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Bitcoin (BTC) Price Likely to Repeat Bull Market Run, PlanB Says

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PlanB, the pseudonymous creator of the Bitcoin (BTC) stock-to-flow model, shared a chart on X, suggesting that the asset’s price could increase fourfold from current levels.

Bitcoin currently trades at $60,676, following a 4% increase in the last 24 hoursBut will BTC’s price reach $240,000 by the end of the bull market?

Bitcoin Eyes a Repeat of 2017 and 2021

PlanB recently posted on X, highlighting how Bitcoin’s price has historically increased fourfold whenever it crossed above the 200-week Moving Average (MA). The 200 MA is a widely-used technical analysis tool that helps identify long-term trends for cryptocurrencies.

This indicator is often used to gauge whether the trend is bullish or bearish. Typically, when BTC rises above the 200 MA, it signals potential price growth and suggests that the bull market is still intact.

Conversely, a drop below the 200 MA indicates that a long-term bull run may not yet be confirmed. In the chart shared by PlanB, he pointed to the 2017 bull market, where at one stage, BTC dipped below $4,000, illustrating how these movements can impact market sentiment.

Read more: 7 Ways To Survive the Crypto Bear Market

Bitcoin 200-Week Moving Average
Bitcoin 200-Week Moving Average. Source: PlanB on X.

By the top of the cycle, the price increased to $17,760. Fast forward to the 2020-2021 bull run, the coin was trading around $15,560 in November 2020 before skyrocketing to $69,000 a year later.

Interestingly, at every point in each cycle, BTC experienced a boring period that saw the price undergo consolidation and correction. But in the end, a notable price pump appears.

While history rarely repeats itself, patterns often rhyme. If past trends are any indication, BTC’s recent surge to $73,750 may not mark the top of this cycle. The bull market could still have more room to run ahead.

No Bear Market Here

If validated, this position contradicts the signs that the cycle is heading to a bear market. Furthermore, Plan B is not the only one who believes the bear market is not here. 

In a conversation with BeInCrypto, Griffin Ardern, Head of BloFin Research & Options, explains that the weak performance of BTC and other cryptocurrencies does not entirely infer that the bull market is over.

“Judging from the performance of the options market, traders expect that the carry trade unwind and liquidity substitution caused by the interest rate cut will affect the performance of the crypto market in the short term. Still, traders are generally bullish on cryptos’ medium- and long-term performance, which is entirely different from the expectations during the bear market,” Ardern told BeInCrypto

Ardern also added that BTC’s annualized implied forward rate is higher than the risk-free rate. In a bear market, the rate is usually lower. This metric often reflects bullish and bearish sentiment among options traders, with the image below aligning with a bullish perception.

Bitcoin Options Annualized Forward Rate.
Bitcoin Options Annualized Forward Rate. Source: Amberdata

BTC Price Prediction: The Race to the Top Has Just Begun

Additionally, the analysis above is supported by the Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio. This ratio compares the total value of coins spent to the realized market capitalization.

High Sell-Side Risk Ratios typically align with the later stages of a bull market, indicating low investor conviction and heightened volatility. On the other hand, a low ratio suggests reduced market volatility, often seen during consolidation phases and sideways price movements.

Such conditions usually precede the start of a new bull run. According to Glassnode, Bitcoin’s Sell-Side Risk Ratio has dropped to 0.16% from 0.71% in March, reinforcing the view that the current market may have more upside potential.

Read more: What Happened at the Last Bitcoin Halving? Predictions for 2024

Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio.
Bitcoin Sell-Side Risk Ratio. Source: Glassnode

Going by the laws above and the recent choppy nature of Bitcoin’s price, the coin is close to the bottom. Hence, while BTC may not reach $240,000 at the market top, it appears that the cycle is still in the early stages of the bull market.

However, if selling pressure increases, the coin might experience another downside. If this is the case, BTC may drop below $60,000 again.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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VanEck Expands DeFi Offerings with PYTH ETN on Euronext

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Asset manager VanEck has launched a new ETN based on PYTH, specifically for European buyers. The Pyth network, a decentralized oracle protocol, has earned praise from VanEck for its potential to transform the DeFi landscape.

This launch follows several similar crypto-focused ventures by VanEck in recent months.

VanEck Launches PYTH ETN

According to a recent press release, asset manager VanEck is listing a new exchange-traded note (ETN) based on PYTH today. The Pyth network is a decentralized oracle protocol that uses PYTH as a network token. PYTH’s value has risen slightly since this announcement, bucking a decline this month, but there has not been a substantial price jump.

This new ETN is one of several recent crypto project investments by VanEck. Earlier in October, the firm launched a $30 million venture fund aimed at crypto startups and, just last week, partnered with Kiln to offer Solana staking.

Read more: What Is a Blockchain Oracle? An Introductory Guide

PYTH Valuation
PYTH Valuation on November 5. Source: BeInCrypto

VanEck publicly stated that Pyth’s technical potential inspired its latest ETN offering. Listed on Euronext Paris and Euronext Amsterdam, the ETN is now available to investors. Although distinct from an ETF, it shares some similarities: its value is tied to PYTH, and VanEck secures the ETN’s underlying assets in cold storage.

“Smart contracts… are gaining increasing significance in the financial world… and oracle networks play a crucial role in enabling [their] real-world use. With our Pyth ETN, investors have the opportunity to participate in the development of… Pyth Network, which has the potential to become a crucial part of DeFi application infrastructure,” VanEck Europe CEO Martijn Rozemuller said.

Read more: Crypto ETN vs. Crypto ETF: What Is the Difference?

However, it remains unclear whether “underlying assets” specifically refers to PYTH tokens. The ETN’s value is derived from the MarketVector Pyth Network VWAP Close Index, which in turn tracks PYTH’s value indirectly. This layered approach to value calculation may help explain why PYTH’s price has remained relatively stable since the announcement.

The press release also notes that the ETN is available across 15 European countries under the ticker VYPT, with a total expense ratio of 1.5%. VanEck cautions twice in its statement about the “risk of extreme volatility” associated with the product.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Swift, UBS, Chainlink Pilot Simplifies Tokenized Fund Transactions

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In partnership with UBS Asset Management and Chainlink, Swift has completed a pilot program designed to streamline tokenized fund transactions through its established financial network.

Conducted as part of the Monetary Authority of Singapore’s (MAS) Project Guardian, this pilot demonstrates how financial institutions can leverage Swift’s existing infrastructure to manage off-chain cash settlements for tokenized assets.

Swift, UBS Asset Management, and Chainlink have completed a pilot for settling tokenized fund subscriptions through the Swift network. The initiative addresses inefficiencies in the $63 trillion global mutual fund market by connecting 11,500 institutions to streamline manual processes and cut costly settlement delays that hinder liquidity.

“Chainlink is enabling institutions to reuse Swift’s infrastructure to facilitate payments for digital asset transactions. I am very excited by the upcoming adoption of these off-chain payment capabilities and how they will increase the flow of capital and expand the possible user base of digital assets,” Chainlink co-founder Sergey Nazarov said.

Read more: RWA Tokenization: A Look at Security and Trust

Chainlink and Swift’s pilot bears real potential in demonstrating how financial institutions can streamline these processes in the future. It automates payment processing for tokenized investment funds without requiring a fully blockchain-based system. This approach makes transactions faster and more efficient.

The pilot builds on earlier work between UBS Asset Management and SBI Digital Markets. Their previous collaboration focused on developing a Digital Subscription and Redemption system for tokenized funds.

Using Swift’s established infrastructure, the pilot demonstrated how fund transactions could be settled efficiently by connecting traditional systems with blockchain. Upon meeting specific conditions, UBS’s tokenized investment funds automatically issued or canceled fund tokens for investors.

UBS rolled out a tokenized fund on the Ethereum blockchain on November 1. The “UBS USD Money Market Investment Fund Token,” known as “uMINT,” aims to meet growing demand for tokenized assets. Meanwhile, MAS highlighted its dedication to asset tokenization, drawing insights from 40 institutions and 15 pilot trials.

“Our collaboration with UBS Asset Management and Chainlink under MAS’ Project Guardian uses the Swift network to bridge digital assets with existing systems. This approach supports our goal of helping financial institutions securely transact across various digital asset classes and currencies,” Swift Head of Strategy Jonathan Ehrenfeld commented.

Read more: How To Invest in Real-World Crypto Assets (RWA)?

The pilot highlights the growing momentum toward integrating digital assets with mainstream financial systems, illustrating how established infrastructures like Swift’s can support the fast-evolving digital economy.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why FET Recovery Could Be More Than 10% in November

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Artificial Superintelligence Alliance (FET) is one of the top gainers today, registering a 10% increase within the last 24 hours. This FET recovery contradicts its performance in October, when its price decreased by 13.39%.

Following this rebound, on-chain data shows that the altcoin could be working toward wiping out those losses. Here is how.

Artificial Superintelligence Alliance Sees Buying Pressure  

Yesterday, FET’s price was $1.10. But as of this writing, the altcoin’s value has risen to $1.25. According to the 4-hour chart, FET’s price climbed this high due to rising buying pressure. 

Notably, Bull Bear Power (BBP) has jumped to the positive region after remaining in the red area since November 1. The BBP shows whether the strength of buyers is greater than that of sellers.

When the reading is negative, bears have the upper hand. Therefore, in this instance, bulls are in control. As such, the altcoin’s value could continue to climb if this remains the same. 

Read more: How to Invest in Artificial Intelligence (AI) Cryptocurrencies?

FET recovery driven by bulls
FET Bull Bear Power. Source: TradingView

The Money Flow Index (MFI) is another indicator suggesting that the FET recovery could be swift. The MFI, which measures buying and selling pressure by analyzing price and volume data, has shown a positive trend for FET. 

A rising MFI indicates increased buying pressure, which supports the likelihood of continued price growth as demand for the asset strengthens. Therefore, if bulls sustain this momentum, then the altcoin’s price might continue to rise.

FET recovery is ongoing
FET Money Flow Index. Source: TradingView

FET Price Prediction: Token to Breach Resistance

Since the IOMAP indicates that there is only one significant resistance level for FET at $1.28, where 3,590 addresses hold 616.89 million tokens, it suggests that surpassing this level could open up further upside potential. 

Notably, the IOMAP tool categorizes addresses by whether they are making a profit, breaking even, or incurring losses at the current price

This accumulation zone acts as a key psychological barrier. The volume of tokens accumulated here is notably higher than the amounts held between $1.06 and $1.25, signaling that if buyers manage to push the price beyond $1.28, FET could gain strong momentum.

Read more: Which Are the Best Altcoins To Invest in November 2024?

FET bulls to breach resistance
FET In/Out of Money Around Price. Source: IntoTheBlock

Therefore, if buying pressure continues to increase, FET could rally all the way to $1.44. However, if bulls fail to breach the resistance, the altcoin price might pull back, and FET could drop to $1.10.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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