Market
Can Cardano Overcome Its Struggles as It Lags Behind Solana?
Cardano (ADA) was among the standout performers in the 2021 bull market, but it has struggled to achieve significant price gains in the current cycle.
Normally, such underperformance might lead to a mass sell-off as holders lose confidence. Surprisingly, though, many ADA holders seem to be taking a different approach.
No Giving Up on Cardano, Holders Data Shows
Data from the Balance by Time Held metric shows that the number of long-term Cardano (ADA) holders has hit an all-time high of 3.2 million. These long-term holders are typically those who have held ADA for at least one year.
Historically, holder numbers tend to decline as a bull market peaks. For instance, after ADA’s price soared to $3.10 in September 2021, the number of holders dropped, reflecting profit-taking during the market’s peak.
However, by January 2023, this trend reversed as the number of long-term holders began to increase again, hinting at the early stages of a new bull cycle. Since then, ADA’s price has climbed from $0.26, briefly reaching a peak of $0.70, as these committed holders maintained their positions in anticipation of further growth.
While ADA’s price recently dipped to $0.33, the increase in the number of holders suggests optimism for a potential rebound. However, this cycle has unfolded differently from the last. In 2021, Cardano experienced an explosive rally during altcoin season, but this time, altcoins haven’t delivered the same performance, despite high expectations.
Additionally, Cardano has been trailing behind Solana (SOL) in attracting new users. Both ADA and SOL were standout performers in the previous bull market, but this cycle, Solana has drawn more new market participants.
Despite this initial success, Solana has seen a decline in new, active, and zero-balance addresses over the past month, indicating waning confidence in its short-term prospects.
Read more: How To Stake Cardano (ADA)
Should the number continue to decline, ADA’s potential recovery could be hindered. However, it is also important to consider other on-chain and technical indicators to evaluate the price forecast.
ADA Price Prediction: Rally Possible, But Not Here Yet
To assess the token’s future potential, BeInCrypto examines the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio. This ratio shows the relationship between an asset’s current price and the value at which it was acquired.
The higher the ratio, the more holders are willing to sell due to increased unrealized profits. However, a decrease suggests a rise in unrealized profits. In this instance, holders will be unwilling to sell as they may assume that the token is undervalued.
At press time, ADA’s 30-day MVRV ratio is -10.11%, meaning that if all holders sell at the current price, the average return will be losses. However, due to the conditions mentioned above, this may not happen.
Historically, ADA price bounces when the MVRV ratio is between -7.66% and -27.32 %. Therefore, while the price can still decrease, it is undervalued and could pump later on.
From a short-term perspective, ADA formed a bearish pennant between mid-July and early August. This pattern is characterized by a sharp price drop followed by consolidation within a symmetrical triangle on the daily chart.
While symmetrical triangles can signal either bullish or bearish moves, the Relative Strength Index (RSI) currently sits at 39.55, suggesting that bearish momentum persists. With the RSI below 40, ADA is likely to face continued downward pressure unless market conditions shift in favor of buyers.
If this trend continues in the coming days, ADA’s price may drop to $0.31. However, a surge in buying pressure can change the cryptocurrency’s conditions.
Read more: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
If this happens, ADA’s price may reach $0.37. If accumulation intensifies with high trading volumes, the token could rally further, potentially reaching its recent local high of $0.45.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Dogecoin Holding Time and Whale Activity Spikes
Dogecoin (DOGE), a leading meme coin, is signaling a potential breakout from its narrow trading range.
If this momentum continues, it could reclaim its multi-year high of $0.48, fueled by extended holding periods and increased accumulation by large holders.
Dogecoin Investors Reduce Distribution
The on-chain assessment of DOGE’s performance has revealed a significant spike in the holding time of all its coins transacted in the past seven days. According to IntoTheBlock, this has climbed by 302% during the review period.
The holding time of an asset’s transacted coins represents the average duration tokens are kept in wallets before being sold or transferred.
Longer holding periods like this reduce selling pressure in the DOGE market. This reflects stronger investor conviction, as investors choose to keep their coins rather than sell them.
In addition to reducing selling activity, DOGE whales have increased their holdings over the past week. This is reflected by the 112% uptick in its large holders’ netflow during that period.
An asset’s large holders’ netflow metric tracks the movement of coins into and out of wallets controlled by whales or institutional investors. When this metric spikes, it suggests that these large holders are accumulating more of the asset, signaling increased confidence in its future price movement.
DOGE Price Prediction: Bullish Run Could Continue
If this bullish momentum is maintained, DOGE will extend its weekly 3% spike. As buying pressure strengthens, the meme coin could revisit its four-year high of $0.48.
However, this bullish outlook will be invalidated if accumulation stalls and selling activity recommences. In that scenario, DOGE’s price could slip to $0.29.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Base DEX Volume Approaches $3 Billion Amid Growing Adoption
Base, Coinbase’s Layer-2 (L2) blockchain solution, has reached new heights, setting an all-time high daily decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume near $3 billion.
This milestone reflects Base’s growing prominence in the L2 space and its role in scaling on-chain transactions for Coinbase users.
Base Hits New Milestone in DEX Volume
Blockchain analyst Dan Smith highlighted Base L2’s record-breaking volume of $2.9 billion, including $1.3 billion in ETH-USD trading, which also hit an all-time high. Other trading pairs, such as ETH-cbBTC and BTC-USD, were close to breaking their own records.
The $2.9 billion DEX volume reflects Base’s growing appeal among traders, particularly in ETH-USD pairs, which benefited from recent price volatility. Alexander, another blockchain enthusiast, noted that this milestone marked the first time Base nearly tagged $3 billion in daily volume, alluding to the development as evidence of L2’s growing adoption.
AerodromeFi, a liquidity-focused decentralized protocol on Base, also recorded an all-time high of $1.68 billion in volume, further emphasizing the ecosystem’s momentum.
“This is the first time Base nearly passed $3 billion and AerodromeFi set a new ATH of $1.68 billion in volume,” Alexander commented.
Base’s success is particularly notable because it operates without a native token. Coinbase explicitly ruled out launching a token for Base, prioritizing ecosystem growth and user adoption instead. This approach has likely contributed to its traction by focusing on utility and reducing speculative risks that could deter long-term users.
“There are no plans for a Base network token. We are focused on building, and we want to solve real problems that let you build better,” Base lead developer Jesse Pollak stated recently.
Consistent Growth in Transactions and TVL
The recent achievement follows Base’s earlier milestones, including reaching one billion transactions two months ago and surpassing six million daily transactions in October. More closely, the network recently outpaced Ethereum in user growth amid growing crypto markets.
Additionally, Base’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has seen consistent growth, indicating increased user participation, asset inflows, and liquidity within its ecosystem. A rising TVL signals greater confidence in the platform, fostering a stronger and more sustainable DeFi environment.
Despite its impressive growth, Base has faced some criticism. The network was accused of copying aspects of an NFT project, sparking concerns over originality and intellectual property. While this controversy did not deter adoption, it highlights the challenges of rapid innovation in the competitive blockchain space.
Base’s trajectory positions it as a serious contender in the L2 space, competing with established players like Arbitrum (ARB) and Optimism (OP). Its emphasis on utility, combined with rising user participation and liquidity, paints a promising picture for its future.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Is a Drop Below $0.92 Inevitable?
Cardano’s recent sideways price action has led to a surge in demand for short positions among futures traders.
As the coin’s momentum slows, traders are increasingly betting on a price decline, signaling a bearish sentiment toward ADA.
Cardano Traders Bet on a Price Decline
According to Coinglass, ADA’s Long/Short Ratio is at a monthly low of 0.82, indicating a high demand for short positions.
An asset’s Long/Short Ratio compares the number of its long (buy) positions to short (sell) positions in a market. As with ADA, when the ratio is below one, more traders are betting on the price falling (shorting) rather than rising. If short sellers continue to dominate, this can increase the downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Additionally, ADA’s Weighted Sentiment remains negative, currently standing at -0.074, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the altcoin.
Weighted Sentiment gauges the overall market bias by analyzing the volume and tone of social media mentions. A negative value signals growing skepticism among investors, often leading to reduced trading activity and downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Notably, ADA whales have reduced their trading activity over the past week, with the coin’s large holders’ netflow dropping by 90.29%, according to IntoTheBlock.
Large holders, defined as addresses holding more than 0.1% of an asset’s circulating supply, play a significant role in market movements. A decline in their netflow indicates reduced buying activity, adding to the downward pressure on ADA’s price.
ADA Price Prediction: Recovery to $1 or Decline to $0.80?
ADA is currently trading at $0.98, hovering just above its support level of $0.90. If bearish pressure intensifies, the price may test this support. A failure to hold at $0.90 could see ADA’s decline extend further, potentially dropping to $0.80.
Conversely, if buying activity resurges, ADA’s price could stabilize above the $1 mark.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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