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Weekly price analysis: prices decline on risk-off sentiments

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  • The crypto market trended lower last week, driven largely by risk-off sentiments on newly released Fed meeting notes and economic data
  • The Fed expressed caution around inflation, especially as President-elect Donald Trump’s policies will kick in after his inauguration on January 20
  • Meanwhile, spot crypto exchange-traded funds (ETFs) logged outflows from Wednesday, January 8

Bitcoin

Bitcoin’s price logged a negative week falling from a high of $102,733 to a low of $91,188 before eventually closing at $94,547.

Technical analysis shows a break above the last lower high and a push back down into the H4 demand zone, which means that although the price took a bearish turn, it is still in overall bullish territory.

BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

Much of this bearish sentiment is driven by bleak economic expectations. The US Federal Reserve meeting minutes, released on January 8, showed that the reserve bank is cautious about inflation it expects will follow President-elect Donald Trump’s policies.

As such, the likelihood of continued rate cuts has dwindled, with some analysts seeing an end to cuts early this year. The market’s reaction reflects this updated risk-off sentiment.

Bitcoin’s open interest chart shows a decline in open contracts between Wednesday and now. Open interest hit a weekly high on Tuesday at $18.16 billion on the CME, fell to a low on Thursday ($16.55 billion), and mellowed out the rest of the week.

CME BTC Futures Open Interest (USD) Chart by Coinglass

Meanwhile, spot Bitcoin ETFs logged outflows after the release of the Fed’s meeting minutes on Wednesday. Outflows totalled $718.20 million while inflows totalled $1.03 billion.

Outlook

Bitcoin’s price currently hovers around the bottom of the demand zone. If it breaks below, its price could be pushed down to $85,100 where a fair value gap could act as support.

BTC/USD Chart by TradingView

BTC trades at $91,622 as of publishing.

Ethereum

Ethereum’s price also logged a negative week, falling from a high of $3,744 to a low of $3,157 before closing at $3,236. ETH price action tested March 2024’s high of $4,089  in early December 2024, but failed to break above and has been logging lower lows since.

ETH/USD Chart by TradingView

Open interest dropped from a January 7 high of $3.50 billion and continued to decline until it was $2.63 billion as of this publication.

CME ETH Futures Open Interest (USD) Chart by Coinglass

Meanwhile, Ethereum spot ETFs logged a weekly net outflow of $186.00 million following risk-off sentiments in the market.

Outlook

As Ethereum’s price continues to trend lower, the next technical level that could provide support is the fair value gap at the $2,893 price level.

ETH/USD Chart by TradingView

ETH trades at $3,071 as of publishing.

Solana

Solana’s price fell from a weekly high of $223 to a weekly low of $181 before eventually closing at $188, logging a total loss of 12.53%. SOL continues to trend lower after failing to close above its all-time high of $260.

SOL/USD Chart by TradingView

Open interest data shows a steep fall from $1.89 billion on Binance on January 7 to $1.58 billion on January 10. As of this publication, OI levels have improved to $1.63 billion.

Binance SOL Futures Open Interest (USD) Chart by Coinglass

Outlook

The next technical support zone is at the $164 price level. However, although the order block is a support, it is a poor low that could be taken out even if price reverses from that zone.

SOL/USD Chart by TradingView

SOL trades at $176 as of publishing.

Ripple

Ripple’s price fared better last week, closing higher at $2.55 from $2.38 at the start of the week as its price continued to log higher highs. Zooming out, the price continues to range between $1.90 and $2.90 as the market cools.

XRP/USD Chart by TradingView

Open interest rose on Bitget, the exchange with the highest XRP derivative trading volume, over the last week, supporting upward price movement as positive news around Ripple’s case with the SEC boosted sentiments.

Bitget XRP Futures Open Interest (USD) Chart by Coinglass

Outlook

Ripple’s price is buoyed by news around the SEC’s lawsuit against its parent company, a case which could be thrown out with the outgoing administration.

However, technical analysis shows that XRP trades at a premium and a pullback is expected. The most likely levels are the fair value gap at $1.75 and the order block at $1.46.

XRP/USD Chart by TradingView

XRP trades at $2.37 as of publishing.



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Ethereum

Ethereum Founder Buterin Funds Swiss Project With 274 ETH—What’s The Agenda?

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Ethereum co-founder Vitalik Buterin has again made the news with a big donation to a Swiss project called Zuitzerland. Isla, a Web3 researcher developing the project, received the 274 ETH, equivalent to around $500,000, from Buterin, according to reports. The donation was identified by Onchain Lens, a blockchain monitoring site that tracks fund transfers.

This step is not surprising to anyone who has known about Buterin’s charitable activities and experimental associations. Zuitzerland is said to be a product of Buterin’s previous Zuzalu experiment, whose purpose was to unite like-minded people and engage into proposals on technology, longevity, and decentralized regimes.

Ethereum Donation: What Is Zuitzerland?

The Zuitzerland initiative is based on the ideas launched in the Zuzalu experiment, a short-term community project initiated by Buterin between March and May 2023, in Montenegro. Zuzalu assembled about 200 participants who worked and lived together for two months. They exchanged ideas and teamed up on projects together in workshops, discussions, and social gatherings.

Zuitzerland pushes this concept further by hosting residencies, hackathons, and citywide events for those with common interests. The platform emphasizes the development of collaboration between “thinkers and builders.” Although Buterin is not among the founders of the project, he is mentioned as a speaker and curator on its official site, indicating his support and engagement.

Funding Through Token Sales

Buterin’s contribution was partly financed by selling tokens he had earlier received as gifts from other crypto projects. According to on-chain statistics, Buterin sold 5,000 Dohrnii (DHN) tokens for $93,882 and 2 trillion LEDOG (DOG) tokens for $16,569 on March 31, 2025. The proceeds from these sales were aggregated and then sent as 274 ETH to Isla.

ETHUSD trading at $1,873 on the daily chart: TradingView.com

This is not the first time that Buterin has sold tokens gifted to him for a cause. In 2022, he sold some Shiba Inu (SHIB) tokens gifted to him in order to donate to an Indian COVID-19 relief fund. Buterin has also publicly urged token issuers to give directly to charities instead of donating tokens to him.

A History Of Token Donations

Dohrnii Labs, the developers of the DHN token, had sent 10,000 tokens to Buterin in January 2025. Likewise, LEDOG’s developers sent 10 trillion DOG tokens to him in August 2024. Although these tokens are usually given as a token of appreciation, they are also a marketing strategy for visibility. Buterin has been selling these tokens gradually over time, using the funds for donations and other things.

As of now, Buterin still retains 2 trillion DOG tokens, as per data on the blockchain. Nevertheless, his actions reveal a distinct orientation towards leveraging such assets to help initiatives such as Zuitzerland, which align with his belief in decentralized governance and innovation led by community.

Featured image from Gemini Imagen, chart from TradingView

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Ethereum

$2,300 Emerges As The Most Crucial Resistance

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As Ethereum (ETH) continues to experience a significant price downturn, recording a 17% drop over the past month, key resistance levels have emerged as critical points for the second-largest cryptocurrency. Analysts suggest that these levels could ignite a potential trend reversal if reclaimed.

Ethereum Faces Potential Decline To $1,155

In a recent update shared on social media platform X (formerly Twitter), crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted two pivotal price points for Ethereum’s immediate future. 

The first, set at $2,100, is seen as a necessary threshold for initiating a new upward trend. However, the $2,300 mark is regarded as a “more decisive” level that Ethereum must breach to confirm a bullish reversal.

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Martinez’s analysis, based on the one-day chart seen below, indicates that if Ethereum fails to reclaim these levels, it may lead to a further decline. 

Ethereum
Key price points for ETH on the daily chart. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

The next target points to watch would be $1,600 and $1,155, levels that could indicate a new downtrend. Such a decline would represent additional losses of 12% and over 37%, respectively, marking a troubling continuation of Ethereum’s worst first quarter in its history.

In another post, the analyst also pointed out that the Ethereum price is facing a significant resistance wall between $2,200 and $2,580. On-chain data from the analytics firm IntoTheBlock reveals that approximately 12.43 million investors have bought about 66.18 million ETH within this price range. 

A breakout above these levels could potentially generate bullish momentum for the cryptocurrency. However, bullish catalysts that could trigger a move above these levels remain scarce among experts.

ETH’s Largest Accumulation Zone Under Threat

Market intelligence firm Glassnode has indicated that ETH’s Cost Basis Distribution shows limited support near current prices. Weekly data suggests that addresses with a cost basis around $1,800 have not re-engaged. Many investors are reportedly selling at a loss, further adding to the current price uncertainty.

On March 28, several clusters of approximately 250,000 ETH with cost bases between $2,000 and $2,050 effectively vanished, indicating that some higher-cost holders are attempting to average down their positions. 

However, Glassnode asserts that the overall Ethereum accumulation zone appears limited at current price levels, raising questions about future stabilization for the second largest cryptocurrency.

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The largest accumulation zone below the current market price now sits at $1,537, where nearly 994,000 ETH was acquired. If the downtrend continues, this level is expected to serve as structural support in the near term, potentially providing a buffer against further declines.

Ethereum
The daily chart shows ETH’s price trending downwards. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

ETH is currently trading at $1,830, down 12% for the week.

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 



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Ethereum May Have To Undo This Death Cross For Bull’s Return

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A quant has revealed how Ethereum (ETH) saw a death cross in this indicator shortly before bearish momentum took the asset in full force.

Ethereum Formed A Death Cross In Funding Rates Earlier

In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has shared a chart for the Funding Rates of Ethereum. The “Funding Rates” refers to a metric that keeps track of the amount of periodic fee that traders on the derivatives market are exchanging between each other right now.

When the value of this indicator is positive, it means the long contract holders are paying a premium to the short investors in order to hold onto their positions. Such a trend suggests a bullish sentiment is shared by the majority of the derivatives traders.

On the other hand, the metric being under the zero mark implies a bearish mentality is dominant in the sector, as short holders are overwhelming the long ones.

Now, here is the chart for the Ethereum Funding Rates posted by the quant, which shows the trend in the 50-day and 200-day simple moving averages (SMAs) of the indicator over the last couple of years:

Ethereum Funding Rates

Looks like these two lines saw a crossover earlier in the year | Source: CryptoQuant

As displayed in the above graph, the 50-day SMA of the Ethereum Funding Rates crossed under the 200-day SMA in January of this year. This suggests that the optimism in the market witnessed a shift.

From the graph, it’s visible that since the crossover in the two SMAs of the indicator has emerged, the ETH price has been sharply moving down. The trend isn’t unique to the asset, as the wider cryptocurrency sector has also seen a similar pattern, with investors becoming risk-averse.

In the first half of last year, the Funding Rates observed the same type of crossover, and then, the Ethereum price followed up with a period of bearish action.

It wasn’t until the reverse crossover happened, with the 50-day SMA finding a break above the 200-day SMA, that bullish momentum returned in the cryptocurrency market. The same pattern was also seen back in 2023.

It’s possible that for constructive price action to return for Ethereum and other assets, a bullish crossover in the Funding Rates may once again have to take place. “When the speculators return and start using their greedy leverage, the crypto bull market will begin,” notes the analyst.

When this would happen, however, is anyone’s guess, as the 50-day and 200-day SMAs of the indicator are currently quite far apart. In 2024, the lines took many months before they crossed back, so it’s possible that it will take some time for the crossover to occur now as well.

ETH Price

Ethereum is moving to end the month of March on a red note as its price has fallen to the $1,800 level, after seeing a decline of almost 14% in the past week.

Ethereum Price Chart

The trend in the ETH price over the last five days | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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