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Bullish Move for Bitcoin (BTC)? On-Chain Dynamics Say Yes

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The current on-chain dynamics for Bitcoin are setting up a potentially bullish scenario.

Following last week’s insights, Bitcoin has shown strength, currently trading between $67,500 and $70,000 USD. Investors eagerly anticipate continuing this upward trend to reach a new all-time high. Let’s explore why this might happen.

This decrease in sell-side pressure, combined with modest but consistent capital inflows, suggests that the market is preparing for a significant upward move.

Bitcoin Technical Outlook

Bitcoin’s price has found support on the red descending trendline, indicating profit-taking. The price appears poised to test the daily Ichimoku cloud, which would be a major support level.

If the price breaks below the cloud, sentiment could shift to neutral, potentially causing Bitcoin’s price to trend toward $64,000 (Red Tenkan Line).

BTC/USDT (1D).
BTC/USDT (1D). Source: TradingView

Let’s Examine Some Key Bitcoin On-Chain Metrics

During Bitcoin bull markets, long-term holders usually sell some of their holdings as prices increase.

This pattern was evident from early 2024 to April, with significant declines in the supply last active for more than 1-year and 2-year cohorts. However, the supply held in UTXOs (unspent transaction outputs) for over 3 years continues to rise. Indicating a long-term bullish sentiment.

More than half of the total BTC supply hasn’t moved on-chain in over one year, reflecting strong holder conviction.

Read More: How To Get Paid in Bitcoin (BTC): Everything You Need To Know

LTH Inactivity Spectrum.
LTH Inactivity Spectrum. Source: CryptoQuant

With the price recovering from the $56,000 correction, we can observe that these cohorts have halted the distribution of Bitcoins. Both the 1-year+ and 2-year+ cohorts have ceased selling, indicating a shift towards holding rather than distributing their BTC.

Understanding Bitcoin’s On-chain Support and Resistance Levels with the URPD

The URPD (Unspent Realized Price Distribution) metric provides valuable insights into where Bitcoin is held at various price levels. Think of it as a map that shows the prices at which most people have bought their BTC.

A significant portion of Bitcoin is held at prices within the current trading range of $67,500 to $70,000 USD. Specifically, 6% of Bitcoin’s total supply is held in this price range. This concentration of holdings indicates that many buyers purchased BTC at these prices.

These holders will likely maintain their positions rather than sell quickly, creating a robust support level that helps prevent sharp price declines.

Only 1.1% of Bitcoin’s total supply exceeds the $70,000 price level. This small percentage suggests that very few people bought BTC at prices higher than today’s price. Consequently, there aren’t many sellers looking to sell their Bitcoin for a quick profit, as they would either be at a loss or break-even point.

This lack of selling pressure above the current price creates a favorable environment for potential upward movement, as there is less resistance from profit-taking.

Read more: Bitcoin Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Bitcoin URPD.
Bitcoin URPD. Source: Glassnode

Strategic Recommendations

This setup is good news for Bitcoin because it suggests two things:

Strong Support: The large amount of Bitcoin held just below the current price acts like a safety net. If the price drops a bit, many buyers will likely step in and buy more, preventing the price from falling too much.

Room for Growth: With very little Bitcoin held above the current price, there aren’t many holders looking to sell quickly. This means that if more entities start buying Bitcoin, the price can rise quickly to $73,000 because there isn’t much resistance from sellers.

Despite the bullish signals, investors should also be prepared for a potential price reversal. If Bitcoin breaks below the daily Ichimoku cloud, sentiment could shift to neutral, and the price might trend towards $64,000.

It’s essential to have a risk management strategy in place to handle such scenarios, including setting stop-loss orders and being ready to adjust positions accordingly.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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FET Bearish Descent Targets Key $0.966 Level, More Dips Ahead?

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Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is experiencing a prolonged bearish trend, pushing its price closer to the critical $0.966 support level. This sustained downward pressure has raised concerns among investors, as the cryptocurrency continues to extend its bearish momentum. 

The $0.966 resistance mark now serves as a significant point of interest, determining whether FET can reverse its current trajectory or continue its descent. Market participants are closely monitoring these developments, analyzing technical indicators and market sentiment to gauge the potential for a rebound or further decline.

This article aims to analyze the extended bearish trend affecting the digital asset and its impact on the cryptocurrency’s price as it approaches the $0.966 resistance level.

FET’s price was trading at around $1.30 and was down by 3.10% with a market capitalization of over $3 billion and a trading volume of over $99 million as of the time of writing. There has been a 24-hour decrease of 3.28% and 29.79% in FET’s market capitalization and trading volume respectively.

FET Price Under Bearish Pressure

Currently, FET on the 4-hour chart is actively bearish trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA) and the bearish trend line, dropping toward the crucial $0.966 resistance mark.

FET

The 4-hour Composite Trend Oscillator also confirms more bearishness for FET as both the signal line and the SMA of the indicator continue to trend inside the oversold zone.

On the 1-day chart, it can be observed that FET is very bearish trading below the 100-day SMA and the trend line. Following a rejection at $1.862, the price of FET has been on an extended bearish move heading toward the $0.966 support level.

FET

Lastly, the 1-day composite trend oscillator signals that FET may extend its bearish trend toward the $0.966 support level as the signal line and the SMA are still trending in the oversold zone.

Will FET’s Price Breakthrough Or Face A Rejection

Conclusively, it can be noted that as the price of FET continues to move toward the $0.966 resistance mark, it may break through its bearishness or face rejection and begin to rise.

Therefore, exploring the possible outcomes of the coin, it was discovered that if FET’s price reaches the $0.966 support level and breaks below, it may continue to decline to test the $0.459 level and potentially move on to challenge other lower levels if it breaches the $0.459 level.

However, if the crypto asset faces rejection at the $0.966 support level, it will begin to ascend toward the $1.862 resistance level. When this level is breached, it may continue to climb to test the $2.564 resistance level and may move on to test other higher levels if it breaches the $2.564 level.

FET



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Bitcoin Price Takes a Step Back: Analyzing The Recent Correction

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Bitcoin price failed to continue higher above the $63,650 resistance zone. BTC is now correcting gains and might revisit the $60,850 support.

  • Bitcoin started a downside correction from the $63,650 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair might struggle to start a fresh increase above the $62,250 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Dips Again

Bitcoin price struggled to extend gains above the $63,650 and $63,800 resistance levels. A high was formed at $63,798 and the price started a downside correction.

The price declined below the $63,000 level. The bears were able to push it below the $62,500 level and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There was also a move below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high.

Bitcoin price is now trading below $62,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $61,850 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

The bulls are now trying to protect the $61,400 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $59,951 swing low to the $63,798 high. If there is another increase, the price could face resistance near the $61,850 level and the trend line.

The first key resistance is near the $62,250 level. The next key resistance could be $62,500. A clear move above the $62,500 resistance might start a steady increase and send the price higher.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $63,250 resistance. Any more gains might send BTC toward the $63,650 resistance in the near term.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to climb above the $62,250 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $61,400 level.

The first major support is $60,850. The next support is now forming near $60,500. Any more losses might send the price toward the $60,000 support zone in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $61,400, followed by $60,850.

Major Resistance Levels – $62,250, and $62,500.



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Exploring Upward Momentum and Bullish Prospects

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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