Market
Bullish Move for Bitcoin (BTC)? On-Chain Dynamics Say Yes
The current on-chain dynamics for Bitcoin are setting up a potentially bullish scenario.
Following last week’s insights, Bitcoin has shown strength, currently trading between $67,500 and $70,000 USD. Investors eagerly anticipate continuing this upward trend to reach a new all-time high. Let’s explore why this might happen.
This decrease in sell-side pressure, combined with modest but consistent capital inflows, suggests that the market is preparing for a significant upward move.
Bitcoin Technical Outlook
Bitcoin’s price has found support on the red descending trendline, indicating profit-taking. The price appears poised to test the daily Ichimoku cloud, which would be a major support level.
If the price breaks below the cloud, sentiment could shift to neutral, potentially causing Bitcoin’s price to trend toward $64,000 (Red Tenkan Line).
Let’s Examine Some Key Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics
During Bitcoin bull markets, long-term holders usually sell some of their holdings as prices increase.
This pattern was evident from early 2024 to April, with significant declines in the supply last active for more than 1-year and 2-year cohorts. However, the supply held in UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs) for over 3 years continues to rise. Indicating a long-term bullish sentiment.
More than half of the total BTC supply hasn’t moved on-chain in over one year, reflecting strong holder conviction.
Read More: How To Get Paid in Bitcoin (BTC): Everything You Need To Know
With the price recovering from the $56,000 correction, we can observe that these cohorts have halted the distribution of Bitcoins. Both the 1-year+ and 2-year+ cohorts have ceased selling, indicating a shift towards holding rather than distributing their BTC.
Understanding Bitcoin’s On-chain Support and Resistance Levels with the URPD
The URPD (Unspent Realized Price Distribution) metric provides valuable insights into where Bitcoin is held at various price levels. Think of it as a map that shows the prices at which most people have bought their BTC.
A significant portion of Bitcoin is held at prices within the current trading range of $67,500 to $70,000 USD. Specifically, 6% of Bitcoin’s total supply is held in this price range. This concentration of holdings indicates that many buyers purchased BTC at these prices.
These holders will likely maintain their positions rather than sell quickly, creating a robust support level that helps prevent sharp price declines.
Only 1.1% of Bitcoin’s total supply exceeds the $70,000 price level. This small percentage suggests that very few people bought BTC at prices higher than today’s price. Consequently, there aren’t many sellers looking to sell their Bitcoin for a quick profit, as they would either be at a loss or break-even point.
This lack of selling pressure above the current price creates a favorable environment for potential upward movement, as there is less resistance from profit-taking.
Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
Strategic Recommendations
This setup is good news for Bitcoin because it suggests two things:
Strong Support: The large amount of Bitcoin held just below the current price acts like a safety net. If the price drops a bit, many buyers will likely step in and buy more, preventing the price from falling too much.
Room for Growth: With very little Bitcoin held above the current price, there aren’t many holders looking to sell quickly. This means that if more entities start buying Bitcoin, the price can rise quickly to $73,000 because there isn’t much resistance from sellers.
Despite the bullish signals, investors should also be prepared for a potential price reversal. If Bitcoin breaks below the daily Ichimoku cloud, sentiment could shift to neutral, and the price might trend towards $64,000.
It’s essential to have a risk management strategy in place to handle such scenarios, including setting stop-loss orders and being ready to adjust positions accordingly.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Dogecoin Holding Time and Whale Activity Spikes
Dogecoin (DOGE), a leading meme coin, is signaling a potential breakout from its narrow trading range.
If this momentum continues, it could reclaim its multi-year high of $0.48, fueled by extended holding periods and increased accumulation by large holders.
Dogecoin Investors Reduce Distribution
The on-chain assessment of DOGE’s performance has revealed a significant spike in the holding time of all its coins transacted in the past seven days. According to IntoTheBlock, this has climbed by 302% during the review period.
The holding time of an asset’s transacted coins represents the average duration tokens are kept in wallets before being sold or transferred.
Longer holding periods like this reduce selling pressure in the DOGE market. This reflects stronger investor conviction, as investors choose to keep their coins rather than sell them.
In addition to reducing selling activity, DOGE whales have increased their holdings over the past week. This is reflected by the 112% uptick in its large holders’ netflow during that period.
An asset’s large holders’ netflow metric tracks the movement of coins into and out of wallets controlled by whales or institutional investors. When this metric spikes, it suggests that these large holders are accumulating more of the asset, signaling increased confidence in its future price movement.
DOGE Price Prediction: Bullish Run Could Continue
If this bullish momentum is maintained, DOGE will extend its weekly 3% spike. As buying pressure strengthens, the meme coin could revisit its four-year high of $0.48.
However, this bullish outlook will be invalidated if accumulation stalls and selling activity recommences. In that scenario, DOGE’s price could slip to $0.29.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Base DEX Volume Approaches $3 Billion Amid Growing Adoption
Base, Coinbase’s Layer-2 (L2) blockchain solution, has reached new heights, setting an all-time high daily decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume near $3 billion.
This milestone reflects Base’s growing prominence in the L2 space and its role in scaling on-chain transactions for Coinbase users.
Base Hits New Milestone in DEX Volume
Blockchain analyst Dan Smith highlighted Base L2’s record-breaking volume of $2.9 billion, including $1.3 billion in ETH-USD trading, which also hit an all-time high. Other trading pairs, such as ETH-cbBTC and BTC-USD, were close to breaking their own records.
The $2.9 billion DEX volume reflects Base’s growing appeal among traders, particularly in ETH-USD pairs, which benefited from recent price volatility. Alexander, another blockchain enthusiast, noted that this milestone marked the first time Base nearly tagged $3 billion in daily volume, alluding to the development as evidence of L2’s growing adoption.
AerodromeFi, a liquidity-focused decentralized protocol on Base, also recorded an all-time high of $1.68 billion in volume, further emphasizing the ecosystem’s momentum.
“This is the first time Base nearly passed $3 billion and AerodromeFi set a new ATH of $1.68 billion in volume,” Alexander commented.
Base’s success is particularly notable because it operates without a native token. Coinbase explicitly ruled out launching a token for Base, prioritizing ecosystem growth and user adoption instead. This approach has likely contributed to its traction by focusing on utility and reducing speculative risks that could deter long-term users.
“There are no plans for a Base network token. We are focused on building, and we want to solve real problems that let you build better,” Base lead developer Jesse Pollak stated recently.
Consistent Growth in Transactions and TVL
The recent achievement follows Base’s earlier milestones, including reaching one billion transactions two months ago and surpassing six million daily transactions in October. More closely, the network recently outpaced Ethereum in user growth amid growing crypto markets.
Additionally, Base’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has seen consistent growth, indicating increased user participation, asset inflows, and liquidity within its ecosystem. A rising TVL signals greater confidence in the platform, fostering a stronger and more sustainable DeFi environment.
Despite its impressive growth, Base has faced some criticism. The network was accused of copying aspects of an NFT project, sparking concerns over originality and intellectual property. While this controversy did not deter adoption, it highlights the challenges of rapid innovation in the competitive blockchain space.
Base’s trajectory positions it as a serious contender in the L2 space, competing with established players like Arbitrum (ARB) and Optimism (OP). Its emphasis on utility, combined with rising user participation and liquidity, paints a promising picture for its future.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Is a Drop Below $0.92 Inevitable?
Cardano’s recent sideways price action has led to a surge in demand for short positions among futures traders.
As the coin’s momentum slows, traders are increasingly betting on a price decline, signaling a bearish sentiment toward ADA.
Cardano Traders Bet on a Price Decline
According to Coinglass, ADA’s Long/Short Ratio is at a monthly low of 0.82, indicating a high demand for short positions.
An asset’s Long/Short Ratio compares the number of its long (buy) positions to short (sell) positions in a market. As with ADA, when the ratio is below one, more traders are betting on the price falling (shorting) rather than rising. If short sellers continue to dominate, this can increase the downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Additionally, ADA’s Weighted Sentiment remains negative, currently standing at -0.074, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the altcoin.
Weighted Sentiment gauges the overall market bias by analyzing the volume and tone of social media mentions. A negative value signals growing skepticism among investors, often leading to reduced trading activity and downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Notably, ADA whales have reduced their trading activity over the past week, with the coin’s large holders’ netflow dropping by 90.29%, according to IntoTheBlock.
Large holders, defined as addresses holding more than 0.1% of an asset’s circulating supply, play a significant role in market movements. A decline in their netflow indicates reduced buying activity, adding to the downward pressure on ADA’s price.
ADA Price Prediction: Recovery to $1 or Decline to $0.80?
ADA is currently trading at $0.98, hovering just above its support level of $0.90. If bearish pressure intensifies, the price may test this support. A failure to hold at $0.90 could see ADA’s decline extend further, potentially dropping to $0.80.
Conversely, if buying activity resurges, ADA’s price could stabilize above the $1 mark.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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