Market
A Distant Threat or Imminent Reality?

On average, a crypto bear market lasts about a year, sometimes extending to two. This phase occurs when supply surpasses demand, causing prices to decline over an extended period.
One of the most severe bear markets unfolded in 2022. During this time, FTX, one of the largest crypto exchanges by trading volume, collapsed following a massive bank run. The downfall triggered a ripple effect, leading to the collapse of several hedge funds and lending protocols, marking a significant low point for the industry.
Bear Market Psychology Explained
Recently, there’s been talk about the crypto market heading back into a bear phase. Many cryptocurrencies have struggled since Bitcoin (BTC) hit $73,750 in March. The decline has raised concerns that the market might be entering another long period of falling prices.
The event, which surprisingly happened before the halving, sent shockwaves around the market. At that time, many suggested that crypto prices would hit higher highs.
However, this has not been the case. Instead, BTC’s price, alongside other cryptocurrencies, has either been consolidating, falling, or involved in false breakouts.
These factors, among others, have led some participants to suggest that the market might be heading into a bear phase. To evaluate this possibility, BeInCrypto examines the market cycle psychology chart for insights.
Read more: How To Make Money in a Bear Market

As seen above, this chart shows 14 different stages. For instance, the disbelief marks the end of the bear market when cryptos begin to move into the bull phase. There are also phases of thrill, anxiety, euphoria, or complacency.
From the look of things, the disbelief stage happened around the first quarter of 2023, when the Bitcoin price began to post gains consistently. Meanwhile, the “Thrill” period probably happened during the ETF approval earlier in January this year, as there were calls for people to double down on buying BTC.
Euphoria probably occurred in between March when BTC and many other altcoins and meme coins reached different heights. The cool-off in recent times may suggest that this cycle is between complacency and anxiety, which usually precedes a bear market.
Bitcoin Holders Say a Big No to the Downturn Despite ETH Issues
However, the periods of complacency and anxiety may have been false alarms. According to Glassnode, the Bitcoin Long-Term Holder Sell-side Risk Ratio offers a clue. This metric measures the level of profit-taking compared to past market cycles.
Currently, the ratio remains below the peak seen during the 2021 bull market, indicating that long-term Bitcoin holders are refraining from selling.

Actions like this suggest high conviction among long-term holders. With respect to this, the on-chain analytic platform explains that:
“An elevated percentage of Bitcoin network wealth is held by this investor cohort relative to previous cycle ATH breaks, which suggests there is a degree of investor patience on display, and waiting for higher prices.”
If this holds true, the bear market might not be imminent, and the cycle could still be in its bear phase. However, some market participants remain skeptical due to the underperformance of certain altcoins, particularly Ethereum (ETH).
In 2021, after Bitcoin reached its all-time high (ATH), ETH quickly followed suit and surpassed its previous peak. This time, however, the situation is different, even with the launch of spot Ethereum ETFs.
Currently, ETH trades at $2,657, marking a 45% drop from its ATH. Earlier, many market participants confidently predicted that the altcoin would reach between $8,000 and $10,000, but those expectations have yet to be realized.

Some of those optimistic predictions have faded as ETH continues to underperform, strengthening the belief that a bear market is approaching. However, it’s important to recognize that top cryptocurrencies, including BTC and ETH, recently underwent a period of distribution, which contributed to the recent price correction.
Bears Are Still Lurking for a Crypto Winter
Market participants might also worry that crypto whales have slowed down on buying BTC. However, these pauses are typical during a bull cycle. Despite this, caution is advised, as indicated by the Net Unrealized Profit/Loss (NUPL).
The NUPL measures whether investors are in profit or loss. When the reading increases, it shows that more investors are seeing higher profits. Conversely, a decrease signals declining gains.
This metric also helps determine whether the market has entered a bear phase. An increase points to a stronger bull cycle, while a significant decrease raises the likelihood of a bear market.
Read more: Bitcoin Halving History: Everything You Need To Know

At press time, Bitcoin’s NUPL stands at 0.46. In July, a similar drop in this range led BTC’s price to decline to $55,857. The last time the indicator hit this level, Bitcoin’s price fell to $42,576.
This makes the current reading a critical point for the market. If the NUPL continues to decrease and reaches 0.40 or lower, bears could take control. According to Grizzly, a pseudonymous analyst on CryptoQuant, if that happens, BTC could potentially drop to $40,000.
“If the index continues its downward movement, it’s reasonable to anticipate that the bears could take full control of the market. In such a scenario, the price could drop to around $40,000,” Grizzly wrote in his analysis.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Texas’ Bitcoin Reserve Bill Passes Senate Vote With 80% In Favor

Texas Bitcoin Reserve proposal passed a Senate vote with 25 out of 30 votes in favor. It will require another vote in the House of Representatives to reach the Governor and become law, but the progress is very encouraging.
Several other state-level reserve proposals failed due to Republican Party defections. In Texas, however, most Democrats voted in favor. This bill does not trigger mandatory Bitcoin purchases yet, which was a major sticking point with fiscal conservatives.
Texas Could Get a Bitcoin Reserve Soon
Throughout several states in the US, pro-crypto lawmakers are trying to pass small-scale Bitcoin Reserves. Texas’ effort has been a particular point of interest, and the state’s Lieutenant Governor has enthusiastically supported the proposal.
Last week, the Bitcoin Reserve bill in Texas passed through Committee, and today, it succeeded a Senate vote 25-5.
“The Texas Bitcoin Reserve Bill passed the Senate with some Democrat support. (The final vote was 25 – 5, and there are 11 Democrat Senators). If there is similar cross-aisle support in the House, then the bill’s prospects for success are good,” a legislative watchdog claimed on social media.
The effort to pass a Bitcoin Reserve in Texas has been an important piece of crypto regulation for several reasons. Obviously, Texas is a large and economically vital area, with the second-largest GDP of all US states.
Additionally, this effort represents a crucial chance to defeat a losing streak in state-level Reserve bills.
Essentially, these bills would trigger up to $23 billion in Bitcoin purchases nationwide, which thrilled the crypto community. There’s just one problem: the Republican Party values fiscal conservatism.
Montana lawmakers rejected spending tax dollars on Bitcoin, and a wave of other red states followed soon after.
Crucially, however, Texas’ Bitcoin Reserve proposal did not mandate this spending. If the state government wishes to purchase Bitcoin, ideally from the large local mining industry, it can do so.
However, approval at this stage does not inevitably trigger this sort of spending, and now Texas can join states like Utah and Arizona as the leaders in this race.

What’s Next for the BTC Reserve Bill in Texas?
Despite today’s win, the fight for a Texas Bitcoin Reserve is far from over. The bill will now move to the state’s House of Representatives, which has more than five times as many members.
More specifically, the Texas House of Representatives has 89 Republican members and 62 Democrats. In theory, this should be a clear win, as Republicans are largely pro-crypto.

However, this wasn’t the case in Montana, North Dakota, South Dakota, Pennsylvania, and Wyoming, where several Republican members voted against the respective BTC reserve bills.
The Texas bill passed the Senate with near-unanimous support, but it might be more contentious before a larger body. In any event, it’s a win, and the Bitcoin Reserve efforts could use a victory right now.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
Top 3 AI Coins For the Second Week of March: ICP, ALCH, IP

AI coins remain a key narrative in the market, with several projects showing strong momentum despite broader sector correction. Internet Computer (ICP) has struggled over the past month, but its decentralized infrastructure could become very relevant in the AI space.
Alchemist AI (ALCH) has surged recently, benefiting from growing interest in no-code AI solutions. Story (IP) is one of the most trending AI coins, up 79% in the last 30 days, and it has the potential to reach new all-time highs if market sentiment continues to favor AI-driven projects.
Internet Computer (ICP)
The Internet Computer (ICP) is a decentralized platform that hosts secure, network-resident code and data, allowing developers to build web applications without relying on Big Tech or traditional IT infrastructure.
The platform supports a wide range of use cases, including web3 social media, games, DeFi, multi-chain applications, secure front-ends, ledgers, enterprise solutions, and AI models.

ICP is down more than 13% in the last 30 days, with its market cap now below $3 billion. If the current downtrend continues, ICP could test support at $6, and a break below that level could push it to $5.88, with a stronger selloff leading to $5.62.
On the upside, if momentum shifts and the trend reverses, ICP could test resistance at $6.82, with a breakout potentially sending it to $7.27 and $7.45.
Alchemist AI (ALCH)
Alchemist AI is a no-code development platform that allows users to create software applications using simple descriptions.
Its native coin, ALCH, runs on the Solana blockchain.

ALCH has surged more than 34% in the last 24 hours and over 54% in the past seven days, bringing its market cap to $60 million – its highest level since the end of January. If the uptrend continues, ALCH could test resistance at $0.0748, with a breakout potentially pushing it to $0.116 or even $0.18, its highest level since mid-January.
However, if momentum fades and a downtrend forms, the AI coin could test support at $0.059, with a break below that level potentially leading to $0.045. A stronger selloff could send the price as low as $0.021, marking a possible 70% correction.
Story (IP)
Story has been one of the most trending artificial intelligence coins in recent weeks, gaining 79% in the last 30 days despite the broader crypto market correction and AI coins such as VIRTUAL correcting by 50% in the same period.
Its market cap is now close to $1.3 billion, with daily trading volume around $150 million.

If AI coins regain momentum as they did a few months ago, Story could benefit and test resistance at $6.96 and $7.99, potentially surpassing $8 for the first time and reaching new all-time highs.
However, if momentum fades, Story could lose support at $5.00, with a drop to $3.60 as the next key level. A deeper correction could send the price as low as $2.12, marking a significant retracement from its recent surge.
Disclaimer
In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Market
XRP Price Ready To Bounce Back Above $3 If Bulls Can Hold This Level

The XRP price is getting ready to surge to new highs as bulls attempt to hold a critical resistance level. Recently, the cryptocurrency experienced a major breakdown as market downside pressure increased. If it can break above its descending resistance, analysts believe it could bounce back above $3 soon.
XRP Price Set To Skyrocket Above $3
A Pseudonymous TradingView crypto analyst known as “MyCryptoParadise” has outlined XRP’s future price trajectory, predicting a surge toward $3.3 for the popular cryptocurrency. The analyst shared a chart outlining key support and resistance levels while evaluating potential breakout and pullback scenarios.
Related Reading
In his price chart, the TradingView crypto expert highlighted that XRP is at a critical juncture, with bulls fighting to maintain momentum and hold onto a crucial resistance level after experiencing a sharp pullback from recent highs. XRP had triggered this massive price pump after hitting a major support zone between $2.00 and $1.95 — a level where buyers stepped in aggressively. However, the cryptocurrency failed to maintain its bullish momentum and experienced a pullback.
Currently, XRP is holding above the critical support zone around $2.3 to $2.2. The TradingView analyst has asserted that XRP bulls must defend this support area to keep the cryptocurrency’s bullish setup active or risk a downturn.

If buyers can maintain control and keep accumulating tokens around the support zone at $2.3 – $2.2 for the next few hours, the TradingView expert believes that XRP could see a major recovery back to previous highs around the $2.7 – $2.8 resistance zone.
While the altcoin’s current structure suggests an impending breakout, its descending resistance trendline still poses a potential threat to its upside momentum. Previously, this descending resistance rejected multiple price rallies, acting as a major obstacle to XRP’s price growth.
For XRP to confirm its bullish setup and initiate a significant breakout, the TradingView crypto analyst has suggested that it must close above the $2.85 level with substantial volume. If the cryptocurrency surpasses $2.85, the next major target could be $3.2 to $3.3 — a level where sellers are likely to step in aggressively.
Overall, XRP’s fundamentals remain solid and possibly bullish. However, failing to clear the descending resistance could invalidate this setup and potentially lead to another rejection and a drop to new lows.
Analyst Sets Seemingly Impossible Target For The Altcoin
While other market analysts share conservative price projections for XRP, one expert, known as ‘Steph is Crypto’ on X (formerly Twitter), has set a rather ambitious target for XRP. The analyst believes that XRP is gearing up for an explosive price rally to $30.
Related Reading
Notably, XRP is currently trading below all-time highs at $2.56, meaning a surge to $30 would require a 1,100% increase in value. Considering the magnitude of this rally, the analyst’s prediction was met with skepticism from community members who suggested that such a scenario was seemingly impossible.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
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