Market
Altcoin Season Index Roars Back with Bitcoin Falling Behind
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Today, 38 out of the top 50 cryptocurrencies have performed better than Bitcoin (BTC) over the last 90 days. As a result, the altcoin season index has hit its highest level since January.
This development has sparked widespread optimism in the market, with many speculating that the prices of these altcoins could go much higher over the next few months. But could this be feasible?
Altcoins Take Over, but Analysts Differ on Reason for Surge
For those unfamiliar, the altcoin season index provides real-time insights based on the performance of the top 50 cryptos relative to Bitcoin. Typically, when the index is 25, it means that Bitcoin has the upper hand. It also indicates that it has outperformed at least 75% of the top 50 coins.
On the other hand, when the Altcoin Season Index hits 75 or higher, it signifies the start of an altcoin season. In this instance, most of the top 50 assets outperform BTC. As of now, the index stands at 78, confirming speculation that altcoins could continue to outpace BTC in the coming months.
This level marks the highest reading since January 22. During that period, altcoins maintained strong performance until March, when their dominance waned. In the current cycle, BeInCrypto notes that Stellar (XLM), Hedera (HBAR), and Ripple (XRP) are leading the charge.
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However, Ki Young Ju, CEO of CryptoQuant, offered a different perspective on the current altcoin season. According to him, this phase isn’t primarily fueled by a rotation of liquidity from Bitcoin.
He, however, noted that the major driver is the increased accessibility and usage of stablecoins and fiat pairs. This shift suggests that new capital entering the market might be significantly driving altcoins’ performance.
“Alt season is no longer defined by asset rotation from Bitcoin. The surge in altcoin trading volume isn’t driven by BTC pairs but by stablecoin and fiat pairs, reflecting real market growth rather than asset rotation,” Ki Young Ju emphasized on X.
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But crypto analyst Rekt Capital seemed to have a different opinion. On November 30, the analyst highlighted that the drop in Bitcoin dominance, which is currently around 56%, indicates that money is flowing into Ethereum (ETH) and other altcoins.
“Bitcoin ranging between $91,000 and $100,000 may very well be a recipe for Ethereum to take the lead and enable money flow into smaller Altcoins,” Rekt Capital wrote.
Analysis Hints at Higher Highs for Alts Market Cap
Analysis of TOTAL2, an indicator that measures the market cap of the top 125 altcoins, shows a bull flag forming on the 3-day chart.
A bull flag is a bullish chart pattern characterized by two rallies separated by a short consolidation phase. It begins with a steep price surge, known as the “flagpole,” as buyers overpower sellers. This is followed by a pullback, creating a “flag” with parallel upper and lower trendlines, indicating a potential continuation of the uptrend.
With this pattern in place, TOTAL2 is likely to rise much higher than $1.45 trillion. If that is the case, then many altcoin prices might surpass their all-time highs.
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However, if Bitcoin dominance climbs back to 60%, altcoin season could step back, and this forecast could be invalidated.
Meanwhile, Doctor Profit, a prominent crypto analyst, agrees that an altcoin season is on the horizon. In a recent post on X, he predicted that the remainder of this year and the first quarter of 20245 could bring higher prices for altcoins.
Beyond the technical outlook, the analyst pointed to strong institutional inflows into Ethereum as a bullish signal. He also highlighted circulating rumors suggesting that asset managers BlackRock and JP Morgan may be planning an XRP ETF — a development that could further accelerate the altcoin season.
“Now, huge rumors are circulating that BlackRock and JPMorgan are planning to launch an XRP ETF, and this is not just big, it’s very BIG. We’re at the beginning of Altseason, and anyone who isn’t paying attention is going to get left behind,” Doctor Profit explained.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Ethereum Rollback Debate Intensifies After Bybit Hack
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The crypto community is divided over calls for an Ethereum blockchain rollback following a massive security breach at Bybit.
On February 21, the exchange lost nearly $1.5 billion in ETH to hackers, sparking discussions about whether Ethereum should intervene to recover the stolen funds.
What is a Blockchain Rollback?
A blockchain rollback, also known as a reorganization, involves reversing confirmed transactions to restore the network to an earlier state.
This process usually happens after a major security breach or exploit. Validators must reach a consensus to discard the affected blocks, effectively erasing the malicious transactions.
Despite its potential benefits, a rollback remains a controversial and rarely used measure due to its impact on a blockchain’s trust and decentralization.
Blockchains operate on the principle of immutability, meaning transactions are expected to be final once confirmed. So, rolling back transactions challenges this principle, raising concerns about the security and reliability of the network.
Crypto Leaders Clash Over Ethereum Rollback Proposal
BitMEX co-founder Arthur Hayes has been vocal in advocating for a rollback to solve the ByBit hack. He pointed to the 2016 DAO hack, where Ethereum underwent a hard fork to recover stolen funds, as precedent.
Hayes argued that since Ethereum previously compromised on immutability, another intervention should not be off the table.
“My own view as a mega ETH bag holder is ETH stopped being money in 2016 after the DAO hack hardfork. If the community wanted to do it again, I would support it because we already voted no on immutability in 2016,” Hayes said.
JAN3 CEO Samson Mow also supported the rollback, stating it could prevent North Korea from using the stolen funds to fund its nuclear weapons program.
However, not everyone agrees. Pseudonymous crypto trader Borovik strongly opposed the idea, arguing that a rollback would jeopardize Ethereum’s credibility and neutrality.
Bitcoin advocate Jimmy Song also dismissed the possibility, stating that the Bybit hack cannot be compared to the 2016 DAO exploit. Song emphasized that the DAO hack allowed for a 30-day intervention, whereas the Bybit attack is already finalized, making a rollback impractical.
“I know people are expecting the Ethereum Foundation to roll back the chain, but I suspect it’s already too much of a mess to do it cleanly,” Song added.
Meanwhile, Ethereum supporter Adriano Feria introduced an alternative perspective. He argued that Bybit could have avoided this situation by using a Layer 2 (L2) solution with conditional reversible transactions.
According to Feria, blockchain technology needs some form of reversibility to ensure real-world adoption.
“Whether through social recovery or another pre-determined, immutable, and transparent decision-making process, real-world mass adoption will not work without reversible transactions. Without this capability, transactional activity will inevitably gravitate toward TradFi systems that already provide it,” Feria stated.
This debate raises a fundamental question for Ethereum: should it prioritize immutability or intervene in extreme cases?
While some see a rollback as a necessary response to an unprecedented loss, others fear it could undermine the core principles of decentralization. Ethereum’s next steps will likely shape its long-term credibility and trust within the crypto space.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Berachain (BERA) Falls 15% After Recent Rally Surge
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Berachain (BERA) is down almost 15% in the last 24 hours, with its market cap now at $778 million, although its price remains up nearly 20% over the past seven days. This sharp pullback comes after a strong rally between February 18 and February 20, when BERA reached levels above $8.5.
BERA’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has dropped from overbought levels, signaling a loss of bullish momentum, while its Directional Movement Index (DMI) shows growing bearish pressure. As BERA navigates this correction phase, it faces key support at $6.1, with potential resistance levels at $8.5, $9.1, and $10 if bullish momentum returns.
BERA RSI Is Dropping Steadily After Touching Overbought Levels
Berachain Relative Strength Index (RSI) is currently at 50.6, down sharply from 86.7 just two days ago when its price surged above $8.5. RSI is a momentum oscillator that measures the speed and change of price movements, ranging from 0 to 100.
It is commonly used to identify overbought or oversold conditions, with values above 70 indicating overbought levels and below 30 suggesting oversold territory.
The steep decline in BERA’s RSI reflects a significant loss of bullish momentum after reaching overbought levels above 86, where a correction was likely.
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With RSI now at 50.6, BERA is in a neutral zone, suggesting that buying and selling pressures are relatively balanced.
This could indicate a period of consolidation as the market digests recent gains. If RSI continues to decline below 50, it could signal increasing bearish momentum. This could lead to a further price drop for BERA.
Conversely, if RSI stabilizes and begins to rise, it could suggest renewed buying interest and a potential recovery in Berachain price.
BERA DMI Chart Shows Buyers Are Losing Control
Berachain Directional Movement Index (DMI) chart shows its Average Directional Index (ADX) currently at 50.5, after peaking at 60.2 yesterday, up from just 13.3 five days ago. ADX is an indicator used to measure the strength of a trend, regardless of its direction, ranging from 0 to 100.
Values above 25 typically indicate a strong trend, while values below 20 suggest a weak or sideways market. The sharp rise in ADX reflects a significant increase in trend strength, confirming that BERA has been experiencing strong directional movement recently.
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Meanwhile, BERA’s +DI is at 24.4, down from 48.4 two days ago, indicating weakening bullish momentum. Meanwhile, -DI has risen to 15.1 from 4.9, suggesting growing bearish pressure.
This shift signals that the bullish trend that drove prices higher is losing steam, and selling interest is beginning to increase.
If -DI continues to rise above +DI, it could indicate a bearish crossover, signaling a potential reversal or deeper correction in BERA’s price. However, if +DI stabilizes and moves upward again, it could suggest a continuation of the uptrend, albeit with reduced momentum.
Will Berachain Fall Below $6 Soon?
Berachain surged 53% between February 18 and February 20, pushing its price above $8.5 after the coin struggled following its airdrop. However, after this sharp rally, BERA entered a correction phase and is currently down almost 15% in the last 24 hours.
This pullback suggests profit-taking and a shift in market sentiment as buyers hesitate to push prices higher. If the downtrend continues, BERA could soon test the support at $6.1, and a break below this level could lead to a further decline towards $5.48, reflecting increased selling pressure.
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On the other hand, if Berachain can regain its bullish momentum from a few days ago, it could rise above $8.5 again, potentially testing the next resistance levels at $9.1 or even $10.
To confirm this bullish scenario, Berachain would need to see renewed buying interest and strong upward momentum. If buyers can defend key support levels and push the price above resistance zones, it could indicate the continuation of the uptrend.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Bitcoin Could Rebound to $100,000 Soon Despite Bearish Pressure
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Bitcoin (BTC) has been trading below $100,000 since February 5, facing continued resistance despite attempts at recovery. Recent indicators suggest that sellers have gained control, with BTC’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) showing increased bearish pressure.
However, the Ichimoku Cloud points to a potential reversal if Bitcoin can break above key resistance zones. If bullish momentum returns, BTC could test the $97,756 resistance and possibly retake the $100,000 level, with $102,668 as the next target.
BTC DMI Shows that Sellers Gained Control In the Last 24 Hours
Bitcoin’s Directional Movement Index (DMI) shows its Average Directional Index (ADX) currently at 21.2, after briefly touching 22.9, rising from 15.5 two days ago.
ADX measures the strength of a trend without indicating its direction, ranging from 0 to 100. Typically, values above 25 indicate a strong trend, while values below 20 suggest a weak or ranging market.
With ADX hovering around 21.2, Bitcoin’s trend is relatively weak, signaling a potential transition period.
This suggests that the previous uptrend momentum is losing steam, possibly leading to a reversal or the beginning of a downtrend.
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Meanwhile, Bitcoin’s +DI is at 15.5, down from 23.3 just one day ago, indicating a decline in bullish momentum, while -DI has climbed to 21.9 from 9.2, reflecting growing bearish pressure.
This crossover, where -DI has moved above +DI, indicates that sellers are gaining control over the market, potentially signaling a shift from an uptrend to a downtrend.
If -DI continues to rise and +DI remains weak, Bitcoin could see increased selling pressure and a potential price decline. However, if +DI stabilizes and rebounds, Bitcoin might consolidate before choosing a more definitive directional move.
Bitcoin Ichimoku Cloud Paints A Bearish Picture, But It Could Change Soon
The Ichimoku Cloud chart for Bitcoin shows a mixed outlook with early signs of potential recovery. The blue Tenkan-sen line is currently above the red Kijun-sen line.
This crossover suggests that buying pressure is trying to recover, which could support a potential upward move.
However, Bitcoin’s price is still below the Kumo cloud, signaling that the overall trend remains bearish and that resistance is strong above the current levels.
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The Kumo cloud ahead is thin and slightly shifting upwards, suggesting that the bearish momentum might be weakening. If Bitcoin can break above the cloud, it would signal a potential trend reversal, especially if the Tenkan-sen continues to lead above the Kijun-sen.
Conversely, if Bitcoin fails to break above the cloud and the Tenkan-sen drops below the Kijun-sen again, it would confirm a continuation of the bearish trend.
For now, Bitcoin faces a crucial resistance zone, and the next move will depend on whether it can clear the cloud or get rejected downward.e
Bitcoin Could Return to $100,000 Very Soon
Bitcoin was on the verge of forming a new golden cross yesterday before the Bybit hack triggered a sharp price drop from $98,000 to roughly $95,000 within four hours.
Its Exponential Moving Average (EMA) lines are still bearish, with short-term EMAs positioned below long-term ones, indicating ongoing downward momentum.
This bearish setup suggests that selling pressure remains dominant. If sellers continue to control the market, Bitcoin could retest the support at $94,818, which was maintained during yesterday’s decline.
If this support breaks, Bitcoin could drop further to $93,415, and a continued downtrend could push it as low as $91,300.
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However, if Bitcoin price manages to recover from this drop, there are signs that the downtrend may not be as strong as it seems.
Both the ADX and Ichimoku Cloud indicate weakening bearish momentum, suggesting that a reversal is possible. In this case, Bitcoin could test the resistance at $97,756, and if this level is broken, it could rise to $100,000.
Should the uptrend gain more momentum, Bitcoin could continue climbing to test $102,668, marking its highest levels since early February.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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