Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below the $86,000 zone. BTC is now correcting losses and might struggle near the $84,000 and $85,000 levels.

• Bitcoin started a fresh decline below the $85,000 zone.
• The price is trading below $84,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
• There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $82,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
• The pair could start another decline if it fails to clear the $84,000 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance

Bitcoin price started a fresh decline below the $85,000 level. BTC traded below the $82,000 and $80,000 support levels. Finally, the price tested the $76,500 support zone.

A low was formed at $76,818 and the price recently started a recovery wave. There was a move above the $78,000 and $80,000 resistance levels. The bulls pushed the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $91,060 swing high to the $76,818 low.

There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $82,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. Bitcoin price is now trading below $84,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $83,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $84,000 level.

The 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $91,060 swing high to the $76,818 low is also near $84,000. The next key resistance could be $85,000.

A close above the $85,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $86,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $88,000 level or even $96,200.

Another Drop In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $84,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $81,200 level. The first major support is near the $80,000 level.

The next support is now near the $78,000 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $76,500 support in the near term. The main support sits at $75,000.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $81,000, followed by $80,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $84,000 and $85,000.

The SEC delayed several ETF applications today, specifically targeting those based on Solana, XRP, Litecoin, and Dogecoin. The Commission has faced recent criticism for its pro-crypto actions, and this may help buy it some time.

Nonetheless, it also acknowledged fresh applications shortly before delaying this group. Many of these filings came from the same issuers or applied to the same cryptoassets as the first group.

SEC Delays Altcoin ETFs

The SEC has been undergoing many changes recently, which has prompted a wave of altcoin ETF applications from several potential issuers.

The Commission began acknowledging these applications, creating a series of deadlines to either approve or reject them. Today, the SEC punted on a tranche of applications, delaying proposals for Solana, XRP, and others.

In total, the SEC delayed approval for six different ETFs based on Solana, XRP, Litecoin, and Dogecoin. The acknowledged Solana ETF applications previously had a deadline set for today, and this extension gives the Commission a chance to consider the matter more fully.

By contrast, the XRP ETF, did not have an SEC deadline until several months from now. The Commission delayed applications from Canary and Grayscale but not Bitwise; this final proposal is the most recent of the three.

Bizarrely, the Commission acknowledged another application on its website today, an XRP ETF prospectus filed by Franklin Templeton.

In other words, the Commission’s rationale here is a bit difficult to understand. Even as the SEC delays several ETFs, it’s also acknowledging several fresh ones.

“Yes, the SEC just punted on a bunch of alt coin ETF filings including Litecoin, Solana, XRP & DOGE. It’s expected as this is standard procedure & Atkins hasn’t even been confirmed yet. This doesn’t change our (relatively high) odds of approval. Also note that the final deadlines aren’t until October for these,” wrote ETF analyst James Seyffart.

In addition to Franklin Templeton’s XRP ETF, it also recognized a Dogecoin ETF application and another based on Hedera.

There is one possible explanation for the SEC’s choice to delay ETF proposals. Approving fresh altcoin ETFs would significantly shake up the market, and it’s already in a moment of chaos.

The Commission is short a member until its new Chair gets confirmed by the Senate, and it may already be delaying other actions until this happens.

“Eth staking and in-kind also delayed. Everything delayed. It’s like the NYC-bound Amtrak on monday morning: Mechanical issues in DC,” wrote analyst Eric Balchunas.

One of the SEC’s Commissioners has dramatically broken with precedent to directly criticize its new pro-crypto turn, and the Commission has continued taking bold actions since.

If the SEC approves these altcoin ETFs immediately, it might invite further fractures of this nature.

Of course, the Commission hasn’t explicitly stated any of its intentions on this matter. The SEC took its time to consider ETF applications under Gary Gensler thoroughly, and the trend may simply be continuing.

One thing does seem clear, however. With this many postponements in one day, any new altcoin ETF approvals might take several more months to come.

Solana (SOL) has faced intense selling pressure, recently dropping below $120 – its lowest level since February 2024. It has declined more than 38% over the past 30 days, reinforcing its bearish momentum.

With sellers firmly in control, SOL now faces a critical test of support levels, while any potential recovery would need to break through key resistance zones to signal a shift in momentum.

Solana Ichimoku Cloud Shows a Strong Bearish Setup

Solana Ichimoku Cloud shows that the price is currently trading below both the blue Tenkan-sen (conversion line) and the red Kijun-sen (base line), indicating that the short-term trend remains bearish.

The price recently bounced from a local low but has not yet reclaimed these key resistance levels. Additionally, the Ichimoku cloud (Kumo) ahead is red, reflecting bearish sentiment in the market.

The cloud itself is positioned well above the current price, suggesting that even if SOL experiences a short-term recovery, it will likely face strong resistance near the $130 – $135 region.

The positioning of the Tenkan-sen below the Kijun-sen further supports the bearish outlook, as this crossover typically signals downward momentum.

For any signs of a trend reversal, SOL would need to break above both of these lines and ideally enter the cloud, which would indicate a potential transition to a neutral phase.

Until then, the bearish cloud ahead and the current weak price structure suggest that any rallies may be temporary before the broader downtrend resumes.

SOL DMI Shows Sellers Are Still In Control

Solana Directional Movement Index (DMI) chart reveals that its Average Directional Index (ADX) is currently at 33.96, a significant increase from 13.2 just two days ago.

The ADX measures trend strength, and a reading above 25 typically indicates a strong trend, while values below 20 suggest a weak or non-existent trend. Given this sharp rise, it confirms that SOL’s ongoing downtrend is gaining strength.

The +DI (positive directional index) has dropped to 11.71 from 15.5 two days ago but has slightly rebounded from 8.43 yesterday. In contrast, the -DI (negative directional index) sits at 32.2, up from 25.9 two days ago, though slightly down from 35 a few hours ago.

The relative positioning of the +DI and -DI lines suggests that sellers are still in control, as the -DI remains significantly higher than the +DI.

The recent dip in -DI from 35 to 32.2 could indicate some short-term relief, but with the ADX climbing quickly, it reinforces that the prevailing downtrend remains intact.

The slight bounce in +DI suggests minor buying pressure, but it’s not enough to shift momentum in favor of bulls. Until +DI rises above -DI or ADX starts declining, SOL’s bearish trend is likely to persist, with sellers dominating price action in the near term.

Will Solana Fall Below $110?

Solana Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines continue to depict a bearish trend, with the short-term EMAs positioned below the long-term EMAs.

This alignment suggests that downward momentum remains dominant, even though the price is currently attempting a recovery. If this rebound gains strength, Solana’s price could face resistance at $130 and $135, key levels that must be cleared for any potential trend reversal.

A successful break above these resistances could push SOL toward $152.9, a significant level that, if breached with strong buying pressure, might pave the way for a rally toward $179.85 – the price level last seen on March 2, when SOL was added to the US crypto strategic reserve.

However, if the bearish structure remains intact and selling pressure resumes, Solana could retest the $115 and $112 support levels, both of which have previously acted as key price floors.

A failure to hold these supports could open the door for a deeper decline, possibly pushing SOL below $110 for the first time since February 2024.

Given the EMAs’ current positioning, the downtrend remains in control unless Solana reclaims key resistance levels and establishes a bullish crossover, signaling a shift in market sentiment.