Connect with us

Market

Avalanche (AVAX) Under Pressure: Prolonged Downtrend Next?

Published

on


Avalanche (AVAX), the token of the smart contract blockchain, has been swinging toward lower price levels for almost a month. As a result, traders in the derivatives market are moving from a previous bullish thesis to a bearish bias.

AVAX had an impressive performance in 2023 and the first quarter of 2024. But recently, the token seems to have lost its stroke of luck.

Bulls Are Staying Away From Avalanche

AVAX trades at $31.53. However, the Long/Short Ratio shows traders expect the price to fall despite the 8.66% 7-day decrease. Evidence of this sentiment is reflected in the Long/Short Ratio.

The Long/Short Ratio measures traders’ expectations toward a cryptocurrency. Values of this indicator above 1 indicate that there are more long positions than shorts. Conversely, a Long/Short Ratio ratio lower than 1 suggests increased bearish predictions. 

A long is a market participant expecting the price of a token to increase while filling the bid on a contract. On the other hand, a short is a trader betting on a price decrease

According to the derivatives information portal Coinglass, AVAX’s Long/Short Ratio was 0.79. This reinforces the aforementioned perception in the market.

Read More: 11 Best Avalanche Wallets to Consider in 2024

AVAX bearish positions
AVAX Long/Short Ratio. Source: Coinglass

Besides the ratio, Open Interest aligns with the potential price decrease. Open Interest refers to the value of outstanding contracts in the market.

This indicator decreases or increases based on net positioning. Unlike the Long/Short Ratio, Open Interest does not indicate whether there are more longs or more shorts. Instead, an increase in Open Interest refers to an influx of liquidity and open contracts.

However, a decrease suggests a rise in closed positions and increased outflow of money. As of this writing, AVAX’s open interest was $211.64 million. On June 7, when the price of AVAX was $35, Open Interest was much higher. 

AVAX falls short of liquidity
AVAX Open Interest. Source: TradingView

For the token’s value, the decrease may confirm a downward trend as opposed to the upward strength an increase in Open Interest may offer.

AVAX Price Prediction: Long Road From Rally

Meanwhile, AVAX’s market structure on the daily chart suggests a potential fall. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a crucial indicator that corroborates this bias. 

EMA measures trend direction and reflects how prices can change within a given period. On the AVAX/USD daily chart, the 20 EMA (blue) crossed below the 50 EMA (yellow) since April 13. 

This position is called a death cross and is a bearish trend. It occurs when the longer EMA crosses above the shorter EMA. The opposite is the golden cross that occurs when the shorter EMA crosses above the longer EMA.

AVAX bearish price analysis
AVAX Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

This position puts AVAX at risk of a decline to $29.38. Further, the Directional Movement Index (DMI) supports the potential price decrease.

The chart below shows that the -DMI (red) was 27.58, while the +DMI (blue) was 11.85. DMI measures both strength and direction. Therefore, the difference between the +/-DMI suggests a downward direction for AVAX.  

Also, the Average Directional Index (ADX) trends upward. The ADX (yellow) shows the strength of the direction. If the ADX spikes, it means that the direction has strength behind the movement. 

However, a low DMI reading means that the directional strength is weak. In AVAX’s case, it was the former. 

Read More: How to Buy Avalanche (AVAX) with a Credit Card: A Step-by-Step Guide

AVAX shows downward strength
AVAX Directional Strength. Source: TradingView

Therefore, the price may drop below $30 in the short term. However, the prediction may be null and void if the broader market begins to recover, as AVAX may follow the directions of other altcoins.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Market

Nasdaq Files for Grayscale HBAR ETF with the SEC

Published

on


Nasdaq has officially submitted a 19-b 4 form to the SEC seeking approval to list and trade the Grayscale Hedera Trust (HBAR) shares. This filing is a standard step in the HBAR exchange-traded fund (ETF) approval process.

The exchange classifies the shares as Commodity-Based Trust Shares under Nasdaq Rule 5711(d). This aligns them with regulated investment vehicles like spot Bitcoin (BTC) ETF.

Grayscale HBAR ETF Awaits SEC Green Light

The filing marks the latest development in a series of efforts to bring Hedera into the regulated financial spotlight. The proposal was submitted under Section 19(b)(1) of the Securities Exchange Act 1934. This allows exchanges to request rule changes to list new financial instruments.

“The proposed rule change is designed to perfect the mechanism of a free and open market and, in general, to protect investors and the public interest in that it will facilitate the listing and trading of Shares that will enhance competition among market participants, to the benefit of investors and the marketplace,” the filing read.

Nasdaq’s move follows a similar application on behalf of Canary Capital. The asset manager has also been pursuing an HBAR-based ETF. 

Canary Capital first submitted an S-1 application on November 12, 2024. This was followed by a 19b-4 application in late February, marking its own advancement in the ETF approval pipeline.

At present, neither Grayscale’s nor Canary Capital’s HBAR ETF proposal has been published in the Federal Register. This means both remain in a preliminary review stage. 

The SEC is currently evaluating whether the filings meet procedural and completeness requirements before determining the next steps. Once published, the proposals will enter a 45-day initial review period, during which the SEC can approve, deny, or extend the evaluation timeline. If the SEC needs more time, it may extend the review process for up to 240 days before making a final decision.

If approved, the Grayscale and the Canary Capital HBAR ETF would offer investors a regulated pathway to gain exposure to HBAR without directly holding the asset. This reflects a growing trend of institutional interest in cryptocurrency-based investment products.

Meanwhile, HBAR previously saw a fleeting 10% price surge following the news of Nasdaq’s filing for Canary Capital’s ETF. Nonetheless, the latest development has failed to generate a similar market response. 

grayscale hbar etf
HBAR Price Performance. Source: BeInCrypto

Instead, HBAR was down 6.8% over the past 24 hours. Its trading price stood at $0.23 at press time. Despite the decline, HBAR has still outperformed other smart contract platform cryptocurrencies, which have collectively fallen 8.8%, as per CoinGecko.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Bitcoin Price Retreats—Key Support Levels in Focus After Reversal

Published

on



Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Bitcoin price started a fresh decline from the $95,000 resistance zone. BTC is back below $90,000 and might continue to move down.

  • Bitcoin started a fresh decline from the $95,000 resistance zone.
  • The price is trading below $92,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
  • There was a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $88,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
  • The pair could start another decline if it fails to stay above the $82,250 zone.

Bitcoin Price Dips Over 10%

Bitcoin price rallied above the $88,000 and $90,000 resistance levels. BTC tested the $95,000 resistance where it faced a strong resistance. The price failed to retain gains and started a fresh decline below $92,000.

There was a move below the $92,000 and $90,000 support levels. The price dived over 10% and traded below the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $84,500 swing low to the $95,000 high. There was also a break below a connecting bullish trend line with support at $88,000 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.

Bitcoin price is now trading below $90,000 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $85,000 level. The first key resistance is near the $86,600 level.

Bitcoin Price
Source: BTCUSD on TradingView.com

The next key resistance could be $88,500. A close above the $88,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $90,000 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $92,000 level or even $93,500.

More Losses In BTC?

If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $88,000 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $82,250 level and the 76.4% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $84,500 swing low to the $95,000 high. The first major support is near the $80,000 level.

The next support is now near the $78,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $76,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $75,000.

Technical indicators:

Hourly MACD – The MACD is now gaining pace in the bearish zone.

Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.

Major Support Levels – $82,250, followed by $80,000.

Major Resistance Levels – $88,000 and $90,000.



Source link

Continue Reading

Market

Trump’s White House Crypto Summit: Experts Discuss Key Agendas and Potential Market Impact

Published

on


On Friday, US President Donald Trump is set to host a high-stakes White House Crypto Summit, a meeting that could significantly shape the future of digital assets in the United States.

With a commitment to “making the US the crypto capital of the world,” Trump’s crypto summit will be a crucial watch for crypto enthusiasts this week. Traders and investors alike will watch closely, as the summit’s outcome could influence market trends and investor sentiment.

Experts Highlight Potential Topics of Discussion

According to experts, one of the potential announcements is a proposal to eliminate capital gains taxes on cryptocurrency sales. Investor Mike Alfred has suggested that Trump’s administration is preparing to make this official at the summit.

“Sources say the Trump administration [is] preparing to announce zero capital gains on crypto sales at Friday’s crypto summit,” Alfred shared on X (Twitter).

Ran Neuner, crypto analyst and founder of Crypto Banter, shares the sentiment. He noted that the summit could focus on broader industry incentives. Specifically, he speculated that discussions might include tax breaks for US-based crypto projects. The analyst also anticipates incentives to bring blockchain developers back to the country.

This could mean preferential treatment for “Made in America” tokens, furthering Trump’s economic strategy.

If implemented, this policy could encourage more trading and long-term investment in digital assets, potentially making the US an attractive destination for crypto businesses. Lower tax barriers could also bring substantial institutional capital into the sector and increase retail investor participation.

“Taxation is theft. It should be kept to a minimum. It’s wrong to steal my money for grift on the left; it’s also wrong to tax me for crypto bro schemes. Efficient defense, courts, national parks (should fund themselves), prisons, etc – fine. Cut it out with these schemes guys,” investor Joe Lonsdale quipped.

Another potential topic is how to fund the US crypto reserve. BeInCrypto reported the establishment of this reserve, highlighting the inclusion of Ripple’s XRP token, Solana (SOL), and Cardano (ADA).  

Already, there is contention about the place of XRP and ADA in the crypto reserve. Some have called out Trump for committing to buy XRP and ADA with federal dollars. While some see it as a step toward legitimizing crypto, critics argue that these assets have little utility.

Meanwhile, Udi Wertheimer, another popular user on X, suggested that Trump’s approach is a negotiation tactic. According to the user, it is aimed at securing congressional approval for a Bitcoin-centric reserve.

“The best take I’ve seen by far regarding the strategic reserve is that this is just a classic trump negotiation tactic. For a true reserve to happen, Trump will have to convince Congress…In Trump’s chess language, this just means he’s telling Congress if you don’t give me a Bitcoin reserve, I’m going to ram Ripple down your throats,” Wertheimer opined.

Others, like Naval Ravikant, also voiced concerns.

“The US taxpayer should not be exit liquidity for cryptocurrencies that are decentralized in name only,” Ravikant wrote.

Notwithstanding, the success of these initiatives could transform the American crypto playing field, attracting investors, builders, and projects back to the US. However, skeptics argue that the government’s involvement in crypto markets could lead to unnecessary risks and inefficiencies.

Key Attendees and Market Implications

It remains unknown whether official invitations have been sent out. Fox Business correspondent Eleanor Terrett noted that industry executives are still awaiting confirmation, suggesting a roster of influential figures could attend.

However, likely attendees include Trump, crypto Czar David Sacks, and Bo Hines, who leads Trump’s digital assets advisory council. Beyond these, major figures from the crypto industry could also feature in the attendee’s list, positioning specific tokens for impact.

White House Crypto Summit Potential Attendees
White House Crypto Summit Potential Attendees. Source: Crypto Banter

The correlation between these tokens and their associated industry leaders is significant, as their presence at the summit suggests possible policy benefits or new government partnerships.

With the summit’s focus on US-based crypto companies, future policy decisions could favor projects that align with domestic interests. If Trump follows through with tax incentives and federal crypto investments, the market could see a wave of bullish sentiment for these tokens.

Conversely, if the crypto community perceives the reserve initiative as unfeasible or politically motivated, it may result in negative market reactions. Ultimately, Friday’s Crypto Summit will set the stage for the next phase of US crypto policy.

The post Trump’s White House Crypto Summit: Experts Discuss Key Agendas and Potential Market Impact appeared first on BeInCrypto.



Source link

Continue Reading

Trending

Copyright © 2024 coin2049.io