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Bitcoin (BTC) Price to Drop to $40,000: Buying Opportunity?

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Bitcoin’s (BTC) price is currently at $56,500 after forming lower lows on the macro timeframe and failing to form a new all-time high despite the halving.

Experts are now expecting a short-term decline for BTC, which will likely be followed by a recovery, presenting a solid buying opportunity.

Looking Beyond Bitcoin’s Potential Decline

According to a report from Bitfinex, analysts are expecting Bitcoin’s price to drop to the range of $40,000 to $50,000. The reason given for this drop is the upcoming potential interest rate cut.

“If we were to speculate, we would caution to expect a 15-20 percent decline when rates are cut this month, with a bottom of $40,000-50,000 for BTC. This is not an arbitrary number but is based on the fact that the cycle peak in terms of percentage return reduces by around 60-70 percent each cycle and the average bull market correction has reduced as well,” the Bitfinex analysts noted.

According to the report, a 25 basis point cut could initiate an easing cycle. This cycle is typically followed by long-term price appreciation. Ryan Lee, Chief Analyst at Bitget, supports this view and noted that the upcoming rate cuts differ from those during the 2007-2008 financial crisis.

“Today’s rate cuts are aimed at preventing potential economic slowdowns rather than responding to a crisis that has already occurred. As a result, the market may react more mildly to these ‘preventive’ rate cuts, which is why the analysts anticipate less volatility,” Lee explained.

He substantiated the possibility of a short-term pullback, while in the long run, the market will recover and benefit from more accommodative monetary policy.

Looking at the short-term potential of Bitcoin’s price, a drop is on the cards, notably because BTC is showing a lack of energy, as noted by analyst Peter Brandt. Brandt highlighted that the king crypto has been forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which typically signals extended bearishness.

Read more: What Happened at the Last Bitcoin Halving? Predictions for 2024

Bitcoin's Lower Highs and Lower Lows.
Bitcoin’s Lower Highs and Lower Lows. Source: Peter Brandt

Bitcoin Price Prediction: Buying Opportunity Incoming?

Bitcoin’s price has been forming a right-angled descending broadening wedge over the past five months. This reversal pattern is generally noted to be bullish, and while this is possible for BTC, it would come only after a drop to $55,883.

Forming the support floor for BTC, this price point would provide two decisive outcomes for Bitcoin: either a bounce back toward $60,000 or a breakdown from this pattern.

This scenario could lead to a 28% drop, pushing Bitcoin’s price below $40,000. Such a decline would align with the Bitfinex analysts’ projection. If trading volume surges around the breakdown point, this outlook will be confirmed.

Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

Bitcoin Price Analysis.
Bitcoin Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

However, since the volumes are rather weak at the moment, BTC might bounce back from $55,883. This could lead to a gradual recovery to $58,986. Breaching this level could set Bitcoin’s price on track to reach $60,000, invalidating the bearish thesis.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Solana (SOL) Rallies Strongly, Setting Sights on $200

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Solana started a fresh increase above the $172 support zone. SOL price is rising and might soon aim for a move toward the $200 level.

  • SOL price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $165 level against the US Dollar.
  • The price is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
  • There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $192 resistance zone.

Solana Price Starts Fresh Rally

Solana price formed a support base and started a fresh increase above the $162 level like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a strong move above the $165 and $172 resistance levels.

There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even cleared the $185 level. A high is formed at $192 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high.

Solana is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $192 level. The next major resistance is near the $195 level.

Solana Price

The main resistance could be $200. A successful close above the $200 resistance level could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $212. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level.

Another Dip in SOL?

If SOL fails to rise above the $192 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $188 level. The first major support is near the $180 level.

A break below the $180 level might send the price toward the $172 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high. If there is a close below the $172 support, the price could decline toward the $165 support in the near term.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $188 and $185.

Major Resistance Levels – $192 and $200.



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Will Bulls Push It Higher?

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Ethereum price started a fresh surge above the $2,650 resistance. ETH is up over 10% and might aim for a move above the $2,850 resistance.

  • Ethereum started a fresh surge above the $2,650 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading above $2,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a new connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2,730 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to rise if it settles above $2,850 and $2,880.

Ethereum Price Extends Surge

Ethereum price started a fresh increase above the $2,550 resistance like Bitcoin. ETH was able to climb above the $2,550 and $2,650 resistance levels to move into a positive zone.

It even surged above the $2,720 level in the past few sessions, beating BTC. It is up over 10% and there was a move above $2,800. A high is formed at $2,848 and the price is showing signs of more upsides. It is holding gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $2,357 swing low to the $2,848 high.

Ethereum price is now trading above $2,700 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. There is also a new connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $2,730 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.

On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $2,850 level. The first major resistance is near the $2,880 level. The main resistance is now forming near $2,950. A clear move above the $2,950 resistance might send the price toward the $3,000 resistance.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

An upside break above the $3,000 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $3,250 resistance zone.

Are Dips Supported In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $2,850 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $2,800 level. The first major support sits near the $2,720 zone and the trend line.

A clear move below the $2,720 support might push the price toward $2,650. Any more losses might send the price toward the $2,550 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $2,500.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $2,850

Major Resistance Level – $2,720



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Bitcoin Price Pushes Rally Further: Bulls in Full Force

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Bitcoin price is gaining pace above $74,000. BTC is trading in a bullish zone and might rise further above the $76,500 resistance zone.

  • Bitcoin started a fresh surge above the $73,500 zone.
  • The price is trading above $73,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $75,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could continue to rise above the $76,000 resistance zone.

Bitcoin Price Extends Rally

Bitcoin price started a fresh surge above the $73,500 level. BTC even cleared the $75,000 resistance and traded to a new all-time high. It posted a high at $76,457 and is currently consolidating gains.

There was a minor decline below the $76,000 level. The price dipped below the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $72,747 swing low to the $76,457 high. However, the price is still in a positive zone above the $73,500 level.

Bitcoin price is now trading above $74,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. There is also a connecting bullish trend line forming with support at $75,250 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

On the upside, the price could face resistance near the $75,800 level. The first key resistance is near the $76,000 level. A clear move above the $76,000 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $76,500.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

A close above the $76,500 resistance might initiate more gains. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $78,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $78,800 resistance level.

Are Dips Supported In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $76,000 resistance zone, it could continue to move down. Immediate support on the downside is near the $75,250 level and the trend line.

The first major support is near the $74,150 level or the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $72,747 swing low to the $76,457 high. The next support is now near the $73,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $72,000 support in the near term.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $75,250, followed by $74,150.

Major Resistance Levels – $76,000, and $76,500.



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