Market
Bearish Momentum at Key Levels
Cardano (ADA) shows bearish momentum with critical support and resistance levels dictating potential price movements.
On-chain data reveals declining user engagement and short-term trading activity, impacting Cardano’s market outlook.
Cardano Technical Analysis on the 4-Hour Timeframe
The ADA/USDT chart shows a bearish trend in the 4-hour timeframe. The price is below both the 100 EMA ($0.464) and the 200 EMA ($0.472). This indicates short and medium-term bearish momentum. The price is also struggling below the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $0.458, which is a crucial support.
The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is 42.57, below the neutral 50 level, suggesting strong selling pressure. The downward trend in RSI confirms the bearish sentiment. If the RSI continues to drop, it may signal further downside potential.
Key support is at $0.458, with a breakdown potentially leading to $0.420. Resistance levels to watch are $0.525 and $0.592. A move above these levels would indicate a bullish reversal. Currently, the sentiment remains bearish unless these resistance levels are broken.
Read More: How To Buy Cardano (ADA) and Everything You Need To Know
Analyzing Cardano’s Blockchain Activity
Daily Active Addresses Analysis
Notably, the green line representing active addresses shows a downward trend, indicating a decline in user engagement and transactions over time. This decline is a bearish signal, reflecting waning interest or activity in the Cardano network, which can impact its overall valuation and market sentiment.
A key observation is the blue line (new addresses) superposition and the orange line (zero balance addresses). This alignment suggests that new entrants into the ADA ecosystem are not retaining their coins. Instead, they are either quickly selling off their ADA or using it in ways that result in zero balances.
This behavior indicates a lack of long-term commitment from new users, which is a bearish fundamental sign for Cardano. Without new investors holding onto their ADA, sustained growth and stability in price become challenging.
Furthermore, the percentage changes highlight the bearish trend. Over the past 7 days, new addresses have decreased by 33.53%, active addresses by 9.34%, and zero balance addresses by 28.32%. These metrics reinforce the narrative of declining interest and participation in the ADA network.
With fewer new addresses and a high number of zero balance addresses, the fundamental outlook remains bearish, suggesting potential further downside for ADA unless there is a significant shift in on-chain activity and investor behavior.
Addresses by Time Held Analysis
The chart illustrating addresses by time held provides a comprehensive view of the Cardano holding behavior. The green area represents Cruisers (holding for 1-12 months), and the orange area denotes Traders (holding for less than a month).
Read more: Cardano (ADA) Price Prediction 2024/2025/2030
A significant observation is the decline in the proportion of traders, which has reduced by 20.86% over the past 30 days. This suggests a reduced short-term speculation and trading activity, which is typically bearish.
Traders’ diminishing presence indicates that fewer investors are actively trading ADA in the short term, possibly due to a lack of confidence in immediate price appreciation or volatile market conditions.
Strategic Recommendations
Monitor Resistance Levels: Monitor the resistance levels closely, especially the 0.618 Fibonacci level at $0.458. A break above this level could signal market optimism and a potential price reversal, shifting the outlook from bearish to neutral.
Evaluate Engagement Metrics: Observe the trends in active addresses and the balance behavior of new addresses. The superposition of new and zero-balance addresses indicates reduced engagement, which could impact price stability.
Adjust Trading Strategies: Given the reduction in short-term traders and the current bearish to neutral sentiment, consider short-term trading opportunities while being cautious of potential further downside. Be prepared to pivot strategies if a breakout above key resistance levels occurs, signaling a possible bullish reversal.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Base DEX Volume Approaches $3 Billion Amid Growing Adoption
Base, Coinbase’s Layer-2 (L2) blockchain solution, has reached new heights, setting an all-time high daily decentralized exchange (DEX) trading volume near $3 billion.
This milestone reflects Base’s growing prominence in the L2 space and its role in scaling on-chain transactions for Coinbase users.
Base Hits New Milestone in DEX Volume
Blockchain analyst Dan Smith highlighted Base L2’s record-breaking volume of $2.9 billion, including $1.3 billion in ETH-USD trading, which also hit an all-time high. Other trading pairs, such as ETH-cbBTC and BTC-USD, were close to breaking their own records.
The $2.9 billion DEX volume reflects Base’s growing appeal among traders, particularly in ETH-USD pairs, which benefited from recent price volatility. Alexander, another blockchain enthusiast, noted that this milestone marked the first time Base nearly tagged $3 billion in daily volume, alluding to the development as evidence of L2’s growing adoption.
AerodromeFi, a liquidity-focused decentralized protocol on Base, also recorded an all-time high of $1.68 billion in volume, further emphasizing the ecosystem’s momentum.
“This is the first time Base nearly passed $3 billion and AerodromeFi set a new ATH of $1.68 billion in volume,” Alexander commented.
Base’s success is particularly notable because it operates without a native token. Coinbase explicitly ruled out launching a token for Base, prioritizing ecosystem growth and user adoption instead. This approach has likely contributed to its traction by focusing on utility and reducing speculative risks that could deter long-term users.
“There are no plans for a Base network token. We are focused on building, and we want to solve real problems that let you build better,” Base lead developer Jesse Pollak stated recently.
Consistent Growth in Transactions and TVL
The recent achievement follows Base’s earlier milestones, including reaching one billion transactions two months ago and surpassing six million daily transactions in October. More closely, the network recently outpaced Ethereum in user growth amid growing crypto markets.
Additionally, Base’s Total Value Locked (TVL) has seen consistent growth, indicating increased user participation, asset inflows, and liquidity within its ecosystem. A rising TVL signals greater confidence in the platform, fostering a stronger and more sustainable DeFi environment.
Despite its impressive growth, Base has faced some criticism. The network was accused of copying aspects of an NFT project, sparking concerns over originality and intellectual property. While this controversy did not deter adoption, it highlights the challenges of rapid innovation in the competitive blockchain space.
Base’s trajectory positions it as a serious contender in the L2 space, competing with established players like Arbitrum (ARB) and Optimism (OP). Its emphasis on utility, combined with rising user participation and liquidity, paints a promising picture for its future.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Is a Drop Below $0.92 Inevitable?
Cardano’s recent sideways price action has led to a surge in demand for short positions among futures traders.
As the coin’s momentum slows, traders are increasingly betting on a price decline, signaling a bearish sentiment toward ADA.
Cardano Traders Bet on a Price Decline
According to Coinglass, ADA’s Long/Short Ratio is at a monthly low of 0.82, indicating a high demand for short positions.
An asset’s Long/Short Ratio compares the number of its long (buy) positions to short (sell) positions in a market. As with ADA, when the ratio is below one, more traders are betting on the price falling (shorting) rather than rising. If short sellers continue to dominate, this can increase the downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Additionally, ADA’s Weighted Sentiment remains negative, currently standing at -0.074, reinforcing the bearish outlook for the altcoin.
Weighted Sentiment gauges the overall market bias by analyzing the volume and tone of social media mentions. A negative value signals growing skepticism among investors, often leading to reduced trading activity and downward pressure on the asset’s price.
Notably, ADA whales have reduced their trading activity over the past week, with the coin’s large holders’ netflow dropping by 90.29%, according to IntoTheBlock.
Large holders, defined as addresses holding more than 0.1% of an asset’s circulating supply, play a significant role in market movements. A decline in their netflow indicates reduced buying activity, adding to the downward pressure on ADA’s price.
ADA Price Prediction: Recovery to $1 or Decline to $0.80?
ADA is currently trading at $0.98, hovering just above its support level of $0.90. If bearish pressure intensifies, the price may test this support. A failure to hold at $0.90 could see ADA’s decline extend further, potentially dropping to $0.80.
Conversely, if buying activity resurges, ADA’s price could stabilize above the $1 mark.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Will It Smash Another ATH?
Bitcoin price started a fresh increase above the $104,000 zone. BTC is consolidating above $105,000 and might aim for a new all-time high.
- Bitcoin started a decent increase above the $102,500 resistance zone.
- The price is trading above $104,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
- There was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could start another increase if it stays above the $103,500 support zone.
Bitcoin Price Regains Traction
Bitcoin price started a decent upward move above the $102,500 zone. BTC was able to climb above the $103,500 and $104,000 levels.
The bulls even pushed the price above the $105,000 level. Besides, there was a break above a connecting bearish trend line with resistance at $104,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair. The pair surpassed the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $109,112 swing high to the $100,114 low.
Bitcoin price is now trading above $104,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $107,000 level. It is close to the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $109,112 swing high to the $100,114 low.
The first key resistance is near the $107,500 level. A clear move above the $107,500 resistance might send the price higher. The next key resistance could be $109,000.
A close above the $109,000 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $110,000 resistance level and a new all-time high. Any more gains might send the price toward the $112,500 level.
Downside Correction In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $107,000 resistance zone, it could start a downside correction. Immediate support on the downside is near the $104,500 level. The first major support is near the $103,500 level.
The next support is now near the $102,800 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $100,500 support in the near term.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $104,500, followed by $103,500.
Major Resistance Levels – $107,000 and $108,500.
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