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Altcoin Season Kicks Off: Bitcoin Weakness Fuels Speculation

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Analysts are focusing on altcoins as Bitcoin (BTC) experiences a price decline, with hopes of a potential altseason. This phase, which often follows Bitcoin halvings, has been anticipated since the fourth Bitcoin halving in April.

An altcoin season refers to a period where altcoins outperform Bitcoin and Ethereum (ETH), offering better investment returns.

Analysts Say It’s Altcoin Accumulation Phase

Mags, a prominent crypto analyst, points out that altcoins are trading at 60% to 80% of their previous highs. He highlights that the Total2, which tracks the market cap of the top-125 cryptocurrencies excluding Bitcoin, is holding above an ascending trendline.

If this support holds firm, Mags suggests it could signal the beginning of the “biggest altcoin season of all time.” When Total2 stays above a trendline, it indicates positive momentum and a bullish trend for altcoins.

Total2 Chart. Source: X/Twitter

Another analyst, Mustache, notes that altcoins have maintained a perfect Wyckoff accumulation pattern for several years. He suggests that altcoins are now consolidating before their next upward move, as price action tightens within a descending broadening wedge pattern.

Mustache highlights that the activity is occurring on higher timeframes, even though the lower timeframes currently indicate a weaker market outlook.

Read more: 10 Best Altcoin Exchanges In 2024

Altcoins Consolidate within Wyckoff Pattern, Source: Mustache on X
Altcoins Consolidate within Wyckoff Pattern, Source: Mustache on X

A Wyckoff Accumulation Pattern is a technical chart formation used by analysts to identify potential buying opportunities after a prolonged downtrend. During this phase, the asset’s price consolidates within a range as buyers and sellers vie for control.

The pattern suggests that institutional investors (smart money) accumulate the asset at lower prices, while selling pressure weakens. This forms a base for a potential price reversal, signaling that the asset could soon move upward as demand increases and selling subsides.

Current Bear Market Corrects Post-Halving Abnormality

CryptoEstigma, another analyst on X, says the ongoing bear market is a correction following an atypical event after the fourth Bitcoin halving. Unlike previous cycles, altcoins rallied earlier than usual this time. Historically, alt seasons tend to start toward the end of the halving year, but the early rally disrupted this trend, leading to the ongoing market correction.

“The halving effect had not yet occurred and yet the altcoins had multiplied their value by too many Xs,” CryptoEstigma explained.

Meanwhile, crypto markets are grappling with US economic events, such as Federal Reserve decisions, geopolitical tensions, and recession fears, contributing to heightened volatility. While some analysts foresee an altcoin season, others, like Duo Nine, warn against over-investing in altcoins, citing rising Bitcoin dominance and negative Ethereum ETF flows.

Read more: 11 Cryptos To Add To Your Portfolio Before Altcoin Season

Further, another group of analysts remains in the grey area, preparing for any eventuality by rebalancing their portfolio and positioning themselves for optimal returns. Nevertheless, there is a side that says even if it does come, it may fail to be as rigorous as that of 2017 and 2020.

“Anyone can launch an altcoin now, which has completely diluted the market. If altseason ever happens again, it will be a fraction of the gains from 17 or 20. Meanwhile, Bitcoin keeps gaining market share,” said venture capitalist Jeff Kirdeikis.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why SUI Network Outage Did Not Cause a Price Crash

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Earlier today, the Layer-1 blockchain Sui experienced a two-hour blackout, halting block production and rendering transaction processing impossible. This network outage led to a slight dip in SUI’s price, falling from $3.73 to $3.64.

Despite concerns of a more significant decline, the price stabilized after the project announced that the network was fully restored and operational.

Sui Comes Back Online, Altcoin Still in Good Position

Around 10:52 UTC, web3 security firm ExVull disclosed that a DOS bug caused the Sui network outage. Fully known as a Denial-of-Service (DoS) attack, the bug” refers to a software attack that overwhelms a system with excessive traffic or requests, causing it to become unavailable to legitimate users by crashing or severely slowing its functionality.

“After our analysis, it was found that the Sui Network node occur DOS due to integer overflow,” ExVul stated.

Following this development, several exchanges halted SUI transactions as the price also dipped a little. However, nearly two hours later, the project updated its community, saying that validators had assisted in resolving the issue.

“The Sui network is back up and processing transactions again, thanks to swift work from the incredible community of Sui validators. The 2-hour downtime was caused by a bug in transaction scheduling logic that caused validators to crash, which has now been resolved,” it explained.

Meanwhile, data from Messari showed that, amid the outage, the Sharpe ratio remained positive. The Sharpe ratio is a key measure of risk-adjusted return, indicating how much excess return an investment generates relative to its volatility

It helps investors assess whether the returns of a riskier asset justify the risk taken. A higher ratio signifies better risk-adjusted performance. Typically, when the ratio is negative, it means that the risk might not be worth the reward.

SUI Sharpe ratio
Sui Sharpe Ratio. Source: Messari

However, since it is positive for SUI, it indicates that accumulating the altcoin around its current value could still yield positive returns.

SUI Price Prediction: Run Above $4

On the daily chart, SUI continues to trade within an ascending channel. An ascending channel, also called a rising channel or channel up, is a chart pattern defined by two parallel upward-sloping lines. 

It forms when the price shows higher swing highs and higher swing lows, indicating an ongoing uptrend. Furthermore, the Chaikin Money Flow (CMF) has increased, suggesting that buying pressure has outpaced distribution.

Sui price analysis
Sui Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

If this continues, SUI’s price could climb above $4. However, if a Sui network outage occurs again, this might not happen. In that scenario, the value could drop below $3.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Aptos Partners with Circle and Stripe to Revitalize Network

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The Aptos Foundation announced a new partnership with Circle and Stripe, hoping to revolutionize its network functionality. Circle’s CCTP and USDC stablecoin will enhance blockchain interoperability, while Stripe will attract TradFi by simplifying fiat interactions.

Aptos has set ambitious goals with this partnership, but APT’s upward momentum has stagnated.

Aptos Partners with Circle and Stripe

According to a new announcement from the Aptos (APT) Foundation, its network is integrating Circle’s USDC stablecoin and Cross-Chain Transfer Protocol (CCTP). Additionally, Aptos is integrating the payment platform Stripe, generally streamlining fiat-related features. These include on- and off-ramps, payment processing, and TradFi ease of adoption.

“Once the integration is complete, users will be able to seamlessly transfer USDC between Aptos and 8 major blockchains. In addition to USDC and CCTP, Stripe will soon launch its payment services on Aptos, creating a reliable fiat on-ramp to streamline merchant pay-ins and payouts using Aptos-compatible wallets,” the firm claimed via press release.

In other words, Aptos aims to use this partnership to make itself “the ultimate hub for interoperable DeFi.” These companies will approach this goal from both ends: enticing new users and investors while substantially improving the core experience. This partnership marks a new development for Stripe’s integration with crypto.

Indeed, Stripe took a six-year hiatus from cryptocurrency payments, which only ended this April. Since then, however, it’s been engaging seriously with the industry. The firm entered an earlier partnership with Circle this June, hoping to promote USDC adoption. Additionally, Stripe acquired Bridge, a crypto payment platform, last month.

For its part, Aptos is undertaking a recovery process. Despite a major price spike in March, it suffered a lingering decline for most of 2024. The asset began regaining steam in October, and the November bull market has brought increased optimism. Still, its gains have stagnated for about a week.

Aptos Price in 2024
Aptos Price in 2024. Source: BeInCrypto

This partnership between Aptos, Circle, and Stripe may help APT regain its forward momentum. These ambitious new features will greatly add functionality and accessibility to Aptos’ network. Still, the firm has set a very ambitious goal for itself: to solidify “its place as a leader in interoperable DeFi and enterprise-grade blockchain technology.” Only time can tell its success level.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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SEC Moves Toward Solana ETF Approval Amid Pro-Crypto Shift

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The SEC is quietly meeting with several issuers to discuss approving a Solana ETF, claims Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett. With Trump’s impending pro-crypto administration, the SEC seems more inclined to approve such a product.

However, anti-crypto figure Gary Gensler is still nominally in charge of the SEC, and public progress might not begin until 2025.

Solana ETF Approval Is Getting Closer

According to a scoop from Fox Business reporter Eleanor Terrett, the SEC and several ETF issuers are in talks to approve a Solana ETF. Currently, Brazil is the only country that has given this product a green light. As recently as September, Polymarket odds gave the SEC a dismal 3% chance of approving it. This reluctance, however, might soon be changing:

“Talks between SEC staff and issuers looking to launch a Solana spot ETF are “progressing” with the SEC now engaging on S-1 applications. Recent engagement from staff, coupled with the incoming pro-crypto administration, is sparking a renewed sense of optimism that a Solana ETF could be approved sometime in 2025,” Terrett claimed.

Terrett was very clear about the impetus for this progress in negotiations: Donald Trump’s re-election. On the campaign trail, Trump vowed to significantly reform US crypto policy, and one cornerstone was firing anti-crypto SEC Chair Gary Gensler. Gensler has apparently conceded to his impending ouster, and his replacement will undoubtedly support the industry.

Previous attempts have floundered at an early step in the process. Once the SEC officially acknowledges an application, it must confirm or deny it within a 240-day window. Previous filings have lingered in limbo at this stage. However, the list of candidates is now growing: Canary Capital filed for a Solana ETF in October, and BitWise did the same earlier today.

Timeline of Solana ETF Applications, with Previous Frozen Attempts
Timeline of Solana ETF Applications, with Previous Frozen Attempts. Source: Eric Balchunas

Nonetheless, these positive negotiations still only consist of anonymous rumors. The Commission has not publicly moved to begin this process, and Gensler is still nominally in charge. Terrett posits that the SEC will only make serious progress on the Solana ETF at the start of 2025. Compared to previous pessimism, however, this is a complete sea change.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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