Market
Analyst Says Bullish Divergences Are Still Present, Here’s Why
XRP is currently trading slightly above the $0.50 price level, having experienced a significant price decline that erased most of its gains from the previous month. XRP managed to break through the $0.60 price level in a rally last month, although this surge was short-lived, lasting only a few days.
Despite this setback, crypto analyst Javon Marks notes that there are still bullish divergence patterns present in the market, suggesting that another breakout could be on the horizon. These patterns indicate potential upward momentum, hinting at a possible recovery and a very optimistic price surge to new all-time highs.
Bullish Divergences Are Still Present
Crypto analyst Javon Marks recently shared an intriguing XRP technical analysis on the social media platform X with very bullish price prediction targets for the cryptocurrency. According to Marks, the crypto asset recently embarked on a bullish rally, which ultimately turned into an attempted breakout before reversing. The rally he was talking about was XRP’s price journey from $0.4321 in July, which saw it peak at $0.6534 on July 31, according to data from Coinmarketcap. As such, XRP ended up breaking out of a multi-year descending triangle pattern.
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This interesting pattern is shown on Javon Marks’ XRPUSD monthly candlestick chart. The descending triangle pattern, which has been in formation since XRP’s all-time high of $3.4 in 2018, is characterized by a series of lower highs and higher lows. Over the past six years, this pattern has become smaller, reflecting a period of consolidation and reduced volatility. This formation has tightened for the past few months, culminating in the minor breakout in July and a move towards a more bullish outlook for XRP.
Although the XRP price now finds itself trading within this region of descending triangular pattern again, Javon Marks remains optimistic. Furthermore, he pointed out an interesting correlation between the price action and the Relative Strength Index (RSI), which is a popular momentum indicator. According to Marks, this correlation suggests that a successful bullish breakout is on the horizon.
$XRP recently broke out temporarily which looks to have been only an attempted breakout but, between Price Action and the RSI, there are patterns still present through bull divergences that can suggest a successful bullish breakout to be on the horizon!
On a conservative note,… https://t.co/BCrp9CwT6i pic.twitter.com/XGGiv0nBDp
— JAVON⚡️MARKS (@JavonTM1) August 6, 2024
Price Targets For XRP
According to Marks, a successful breakout would translate into a price range between $15 and $18 on the conservative end. A more intense rally could result in XRP reaching above the $100 price level. His final target on the price chart is $260 for XRP, which represents an increase of 41,780% from the current price level.
Rallies of such magnitude are not new to the crypto industry. As Marks noted, we’ve witnessed full logarithmic scale follow-throughs of this nature in the past. The last time the altcoin broke out of a similar multi-year descending triangle pattern was in 2017, resulting in a 42,000% price increase that culminated in its current all-time high.
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However, realistically speaking, the crypto market has evolved since then. XRP is now one of the largest cryptocurrencies in terms of market cap, and a repeat of such a 40,000% surge is easier said than done. A lone XRP rally of that magnitude would propel XRP to overtake even Bitcoin in terms of market cap, which many market participants would deem impossible. Nevertheless, a sustained XRP rally in the near future is not out of the question.
At the time of writing, XRP is trading at $0.5162 and is up by 3% in the past 24 hours.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Market
Polymarket Faces Ban in France as US Election Betting Ends
According to a report from The Big Whale, the National Gaming Authority (ANJ), France’s gambling regulator, is preparing to block the prediction markets platform Polymarket.
Polymarket, the decentralized platform that allows users to bet on the outcome of political events, sports, and other occurrences using cryptocurrency, has gained popularity in recent months, especially with bets surrounding the US presidential election. More than $3.2 billion was reportedly wagered on the platform during this high-stakes period, with a record-breaking $294 million in volume on November 5 alone.
France Users May No Longer Access Polymarket
According to The Big Whale, a French website that covers the crypto industry, the ANJ’s impending ban comes after a French trader placed a $30 million bet on a Trump victory, reportedly attracting the regulator’s scrutiny.
The trader’s wager positioned him to make approximately $19 million in profits, a sum that has intensified concerns over Polymarket’s compliance with French gambling laws. A source close to the ANJ stated that despite Polymarket’s use of blockchain and cryptocurrency, its activities are akin to gambling, making it subject to restrictions under French law.
“We are aware of this site and we are currently examining its operation as well as its compliance with French gambling legislation,” The Big Whale reported, citing an ANJ spokesperson.
Read more: What is Polymarket? A Guide to The Popular Prediction Market
Legal expert William O’Rorke from ORWL Avocats explained that although Polymarket does not specifically target French users, its activities fall squarely under gambling regulations.
“Polymarket involves betting money on uncertain outcomes, which aligns with the legal definition of gambling,” O’Rorke noted.
Against this backdrop, the ANJ is well within its mandate to block the platform’s access in France. Accordingly, the French regulator may enforce the ban by blocking Polymarket’s domain name in France. It amy also pressure third-party players, like media outlets and online directories, to limit access to Polymarket links.
However, French users may still circumvent this by using virtual private networks (VPNs). This is because Polymarket’s crypto-based infrastructure allows for relatively anonymous participation.
France’s looming ban is not the first regulatory roadblock Polymarket has encountered. In 2022, the US Commodity Futures Trading Commission (CFTC) fined Polymarket $1.4 million for failing to register as a designated contract market. The CFTC also challenged Kalshi’s operations due to questions about betting on political events.
Polymarket’s Fate After US Elections
Meanwhile, the US election was a significant catalyst for Polymarket. It drove the platform to new heights in user engagement and bet volume. Polymarket’s election-related markets have been featured on major financial platforms, including Bloomberg, highlighting the platform’s appeal to mainstream finance.
As BeInCrypto reported, Polymarket’s election betting topped $3 billion, reflecting unprecedented participation. The platform, however, faces a crossroads in its path forward. Following the climax of the US election on Wednesday, data from Dune Analytics shows a steep decline in Polymarket’s activity.
Daily active addresses and transaction volumes, which soared in the election lead-up, have notably dwindled as election-related betting winds down. For instance, Polymarket’s open interest, a key indicator of active betting engagement, dropped from $350 million to $268 million after the polls closed. Similarly, monthly new accounts have also dropped by over 41% between October and November.
Against this backdrop, Polymarket may need to diversify its market offerings or potentially embrace a new model to maintain user interest. This is considering election-related activity comprised the majority of the prediction market’s volume.
Rumors are circulating about a potential move toward a decentralized governance token, which could distribute control over Polymarket’s operations to its community. This shift would reduce the liability of the central authority by decentralizing decision-making, though it remains theoretical, with no clear timeline.
Read More: How To Use Polymarket In The United States: Step-by-Step Guide
Polymarket’s fast ascent and regulatory challenges highlight broader industry tensions between innovation and compliance. With election predictions no longer a draw and an impending ban in France, Polymarket’s future remains uncertain.
Its long-term viability may depend on how well it adapts to evolving regulatory landscapes and whether it can maintain popularity beyond election season peaks.
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Market
XRP Price Ready to Rally? Signs Point to a Bullish Move
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Market
Solana (SOL) Rallies Strongly, Setting Sights on $200
Solana started a fresh increase above the $172 support zone. SOL price is rising and might soon aim for a move toward the $200 level.
- SOL price started a fresh increase after it settled above the $165 level against the US Dollar.
- The price is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average.
- There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair (data source from Kraken).
- The pair could continue to rise if it clears the $192 resistance zone.
Solana Price Starts Fresh Rally
Solana price formed a support base and started a fresh increase above the $162 level like Bitcoin and Ethereum. There was a strong move above the $165 and $172 resistance levels.
There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at $162 on the hourly chart of the SOL/USD pair. The price even cleared the $185 level. A high is formed at $192 and the price is now consolidating gains. It is trading above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high.
Solana is now trading above $172 and the 100-hourly simple moving average. On the upside, the price is facing resistance near the $192 level. The next major resistance is near the $195 level.
The main resistance could be $200. A successful close above the $200 resistance level could set the pace for another steady increase. The next key resistance is $212. Any more gains might send the price toward the $220 level.
Another Dip in SOL?
If SOL fails to rise above the $192 resistance, it could start a downside correction. Initial support on the downside is near the $188 level. The first major support is near the $180 level.
A break below the $180 level might send the price toward the $172 zone or the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward move from the $155 swing low to the $192 high. If there is a close below the $172 support, the price could decline toward the $165 support in the near term.
Technical Indicators
Hourly MACD – The MACD for SOL/USD is gaining pace in the bullish zone.
Hourly Hours RSI (Relative Strength Index) – The RSI for SOL/USD is above the 50 level.
Major Support Levels – $188 and $185.
Major Resistance Levels – $192 and $200.
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