Market
Can Ethereum ETFs Push ETH Price Past $5,000 by Q3?
As July approaches, spot Ethereum ETFs, which received the US SEC partial green light on May 23, near their official launch. Many investors wonder if the price of Ethereum (ETH) will follow Bitcoin’s (BTC) reaction to its related financial instruments in January.
That answer, however, lies in the future, which may begin in a few days. While waiting, the on-chain analysis provides actionable insights that can predict if the altcoin is following a likely pattern.
The Altcoin Investors Are in High Spirits
Amendment of registration documents is one factor that has delayed the live trading of the spot Ethereum ETFs. However, in a recent interview, SEC Chair Gary Gensler confirmed that things were going smoothly.
Furthermore, a report from anonymous sources at the regulatory agency reveals that the products will launch on July 4.
Following the development, BeInCrypto monitors holder behavior towards ETH. According to our findings, ETH holders display resolute confidence in the cryptocurrency. We discovered this after examining the LTH-NUPL provided by the analytic platform Glassnode.
The metric stands for Long Term Holder-Net Unrealized Profit/Loss. It measures the behavior of holders who have owned a cryptocurrency for over 155 days. As seen in the chart below, different colors exist for different sentiments.
Read more: Ethereum ETF Explained: What It Is and How It Works
While red indicates capitulation, orange means fear. Yellow indicates optimism, while blue suggests greed. Currently, Ethereum’s LTH-NUPL is in the belief (green) zone. When this happens, long-term investors are confident about a forthcoming price increase.
However, ETH has experienced a 12.75% decline in the last 30 days while it trades at $3,365. In situations like this, the broader sentiment is expected to be bearish. Thus, as perception tilts toward confidence, the much-anticipated development seems to be the reason. If sustained till launch day, it can propel higher demand for ETH.
Ethereum Is Taking Bitcoin Out of the Way
Meanwhile, perception alone cannot push the price. Therefore, we evaluate another indicator that can affect the altcoin’s price, which is the ETH/BTC ratio. This ratio tells whether Bitcoin is outperforming Ethereum or the other way around. Specifically, if the ETH/BTC ratio is high, it means that ETH is performing better than Bitcoin.
However, a low ratio implies that BTC is outperforming ETH. As of this writing, the ratio is 0.055—up 2.33% within the last seven days. This means that today, one ETH can purchase 0.055 BTC.
Should the ratio continue increasing, Bitcoin’s market dominance will decrease. As such, Ethereum can step up while its price may climb much higher. Considering Bitcoin’s performance, the price rose by 56.95% in less than two months after approval.
If ETH mirrors a similar move, the value of the cryptocurrency will be worth $5,308 before the end of the third quarter (Q3). Now, let’s examine the altcoin’s short-term potential.
ETH Price Prediction: It Is Not Priced In
According to the daily chart, the 20 (blue) and 50 (yellow) EMAs sit above Ethereum’s price. EMA stands for Exponential Moving Average. It is an indicator measuring trend direction over a given period.
When the EMA is below the price, it indicates that bulls are defending it. However, the indicator being above the price gives credence to the downside. If conditions remain the same, ETH may drop to $3,278. This position also shows that ETH is not yet priced in.
In simple terms, this means that the economic impact of the upcoming development has yet to be reflected in the current market price. Hence, it can be assumed that the value still has the potential to jump.
However, both EMAs are on the brink of reaching the same point. If this happens, ETH’s price will move sideways, potentially consolidating between $3,355 and $3,610. However, if the 20 EMA flips the 50 EMA (bullish crossover), the altcoin may key into the $3,866 resistance.
Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
In a highly bullish scenario, ETH may replicate its performance between February and March, reaching $4,059 before the end of July.
In addition, the value of inflows is one major concern that investors have. From comments online, a number of analysts are not sure if the Ethereum ETFs can pull the kind of volume Bitcoin did.
However, a previous prediction placed the inflows at $569 million monthly. Should Ethereum match this volume, a rally past the altcoin’s all-time high may happen within a short period.
But if the reception to the development is “all talk no action”, ETH’s price may nosedive, possibly reaching another 10% decline.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Lido Founder Lomashuk Promotes Second Ethereum Foudnation
Lido founder Konstantin Lomashuk created a “Second Foundation” for Ethereum as the blockchain is going through leadership debacles.
The only material from this account remains vague, but a closer look at Lomashuk’s social media provides insight. In all likelihood, this Second Foundation will help promote decentralized ideals against the “bag-chasing” culture of modern crypto.
Lomashuk’s Goals For Second Foundation
Konstantin Lomashuk, founder of Lido and P2P.org, announced today on social media that he had created a “Second Foundation” for Ethereum.
This came after the Ethereum Foundation (EF) started undergoing a significant leadership transformation. Earlier today, veteran developer Eric Conner resigned from the project.
So far, Lomashuk’s intentions for this Second Foundation remain somewhat obscure. The actual announcement consisted of the phrase “hello world computer,” but the new account has no official description.
However, by looking at some of the material Lomachuk has been reposting lately, some insights into his thought process become clearer:
“The future of the world computer is decentralized. EF is only one part of the world computer. Perhaps the org that some people want to reform and bring back to new greater heights is actually not EF. The foundation should not ‘midcurve’, it should confidently represent the aspects of Ethereum that it can be effective at representing,” Vitalik Buterin said.
Also, Lomashuk said that comments about the growing scam culture in crypto “completely resonate” with him, providing insights into what he wants this Second Foundation to achieve.
For Lomashuk, this may be an opportune moment to divert his attention to the Second Foundation; Lido has been performing well lately.
“Vitalik, the best thing you could do right now imo is to spin out the R&D support functions from the EF into their own org and allow the existing Foundation to focus on ecosystem development and support this would be the best way to demonstrate a commitment towards decentralization,” a popular Ethereum investor wrote.
It’s evident that EF is experiencing a leadership crisis. At the same time, Ethereum has been plagued by declining demand, and EF is considering using staking to pay expenses. This would end a years-long taboo on taking a firm side in a future hard fork.
Ultimately, however, Lomashuk intends to proceed, the Second Foundation’s broad goals seem legible. Since the crypto market received massive cash flows and institutional acceptance last year, the space has transformed drastically.
Nonetheless, he expressed continued faith in the original vision of digital currency: a tool to build radically decentralized structures.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Why These Altcoins Are Trending Today — January 22
With Donald Trump assuming office as the US President, the crypto market has experienced heightened volatility. While some altcoins have surged, others have faced significant crashes, and many are gaining attention due to recent developments.
BeInCrypto has analyzed three altcoins that have been trending over the past 24 hours and explored what might lie ahead for them in the coming days.
United States Donald Trump (TRUMP)
TRUMP has captured significant attention this week as the official cryptocurrency token of US President Donald Trump. Since its launch, the token has gained immense traction and is now ranked 24th among the top 100 cryptocurrencies, marking a swift rise in prominence within the market.
The token recently hit an all-time high (ATH) of $79 and is currently trading at $41. If TRUMP can secure $45 as a support level, it may resume its upward momentum and make another attempt at its ATH, signaling strong bullish sentiment among investors.
However, profit-taking could pressure the token, preventing it from surpassing $45. A drop below this critical level could lead to a decline under $34, potentially invalidating the bullish outlook. In a worst-case scenario, TRUMP might fall to $26, reflecting a significant shift in market sentiment.
World (WLD)
World (WLD) captured investor attention following the announcement of Sam Altman’s OpenAI collaboration with Oracle and SoftBank. Together, they plan to invest $500 billion in US AI infrastructure under the Stargate Project, supported by President Trump. This strategic move has bolstered confidence in WLD, positioning it as a trending altcoin.
WLD’s price surged by 12% in the past 24 hours, driven by the positive sentiment surrounding this partnership. This rally could enable the altcoin to reclaim its 4-month-old uptrend line as support. If achieved, WLD might target $2.55 in the coming days, reinforcing its bullish momentum.
However, if WLD fails to breach the $2.17 resistance, it risks losing traction and falling back to $2.00 or lower. A further decline to $1.74 could completely invalidate the bullish outlook, signaling a potential shift in market sentiment against the cryptocurrency.
Bonk (BONK)
BONK has surged into the spotlight following the inauguration of the US Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E.), which spurred renewed interest in dog-themed meme coins. This development has elevated BONK’s status in the crypto market, drawing significant attention from both retail and institutional investors seeking speculative opportunities.
The token recorded an 8% increase, trading at $0.00003236 and eyeing $0.00003151 as a critical support level. Securing this floor would strengthen the meme coin’s recovery prospects, potentially attracting more bullish momentum.
However, failure to hold the $0.00003151 support could lead to a decline toward $0.00002748. This drop would only invalidate the bullish outlook and also signal a broader loss of confidence in the token’s recovery potential.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Ethereum Price Can Reach $3,500 On The Back Of These Factors
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, recently failed to breach $3,524, triggering a sharp price drop. Since then, recovery efforts have remained weak as volatility persists.
However, the current conditions suggest Ethereum may be preparing for a comeback as the market stabilizes.
Ethereum Has Room For Recovery
Ethereum’s Network Value to Transaction (NVT) Ratio is experiencing a decline, recently hitting a monthly low. A low NVT indicates that transaction activity is balanced with network value, reflecting reduced volatility. This creates an environment conducive to price recovery, something Ethereum urgently needs to regain its footing.
With the NVT ratio signaling healthy network activity, Ethereum is positioned to stabilize in the short term. Declining volatility often fosters investor confidence, making it more likely for the cryptocurrency to see renewed buying interest. As speculative activity wanes, Ethereum has an opportunity to chart a path toward meaningful recovery.
Ethereum’s realized profits recently dropped to a six-week low, pointing to a significant reduction in selling pressure from investors. This trend highlights the market’s shifting sentiment, with fewer participants looking to offload their holdings. Such conditions could provide Ethereum with the breathing room required to capitalize on broader bullish cues.
The lack of an uptick in realized profits suggests that the selling lull may persist, allowing Ethereum to focus on building upward momentum. With investors holding onto their coins, market conditions are primed for a gradual recovery, provided external factors remain favorable.
ETH Price Prediction: Breaking The Barrier
Ethereum is currently trading near $3,300, just below the critical resistance level of $3,327. Flipping this into support is essential for ETH to initiate a rally toward $3,524, representing a 6% increase from current levels. This move would mark a partial recovery from recent losses.
Breaking through the $3,524 resistance is crucial for Ethereum’s recovery. Achieving this would erase the recent downturn and also position the altcoin for further gains, potentially targeting $3,711. Such a move would underscore Ethereum’s resilience and align with the broader market’s bullish sentiment.
However, failing to establish $3,327 as a support level could stall Ethereum’s recovery. This scenario would leave the cryptocurrency vulnerable to a retracement toward $3,200, undermining recent progress and potentially delaying its path to $3,500.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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