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Why This Crypto Asset Is Bitwise CIO’s Best Contrarian Bet

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

In an interview with Aaron Arnold, founder of Altcoin Daily, Matt Hougan, the Chief Investment Officer (CIO) of Bitwise Asset Management, shared his optimistic outlook on Ethereum for 2025. Amidst a crypto landscape where Bitcoin and emerging high-performance blockchains like Solana, Sui, and Aptos dominate headlines, Hougan positions Ethereum as a “contrarian bet” that may offer significant returns for investors willing to look beyond current market sentiments.

Why Ethereum Is The Best “Contrarian Bet”

Hougan acknowledged Ethereum’s unique position within the crypto market. He describes Ethereum as “the asset that people love to hate; it’s kind of the middle child of crypto.” While Bitcoin maintains its status as the original cryptocurrency and a store of value, newer blockchains capture attention with promises of superior performance and innovative features. Ethereum, meanwhile, is often criticized for issues like high fees and the migration of activity to Layer-2’s, leading some to view it as outdated technology struggling to keep pace with its competitors.

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However, Hougan challenges this narrative by emphasizing Ethereum’s foundational role in some of the most critical and rapidly growing areas of the crypto industry. “When you step back and look at it, what are the killer apps of crypto outside of Bitcoin? They are things like stablecoins, DeFi [decentralized finance], and tokenization,” he notes. Despite the emergence of alternative platforms, Ethereum remains the leading blockchain supporting these applications. It is the primary choice for developers and institutions. “If you’re a large traditional financial player looking to build on a public blockchain what blockchain are you going to choose most likely? You’re going to choose Ethereum,” Hougan claims.

The Bitwise CIO attributes Ethereum’s underperformance to a transitional phase in its development. “I think Ethereum has sort of passed over this year because it’s going through this complex teenage adjustment in its architecture,” he explained. This “teenage adjustment” refers to Ethereum’s ongoing upgrades.

Hougan remains bullish on Ethereum’s long-term prospects, considering it a strong contrarian play for 2025. “Ethereum is the best contrarian bet in crypto right now,” he stated via X. Hougan believes that the market’s current focus on Bitcoin and newer blockchains has caused many to overlook Ethereum’s enduring strengths and potential for growth. He asserts that as the blockchain completes its architectural upgrades, it will be better positioned to capitalize on its dominant role in key sectors like stablecoins and DeFi.

When asked whether he believes Ethereum will break it’s all-time highs, Hougan expressed cautious optimism. “I certainly think we could see that in 2025 if we see significant growth in the application space,” he responded. However, he emphasized that Ethereum’s ability to reach new price levels is more conditional compared to Bitcoin. “I think it’s maybe more conditional than Bitcoin,” he admitted.

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Key among these conditions is the enactment of favorable stablecoin legislation. “We need to see positive stablecoin legislation that helps that move aggressively into the mainstream,” Hougan stresses. Regulatory clarity and support for stablecoins could lead to increased adoption and integration into the mainstream financial system, directly benefiting Ethereum as the primary platform for these digital assets. Additionally, he points to the necessity for continued growth in decentralized applications (dApps) built on the Ethereum network. “We need to see more growth in apps that are built on the Ethereum ecosystem,” he added.

Hougan advises investors to focus on the overall growth and development of the Ethereum ecosystem rather than short-term concerns like fee structures or the migration to Layer 2 solutions. “I don’t think that’s the game to play with Ethereum right now,” he remarks regarding worries about fees and network congestion. Instead, he suggests that the intrinsic value of Ethereum will become apparent as its ecosystem expands and matures. “Think about the growth of the ecosystem, and the value will sort itself out,” he asserts.

Hougan stated that while he remains bullish on both Bitcoin and Ethereum, he sees a unique opportunity with Ethereum due to its current undervaluation and the market’s overlooking of its potential. “I know I just made a very bullish case for Bitcoin; now I’m making a very bullish case for Ethereum. I am bullish for both, and I think the setup for both is pretty good,” he concludes.

At press time, ETH traded at $2,624.

Ethereum price
Ether price, 1-week chart | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from YouTube, chart from TradingView.com



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Ethereum

Spot Ethereum ETFs See $515 Million Record Weekly Inflows – Details

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The US-based spot Ethereum ETFs have continued to experience a high market interest following Donald Trump’s emergence as the next US President. As institutional investors continue to position themselves for a massive crypto bull run, these Ethereum ETFs have now registered over $500 million in weekly inflows for the first time since their trading debut in July. Meanwhile, the spot Bitcoin ETFs maintain a splendid performance, closing another week with over $1 billion in inflows.

Spot Ethereum ETFs Notch Up $515M Inflows To Extend 3-Week Streak

According to data from ETF aggregator site SoSoValue, the spot Ethereum ETFs attracted $515.17 million between November 9-November 15 to establish a new record weekly inflows, as they achieved a 3-week positive inflow streak for the first time ever.  During this period, these funds also registered their largest daily inflows ever, recording $295.48 million in investments on November 11. 

Of the total market gains in the specified trading week, $287.06 million were directed to BlackRock’s ETHA, allowing the billion-dollar ETF to strengthen its market grip with  $1.72 billion in cumulative net inflow.

Meanwhile, Fidelity’s FETH remained a strong market favorite with $197.75 million in inflows, as its net assets climbed to $764.68 million. Grayscale’s ETH and Bitwise’s ETHW also accounted for weighty investments valued at $78.19 million and $45.54 million, respectively. 

Other ETFs such as VanEck’s ETHV, Invesco’s QETH, and 21 Shares’ CETH experienced some significant inflows but of no more than $3.5 million. With no surprise, Grayscale’s ETHE continues to bleed with $101.02 million recorded in outflows, albeit retains its position as the largest Ethereum ETF with $4.74 billion in AUM. 

In general, the total net assets of the spot Ethereum ETFs also decreased by 1.2% to $9.15 billion representing 2.46% of the Ethereum market cap.

Related Reading: Spot Bitcoin ETFs Draw Over $2 Billion Inflows As Ethereum ETFs Turn Green Again – Details

Spot Bitcoin ETFs Remain Buoyant With $1.67B Inflows

In other news, the spot Bitcoin ETFs market recorded $1.67 billion in the past week to continue its stunning performance of Q4 2024. While the Bitcoin ETFs saw notable daily outflows of over $770 million at the week’s end, earlier weighted inflows of $2.43 billion proved quite significant in maintaining the market’s green momentum. 

BlackRock’s IBIT, which ranks as the market leader and the best-performing crypto spot ETF, now boasts over $29.28 billion in inflows and $42.89 billion in net assets.  Meanwhile, the total net assets of the spot Bitcoin ETF returned to above $95 billion, capturing 5.27% of the Bitcoin market.

At the time of writing, Bitcoin trades at $90,175 with Ethereum hovering around $3,097.

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Ethereum

Last Chance To Buy Ethereum? Analyst Expects $6,000 Once It Breaks 8-Month Accumulation

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Ethereum (ETH) is gearing up for an explosive bullish phase after decisively breaking above the crucial $3,000 mark. This milestone has fueled optimism among traders and investors, signaling a potential surge to new all-time highs. ETH’s recent price action demonstrates strong momentum, suggesting that the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap is ready to reclaim its place in the spotlight.

Renowned analyst and investor Carl Runefelt has bolstered this bullish outlook with a compelling technical analysis. Sharing his insights, Runefelt pointed out Ethereum’s impressive recovery and growing strength. He emphasized that if current momentum continues, the $6,000 milestone could be within reach sooner than many expect. 

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According to Runefelt, Ethereum’s upward trajectory is supported by increasing network activity, heightened institutional interest, and broader adoption of its smart contract capabilities.

The crypto market’s recent surge, led by Bitcoin’s new all-time highs, has created an environment ripe for Ethereum to follow suit. As traders focus on ETH’s potential to outperform other altcoins, all eyes are on whether it can sustain its breakout and push higher. The coming weeks will be crucial as Ethereum solidifies its position above $3,000, potentially paving the way for a rally that could redefine expectations for this cycle.

Ethereum Testing Supply 

Ethereum is on the brink of a significant breakout as it approaches the last major supply levels before potentially embarking on a Bitcoin-like rally. After reclaiming its local highs with strong momentum, Ethereum has captured the attention of traders and investors looking for the next big move in the crypto market. Many believe the current consolidation phase is just the calm before a bullish storm.

Runefelt recently shared a detailed technical analysis on X, highlighting Ethereum’s readiness for a massive bull run. Runefelt emphasized that ETH is mirroring Bitcoin’s recent explosive breakout, suggesting that Ethereum could be next to surge. 

Ethereum chart compared to Bitcoin
Ethereum chart compared to Bitcoin | Source: Carl Runefelt on X

According to his analysis, this may be the last opportunity to buy ETH at relatively low prices before the market takes off. Runefelt set an ambitious price target of $6,000, forecasting this level as attainable once Ethereum breaks through its final supply zones.

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Ethereum’s potential rally is supported by a combination of technical strength and increasing demand for its smart contract platform. With Bitcoin setting new all-time highs, the market’s focus is gradually shifting toward altcoins, particularly Ethereum. If ETH breaks above its current resistance, it could ignite a wave of buying pressure that sends prices soaring to unprecedented levels.

ETH Testing Technical Levels 

Ethereum is currently trading at $3,110, following a 12% retrace from its recent local highs. Despite the pullback, ETH continues to show resilience, holding firmly above the 200-day moving average (MA) at $2,955. This key demand level is a strong indicator of long-term market strength and suggests that Ethereum remains in bullish territory despite short-term volatility.

ETH trading above the 200-day MA
ETH trading above the 200-day MA | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

The 200-day MA serves as a critical support zone, and its defense could pave the way for a significant rally in the coming days. If ETH maintains its position above this level for an extended period, it would signal renewed bullish momentum and set the stage for a breakout to higher supply zones.

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The next major resistance level for Ethereum is at $3,450. A successful breach and consolidation above this price point would confirm a breakout, positioning ETH to challenge its all-time high (ATH). Such a move could reignite bullish sentiment and attract new buying pressure from investors anticipating further gains.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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Ethereum Uptrend Resumes As Key Support Defends Against Bears

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Ethereum is back on an upward trajectory after finding solid footing at the $3,051 key support level, sparking hopes for continued bullish momentum. The recent rebound highlights the strength of buyers’ interest, as ETH resists bearish attempts to drive prices lower. 

As the uptrend resumes, traders are closely eyeing critical resistance zones that could shape Ethereum’s next move. Will this recovery lead to a sustained rally, or will the market face renewed selling pressure?

This analysis aims to examine Ethereum’s recovery as it resumes its uptrend after defending a critical support level. By analyzing key resistance zones and market dynamics, we seek to uncover potential scenarios for ETH’s price movement and offer insights into whether the uptrend can gain further traction or encounter renewed selling pressure.

Ethereum’s Rebound: The Key Support Level That Held The Line

Ethereum has rebounded from the $3,051 support level, regaining bullish strength as it approaches the $3,360 resistance. Trading above the 100-day SMA on the 4-hour chart highlights sustained upward strength, potentially supporting more gains if resistance is overcome.

Ethereum
ETH heading toward $3,360 after a rebound at $3,051 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

An analysis of the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) reveals that the 4-hour RSI is attempting to rise above the 50% level after falling to 41%, signaling a possible shift in momentum. A move above 50% could indicate increasing buying pressure and support a continued uptrend, while failure to break above this level may suggest ongoing bearish pressure.

The daily chart shows that ETH is experiencing strong upside movement, which is highlighted by the formation of bullish candlestick patterns. Trading above the key 100-day SMA further confirms the asset’s positive trend. As the cryptocurrency continues on this upward path, it boosts market confidence, paving the way for potential gains, with the $3,360 target in sight.

Ethereum
Ethereum’s uptrend strength following a break above the 100-day SMA | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Finally, the daily chart’s RSI is at 63%, reflecting strong optimism after recovering from a dip to 60%. This rebound signals a resurgence in buying pressure, suggesting a shift toward a more favorable market outlook. The RSI’s steady rise indicates that the asset may sustain its upward strength, reinforcing the ongoing bullish trend and paving the way for more growth.

Critical Resistance Levels To Watch As ETH Gains Momentum

As Ethereum gains momentum, key resistance levels become crucial in determining the next phase of its price movement. The immediate resistance to watch is at the $3,360 mark, which has historically acted as a strong barrier to ETH’s uptrend. A successful break above this level could lay the groundwork for Ethereum to target the next resistance at $3,659.

However, if the $3,360 level holds as resistance, ETH may face a period of consolidation or pullback before making another attempt at breaking through.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $3,108 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com



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