.

However, this optimistic forecast does not look entirely realistic. To put it into perspective, spot Bitcoin ETFs have only seen $857 million in inflows as of June 21, despite holding 84% of the entire ETF market share, with futures ETFs accounting for just 14%. This raises doubts about whether spot Ethereum ETFs will achieve $1 billion in monthly inflows.

Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works

Spot Bitcoin ETF Market Share.
Spot Bitcoin ETF Market Share. Source: TheBlock

The uncertainty regarding the success of ETH ETFs in a relatively bearish market could also lead to a surge in market makers’ premiums. Gamma distribution risk, involving the sensitivity of options to price changes, makes market makers adjust their strategies. With the added uncertainty of ETH ETFs, they are likely to raise premiums to cover potential extreme price swings. 

“ETH can still obtain effective support from market makers hedging on the downward path. As one of the solutions to the above-mentioned gamma distribution risk, market makers have also slightly raised their pricing for tail risk. Due to the additional uncertainty brought by ETH ETFs, the pricing for ETH tail risk is relatively high,” Griffin Ardern, Head at BloFin Research & Options, told BeInCrypto.

Put simply, market makers could charge more to account for the chance that the price of ETH will be affected by something very unusual and extreme. This means investors need to pay extra to hedge their bets, which can discourage excessive speculation and reduce volatility.

Read More: How to Invest in Ethereum ETFs?

Ethereum Gamma Level with Expiration.
Ethereum Gamma Level with Expiration. Source: BloFin Research & Options

Despite the fact the active risk management can help stabilize its price by providing support and mitigating significant price drops, Ethereum’s price might struggle to benefit immediately from the launch of spot ETFs.

ETH Price Prediction: Eyeing New Highs

Ethereum’s price of $3,395 is far from establishing a new all-time high. The second-largest cryptocurrency rallied by over 30% following the approval of spot ETH ETFs, but nearly half of this was wiped out when ETH fell by 13% at the beginning of the month. The uncertainty surrounding the launch drove the price down, along with the bearish broader market cues.

The situation could shift as the market approaches the launch of ETFs. Bitcoin’s price started to trend upward following the introduction of its spot ETFs, and a similar outcome is anticipated for Ethereum.

Should Ethereum’s price manage to capitalize on the potential bullishness and rise to flip $3,829 into support, it would have managed to flip the 61.8% Fibonacci Retracement into support. This line, also known as the bull market support floor, would translate to ETH’s further gains.

Read More: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Ethereum Price Analysis.
Ethereum Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

While a new all-time high is still far away, ETH will at least have a shot at trying its hand at breaching $4,000. A successful breach will be key in pushing the altcoin further upwards.

But if this fails to happen, Ethereum’s price would be susceptible to remaining consolidated under $4,000. The likely support level could stand between $3,700 and $3,800. Losing this would invalidate the bullish thesis.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Market Cap Now Approaching $300 Million

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SAFE has emerged as the best-performing altcoin of the day, with its price surging 5% in the last 24 hours and its market capitalization now close to $300 million. The coin is showing strong technical indicators despite some mixed signals from momentum oscillators that suggest consolidation may be on the horizon.

Technical analysis of the EMA lines remains bullish, with short-term averages positioned favorably above long-term ones, pointing to continued strength in the immediate term. However, recent RSI and BBTrend readings indicate a potential cooling-off period could be approaching as the asset digests its recent gains.

SAFE RSI Is Back To Neutral Levels After Reaching Overbought Levels

The SAFE RSI is currently at 54.71, maintaining a neutral position for the past three days after experiencing significant momentum earlier in the week.

This moderation in the indicator suggests that the previous buying pressure has subsided somewhat, allowing the asset to consolidate following recent price movements.

The current neutral reading indicates a balanced market where neither buyers nor sellers have a decisive advantage.

SAFE RSI.
SAFE RSI. Source: TradingView.

The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements on a scale from 0 to 100. Generally, an RSI reading above 70 is considered overbought, suggesting a potential reversal or pullback, while readings below 30 indicate oversold conditions that might precede a bounce.

With SAFE’s RSI recently peaking at 87 just four days ago, the asset was in strongly overbought territory, signaling excessive buying enthusiasm. The current value of 54.71 represents a significant cooling off from those extreme levels, suggesting that SAFE’s price could be entering a period of stabilization.

This moderation may provide a healthier foundation for sustainable price action moving forward, as the previous overbought conditions have been worked through without dropping into oversold territory. This potentially indicates underlying strength in the asset despite the retreat from recent highs.

SAFE BBTrend Is Still High, But Down From Yesterday

The SAFE BBTrend is currently at 13.6, maintaining a positive position for the last two days after reaching a peak of 19.39 yesterday.

This recent positive trend suggests that the price movement has been gaining momentum, though there appears to be some moderation from yesterday’s higher reading.

The continued positive BBTrend indicates that the asset is still showing strength, despite the slight pullback from yesterday’s peak value.

SAFE BBTrend.
SAFE BBTrend. Source: TradingView.

BBTrend (Bollinger Bands Trend) is a technical indicator that measures the strength and direction of a trend by analyzing the relationship between price and Bollinger Bands.

The indicator typically ranges from negative to positive values, with readings above 0 indicating a bullish trend and readings below 0 suggesting a bearish trend. With SAFE’s BBTrend at 13.6, this suggests a moderately strong bullish trend that could indicate potential for continued upward price movement in the near term for the altcoin.

However, the decrease from yesterday’s 19.39 peak might signal some slowing in momentum, potentially leading to consolidation before the next significant move higher.

Will SAFE Uptrend Revert Soon?

SAFE EMA lines are still bullish, with short-term lines positioned above long-term ones. This positive alignment of exponential moving averages indicates continued upward momentum in the price action.

If this uptrend momentum maintains its strength, SAFE could potentially climb to test the resistance level at $0.72.

Should this resistance be successfully broken, the next target would be $0.879. The altcoin could exceed $0.90 for the first time since January 19, sustaining its momentum as one of the most trending altcoins.

SAFE Price Analysis.
SAFE Price Analysis. Source: TradingView.

On the other hand, as indicated by the RSI and BBTrend indicators, the uptrend appears to be losing some momentum. This could signal a potential reversal in the near future.

If the trend does reverse, SAFE might test the nearby support level at $0.54, which sits precariously close to the current price.

Should this support level fail to hold, further downside could see SAFE decline to test subsequent support levels at $0.48 and $0.40. In a worst-case scenario, a drop all the way to $0.35 could potentially occur.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Trump Family Gets Most WLFI Revenue, Causing Corruption Fears

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A new report claims that President Trump and his immediate family receive most of WLFI’s revenues. The Trumps are entitled to 75% of token sale revenues, about $400 million, and 60% of other incomes.

If these numbers are even partially accurate, they raise significant concerns about potential conflicts of interest. They also raise questions about the broader implications for transparency and accountability regarding Trump’s crypto policies.

Does the Trump Family Receive WLFI Proceeds?

World Liberty Financial (WLFI), a project affiliated with President Trump, has made a lot of waves in the crypto space since the end of last year. After persistent rumors of a Binance partnership, WLFI officially launched a new stablecoin, USD1. There is no clear evidence of Binance’s involvement in this launch. However, a new report from Reuters has disclosed some disturbing details.

Essentially, it claims that it has found evidence of how much of WLFI’s revenues go directly to Trump’s family. Trump will get 75% of revenues from token sales and 60% from subsequent operations. WLFI completed its major token sale, which would, therefore, entitle the Trumps to about $400 million.

Reuters calculates that 5% of proceeds from this token sale would actually fund WLFI’s platform, with the rest going to other co-founders. Further, its buyers are not able to actually resell their tokens, and it’s unclear what governance actions they could influence. There’s not an apparent reason for the average retail trader to actually buy these assets.

If these numbers are true, they could represent a serious conflict of interest and a dire threat to the US economy. First, community leaders like Vitalik Buterin warned of corruption from political meme coins like TRUMP. If Trump gets a cut of WLFI’s token sales, that’s already a huge avenue for misuse.

Additionally, since Trump is making huge changes to US financial regulators, there may not be anyone to investigate WLFI corruption allegations. For example, TRON founder Justin Sun invested $30 million into WLFI, and the SEC settled a fraud case against him months later. The SEC has been settling all its crypto enforcement actions, but this investment still looks relevant.

“You’ve got the guy in charge who is responsible for his own regulation. WLFI tokens would be the perfect vehicle for governments or oligarchs overseas to funnel money to the president,” former regulator Ross Delston claimed.

The biggest danger might not even come from political corruption or fears of centralization in crypto. Trump recently outlined a plan to use stablecoins to promote dollar dominance, and WLFI now has its own stablecoin. It also has around $111 million in unrealized losses due to its crypto investments and claims it will use “other cash equivalents” in USD1’s reserves.

It’s hard to overstate the potential risks involved. Given Trump’s financial stake in WLFI, there’s a clear incentive to promote the firm’s stablecoin as part of his “dollar dominance” agenda. If this leads to widespread investment in USD1 and the peg doesn’t hold, the consequences could ripple across the entire crypto market.

Simply put, this sort of business arrangement is totally unprecedented for a sitting US President. A few Senators are already investigating Trump’s connections with WLFI. However, their lack of political power and defanged federal regulators may hamper their ability to change anything.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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BNB Breaks Below $605 As Bullish Momentum Fades – What’s Next?

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The crypto market just got a shock as BNB plunged below the crucial $605 support level, sending ripples of concern across trading circles. This sudden breakdown comes after weeks of bullish dominance, leaving investors scrambling to answer one critical question: Is this a temporary dip or the start of a major trend reversal?

With weakening momentum and key technical indicators flashing red, BNB charts are telling a worrisome story. The once-steady uptrend now faces its toughest test as the token struggles to maintain its footing in a suddenly bearish market.

Bearish Pressure Builds: Are BNB Sellers Gaining Control?

BNB’s price is facing growing bearish pressure after slipping below the crucial $605 level, signaling a potential shift in market momentum. The failed attempt to hold this key support has allowed sellers to take control, pushing BNB lower and raising concerns about a prolonged decline. 

Technical indicators further confirm the increasing strength of sellers. The MACD has turned negative, indicating a loss of upward momentum, while the RSI is trending downward, suggesting that buying pressure is weakening. Additionally, trading volume remains low on attempted rebounds, highlighting a lack of conviction from bulls.

BNB

If sellers maintain their grip, BNB could extend its decline toward the next major support zone around $531, which previously served as a short-term bounce level during past corrections. A break below this zone would solidify bearish dominance and cause a deeper decline to $500.

Below $500, the next key level to watch is $454, representing a technical support area. Pushing below this level may trigger an extended sell-off, driving BNB toward other key support levels where traders may look for signs of reversal.

What Needs To Happen For A Rebound

For BNB to stage a meaningful recovery after breaking below $605, the bulls must reclaim key levels and generate strong buying momentum. Its first crucial step is stabilizing above $530, a short-term support zone that could provide the foundation for a reversal. Holding this level would signal that buyers are stepping in, preventing more declines.

A sustained move back above $605 would be the next major confirmation of a recovery. Reclaiming this level as support might shift market sentiment in favor of the bulls and trigger renewed buying interest. Additionally, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) needs to rebound from oversold conditions, while the MACD crossover into bullish territory would reinforce an upside move.

For a stronger bullish outlook, BNB would need to push past $680, a level that previously acted as resistance. Breaking above this zone with increasing volume could confirm a trend reversal toward $724 and $795, marking a full recovery from recent losses.

BNB



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