Market
BTC Price Holds $105,000 as Whale Activity Hits One-Year Low
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Bitcoin (BTC) price is up 3% in the last 24 hours. Still, the rally has been relatively muted despite two major developments: the SEC revoking SAB 121 policy, allowing banks to custody crypto, and Trump creating a Digital Asset Stockpile by executive order.
The 7-day MVRV Ratio indicates more room for short-term growth, while whale activity has dropped to its lowest level in a year, signaling a potential shift in large-holder behavior. With BTC’s EMA lines reflecting bullish sentiment but showing signs of consolidation, the market faces a decisive moment between testing new highs or retreating to key support levels.
MVRV Ratio Shows More Room for Growth
The 7-day MVRV (Market Value to Realized Value) Ratio for Bitcoin currently stands at 0.85%, following a period of stability near 0% over the past two days. This metric measures the average profit or loss of BTC holders who have acquired their coins within the last seven days.
A positive MVRV ratio indicates that recent holders, on average, are in profit, while a negative ratio suggests unrealized losses. The recent move into positive territory suggests that market sentiment among short-term holders is shifting toward profitability, reflecting a potential uptick in momentum.
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Historical trends show that Bitcoin’s 7D MVRV Ratio often rises to levels around 5-6% before experiencing a significant price correction. This indicates that BTC has historically demonstrated more room for short-term growth from current levels before encountering resistance or selling pressure.
At the current 0.85%, the metric suggests that the market is far from overextended, leaving ample space for additional upside before reaching typical profit-taking thresholds.
Bitcoin Whales Reached Its Lowest Level In One Year
The number of Bitcoin whales – wallets holding at least 1,000 BTC – dropped sharply from 2,067 on January 20 to 2,039 on January 23, reaching its lowest level since January 30, 2024.
Whale activity is a key metric to watch as these large holders often influence market trends through significant buy or sell decisions. This recent decline suggests a shift in strategy among major BTC holders, potentially signaling caution or reallocation of funds, even after SEC revoked SAB 121 policy allowing banks to custody crypto.
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This drop could reflect whales awaiting further details on Bitcoin-related executive orders expected from the Trump administration. Alternatively, some whales might be rotating their capital into other assets now that BTC has stabilized above the $100,000 mark.
“The amount of Bitcoin held by long-term holders has decreased by 1.5 million BTC (approximately $150 billion) in the last year. Their selling accelerated since Trump’s election in November, with 500,000 BTC (around $50 billion) leaving long-term holder addresses since then. This trend resembles a pattern from previous bull cycles, where these holders started selling after prices reached new all-time highs and accumulated following 50%+ retracements,” Lucas Outumuro, Head of Research at IntoTheBlock, told BInCrypto.
BTC Price Prediction: Will It Stay Above $100,000?
Bitcoin’s EMA lines are currently bullish, with short-term lines positioned above long-term lines, but their lack of upward movement suggests the market may be entering a consolidation phase.
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“There is a combination of institutions and short-term speculators driving the demand-side. Onchain data shows that the amount of Bitcoin held by addresses that have been holding for under 12 months is at its highest since early 2022. This suggests high speculative activity and traders being in control of market dynamics. From the institutional side, Trump’s DeFi protocol, World Liberty Financial, bought over $47 million of wrapped Bitcoin on Ethereum, along with ETH, AAVE, and other tokens. It is unclear what the plan for these assets is, but it appears that World Liberty Financial could become an increasingly relevant player in the space,” Outumuro added.
If Bitcoin regains its strong uptrend, it could test the resistance at $108,561, and a breakout above this level could lead to BTC reaching $110,000 for the first time ever. This could be sparked as soon as more details about the Digital Asset Stockpile are out.
However, if the trend reverses and Bitcoin price enters a downtrend, it may test the support at $99,486, with a potential drop to around $95,800 if that support is broken.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
PI Coin Rebound Possible After Drop – Could Recovery Be Near?
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The crypto market has suffered a massive downturn, wiping out $160 billion in total market capitalization over the past 24 hours. This sharp decline has caused PI to shed 24% of its value.
However, technical indicators suggest that a rebound could be on the horizon for the popular altcoin.
PI’s Market Decline Shows Signs of Seller Fatigue
PI’s hourly chart reveals that its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near the oversold territory, signaling that selling pressure may be reaching exhaustion. As of this writing, this momentum indicator is downward at 31.36.
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An asset’s RSI measures its overbought and oversold market conditions. It ranges between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating that the asset is overbought and due for a retracement. On the other hand, values under 30 suggest that the asset is oversold and may witness a rebound.
At 31.36, PI’s RSI signals that the token is nearing oversold territory. This suggests weakening selling pressure and the potential for a price rebound if buyers step in.
In addition, PI’s price just broke below the lower line of its Bollinger Bands indicator, confirming sellers’ exhaustion. This indicator is a volatility marker consisting of a middle-moving average line and two outer bands that expand and contract based on price fluctuations.
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When an asset’s price breaks below the lower band, it signals that it is oversold and trading at an extreme deviation from its average price. If buying pressure increases, this can indicate a possible rebound or trend reversal.
PI Teeters at Crucial Level—Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?
A resurgence in PI demand could trigger a rebound toward its all-time high of $3, which was reached on Thursday. This represents a 44% uptick from its current value of $2.08. However, for this to happen, PI must first break above the resistance formed at $2.56.
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Conversely, if the downtrend continues due to a lack of new demand for PI, its price could plummet toward $1.62.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Whales’ $600 Million XRP Accumulation To Drive Price Reversal
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XRP has experienced a significant price pullback recently, largely driven by the broader bearish market trend affecting major cryptocurrencies.
Despite this, whales have been accumulating large amounts of XRP, which may signal the potential for a price reversal. Historical trends suggest that a rally could be on the horizon.
XRP Whales See A Bullish Future
Whale addresses holding between 10 million and 100 million XRP have added over 300 million XRP, totaling $609 million in the last few days. The accumulation occurred after these whales previously sold off their holdings when prices were higher, locking in profits.
Now, with the market in a slump, they are buying back in, signaling a high level of confidence in XRP’s future price movements.
The actions of these whales suggest a belief in an eventual price recovery. Their purchasing behavior is typically a strong indicator of market sentiment, particularly when they accumulate during dips.
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The relative strength index (RSI) for XRP is currently in the oversold zone, a critical technical signal. This is the first time in seven months that the RSI has dropped to such low levels. Historically, such drops have been a reversal trigger for XRP, with the last similar occurrence leading to a 47% rally.
The current RSI value suggests that XRP may be oversold and due for a correction, which could result in a price rebound. Given that this level has often preceded significant price surges in the past, the likelihood of a similar outcome increases. If the trend continues, XRP could reach up to $2.98.
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XRP Price Has A New Target
XRP is trading at $2.03, down 24% over the past week. The Ripple token is currently holding above the $1.94 support level. XRP is attempting to breach the resistance at $2.33 with the aim of flipping this level into support. If successful, the move would mark the beginning of a potential rally.
With the technical indicators suggesting a bullish reversal, XRP could target $2.33. Further movement above this level would bring it closer to $2.70. Surpassing this resistance would drive the price toward $2.95, which aligns with the targets suggested by the RSI data and recent whale activity.
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However, if XRP fails to breach $2.33 and remains in consolidation below this level, the price could stagnate between $1.94 and $2.33. This would invalidate the bullish outlook and delay any potential recovery.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Commissioner Crenshaw Publicly Attacks SEC Over Coinbase Suit
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SEC Commissioner Caroline Crenshaw broke precedent today with a scathing letter directed at the Commission’s pro-crypto turn. She accused it of willfully disregarding the law to promote the crypto industry’s interests.
The trigger for this outburst was the SEC’s decision to drop its lawsuit against Coinbase. Crenshaw’s term won’t end until June, and she may become a very vocal critic if she can keep her seat.
Crenshaw Blasts SEC Over Coinbase
The SEC is one of the US’ top financial regulators, and trouble is brewing behind the scenes. Last December, the industry lobbied hard against Caroline Crenshaw, an anti-crypto Commissioner whose term was ending.
Crenshaw’s re-nomination effort failed due to this pressure, but she’s still on the SEC until June. Apparently, she has little to lose right now.
In a scathing letter posted to the SEC’s own website, Crenshaw criticized the Commission’s entire pro-crypto direction. The reason? The SEC dropped its lawsuit against Coinbase after signaling it would do so, and this was apparently a bridge too far.
Crenshaw claimed the move openly ignored 80 years of legal precedent to give the industry preferential treatment:
“Today’s action undermines the credibility of our Division of Enforcement. It creates the specter that the agency will deploy its enforcement resources in conjunction with election cycles or in favor of those with means. This invites criticism that our agency is politicized and sows distrust in government. Our agency’s job is to do what is right. This is not it,” she stated.
This criticism is particularly noteworthy because Crenshaw is still a Commissioner, and this is live on the SEC’s website. Compare it, for example, to the farewell letter that pro-crypto Commissioners wrote for ex-Chair Gary Gensler.
They praised his “extensive service,” “zealous advocacy,” and his personal friendship. In other words, SEC internal disputes are never this public.
Clearly, Crenshaw thinks that the SEC’s pro-crypto shift is a grave mistake. Moreover, she referenced the industry’s stated desire for “regulatory clarity,” and questioned if it was sincere.
This may be a reference to Hester Peirce’s Crypto Task Force, which is about to host “Spring Sprint Towards Crypto Clarity” discussions with industry representatives.
In fairness, Crenshaw may have good reason to worry about the SEC’s future. The Commission has been ending a spree of crypto enforcement actions, and some of Gensler’s old targets have been grateful for the policy shift.
Others, however, have been openly vengeful towards the Commission and want to act decisively to prevent future enforcement.
Ultimately, the Coinbase lawsuit is just the beginning. Several cases like the SEC v Ripple are still active, and Crenshaw’s term won’t expire until after key deadlines.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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