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Altcoin Season Remains Elusive as Market Struggles Amid Trump’s Trade Wars

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At the start of 2025, several altcoins surged to new all-time highs. Others climbed to multi-month peaks, riding the wave of the Donald Trump-fueled rally that swept through the crypto market. 

However, Trump’s escalating trade wars and broader macroeconomic unrest have led to a significant downturn in many altcoins, raising questions about the timing of the next altcoin season.

Altcoin Season Slips Further Away

Altcoin season refers to a market cycle in which crypto assets other than Bitcoin significantly outperform BTC in terms of price gains. Many altcoins witness significant price surges during this period, often due to increased investor speculation, capital rotation from BTC into other crypto assets, and bullish sentiment in the market.

This cycle commences when at least 75% of the top 50 altcoins outperform BTC over a three-month period. However, this is far from the reality. The Altcoin Index, which tracks this trend, has plunged to its lowest level since October 2024, signaling continued weakness in the sector. 

Altcoin Index.
Altcoin Index. Source: Blockchain Center

As of this writing, only 24% of top altcoins have outperformed leading crypto Bitcoin over the past 90 days, highlighting its dominance in the current market cycle. This persistent underperformance suggests that an altcoin season may still be far off.

Further reinforcing this bearish outlook, TOTAL2, the metric tracking the total market capitalization of all cryptocurrencies excluding BTC, has remained in a descending parallel channel since the beginning of the year. 

TOTAL2 Price Analysis.
TOTAL2 Price Analysis. Source: TradingView

This pattern signals a sustained downtrend. It is formed when an asset’s price moves between two downward-sloping parallel trendlines, with lower highs and lower lows over time. As of this writing, TOTAL2 is at $1.14 trillion, plummeting by 17% since January 1. 

This decline confirms the lack of strong bullish momentum across the altcoin market, hinting at zero likelihood of an altcoin season kicking off anytime soon.

Bitcoin Dominance Climbs as Market Pullback Deepens

While the market has witnessed a significant pullback recently amid Trump’s trade wars, Bitcoin dominance has continued to increase. An assessment of Bitcoin’s dominance (BTC.D) on a daily chart confirms the same.

Bitcoin Dominance.
Bitcoin Dominance. Source: TradingView

This metric, which measures the percentage of the total cryptocurrency market capitalization that Bitcoin holds, has remained above an ascending trend line since last December. As of this writing, it sits at 61.29%.

If BTC’s dominance remains elevated, it could further delay the prospects of an altcoin season.

The post Altcoin Season Remains Elusive as Market Struggles Amid Trump’s Trade Wars appeared first on BeInCrypto.



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Teucrium Launches First 2x Long XRP ETF in the US

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Teucrium Investment Advisors is set to launch its Teucrium 2x Long Daily XRP ETF (XXRP) after securing NYSE Arca approval. This marks the first exchange-traded fund (ETF) in the United States to offer leveraged exposure to XRP (XRP).

The move comes as the race for a spot XRP ETF intensifies in the US, with Polymarket odds suggesting a high likelihood of approval this year.

What Is Teucrium’s 2x Long XRP ETF and Why It Matters

The XXRP fund aims to deliver two times (2x) the daily price performance of the altcoin. It will begin trading on NYSE Arca on April 8.

According to its prospectus, the fund will not directly invest in XRP. Instead, it will primarily gain exposure through swap agreements with global financial institutions. 

There is also a provision for investment in XRP futures contracts, options, XRP-related companies, and spot XRP ETPs as needed. Additionally, the fund may utilize reverse repurchase agreements to enhance its investment capital.

“The fund presents different risks than other types of funds. The fund uses leverage and is riskier than similarly benchmarked funds that do not use leverage. The fund is intended to be used as a short-term trading vehicle,” the prospectus read.

The ETF enables investors to access the XRP market with a lower capital investment compared to buying equivalent derivatives directly. It has a management fee of 1.85% and offers monthly distributions to investors.

The launch of XXRP comes at a pivotal moment for XRP, as Ripple recently settled its legal battle with the SEC. Despite the lack of an approved spot ETF, Teucrium’s leveraged product offers a new avenue for investors seeking amplified exposure to the fourth-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization. According to BeInCrypto data, XRP’s market cap stands at $111 billion.

Bloomberg’s senior ETF analyst Eric Balchunas commented on the development in the latest X (formerly Twitter post). He highlighted the unusual nature of this launch.

“Very odd (maybe a first) that a new asset’s first ETF is leveraged,” he said.

Balchunas also noted that while a spot XRP ETF has yet to be approved, the odds of such approval remain high. Many in the industry share this sentiment.

Interestingly, in anticipation of the XXRP launch, the likelihood of a spot XRP ETF receiving approval has surged. According to the prediction market platform Polymarket, odds have jumped by 5% since yesterday.

The chances of approval by December 2025 now stand at 75%. However, the outlook for a short-term approval by July 31 remains more cautious, with odds currently sitting at just 33%.

Odds of an XRP ETF Gaining Approval In 2025
Odds of an XRP ETF Gaining Approval In 2025. Source: Polymarket

It is worth noting that the SEC faces a critical deadline in October to decide on two XRP-based ETFs. These include the Grayscale and 21Shares XRP ETFs, following their filings in the Federal Register in February.

Additionally, BeInCrypto reported that major asset managers, including BlackRock and Fidelity, could soon file for an XRP ETF, joining WisdomTree, Bitwise, and Canary Capital.

As regulatory clarity around digital currencies continues to evolve, the market will be watching closely to see how this pioneering ETF performs and whether it paves the way for further XRP-based financial products in the US.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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XRP Price Recovery Fades—$2 Remains A Tough Nut to Crack

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Aayush Jindal, a luminary in the world of financial markets, whose expertise spans over 15 illustrious years in the realms of Forex and cryptocurrency trading. Renowned for his unparalleled proficiency in providing technical analysis, Aayush is a trusted advisor and senior market expert to investors worldwide, guiding them through the intricate landscapes of modern finance with his keen insights and astute chart analysis.

From a young age, Aayush exhibited a natural aptitude for deciphering complex systems and unraveling patterns. Fueled by an insatiable curiosity for understanding market dynamics, he embarked on a journey that would lead him to become one of the foremost authorities in the fields of Forex and crypto trading. With a meticulous eye for detail and an unwavering commitment to excellence, Aayush honed his craft over the years, mastering the art of technical analysis and chart interpretation.
As a software engineer, Aayush harnesses the power of technology to optimize trading strategies and develop innovative solutions for navigating the volatile waters of financial markets. His background in software engineering has equipped him with a unique skill set, enabling him to leverage cutting-edge tools and algorithms to gain a competitive edge in an ever-evolving landscape.

In addition to his roles in finance and technology, Aayush serves as the director of a prestigious IT company, where he spearheads initiatives aimed at driving digital innovation and transformation. Under his visionary leadership, the company has flourished, cementing its position as a leader in the tech industry and paving the way for groundbreaking advancements in software development and IT solutions.

Despite his demanding professional commitments, Aayush is a firm believer in the importance of work-life balance. An avid traveler and adventurer, he finds solace in exploring new destinations, immersing himself in different cultures, and forging lasting memories along the way. Whether he’s trekking through the Himalayas, diving in the azure waters of the Maldives, or experiencing the vibrant energy of bustling metropolises, Aayush embraces every opportunity to broaden his horizons and create unforgettable experiences.

Aayush’s journey to success is marked by a relentless pursuit of excellence and a steadfast commitment to continuous learning and growth. His academic achievements are a testament to his dedication and passion for excellence, having completed his software engineering with honors and excelling in every department.

At his core, Aayush is driven by a profound passion for analyzing markets and uncovering profitable opportunities amidst volatility. Whether he’s poring over price charts, identifying key support and resistance levels, or providing insightful analysis to his clients and followers, Aayush’s unwavering dedication to his craft sets him apart as a true industry leader and a beacon of inspiration to aspiring traders around the globe.

In a world where uncertainty reigns supreme, Aayush Jindal stands as a guiding light, illuminating the path to financial success with his unparalleled expertise, unwavering integrity, and boundless enthusiasm for the markets.



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Ethereum Price Rebound Stalls—Can It Reclaim the Lost Support?

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Ethereum price failed to recover above $1,700 and dropped below $1,550. ETH is now correcting losses and might face resistance near the $1,620 zone.

  • Ethereum failed to stay above the $1,620 and $1,550 levels.
  • The price is trading below $1,620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average.
  • There is a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,615 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD (data feed via Kraken).
  • The pair remains at risk of more losses if it fails to clear the $1,620 resistance zone.

Ethereum Price Recovery Faces Resistance

Ethereum price failed to stay above the $1,700 support zone and extended losses, like Bitcoin. ETH declined heavily below the $1,650 and $1,620 levels.

The bears even pushed the price below the $1,550 level. A low was formed at $1,410 and the price recently corrected some losses. There was a move above the $1,550 level. The price climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,815 swing high to the $1,410 low.

However, the bears are active near the $1,620 zone. Ethereum price is now trading below $1,620 and the 100-hourly Simple Moving Average. On the upside, the price seems to be facing hurdles near the $1,615 level.

There is also a connecting bearish trend line forming with resistance at $1,615 on the hourly chart of ETH/USD. It is close to the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the $1,815 swing high to the $1,410 low. The next key resistance is near the $1,660 level.

Ethereum Price
Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

The first major resistance is near the $1,720 level. A clear move above the $1,720 resistance might send the price toward the $1,820 resistance. An upside break above the $1,820 resistance might call for more gains in the coming sessions. In the stated case, Ether could rise toward the $1,880 resistance zone or even $1,920 in the near term.

Another Decline In ETH?

If Ethereum fails to clear the $1,620 resistance, it could start another decline. Initial support on the downside is near the $1,540 level. The first major support sits near the $1,505 zone.

A clear move below the $1,505 support might push the price toward the $1,420 support. Any more losses might send the price toward the $1,380 support level in the near term. The next key support sits at $1,320.

Technical Indicators

Hourly MACDThe MACD for ETH/USD is losing momentum in the bullish zone.

Hourly RSIThe RSI for ETH/USD is now above the 50 zone.

Major Support Level – $1,540

Major Resistance Level – $1,620



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