Market
Avalanche (AVAX) Under Pressure: Prolonged Downtrend Next?
Avalanche (AVAX), the token of the smart contract blockchain, has been swinging toward lower price levels for almost a month. As a result, traders in the derivatives market are moving from a previous bullish thesis to a bearish bias.
AVAX had an impressive performance in 2023 and the first quarter of 2024. But recently, the token seems to have lost its stroke of luck.
Bulls Are Staying Away From Avalanche
AVAX trades at $31.53. However, the Long/Short Ratio shows traders expect the price to fall despite the 8.66% 7-day decrease. Evidence of this sentiment is reflected in the Long/Short Ratio.
The Long/Short Ratio measures traders’ expectations toward a cryptocurrency. Values of this indicator above 1 indicate that there are more long positions than shorts. Conversely, a Long/Short Ratio ratio lower than 1 suggests increased bearish predictions.
A long is a market participant expecting the price of a token to increase while filling the bid on a contract. On the other hand, a short is a trader betting on a price decrease.
According to the derivatives information portal Coinglass, AVAX’s Long/Short Ratio was 0.79. This reinforces the aforementioned perception in the market.
Read More: 11 Best Avalanche Wallets to Consider in 2024
Besides the ratio, Open Interest aligns with the potential price decrease. Open Interest refers to the value of outstanding contracts in the market.
This indicator decreases or increases based on net positioning. Unlike the Long/Short Ratio, Open Interest does not indicate whether there are more longs or more shorts. Instead, an increase in Open Interest refers to an influx of liquidity and open contracts.
However, a decrease suggests a rise in closed positions and increased outflow of money. As of this writing, AVAX’s open interest was $211.64 million. On June 7, when the price of AVAX was $35, Open Interest was much higher.
For the token’s value, the decrease may confirm a downward trend as opposed to the upward strength an increase in Open Interest may offer.
AVAX Price Prediction: Long Road From Rally
Meanwhile, AVAX’s market structure on the daily chart suggests a potential fall. The Exponential Moving Average (EMA) is a crucial indicator that corroborates this bias.
EMA measures trend direction and reflects how prices can change within a given period. On the AVAX/USD daily chart, the 20 EMA (blue) crossed below the 50 EMA (yellow) since April 13.
This position is called a death cross and is a bearish trend. It occurs when the longer EMA crosses above the shorter EMA. The opposite is the golden cross that occurs when the shorter EMA crosses above the longer EMA.
This position puts AVAX at risk of a decline to $29.38. Further, the Directional Movement Index (DMI) supports the potential price decrease.
The chart below shows that the -DMI (red) was 27.58, while the +DMI (blue) was 11.85. DMI measures both strength and direction. Therefore, the difference between the +/-DMI suggests a downward direction for AVAX.
Also, the Average Directional Index (ADX) trends upward. The ADX (yellow) shows the strength of the direction. If the ADX spikes, it means that the direction has strength behind the movement.
However, a low DMI reading means that the directional strength is weak. In AVAX’s case, it was the former.
Read More: How to Buy Avalanche (AVAX) with a Credit Card: A Step-by-Step Guide
Therefore, the price may drop below $30 in the short term. However, the prediction may be null and void if the broader market begins to recover, as AVAX may follow the directions of other altcoins.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.050 zone. The price is now consolidating and might face hurdles near the $2.10 level.
- XRP price started a fresh decline below the $2.120 and $2.050 levels.
- The price is now trading below $2.10 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at $2.0680 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The pair might extend losses if it fails to clear the $2.10 resistance zone.
XRP Price Attempts Recovery
XRP price extended losses below the $2.050 support level, like Bitcoin and Ethereum. The price declined below the $2.00 and $1.980 support levels. A low was formed at $1.960 and the price is attempting a recovery wave.
There was a move above the $2.00 and $2.020 levels. The price surpassed the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.235 swing high to the $1.960 low. However, the bears are active below the $2.10 resistance zone.
The price is now trading below $2.10 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price might face resistance near the $2.070 level. There is also a short-term declining channel forming with resistance at $2.0680 on the hourly chart of the XRP/USD pair.
The first major resistance is near the $2.10 level. It is near the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $2.235 swing high to the $1.960 low. The next resistance is $2.120.
A clear move above the $2.120 resistance might send the price toward the $2.180 resistance. Any more gains might send the price toward the $2.2350 resistance or even $2.40 in the near term. The next major hurdle for the bulls might be $2.50.
Another Decline?
If XRP fails to clear the $2.10 resistance zone, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $2.00 level. The next major support is near the $1.960 level.
If there is a downside break and a close below the $1.960 level, the price might continue to decline toward the $1.920 support. The next major support sits near the $1.90 zone.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for XRP/USD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for XRP/USD is now above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $2.00 and $1.960.
Major Resistance Levels – $2.10 and $2.120.
Reason to trust
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Ethereum price attempted a recovery wave above the $1,820 level but failed. ETH is now consolidating losses and might face resistance near the $1,840 zone.
- Ethereum failed to stay above the $1,850 and $1,840 levels.
- The price is trading below $1,840 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
- There is a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,810 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
- The pair must clear the $1,820 and $1,840 resistance levels to start a decent increase.
Ethereum Price Dips Further
Ethereum price failed to stay above the $1,800 support zone and extended losses, like Bitcoin. ETH traded as low as $1,751 and recently corrected some gains. There was a move above the $1,780 and $1,800 resistance levels.
The bulls even pushed the price above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,751 low. However, the bears are active near the $1,820 zone. The price is now consolidating and facing many hurdles.
Ethereum price is now trading below $1,820 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,810 level. There is also a short-term bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,810 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD.
The next key resistance is near the $1,840 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,955 swing high to the $1,751 low at $1,850. The first major resistance is near the $1,880 level.
A clear move above the $1,880 resistance might send the price toward the $1,920 resistance. An upside break above the $1,920 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $2,000 resistance zone or even $2,050 in the near term.
Another Decline In ETH?
If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,850 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,765 level. The first major support sits near the $1,750 zone.
A clear move below the $1,750 support might push the price toward the $1,720 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,680 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,620.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for ETH/USD is gaining momentum in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI – The RSI for ETH/USD is now below the 50 zone.
Major Support Level – $1,750
Major Resistance Level – $1,850
Reason to trust
Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
Created by industry experts and meticulously reviewed
The highest standards in reporting and publishing
Strict editorial policy that focuses on accuracy, relevance, and impartiality
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Bitcoin price started a recovery wave from the $81,200 zone. BTC is consolidating losses and facing hurdles near the $83,500 resistance level.
- Bitcoin started a decent recovery wave above the $82,200 zone.
- The price is trading below $83,200 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average.
- There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $83,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair (data feed from Kraken).
- The pair could start another increase if it clears the $83,500 zone.
Bitcoin Price Faces Resistance
Bitcoin price extended losses below the $82,500 support zone and tested the $81,200 zone. BTC formed a base and recently started a decent recovery wave above the $82,200 resistance zone.
The bulls were able to push the price above the $82,500 and $83,000 resistance levels. The price even tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $89,042 swing high to the $81,177 low. However, the price is struggling to continue higher.
Bitcoin price is now trading below $83,500 and the 100 hourly Simple moving average. On the upside, immediate resistance is near the $83,200 level. The first key resistance is near the $83,500 level. There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $83,500 on the hourly chart of the BTC/USD pair.
The next key resistance could be $84,500. A close above the $84,500 resistance might send the price further higher. In the stated case, the price could rise and test the $85,500 resistance level. Any more gains might send the price toward the $86,000 level or 61.8% Fib retracement level of the recent decline from the $89,042 swing high to the $81,177 low.
Another Decline In BTC?
If Bitcoin fails to rise above the $83,500 resistance zone, it could start a fresh decline. Immediate support on the downside is near the $82,200 level. The first major support is near the $81,200 level.
The next support is now near the $80,500 zone. Any more losses might send the price toward the $80,000 support in the near term. The main support sits at $78,800.
Technical indicators:
Hourly MACD – The MACD is now losing pace in the bearish zone.
Hourly RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for BTC/USD is now below the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $82,200, followed by $81,200.
Major Resistance Levels – $83,500 and $85,000.
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