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$5.01 Billion Crypto Options Expire Today, What’s Next?

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The crypto market will witness $5.01 billion in Bitcoin and Ethereum options contracts expire today. This massive expiration could impact short-term price action, especially as both assets have recently declined.

With Bitcoin options valued at $3.67 billion and Ethereum at $1.36 billion, traders are bracing for potential volatility.

High-Stakes Crypto Options Expirations: What Traders Should Watch Today

Today’s expiring options mark a significant increase from last week. According to Deribit data, Bitcoin options expiration involves 61,793 contracts, compared to 18,440 contracts last week. Similarly, Ethereum’s expiring options total 538,872 contracts, up from 141,410 contracts the previous week.

Read more: An Introduction to Crypto Options Trading

Expiring Bitcoin Options.
Expiring Bitcoin Options. Source: Deribit

These expiring Bitcoin options have a maximum pain price of $61,000 and a put-to-call ratio of 0.59. This indicates a generally bullish sentiment despite the asset’s recent pullback. In comparison, their Ethereum counterparts have a maximum pain price of $2,800 and a put-to-call ratio of 0.49, reflecting a similar market outlook.

Expiring Ethereum Options.
Expiring Ethereum Options. Source: Deribit

The maximum pain point is a crucial metric that often guides market behavior. It represents the price level at which most options expire worthless. Additionally, the put-to-call ratios below 1 for both Bitcoin and Ethereum suggest optimism in the market, with more traders betting on price increases.

According to Greeks.live analysts, recent price declines and external factors, such as Nvidia’s earnings, have led to a slight uptick in implied volatility (IV). However, they note that IV has generally decreased over time, reflecting a pullback trend.

“Options data shows that [realized volatility] RV has fallen from a high of 100% on August 9 to 40% currently, with BTC’s actual volatility levels dropping dramatically, which is also a significant factor driving IV down,” the analysts added.

Greeks.live analysts also observed an increase in long positions in block options trading. This condition indicates that some large-scale traders are preparing for future price rises.

The latest data shows that Bitcoin’s trading value has dropped by 3.26% to $59,157 from the $61,150 mark on August 29. Similarly, Ethereum has fallen by 2.55%, now trading at $2,525, down from the previous $2,592 during the same period.

Read more: 9 Best Crypto Options Trading Platforms

Options expirations often cause short-term price fluctuations, creating market uncertainty. However, markets usually stabilize soon after as traders adapt to the new price environment. With today’s high-volume expiration, traders and investors can expect a similar outcome, potentially influencing future crypto market trends.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Why XLM Volume Hit 3-Year Peak After XRP $1 Rally

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Stellar (XLM) has experienced a significant surge in volume, reaching its highest levels since May 2021. This uptick coincides with Ripple’s (XRP) unexpected rally to $1 on Saturday, November 16.

XLM’s price also has risen by 30% in the last 24 hours, imitating XRP’s impressive performance. But why is this so? This analysis reveals everything that has to do with this closely-tied movement.

Stellar History with Ripple Remains in Effect

According to data from Santiment, XLM’s trading volume has surged to $2.96 billion as of this writing. This rise in volume clearly indicates growing buying pressure on the altcoin and a noticeable increase in market interest. 

The last time XLM experienced such high volume levels was during the 2021 bull market, a period when cryptocurrency assets saw market-wide rallies.

This spike in volume suggests that investors are becoming more confident in XLM’s potential, especially given XRP’s recent surge. Historically, both altcoins have shared a strong correlation, majorly due to two reasons.

XLM volume jumps
Stellar Volume. Source: Santiment

Firstly, Jed McCaleb, the former co-founder of Ripple, went on to co-found Stellar. The two projects share a strong connection, particularly in their focus on blockchain-based cross-border payments, making Stellar’s fundamentals closely aligned with Ripple’s.

As a result, XRP and XLM prices often move in together. Macroaxis data supports this, showing a 90-day correlation coefficient of 0.96. To put this into perspective, the coefficient ranges from -1 to +1. Values closer to -1 suggest a weak correlation, while those nearing +1 indicate a strong link between the assets.

XLM correlation with XRP
Stellar and Ripple Price Correlation. Source: Macroaxis

Besides the XLM volume, the altcoin’s Open Interest (OI) is also another metric that experiences a notable hike. High OI indicates that capital is flowing into the market, with new positions being established, reflecting a strong bullish sentiment.

On the other hand, a low OI suggests otherwise. According to Santiment, XLM’s OI has risen to $75.05 million — the highest level since Ripple’s partial win over the US in July 2023. Should the value continue to increase, then XLM’s price might also rise above $0.20.

Stellar Open Interest rises
Stellar Open Interest. Source: Santiment

XLM Price Prediction: Possible Move to $0.24

On the daily chart, XLM’s price initially rallied to $0.22, but it faced rejection at that point. Despite the slight retracement, the altcoin’s value remains above the Ichimoku Cloud. The Ichimoku Cloud is a technical indicator that measures support and resistance and identifies trend direction.

When the cloud is above the price, the trend is downward, indicating a high level of resistance. But in XLM’s case, the cloud is below the value, suggesting strong support that could push the price higher. 

XLM price analysis
Stellar Daily Analysis. Source: TradingView

If this remains the case and XLM’s volume continues to rise, then the altcoin could hit $0.24. However, if holders decide to book profits, this might not happen. Instead, XLM’s price could drop to $0.16.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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ETH Bulls Bet Big, Pull $780 Million Coins from Exchanges

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Despite a recent price decline, Ethereum (ETH) bulls appear to be setting their sight on a renewed rally, according to data obtained by BeInCrypto on-chain. Today, ETH’s price is $3,130 — down from its recent peak of $3,434 on November 12.

Investors, however, remain resolute that the cryptocurrency pullback is temporary. Here is a breakdown of what could happen amid the current sentiment.

Ethereum Investors Decide Not to Sell

According to Glassnode, the total Ethereum exchange inflow is 249,245 as of this writing. Exchange inflow is the number of coins sent to exchanges within a given timeframe. When this metric increases, it means that more holders are willing to sell, which could be bearish for the cryptocurrency.

On the other hand, a decrease in the exchange inflow indicates that investors are removing their holdings from exchanges. For ETH, the current figure, valued at approximately $780 million, is a decrease from the value on Friday, November 15.

Therefore, this suggests that most ETH holders are refraining from selling. If this continues, the cryptocurrency might not experience a decline below $3,000 in the short term.

Ethereum exchange inflow drops
Ethereum Exchange Inflow. Source: Glassnode

Data from IntoTheBlock reveals that ETH bulls are actively working to sustain the price. This is evident from the Bulls and Bears indicator, which tracks whether addresses trading at least 1% of a cryptocurrency’s volume are predominantly buying or selling.

When the indicator shows more bulls, it signals that participants are primarily buying. Conversely, a higher number of bears indicates increased selling activity. 

Over the past 24 hours, Ethereum bulls have outnumbered bears, suggesting ETH’s price could surpass $3,130 in the short term.

Ethereum bulls dominance
Ethereum Bulls and Bears Indicator. Source: IntoTheBlock

ETH Price Prediction: More Support for the Upside

From an on-chain perspective, the In/Out of Money Around Price (IOMAP) supports the bias that ETH’s price could trade higher. The IOMAP indicator helps traders identify key price levels where significant buying or selling activity is likely based on user positions and profitability. 

It also highlights areas of support and resistance, depending on the volume at a price range. Typically, the larger the cluster of volume, the stronger the support or resistance.

In the image below, approximately 3 million addresses accumulated Ethereum at the $3,075 price level, collectively holding 3.56 million ETH. These addresses are “in the money,” indicating they are currently profitable based on the prevailing market price. 

Ethereum price support
Ethereum In/Out of Money Around Price. Source: IntoTheBlock

This cluster suggests strong support at $3,075, as holders at this level may resist selling at almost every other level between $3,251 and $3,591. Considering this position, Ethereum’s price is likely to rally toward $3,600.

However, if selling pressure increases, this might not happen. In that scenario, ETH’s value could decrease below $3,000.

Disclaimer

In line with the Trust Project guidelines, this price analysis article is for informational purposes only and should not be considered financial or investment advice. BeInCrypto is committed to accurate, unbiased reporting, but market conditions are subject to change without notice. Always conduct your own research and consult with a professional before making any financial decisions. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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Shiba Inu Developer Urges Trump to Appoint a Blockchain Advisor

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Shytoshi Kusama, the pseudonymous lead developer of Shiba Inu, has called on President-elect Donald Trump to appoint a blockchain advisor in his administration.

The suggestion comes as the newly created Department of Government Efficiency (DOGE) reportedly explores implementing a blockchain-based election system.

Kusama Explains Why Trump Should Hire a Blockchain Advisor

On November 15, Kusama shared concerns about the rumored blockchain election platform reportedly under review by Trump’s team. The rumored system, dubbed “eVote,” is said to involve partnerships with prominent blockchain platforms like Cardano, Hyperledger, Hedera, and X (formerly Twitter). It aims to create a nationwide electronic voting and identity verification solution.

The eVote initiative seeks to combat election fraud by requiring its adoption across all US states. Analysts believe this aligns with Trump’s long-standing emphasis on ensuring election integrity, particularly in light of controversies surrounding past electoral processes.

While the idea has gained traction, Kusama insists that its success depends on integrating Fully Homomorphic Encryption (FHE). This advanced encryption ensures voter data remains secure both on the blockchain and against external threats.

Kusama warned that without FHE, sensitive voter information, such as identities and preferences, could be exposed to decryption attempts by malicious actors. This vulnerability could lead to widespread disruption. He emphasized that encryption must be robust enough to resist quantum computing threats, ensuring both on-chain and off-chain security.

“Without FHE, this concept fails. Here is why. Votes to be protected, not just on chain… encrypted in a way that is quantum proof. Otherwise, bad actor country decodes the votes and publishes wallets & who voted for whom. Chaos ensues,” Kusama explained.

Due to this, the Shiba Inu developer called on Trump to appoint a dedicated blockchain advisor to tackle these challenges. Such an appointment could bridge the gap between technology and public policy.

Notably, industry leaders like Cardano’s founder, Charles Hoskinson, have shown interest in collaborating with government policymakers to develop regulatory clarity and foster blockchain innovation.

If Trump follows through, this move would align with his growing engagement with crypto-focused figures. Recently, he appointed crypto advocates Elon Musk and Vivek Ramaswamy to lead DOGE and nominated Florida Congressman Matt Gaetz, a Bitcoin supporter, as Attorney General. Additionally, Robert F. Kennedy Jr., known for his pro-Bitcoin stance, is set to become the Secretary of Health and Human Services.

Disclaimer

In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and ConditionsPrivacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.



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