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Is It Time To Give Up On Ethereum Below $4,000? Analyst Weighs The Facts

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Crypto analyst Ali Martinez has discussed Ethereum current price action as the second largest crypto by market cap remains below $4,000. The analyst outlined some facts to give a clearer picture of whether or not it is the right time to give up on ETH. 

Analyst Discusses Whether It Is Time To Give Up On Ethereum

In an X post, Ali Martinez outlined certain facts to determine whether it is time to give up on Ethereum. First, the analyst noted that ETH has been one of the weakest performers lately, a development that looks to have prompted Vitalik Buterin to shake things up by changing the Ethereum Foundation’s leadership team.

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Martinez then alluded to historical data showing that Ethereum performs well in the first quarter of each year. The analyst had previously hinted that this year is unlikely to be different. Back then, he noted that ETH delivers its strongest performance in Q1, particularly in odd-numbered years, and 2025 is one such year.

Ethereum
ETH Q1 performances over the years | Source: Ali Martinez on X

Given Ethereum’s positive Q1 performance, Martinez remarked that this could explain why crypto whales have accumulated over $1 billion worth of ETH in the past week alone. He previously revealed that these whales had bought over 330,000 ETH, valued at over $1 billion. 

Furthermore, the crypto analyst remarked that the buying pressure is also evident in the exchange outflows, with nearly $2 billion in Ethereum withdrawn from crypto platforms over the past month. Specifically, 540,000 ETH, worth $1.84 billion, were withdrawn from exchanges over the past month. This accumulation trend is a positive as it indicates investors are still bullish on ETH. 

However, for Ethereum to break out bullishly, Martinez mentioned that it must overcome several key resistance levels. From an on-chain perspective, the crypto analyst highlighted the $3,360 to $3,450 zone as the major supply wall. This range is the most critical resistance level for ETH, while the key support zone is between $3,066 and $3,160. 

From A Technical Analysis Perspective

Martinez also provided insights into the Ethereum price action from a technical analysis perspective. He stated that ETH appears to be forming the right shoulder of a head-and-shoulders pattern, with a neckline of $4,000. He added that a decisive breakout above this level could fuel a rally toward $7,000.

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The crypto analyst also revealed that this upside target aligns with the Ethereum 3.2 Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Pricing Band, which is currently hovering around $7,000. Amid this bullish outlook, Martinez mentioned that one concerning sign is Ethereum’s network growth, which has slowed down. The number of new ETH addresses is said to have declined by 9.32%, indicating reduced adoption. 

Despite that, Martinez believes that Ethereum’s outlook is still bullish. He told market participants to keep an eye on the $2,700 to $3,000 support zone. According to him, this demand zone must hold to maintain ETH’s bullish outlook. 

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at around $3,200, down 4% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $3,295 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum

Ethereum Whales Absorb $1M Loss As Market Caution Intensifies

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They say journalists never truly clock out. But for Christian, that’s not just a metaphor, it’s a lifestyle. By day, he navigates the ever-shifting tides of the cryptocurrency market, wielding words like a seasoned editor and crafting articles that decipher the jargon for the masses. When the PC goes on hibernate mode, however, his pursuits take a more mechanical (and sometimes philosophical) turn.

Christian’s journey with the written word began long before the age of Bitcoin. In the hallowed halls of academia, he honed his craft as a feature writer for his college paper. This early love for storytelling paved the way for a successful stint as an editor at a data engineering firm, where his first-month essay win funded a months-long supply of doggie and kitty treats – a testament to his dedication to his furry companions (more on that later).

Christian then roamed the world of journalism, working at newspapers in Canada and even South Korea. He finally settled down at a local news giant in his hometown in the Philippines for a decade, becoming a total news junkie. But then, something new caught his eye: cryptocurrency. It was like a treasure hunt mixed with storytelling – right up his alley!

So, he landed a killer gig at NewsBTC, where he’s one of the go-to guys for all things crypto. He breaks down this confusing stuff into bite-sized pieces, making it easy for anyone to understand (he salutes his management team for teaching him this skill).

Think Christian’s all work and no play? Not a chance! When he’s not at his computer, you’ll find him indulging his passion for motorbikes. A true gearhead, Christian loves tinkering with his bike and savoring the joy of the open road on his 320-cc Yamaha R3. Once a speed demon who hit 120mph (a feat he vowed never to repeat), he now prefers leisurely rides along the coast, enjoying the wind in his thinning hair.

Speaking of chill, Christian’s got a crew of furry friends waiting for him at home. Two cats and a dog. He swears cats are way smarter than dogs (sorry, Grizzly), but he adores them all anyway. Apparently, watching his pets just chillin’ helps him analyze and write meticulously formatted articles even better.

Here’s the thing about this guy: He works a lot, but he keeps himself fueled by enough coffee to make it through the day – and some seriously delicious (Filipino) food. He says a delectable meal is the secret ingredient to a killer article. And after a long day of crypto crusading, he unwinds with some rum (mixed with milk) while watching slapstick movies.

Looking ahead, Christian sees a bright future with NewsBTC. He says he sees himself privileged to be part of an awesome organization, sharing his expertise and passion with a community he values, and fellow editors – and bosses – he deeply respects.

So, the next time you tread into the world of cryptocurrency, remember the man behind the words – the crypto crusader, the grease monkey, and the feline philosopher, all rolled into one.



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Ethereum Challenged By Bearish Forces As Altcoin Eyes $3,051 Support

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Ethereum has faced significant selling pressure in recent trading sessions as broader market trends turn more bearish. After attempting to break above key resistance levels, ETH has encountered hurdles that suggest the prevailing trend is shifting toward a more negative outlook. As the price begins testing the $3,051 support, a potential breakdown could signal a deeper pullback, which might push ETH toward lower support levels.

Key factors contributing to this bearish sentiment include weakening buying interest, market-wide retracements, and technical indicators signaling further downside risks. Ethereum’s failure to maintain upward momentum, especially after hitting resistance, suggests that the bulls may be losing control, leaving the bears in the driver’s seat.

The $3,051 level is critical for the altcoin’s short-term outlook. If the price fails to hold above this support, it could accelerate the downward move, possibly targeting the next support zone. However, if ETH stabilizes here and shows signs of a bullish reversal, it may regain upward momentum and resume its recovery.

Technical Signals Point To Bearish Shift: What’s Next For ETH?

Ethereum’s technical indicators are painting a concerning picture of the cryptocurrency’s short-term outlook. The price action has struggled to break through key resistance levels, and recent downward movements suggest that the bulls may have lost control.

As of the time of writing, ETH’s price is still trading below the 4-hour Simple Moving Average (SMA), which suggests bearish pressure is still prevailing in the market. The 4-hour SMA serves as a short-term trend indicator, and when the price is below it, it typically indicates that selling pressure is dominating the market.

Ethereum
ETH’s bearish move pushes price below 4-hour SMA | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

This failure to break above the SMA highlights the ongoing struggle for Ethereum to reclaim bullish momentum. Until ETH rises above and closes above the SMA, the downside risks remain intact, and the bears are likely to maintain control.

Furthermore, ETH’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) has been persistently staying within the bearish zone, reinforcing the negative outlook for Ethereum. Typically, an RSI reading below 50% indicates a lack of upward strength, implying that selling pressure outweighs buying interest in the market. In Ethereum’s case, the sustained positioning in the bearish zone signals that bulls are struggling to gain traction and push the price higher.

Can Ethereum Defend Against The Bears?

Currently, Ethereum’s price is approaching a crucial support level at $3,051, which has become a key point to watch as bearish pressure mounts. This support zone represents a potential floor for Ethereum, and its ability to hold above this level will be pivotal in determining the asset’s next move.

A successful defense of $3,051 could stabilize the price and spark a rebound toward the $3,360 resistance as it may encourage buyers to step in and halt more declines. However, if Ethereum fails to maintain this support and breaks below it, the bearish momentum might intensify, pushing the price toward lower levels.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $3,227 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com



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ETH Recovers From Drop, Analyst Points At 2021 Rally

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

After Monday’s drop, Ethereum (ETH) fell below key support levels and hit its lowest price since November. Nonetheless, several market watchers remain bullish, predicting a massive rally for the cryptocurrency this quarter.

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Ethereum Drops To Two Month Lows

Ethereum started the week with a significant correction, falling from the weekend range to its lowest price in two months. Over the weekend, Ethereum hovered between $3,200 and $3,340 after recovering from last week’s lows.

Amid this performance, crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that ETH’s most critical resistance was between $3,360 and $3,450, where 4.37 million addresses bought 6.47 million ETH. The analyst also noted that the cryptocurrency’s key support was between the $3,066 and $3,160 price range, where 4.12 million addresses had bought 4.9 million ETH.

Ethereum tested this support zone during the December corrections, bouncing from the zone after the pullbacks. However, the king of Altcoins fell below this key support for the first time since November 9, hitting $2,920 on Monday.

After the 12% retrace from the weekend highs, ETH tested its post-election breakout level, confirming the $2,900 price range as support. Ethereum quickly bounced from this level, surging 9% to the $3,100-$3,200 range.

Crypto investor Miky Bull considers ETH’s recent performance the “perfect setup for a massive reversal.” The trader noted this could be the reversal that leads to a breakout from Ethereum’s inverse head and shoulders pattern.

The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization has been forming a multi-month inverse head and shoulder pattern, as noted by several analysts, with its left shoulder formed around the $2,800 price range.

Rekt Capital had suggested that “any pullback close to the $3,000 level could see Ethereum develop a right shoulder.” Meanwhile, Miky Bull stated that the bullish setup targeted the $7,000 mark.

ETH Resembles 2021 Trajectory

Analyst Crypto Bullet pointed out that ETH’s chart resembled its 2021 behavior. The chart shows Ethereum saw a Double Top pattern during its rally over three years ago. Then, the cryptocurrency fell below the key support zone of $3,100, confirming the pattern.

ethereum
ETH’s chart resembled the 2021 ATH rally. Source: CryptoBullet on X

However, it reclaimed this level after consolidating for two weeks, which led to the breakout to ETH’s all-time high (ATH). According to the analyst, Ethereum is repeating this pattern after yesterday’s drop, suggesting that the cryptocurrency’s “worst-case scenario” would be hitting ATH levels again.

Daan Crypto Traders highlighted ETH’s historical performance during the start of the year, stating that “the percentages ETH does within its first few weeks of the year are pretty crazy.”

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CoinGlass data shows that Ethereum registered mostly negative weekly returns in the first weeks of 2024 but started a 6-week positive streak as February approached. This could suggest that ETH’s negative performance could be reversed in the coming weeks. Nonetheless, Daan advised investors to look at the quarterly returns for a better overview of seasonality.

As of this writing, ETH is trading at $3,230, a 3% increase in the daily timeframe.

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Ethereum’s performance in the one-week chart. Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com



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