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Bitcoin Price Faces Final Test Before Year-End Bull Run

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) price rebounded on Monday, racing to $57,050 for the first time in five days. This comes after an underwhelming start to a historically bearish September, as it initially dropped to $53,930.

As of this writing, the coin trades at $57,226. While the market might hope for a sustained bounce, on-chain analysis suggests that BTC might be set for one last dip before a rally that could last the whole of this year’s last quarter.

FUD-Driven Shorting Lifts Bitcoin

Earlier today, the on-chain analytic platform explained that the recent upswing occurred as a result of heaving Fear, Uncertainty, and Doubt (FUD) in the market. This FUD led traders to short Bitcoin heavily on major crypto exchanges.

Historically, massive short positions, which translate to pessimistic investor sentiment, usually trigger a bounce. According to Santiment’s post on X, if short positions continue to dominate, the rally might continue.

“On major exchanges like Binance & Bitmex, Bitcoin has been heavily shorted since Saturday. Trader FUD and doubt in this rally will only fuel prices higher,” the post read.

Bitcoin Funding Rate on Exchanges.
Bitcoin Funding Rate on Exchanges. Source: Santiment

However, other indicators, such as the Delta Cap, suggest that while Bitcoin’s price shows bullish potential, it may take time to fully materialize.

The Delta Cap helps identify Bitcoin’s bottom by analyzing the Realized Cap. Historically, when the Delta Cap aligns closely with the Realized Cap, it signals an ideal accumulation zone for Bitcoin.

Currently, Bitcoin’s Delta Cap stands at $407.36 billion, while the Realized Cap is $621.35 billion. The significant gap between these metrics suggests it may be a while before BTC enters a sustained uptrend.

Read more: Where To Trade Bitcoin Futures: A Comprehensive Guide

Bitcoin Delta Cap.
Bitcoin Delta Cap. Source: CryptoQuant

Considering the difference between them, BTC might be close to its bottom, but not exactly there. As such, Bitcoin’s price might decline again before it eventually begins an “up only” movement. Crypto analyst Rekt Capital also appears to agree with the sentiment.

“You just need to survive September. Because if history repeats, Bitcoin may be heading for three straight months of positive upside Monthly returns,” the analyst wrote.

BTC Price Prediction: Drop to $52,000 Possible

Bitcoin began September much like August’s Black Monday, when its price dipped below $50,000. This month, the rapid drop below $54,000 is likely due to market distribution and weaker-than-expected US jobs data.

From a technical standpoint, the daily chart shows Bitcoin is trying to extend its gains. However, for this to happen, the price needs to close above the 20-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA).

Currently, Bitcoin is trading below the 20 EMA (blue), suggesting resistance around $58,000. Even if it manages to close above $58,000, additional resistance from the 50-day EMA (yellow) lies near $60,000.

Read more: 5 Best Platforms To Buy Bitcoin Mining Stocks After 2024 Halving

Bitcoin Daily Analysis.
Bitcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

If Bitcoin fails to break through, its price may fall to $56,209 or, in a worst-case scenario, to $52,954. On the flip side, if BTC clears the $60,000 resistance, it could invalidate the bearish outlook. This would set the stage for a strong last-quarter rally, potentially driving Bitcoin toward $70,000.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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How Fed Rate Cut Could Help LINK

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Chainlink’s (LINK) price has risen above $11 following the recent Fed rate cut. This increase has ignited fresh speculation about the coin’s short-term outlook.

In this analysis, BeInCrypto examines the factors contributing to the hike, the potential implications of the rate cut, and what traders can expect from LINK.

According to Santiment, alongside the recent rate cut, Chainlink’s 90-day Mean Coin Age (MCA) has risen. The MCA reflects the average age of tokens in circulation, with a low MCA suggesting that previously inactive tokens are being moved from cold wallets, potentially leading to a sell-off and putting downward pressure on the price.

Conversely, a rising MCA indicates that investors are holding onto their tokens and engaging less in trading activity, often signaling a long-term hold strategy. In Chainlink’s case, the spike in the MCA suggests that many investors are choosing to keep their LINK tokens dormant or moving them into self-custody, reducing selling pressure.

Read more: How To Buy Chainlink (LINK) and Everything You Need To Know

Chainlink 90-Day Mean Coin Age.
Chainlink 90-Day Mean Coin Age. Source: Santiment

Beyond the rising coin age, the 4-hour LINK/USD chart reveals a surge in the Cumulative Volume Delta (CVD), a key indicator of market sentiment. Each bar on the CVD shows whether the market is dominated by buying or selling activity. Red bars signal selling pressure, which could drive the price down.

In LINK’s case, the chart shows five consecutive green bars, indicating sustained buying pressure. This suggests that the market’s demand for LINK is growing, potentially supporting the continuation of its uptrend.

Chainlink Cumulative Volume Delta.
Chainlink Cumulative Volume Delta. Source: TradingView

The daily chart shows that Chainlink is holding strong at the $10.02 support level, which played a key role in its recent breakout above the $10.83 resistance. Currently, LINK is trading at $11.30, with no significant resistance in sight to halt the uptrend.

Using Fibonacci retracement levels to assess potential price targets, LINK’s next likely move could take it to $11.86, corresponding to the 38.2% Fibonacci level. If it breaks past this point, the next target could be around $12.98, a level that appears within reach given the current momentum.

Read more: Chainlink (LINK) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Chainlink Daily Analysis.
Chainlink Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, the cryptocurrency could experience a pullback if it fails to surpass $11.86. If that happens, LINK might drop to $9.25. 

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Will Notcoin Price Break This Key Resistance?

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Like other altcoins in the market, Notcoin (NOT) has seen a price increase in the last 24 hours. Within the period mentioned, NOT has jumped by 8% while its volume has surged 85%, indicating growing interest in the Telegram coin.

With market volatility at a high level, Notcoin faces a crucial momentum that could determine its short-term movement. If NOT fails to break through this key resistance, it risks facing a significant correction that may send its price tumbling.

Notcoin Encounters Challenges

Notcoin is currently trading at $0.0078, still 73% below its all-time high. Despite recent gains in price and volume, which suggest a potential rally, the 4-hour analysis indicates the token could face challenges as it targets $0.011.

The 4-hour chart shows that Notcoin is working its way toward $0.0080, but this level has previously acted as resistance, where the coin faced rejection. If Notcoin fails to break above this price level, it could see a 10% correction. In this case, its value might drop to $0.0072.

Read more: 5 Top Notcoin Wallets in 2024

Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis.
Notcoin 4-Hour Analysis. Source: TradingView

An evaluation of Notcoin on the daily timeframe shows its Relative Strength Index (RSI) remains below the neutral 50.00 mark. The RSI is a momentum indicator that tracks the speed and size of price changes.

If the RSI moves above the midpoint, it signals bullish momentum and a potential price increase. Conversely, a decline in the RSI suggests weakening momentum.

For Notcoin, the RSI is rising but still below the signal line, indicating the uptrend is uncertain. The token’s upward movement will likely remain shaky unless bulls apply more pressure to push the price higher.

Notcoin Relative Strength Index.
Notcoin Relative Strength Index. Source: TradingView

NOT Price Prediction: Rally Could Stop

Furthermore, the Fibonacci retracement indicator provides insights into NOT’s next movement. From a short-term perspective, bulls might try to break above $0.0085. However, around the same region, Notcoin began a decline that pulled it down to $0.0072 on September 6.

As such, that region is a supply zone that requires notable buying pressure to surpass. Currently, it does not appear that Notcoin has the notable capital flow to keep the upswing going.

Read more: Notcoin (NOT) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030

Notcoin Daily Price Analysis.
Notcoin Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

In a highly bearish scenario, Notcoin’s price could drop to $0.0072 and possibly as low as $0.0069. On the other hand, if the token manages to break above the $0.0080 and $0.0085 resistance levels, it could potentially surge to $0.011.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why 2024 Altcoin Season Could Fuel a Rally in These 6 Tokens

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Crypto investors and analysts support that the 2024 altcoin season may have just started, drawing signals from multiple fundamentals, including Bitcoin’s (BTC) sustained foray above $63,000.

The optimism comes after the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) decided a 50 basis points interest rate cut in September, suggesting the US economy is in a good place.

Crypto Banter Founder Highlights Tokens Primed for Altcoins

Crypto Banter, a popular YouTube channel with over 1.08 million subscribers, says the 2024 altcoin season is beginning. Its founder, Ran Neuner, cites the Federal Reserve’s (Fed) interest cut on Wednesday, increasing global liquidity and the all-time high seen in the money market funds. With this, he lists six tokens that are best positioned to rally if the altcoin season takes off.

SUI

The analyst starts by highlighting Sui (SUI) as a standout token, noting its rising prominence in the market, even posing a threat to Solana (SOL). SUI has been making headlines with major partnerships, including Circle’s USDC integration. Grayscale also recently launched a Sui Trust, which has driven a significant increase in both price and trading volume.

Ran Neuner believes these strong fundamentals position SUI for success in the short term, especially if an altcoin season unfolds.

FTM

The analyst also highlights Fantom (FTM) as a promising altcoin, noting its strong price performance. FTM has gained attention after recent internal developments, including the rebrand to Sonic Labs in August.

The rebrand has sparked renewed investor interest, positioning Fantom for further growth. Sonic Labs is building on this momentum with the launch of Sonic Gateway, a decentralized bridge that enables secure ERC-20 token transfers between Ethereum and Sonic.

This development has provided a boost for FTM, which has risen by 10% since the Thursday session began, trading at $0.33, according to BeInCrypto data.

IMX

ImmutableX (IMX) is also on Crypto Banter’s list of altcoins poised to rally on a possible alt season. The gaming token has broken above a falling wedge pattern, effectively confirming a reversal. Based on this breakout, analysts expect a bullish wave.

Read more: What Is Altcoin Season? A Comprehensive Guide

IMX Price Performance
IMX/USDT 2-day chart, Source: TradingView

AERO

The portfolio rebalancing also considers Aerodrome (AERO), as the central trading and liquidity marketplace continues to thrive on Base L2. The underlying fundamental for AERO is Aerodrome’s MetaDEX model, which combines the best aspects of previous decentralized exchange market leaders.

“When we assess Aerodrome’s implied outcomes through a model, it’s evident that token inflation, in itself, is not inherently bad. Instead, emissions are just one input into an economic model—a cost that can be managed and overcome,” a DeFi researcher echoed.

SOL

If the assumption proves accurate, Solana (SOL) may be gearing up for a strong rally, given its history of delivering impressive gains during altcoin market surges. Solana has often outperformed when broader altcoin momentum picks up, making it a key player to watch.

Currently, SOL is trading at $141.53, marking a 10% increase in the last 24 hours, according to BeInCrypto data.

OM

MANTRA (OM) earns a spot on the analyst’s list due to the upcoming launch of its mainnet in October. This event is expected to be a major milestone for the project, as it will bring real-world assets (RWA) on-chain. The mainnet launch will be a crucial step in integrating traditional finance (TradFi) into the blockchain ecosystem, creating new opportunities for MANTRA’s growth.

Read more: How To Invest in Real-World Crypto Assets (RWA)?

Ran Neuner also highlighted several other tokens that could see strong rallies, including Arweave (ARV), THORChain (RUNE), Render (RNDR), Crown by Third Time Games (CROWN), and SuperVerse (SUPER). These tokens have posted steady, conservative gains despite recent market uncertainty, positioning them for larger increases if an altcoin season takes off.

However, Neuner advises investors to keep an eye on the Bank of Japan’s (BOJ) CPI and interest rate decision on Friday. He warns that if the BOJ raises rates, it could disrupt the current rally, potentially leading to a market reversal. On the other hand, if the BOJ cuts interest rates, it could reinforce the ongoing upward momentum.

“Don’t get overconfident. We need good CPI out of Japan tomorrow and for BOJ not to raise rates on Friday. September still has some potential liquidity drains so don’t lever up to the gills, just 8 more days until it is really up only,” GamesMasterFlex wrote.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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