Cardano (ADA) has been down almost 34% in the last 30 days and more than 15% in the past week. Its market cap is now at $22 billion. It has been trading below $1 for over a month, reflecting persistent bearish sentiment.

Technical indicators show a strong downtrend, with ADX rising to 46.8, signaling intensified selling pressure. However, if key support levels hold, ADA could reverse its trend and potentially break above $1 in March.

Cardano ADX Shows the Current Downtrend Is Strong

ADA’s ADX is currently at 46.8, rising sharply from 10.3 on February 23. The Average Directional Index (ADX) measures the strength of a trend without indicating its direction.

It ranges from 0 to 100, with values above 25 signaling a strong trend and values below 20 suggesting a weak or non-trending market. An ADX above 40 indicates a very strong trend, showing that market participants are highly confident in the current price movement.

With ADA’s ADX at 46.8 and the price in a downtrend, it indicates that the bearish momentum is gaining strength. This suggests that selling pressure is intensifying, making a continuation of the downtrend more likely.

Unless buying interest increases significantly, ADA could face further downside. The high ADX value confirms that the current bearish trend is strong and persistent, reducing the likelihood of a quick reversal.

ADA Whales Just Hit Their Lowest Level Since Early January

The number of Cardano whales – addresses holding between 1 million and 10 million ADA – has been steadily decreasing over the past week, dropping from 2,477 on February 21 to 2,454 currently. This is the lowest level since January 9.

Tracking these whales is crucial because they represent large investors whose buying or selling actions can significantly impact market liquidity and price movements.

When whale addresses decrease, it suggests that major holders are either reducing their positions or distributing their holdings, which can indicate a bearish sentiment.

This sharp decline in the number of Cardano whales could signal increasing selling pressure, potentially leading to further downside for ADA’s price.

As large holders reduce their exposure, it can create more supply in the market, driving prices lower. Additionally, a decreasing number of whales suggests weakened confidence among big investors, which could trigger further selling from smaller holders.

If this trend continues, ADA could face increased downward momentum in the coming days.

Will Cardano Return to $1 In March?

ADA’s EMA lines currently show a bearish setup, with short-term lines positioned below long-term ones, indicating ongoing downward momentum.

ADA could test the crucial support level at $0.5 if this downtrend continues strongly. If this support is lost, the price could decline further to $0.32, marking its lowest level since early November 2024.

This bearish configuration suggests continued selling pressure, increasing the likelihood of further downside unless buying interest picks up.

However, if the support at $0.5 is tested and holds, Cardano price could find the strength to reverse its trend.

In this bullish scenario, ADA could rise to test the resistance at $0.65.

If that level is broken, the price could continue climbing to $0.83 and even $0.90, potentially paving the way for a rally above $1 for the first time since late January.

After Donald Trump got into a viral televised argument with Ukrainian President Zelensky at the Oval Office, meme coins TRUMP and MAGA spiked in value. MAGA was among the initial meme coins themed after Trump, and this is its first upward movement in over a month.

It’s impossible to determine exactly what caused traders to push MAGA up by nearly 10%, but it provides an interesting window into the meme coin space.

Meme Coins Spike As Trump and Zelensky Fall Out Publicly

Donald Trump had a dramatic impact on the meme coin space when he launched his own token, but some things never change. Earlier today, Trump hosted Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky at the White House to discuss resolving the ongoing war. Things did not go according to plan, however, and a televised argument ensued:

“We’re trying to solve a problem. Don’t tell us what we’re gonna feel. Because you’re in no position to dictate that, remember this. You’ve allowed yourself to be in a good position, you don’t have the cards right now. You’re gambling with the lives of millions of people. You’re gambling with World War III!” Trump said as the dispute got out of hand.

The media cycle has been abuzz with commentators discussing this argument and its potential fallout on US-Ukraine relations and the war.

Already, some Senators are calling the meeting “a complete and utter disaster,” questioning whether Trump and Zelensky can do business ever again. However, an unexpected event happened in crypto, as TRUMP jumped up 8%:

TRUMP, the President’s official meme coin, has been on a steady decline this month. It briefly rebounded in the middle of February, helped out by a new airdrop, but it otherwise remained limp.

However, its rebound is not the most important factor to consider. MAGA, an unofficial Trump-themed token, jumped nearly 10% after the Zelensky interview.

MAGA is a completely unofficial product, bearing no affiliation whatsoever with Trump or any of his associates. It spiked a few times during the election but fell off after his victory and dropped nearly 100% after the official meme coin launched.

US Political Developments Are Now Impacting the Meme Coin Market

Understandably, Trump’s fans would rally behind him after the talk with Zelensky. These price reactions show an interesting glimpse into the mind of a meme coin trader, particularly a Trump supporter.

Are these buyers expecting it to be a sensible investment? Or are they simply trying to make a public gesture of faith for their favorite politician? It could even be a cynical move, hoping to create a pump while this story dominates the headlines.

Ultimately, due to their names, it’s almost impossible to easily search for either one of these tokens on social media. Therefore, assigning a concrete motive is speculative.

However, Vitalik Buterin previously feared that political meme coins could be used for corruption, and new proposals at the Congress echo this sentiment.

Even if politicians are banned from creating or endorsing meme tokens, enterprising individuals may keep creating them all the same.

The crypto market has suffered a massive downturn, wiping out $160 billion in total market capitalization over the past 24 hours. This sharp decline has caused PI to shed 24% of its value.

However, technical indicators suggest that a rebound could be on the horizon for the popular altcoin. 

PI’s Market Decline Shows Signs of Seller Fatigue 

PI’s hourly chart reveals that its Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near the oversold territory, signaling that selling pressure may be reaching exhaustion. As of this writing, this momentum indicator is downward at 31.36.

An asset’s RSI measures its overbought and oversold market conditions. It ranges between 0 and 100, with values above 70 indicating that the asset is overbought and due for a retracement. On the other hand, values under 30 suggest that the asset is oversold and may witness a rebound.

At 31.36, PI’s RSI signals that the token is nearing oversold territory. This suggests weakening selling pressure and the potential for a price rebound if buyers step in.

In addition, PI’s price just broke below the lower line of its Bollinger Bands indicator, confirming sellers’ exhaustion. This indicator is a volatility marker consisting of a middle-moving average line and two outer bands that expand and contract based on price fluctuations. 

When an asset’s price breaks below the lower band, it signals that it is oversold and trading at an extreme deviation from its average price. If buying pressure increases, this can indicate a possible rebound or trend reversal.

PI Teeters at Crucial Level—Breakout or Breakdown Ahead?

A resurgence in PI demand could trigger a rebound toward its all-time high of $3, which was reached on Thursday. This represents a 44% uptick from its current value of $2.08. However, for this to happen, PI must first break above the resistance formed at $2.56.

Conversely, if the downtrend continues due to a lack of new demand for PI, its price could plummet toward $1.62.