Market
BTC Falls, BlackRock Eyes Blockchain, and More
This week, Bitcoin and the broader crypto market experienced a sharp decline following the release of US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data.
Speculation about BlackRock launching its own blockchain has also surfaced. Additionally, Binance’s delisting of several altcoins triggered significant market reactions.
Bitcoin’s “Fakeout” Following CPI Data Release
On August 14, the US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) released July’s Consumer Price Index (CPI) data. The figure was lower than the previous month, leading to speculation that the Federal Reserve might cut rates in September, possibly by 25 basis points.
Bitcoin initially reacted positively to the data, trading above the $60,000 level. However, this proved to be short-lived, as the price quickly reversed, dropping below $60,000 — a move known in trading circles as a “fakeout.” At the time of writing, Bitcoin stands at $58,345, reflecting a 1.95% decrease in the past 24 hours.
Read more: Bitcoin (BTC) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
Despite this volatility, analysts maintain a positive long-term outlook for Bitcoin. Potential catalysts for a bullish trend include anticipated rate cuts, increased inflows into Bitcoin exchange-traded products (ETPs), and favorable regulatory developments.
Institutional Investors and Wall Street Giants Reveal Spot Crypto ETF Holdings
This week, institutional investors disclosed their positions in Bitcoin and Ethereum ETFs through their 13-F filings with the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Goldman Sachs, for example, holds positions in seven of the 11 available spot Bitcoin ETFs in the US. Its largest stake is in the iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT), with an investment valued at approximately $238.6 million.
In addition to IBIT, Goldman Sachs has invested heavily in other Bitcoin ETFs. Notably, the bank holds $79.5 million in Fidelity’s Bitcoin ETF (FBTC) and $56.1 million in the Invesco Galaxy Bitcoin ETF (BTCO), among others.
Similarly, Morgan Stanley, another Wall Street giant, also demonstrated a preference for BlackRock’s IBIT, with positions valued at $188 million. Furthermore, Morgan Stanley has smaller holdings in the Ark 21Shares Bitcoin ETF (ARKB) and the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC).
The trading firm DRW Capital also presented its significant stake in crypto ETFs, particularly focusing on Ethereum. The company’s filings indicate an allocation of over $150 million to the Grayscale Ethereum Trust.
Additionally, the State of Wisconsin Investment Board (SWIB) reported owning nearly 2.9 million shares of BlackRock’s spot Bitcoin ETF (IBIT) as of June 30. This position, valued at nearly $99 million, marks a significant increase from the previous quarter, where SWIB held around 2.5 million shares. Interestingly, SWIB also reduced its exposure to the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust by offloading 1 million shares during the first quarter.
Vetle Lunde, a senior analyst at K33 Research, recently noted that the second quarter of 2024 saw a notable increase in institutional ownership of Bitcoin ETFs. The 13-F filings revealed that 1,199 professional firms held investments in US spot ETFs as of June 30. This number marks an increase of 262 firms from the previous quarter.
“While retail investors still hold the majority of the float, institutional investors increased their share of total AUM by 2.41 percentage points, now accounting for 21.15% in Q2,” Lunde remarked.
This growth in institutional participation is significant. It indicates that large financial entities are becoming more comfortable with the risk-reward profile of crypto investments.
Hydra Update Prepares Cardano for Chang Hard Fork
On August 9, Cardano released version 0.18.0 of its Hydra Head scaling solution. This upgrade is particularly crucial as Cardano prepares for its upcoming Chang hard fork, which aims to fully decentralize the blockchain.
Sebastian Nagel, a Cardano developer, emphasized that one of the key features of this update is the ability to withdraw funds from an open head without closing it. This improvement aligns with Cardano’s broader goal of transitioning into a decentralized network. Charles Hoskinson, Cardano’s founder, envisions it as a global system featuring advanced governance and community-driven initiatives.
Speculation Surrounding BlackRock’s Blockchain Initiative
According to a report by Token Terminal, BlackRock could be exploring the launch of a proprietary blockchain similar to Coinbase’s Layer-2 network, Base. The report suggests that such a blockchain could centralize the record-keeping of BlackRock’s vast holdings, enhancing transparency, efficiency, and security. If this plan materializes, it will align with BlackRock’s broader strategy of leveraging technology to streamline its operations and offer novel solutions to its clients.
However, such a project would have challenges, including managing the complex regulatory environment and ensuring the blockchain’s security and scalability. Despite BlackRock not confirming these plans and potential challenges, the asset management firm potentially launching a blockchain could represent a major shift in the traditional finance sector.
Six Altcoins Take a Hit After Binance Delisting Announcement
On August 12, Binance, the world’s largest crypto exchange by trading volume, announced the delisting of six altcoins. Effective August 26, 2024, at 03:00 UTC, Binance will remove all spot trading pairs for these tokens.
Historically, when Binance announces the listing or delisting of altcoins, it significantly impacts their prices. The recent delisting decision immediately caused the prices of the affected tokens to drop.
Read more: Which Are the Best Altcoins To Invest in August 2024?
The tokens impacted were PowerPool (CVP), Ellipsis (EPX), ForTube (FOR), Loom Network (LOOM), Reef (REEF), and VGX Token (VGX). Some of these even experienced value declines exceeding 20%.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Will the Altcoin Season Cycle Begin Soon? Analyst Weighs In
Crypto analyst Miles Deutscher has pointed to a promising technical setup in TOTAL3, fueling speculation that the altcoin season cycle may close. The analyst comments come as the broader crypto market sees a notable bounce, with Bitcoin (BTC) briefly crossing $93,000 and several altcoins showing strong gains.
But how soon could altcoin season actually arrive? This analysis delves into other factors that could either ignite or delay the anticipated rally.
Altcoin Season on Standby, Analyst Says
For context, TOTAL3 is the entire market capitalization of the top 125 cryptocurrencies excluding BTC and Ethereum (ETH). Historically, when this metric rises, it indicates that altcoin season could be on the horizon as long as Bitcoin dominance drops.
Deutscher’s post on X (formerly Twitter) showed the TOTAL3 monthly chart, indicating that it had formed strong support. The post also revealed that the recent rise in altcoin prices has taken the market cap above notable resistance.
“TOTAL3 (altcoin index) monthly chart. Setup looks fantastic, honestly.” Deutscher wrote on X.
While the analyst’s opinion might be valid, one obstacle that could hinder the altcoin season cycle is Bitcoin’s dominance. Bitcoin dominance refers to the ratio of BTC’s market capitalization compared to the total market capitalization of the entire cryptocurrency market.
As of this writing, the BTC.D, as it is popularly known, is 61.33%. This indicates that the number one cryptocurrency still has a strong hold on the market. For alt season to commence, this ratio has to drop, which Deutscher himself admitted on November 12.
“Bitcoin dominance keeps grinding higher. Only when BTC dominance breaks down can a true alt season ignite.” The analyst emphasized.
Altcoins Surge Could Be Delayed Until BTC Drops
Currently, Blockchaincenter’s altcoin season index, which measures whether the market is in an alt season, has dropped one place to 29. About one week ago, the reading was 30. For confirmation, at least 75% of the top 50 cryptos need to outperform BTC.
Despite this uptick, the index remains well below the 75 threshold, as only 16 of the top cryptocurrencies have outpaced Bitcoin over the past 90 days.
Should that remain the case, then Bitcoin’s price might climb to a higher value before most altcoins hit new highs. However, if BTC experiences a double-digit correction, this could give way for alts to thrive. If that happens, then alt season can officially begin.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Why the Aptos Token Price May Struggle to Recover
Yesterday, the world’s largest asset manager, Blackrock, disclosed that it had expanded its tokenized money fund to other blockchains, including Move-programmed Apots (APT). This development sparked speculation that the Aptos token price could gain from it.
Initially, APT price climbed to $12.60. But as of this writing, the altcoin has dropped by 6.33%, suggesting that the integration with Blackrock is not enough to keep the price going high.
Aptos Falters Moments After Bullish Announcement
Blackrock’s announcement, which BeInCrypto reported earlier, coincided with the broader market rally, as the Aptos token price had increased by 21%. However, our finding shows that the drop in Open Interest (OI) was one reason that APT failed to hold on to the $12 mark.
According to Santiment, APT’s OI attempted to approach $200 million on Wednesday, November 13. But it did not and has now dropped to $105.37 million. Open Interest refers to the total number of active contracts in the futures market that have not yet been settled.
An increase in OI indicates more participants are entering the market, potentially strengthening the current trend. Conversely, a decrease in the metric may suggest that the trend is losing momentum.
Therefore, with the metric declining in Aptos’s case, there is a chance that the altcoin’s price might continue to decrease. Additionally, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) indicator suggests that Aptos’ price may face challenges in staging a rebound.
For context, the CMF is an indicator developed to track the accumulation and distribution of an asset over a specific period. It ranges from -1 to +1. When the reading rises, it means that accumulation is ongoing, and the price can increase.
However, in APT’s situation, the reading has dropped, suggesting that selling pressure has begun to outpace buying pressure. Should this remain the same, Aptos’ price could slide lower than $11.69.
APT Price Prediction: Sub-$10 Likely
On the daily chart, Aptos faces resistance at $13.72, with support at $10.43, just below the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. Given the decline in trading volume, the price of Aptos could continue to slide, and bulls may struggle to maintain support at this level.
This is largely because low trading volume indicates a drop in market interest. As such, it could be challenging for buying pressure to increase. If this is the case, then APT’s price might drop to $9.85.
On the other hand, an increase in buying pressure could invalidate that prediction. Thus, if the accumulation of APT rises, the price might bounce toward $14.13.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Why the MAGA (TRUMP) Coin Price Will Test Its 2024 Low?
The Donald Trump-linked meme coin MAGA (TRUMP) has experienced a sharp decline over the past week. This diverges from the broader market rally sparked by Trump’s victory in the 2024 US presidential elections. TRUMP trades at $1.48 as of this writing, marking a 35% drop in the past seven days.
With plunging buying pressure, the meme coin is on track to retest its year-to-date low. The question now is how soon TRUMP will breach this level.
MAGA Traders Continue To Dump Holdings
TRUMP’s Aroon Down Line confirms the strength of its current downward trend. The indicator’s value is close to 100 at 78.57 at press time.
The Aroon indicator identifies the strength and direction of a trend. When the Aroon Down Line is close to 100, the asset’s price has consistently made recent lows over the measured period. It suggests the asset has been in a strong downtrend, indicating sustained bearish momentum.
Additionally, the setup of TRUMP’s moving average convergence/divergence (MACD) indicator confirms the rising selling pressure in the market. As of this writing, the meme coin’s MACD line (blue) rests below its signal line (orange) and is under its zero line.
This indicator tracks an asset’s trend direction, shifts, and potential price reversal points. When the MACD line is below both the signal and zero lines, the asset’s short-term momentum is weak, signaling a potential bearish trend. Traders interpret this as a strong selling signal, as it implies that the price is likely to continue declining.
TRUMP Price Prediction: Meme Coin May Be Oversold
Currently, TRUMP trades at $1.48. If the decline continues, its next price target is its January low of $0.14, which is its year-to-date low.
However, readings from the meme coin’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) suggest that it is almost oversold and due for a price rebound. At press time, TRUMP’s RSI is at 32.58.
The RSI indicator assesses whether an asset is oversold or overbought. Its values range between 0 and 100. Values above 70 indicate that the asset is overbought and due for a correction, while values below 30 suggest that the asset is oversold and may experience a rebound.
TRUMP’s RSI of 32.58 indicates that the meme coin is nearing the oversold threshold. Traders may start to watch for signs of a price bounce or trend shift, and if this happens, its price may climb toward $3.92.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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