Connect with us

Market

Can Bitcoin (BTC) Price Escape Consolidation Under $71,000?

Published

on


Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is known to drive the crypto market, but the king of cryptocurrencies tends to react to macro-financial conditions.

Since these conditions have been rather positive lately, it seems like BTC could have a shot at escaping consolidation and marking a new ATH.

Impact of the US Financial Markets

Bitcoin’s price has been reacting positively to the Federal Reserve’s recent shift in tone. Earlier this week, the inflation rate, measured by the Consumer Price Index (CPI), softened to 3.3% year over year.

Soon after, the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) also announced that it would keep the interest rates unchanged at 5.25% to 5.50%. On Thursday, the Producer Price Index (PPI) also came in at 2.2% on a yearly basis, as per the forecasts and lower than April’s 2.3%.

US PPI. Source: Skew - X
US PPI. Source: Skew – X

The combined positive outlook has created favorable bullish conditions for Bitcoin’s price. The research team at Bitfinex also believes that BTC is looking at growth in the long term. Bitfinex analysts told BeInCrypto,

“Since the Fed decided to maintain current rates, Bitcoin might experience short-term volatility as the market adjusts to the news. However, the overall trend could remain positive, especially if the broader economic outlook continues to improve.”

Discussing about the potential impact on the ETF flows, the analysts stated,

“ETF flows may stabilize with a hold decision, as investors await clearer signals from the Fed’s future policy moves. Spot Bitcoin ETFs might see steady inflows, but the momentum could be less pronounced compared to a rate cut scenario. The launch of Ether ETFs could still attract significant interest, potentially leading to diversified investments across both Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs.”

Thus, Bitfinex analysts believe that Bitcoin could consolidate around current levels or experience moderate gains as investors remain optimistic about future rate cuts later in the year.

BTC holders are also of this opinion, as their conviction seems to be making a comeback. The Mean Coin Age is observing an uptick again after noting a downtick in March and again in May.

Mean coin age is a metric that measures the average age of all coins in the network, indicating the average holding period of the cryptocurrency. It helps assess investor behavior and potential market trends by showing how long coins have remained in their current addresses.

Upticks in this metric suggest investors are HODLing, while downticks hint at the increased movement of tokens across the network.

Read More: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin MCA.
Bitcoin MCA. Source: Santiment

Thus, Bitcoin’s price could see some sideways movement before it initiates its recovery again.

BTC Price Prediction: Validating the Pattern

Bitcoin’s price, which was trading at $67,800 at the time of writing, has been consolidated under $71,000. Recent attempts at closing above it failed, and BTC dropped back down below $68,500, another crucial support floor. 

However, looking at the macro timeframe, it can be noted that BTC is awaiting a breakout following a Wyckoff pattern. The Wyckoff pattern is a technical analysis method that describes the cyclical price behavior of financial markets. It consists of phases of accumulation, markup, distribution, and markdown, helping traders identify potential market trends and reversals.

Per this pattern, a rise beyond the all-time high of $73,736 is on the cards. However, as mentioned above, this would likely come after a period of consolidation.

Read More: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

But if Bitcoin’s price breaks below the consolidation before this recovery, the bullish thesis will be invalidated. BTC could also lose the support of $67,000, sending the crypto asset to lows of $63,000 or lower.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Market

Ethereum Price Dip Causes Justin Sun $66 Million Loss

Published

on

By


Reports suggest that Justin Sun lost $66 million on Friday as Ethereum price dipped to levels last seen in February. Crypto markets continue to endure a sell-off, overshadowing optimism for a possible launch of spot ETH ETFs.

Multiple signals indicate that the Ethereum price may not slide much lower after the 10% crash on Friday despite elevated
fear levels.

Justin Sun Loses $66 Million on Ethereum Price Crash

Spot On Chain reported that the Tron Founder and Huobi Global advisor could have seen all the $58 million in profit accrued in the last five months go down the drain as the Ethereum price descended to $2,810 on Friday.

“Such a volatile market! Just 24 hours ago, he had a $58M profit from these ETH transactions; but now, it is already a $66M loss after the dump,” the report read.

Based on the report, Justin Sun acquired 361,000 ETH tokens between February and June, worth approximately $1.1 billion. Most transactions happened on Binance, where he recently transferred several DeFi tokens.

Justin Sun ETH Transactions revealed after Ethereum price drops
Justin Sun ETH Transactions. Source: Spot On Chain.

The breakdown of transactions within the five months that Sun bought ETH through Binance includes:

  • Bought 169,604 Ethereum (ETH) in February via “0x7a9” at an average price of $2,870
  • Bought 176,117 Ethereum (ETH)  in April via “0x435” at an average price of $3,177
  • Bought 15,416 Ethereum (ETH)   in June via “0xdbf” at an average price of $3,474

The three wallets often received ETH from Binance right after their stablecoin deposits.

Read more: How to Buy Ethereum (ETH) and Everything You Need to Know

The report comes only hours after his proposal to engage the German government to salvage its Bitcoin sell-off and minimize market impact. While the idea was noble, the offer stirred mixed reactions, with speculation of a possible market manipulation case.

“I believe that the German Government should reject Justin’s offer to buy the BTC via a private OTC transaction. That action, although noble sounding, would indeed be market manipulation, as well as, potentially lead itself to corruptive or unethical practices. This is where only people with the right contacts have access to these BTC and potentially at a less than market price. Also, nothing guarantees that the buyer won’t turn around and dump part of the holdings themselves,” Founder & CEO of Blockpliance Guillermo Fernandes told BeInCrypto.

Whether the German Government will take up Justin Sun on his offer remains unknown. Meanwhile, the market continues to endure bearish sentiment, with experts reporting extreme fear. According to Coinglass, over $104 million in ETH liquidations happened in the last 24 hours.

Read more: Ethereum (ETH) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

ETH Liquidations, after Ethereum price dipped
ETH Liquidations. Source: Coinglass

The crypto community’s eyes remain peeled on the week of July 15. According to Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas, this is the revised timeline for possible ETH ETF launches as prospective issuers submit their amended S-1 forms. Nevertheless, Seyffart acknowledged “fairly low confidence in those launch date predictions.”

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Cardano (ADA) Reaches Local Top, Poised to Decline Further

Published

on

By


During the intraday trading session on July 4, Cardano’s (ADA) Age Consumed metric rose to a 35-day high, suggesting that previously dormant tokens have begun to change hands. 

This surge has since been followed by a decline in the altcoin’s price, signaling that a local top has been reached

Cardano Long-Term Holders Are on the Move

On July 4, 1.32 billion ADA coins worth approximately $433 million at current market prices were moved, as indicated by the spike in its Age Consumed metric.

Cardano Age Consumed. Source: Santiment
Cardano Age Consumed. Source: Santiment

An asset’s Age Consumed metric tracks the movement of its dormant coins. The metric offers insight into the behavioral shifts of an asset’s long-term holders. This cohort of coin holders rarely moves their dormant coins around. Therefore, it is noteworthy when they do because it often precedes a shift in market trends. 

The Age Consumed Metric can be a marker of a price bottom. This occurs when a spike in the metric’s value is followed by an asset’s price rally. 

Read More: How To Buy Cardano (ADA) and Everything You Need To Know

Conversely, it is also an indicator of a price top. This occurs when the metric spikes and the asset’s price falls.  A price top refers to an asset’s highest price before a sustained decline.

At press time, ADA trades at $0.32. Its value has declined by 17% in the past 24 hours. For context, the altcoin traded at $0.39 when its Age Consumed surged. This price level represents its local top.

ADA’s daily trading volume has surged by 23% during the same period. This creates a bearish divergence between the coin’s price and trading volume, hinting at the possibility of a continued price decline.

Cardano Trading Volume Source: Santiment
Cardano Trading Volume Source: Santiment

In the past 24 hours, ADA’s daily trading volume has totaled $707 million. 

ADA Price Prediction: The Current Downtrend is Strong

ADA has been on a downtrend since the beginning of July. At its current price, the altcoin trades at a low last seen in November 2023.

ADA’s Aroon Down Line is 100%, confirming the strength of the current downtrend. This indicator measures an asset’s trend strength and identifies potential trend reversal points. When its Down Line is close to 100%, the downtrend is strong, and the most recent low was reached relatively recently.

If the bearish bias towards the altcoin continues to gain momentum, ADA’s value may dip to $0.31.

Read More: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Cardano Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if buying pressure spikes, it may push the coin’s price to $0.34.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

US Job Market Sees Growth in June as Crypto Market Slumps

Published

on

By


The US Bureau of Labor Statistics reported Friday that employers added 206,000 jobs in June. The unemployment rate rose slightly to 4.1%, above the estimated 4.0%, while average hourly earnings remained at 0.3% monthly.

Although this suggests that the US job market continues to experience healthy growth, there has been a muted response in crypto markets.

New Jobs Created Beats Analysts Estimate

According to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the US economy added 206,000 jobs in June. While this represented a 6% decline from the 218,000 jobs added in May, it exceeded analysts’ forecasts of around 190,000 new positions.

US Nonfarm Payrolls | Source: TradingEconomics

During that month, unemployment rose slightly to 4.1%, a 2% hike from the projected 4.0%. Steadying at 4%,  June’s unemployment rate suggested that the number of unemployed people as a percentage of the labor force remained stable. 

Further, average hourly earnings increased by 0.3% in June, matching forecasts. This reflects steady, albeit slow, wage growth for US workers.

Crypto Markets Fail to React

While the report suggests the US job market continues to experience positive momentum, the cryptocurrency market has failed to react. Still declining as of this writing, the global cryptocurrency market capitalization has dropped by 6% in the past 24 hours.

Global Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization.
Global Cryptocurrency Market Capitalization. Source: CoinGecko

The value of the leading crypto asset, Bitcoin (BTC), has plummeted by 3% during that period. At press time, BTC trades at $55,249.

Its price movements, assessed on an hourly chart, confirm the decline in trading activity despite the positive outlook offered by the Nonfarm Payrolls report. 

As of this writing, the coin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 40.76, resting below the 50-neutral zone. This indicator measures the asset’s overbought and oversold market conditions. At 42.49, BTC’s RSI shows that selling pressure currently dwarfs buying activity.

If this trend continues, the coin’s price may plummet further to exchange hands at $54,553.

Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, if sentiment shifts from bearish to bullish, the coin’s price may rally to $55,427. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading
Advertisement

Trending

Copyright © 2024 coin2049.io