Ethereum
Is Ethereum Set For A Major Rally? Options Traders Bet Big On $3,600+ Targets For June
Ethereum (ETH) options for June show a marked interest in higher strike prices, focusing on levels exceeding $3,600.
Data from Deribit reveals a concentrated bet among traders on calls surpassing this price, indicating a bullish sentiment toward Ethereum’s near-term trajectory. The most favored strike price among these optimistic bets is an ambitious $6,500.
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Options Market Bullish On Ethereum
Notably, options are contracts that give traders the right, but not the obligation, to buy (in the case of calls) or sell (in the case of puts) the underlying asset at a specified strike price by the expiry date.
A call option is typically purchased by traders who believe the asset will increase in price, allowing them to buy at a lower rate and potentially sell at a higher market price. Conversely, put options are favored by those anticipating a decline in the asset’s price, aiming to sell at the current rate and repurchase at a lower value.
Currently, the Ethereum options market is tilting heavily towards calls, with the aggregate open interest—representing the total number of outstanding contract options—showing a preference for higher strike prices.
This concentration of calls, primarily above the $3,600 mark, suggests that a significant market segment is positioning for Ethereum to ascend to higher levels by the end of June.
According to Deribit data, roughly 622,636 Ethereum call contracts are set to expire by June’s end, encapsulating a notional value above $1.8 billion. Such substantial positioning underscores the market’s confidence in Ethereum’s potential uplift.
Data further shows that the most substantial open interest is clustered around the $6,500 strike price, with a notional value of $193 million.
This concentration reflects trader optimism and supports Ethereum’s market price, especially if these options are exercised as the asset price approaches or surpasses these strike levels.
Despite the optimism embedded in these options, Ethereum is currently navigating a slight downturn. It has dropped 5.4% over the past week and 2.2% in the last 24 hours, positioning it below $2,900. This decline places even more focus on upcoming market catalysts that could significantly sway ETH’s price.
Regulatory Decisions And Technical Indicators: A Dual Influence on ETH’s Path
One significant upcoming event is the US Securities and Exchange Commission’s (SEC) decision on several applications for Ethereum-based Exchange-Traded Funds (ETFs), which is due by May 25th.
This decision is pivotal as approval could usher in a wave of institutional investments into Ethereum, potentially catapulting its price. Conversely, rejection could dampen the bullish sentiment and lead to further pullbacks.
From a technical analysis standpoint, signs are pointing to a possible rebound. The “Bullish Cypher Pattern,” identified by the analyst Titan Of Crypto, suggests that Ethereum could be at a turning point. Currently, Ethereum is at the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level, a key support zone in many bull markets.
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This level has historically acted as a launchpad for upward price movements, hinting that Ethereum could be gearing up for a significant rise.
#Altcoins #Ethereum Bounce incoming.
The Bullish Cypher Pattern played out perfectly and all the targets got reached 🎯.#ETH is currently at the 38.2% Fibonacci retrace level also called “1st stop”. In a bull market this level holds.
I expect a bounce from this level. 🚀 pic.twitter.com/o9e6VLEREz
— Titan of Crypto (@Washigorira) May 12, 2024
Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Ethereum Analyst Sets $3,400 Target Once ETH Breaks Key Resistance – Details
Ethereum has surged over 8% following Donald Trump’s election victory, igniting fresh optimism among investors. Despite this rally, ETH still trades below a crucial resistance level, keeping the price in check since early August.
This resistance, a critical barrier, must be cleared for Ethereum to regain its bullish momentum fully. Analysts are watching closely, with top crypto expert Inmortal sharing a recent technical analysis that suggests Ethereum could be gearing up for a significant breakout.
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According to Inmortal’s analysis, ETH appears to be building strength, and a push above this resistance could unlock the potential for a sustained rally. The market’s response to Trump’s win, particularly as he is seen as a pro-crypto candidate, has boosted sentiment, and many now anticipate increased volatility and upside for Ethereum.
Investors are now eyeing ETH’s next moves, with any break above the current resistance likely to signal the beginning of a stronger upward trend. As Ethereum inches closer to this key level, market participants are preparing for what could be a defining moment in ETH’s performance this cycle.
Ethereum Pushing Key Supply
Ethereum is pushing to break a critical resistance at $2,750, a level that has kept ETH under pressure since early August. This resistance has been a strong barrier; breaking above it is essential for confirming a sustained rally.
Top crypto analyst and investor Immortal recently shared a detailed technical analysis on X, where he outlined a $3,400 price target for ETH if it successfully clears this key resistance.
In his analysis, Inmortal emphasized that Ethereum, often dubbed the “most hated coin” in the current market, is worth paying close attention to despite its recent underperformance. Many investors have expressed frustration with ETH’s lagging momentum compared to other assets, making a breakout above $2,750 a potential game-changer for sentiment and price action.
The coming days will be pivotal as the market digests the impact of Donald Trump’s election victory and prepares for the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision on Thursday. Trump’s win has already created bullish momentum across the crypto market, and Ethereum’s breakout could capitalize on this shift in sentiment. However, volatility may remain high, and any unexpected news from the Fed could impact ETH’s trajectory.
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If ETH can hold above $2,750 and continue pushing higher, the $3,400 target outlined by Inmortal could come within reach, marking a strong recovery phase for Ethereum. For now, the crypto community will be watching closely, as this breakout level can potentially define Ethereum’s performance in the months ahead.
ETH Technical Analysis
Ethereum is trading at $2,620 after a solid 12% surge from recent lows at $2,355. This price movement has given bulls hope that a rally may be on the horizon. However, ETH must break above the key $2,750 resistance level for the bullish momentum to continue and reclaim price action.
This level coincides with the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA), a crucial indicator of long-term strength. A breakout above this level and a successful retest would signal a market sentiment shift, confirming that ETH is on track to regain bullish control.
The 200-day EMA is often viewed as a significant support level once the price holds above it. If Ethereum manages to close above this level and maintain the price, it could spark further upside movement. On the other hand, if Ethereum fails to break above $2,750 and struggles to hold, it would signal a failed breakout.
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In such a case, ETH could face further consolidation or retrace to lower demand levels, possibly around $2,500 or even lower. Bulls must remain vigilant as the coming days will be critical for confirming Ethereum’s next move.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Ethereum Volatility Soon? Derivatives Exchanges Receive 82,000 ETH In Deposits
On-chain data shows derivatives exchanges have just received large Ethereum deposits, something that could lead to volatility in ETH’s price.
Ethereum Exchange Netflow Has Seen A Sharp Positive Spike Recently
As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Exchange Netflow for ETH has registered a large spike recently. The “Exchange Netflow” here refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the net amount of ETH moving into or out of the wallets associated with centralized exchanges.
When the value of this metric is positive, it means the investors are depositing a net number of tokens to these platforms. How these transactions affect ETH depends on the exchange to which the holders are moving coins.
In the case of spot exchanges, investors usually make deposits whenever they want to sell, so positive exchange netflows to platforms of this type can lead to a bearish outcome.
For derivatives exchanges, which are relevant platforms in the current discussion, the relationship with the price doesn’t tend to be so simple. Holders transfer their coins to these exchanges to open up fresh positions on the derivatives market.
As new positions generally accompany some leverage, the overall risk in the sector could be assumed to go up when investors deposit to derivatives exchanges. This can lead to more volatility for the ETH price.
A negative Exchange Netflow is usually bullish no matter the platforms involved, as it implies the investors are moving their coins to self-custodial wallets, potentially because they plan to hold into the long term.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum Exchange Netflow for the derivatives platforms over the last few weeks:
As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Exchange Netflow has seen a large spike into positive territory recently, which suggests the investors have just made large net deposits to the derivatives platforms.
The holders have transferred about 82,000 ETH to these exchanges with this net inflow spree. As mentioned earlier, this trend can lead to higher volatility for ETH.
It’s hard to say which direction any emerging volatility might take the cryptocurrency in, as other positive spikes in the last couple of months have proven to be a mixed bag.
Given that the latest spike has coincided with a plunge in Ethereum’s price, though, a lot of these may be short positions predicting a further decline. If so, a swing to the upside could lead to liquidating these positions, which would add fuel to the rally.
ETH Price
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at around $2,400, down almost 7% over the last week.
Ethereum
Ethereum Analyst Shares Correlation With S&P500 – Last Dip Before It Hits $10,000?
Ethereum (ETH) stands at a critical turning point, with opinions split on its future performance this cycle. Some analysts argue that ETH will continue to lag, possibly underperforming against other assets like Bitcoin, which has shown strong momentum.
However, others are optimistic, believing Ethereum is poised for an aggressive rally, especially if it can establish a solid bounce from current lows.
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Renowned crypto analyst Ali Martinez has shared a compelling technical analysis, highlighting a correlation between ETH and the S&P 500. According to Martinez, this relationship could signal a substantial upward move for Ethereum, aligning with broader market trends in traditional finance.
Martinez’s analysis suggests that Ethereum could be on track for a major breakout if the current setup holds, with a target around the $10,000 mark.
As Ethereum trades near a crucial support level, the coming days will be pivotal in determining its direction. With significant upside potential, if a bullish trend takes hold, this moment may define ETH’s trajectory for the remainder of the cycle. Investors are now watching closely, weighing ETH’s next moves against crypto and traditional market cues.
Is Ethereum Preparing To Rally?
Ethereum (ETH) has been trading precariously around the $2,400 level, with recent dips below this threshold sparking concern among investors hoping for a bullish breakout. This uncertainty has heightened as traders navigate a market riddled with fear, wondering if ETH is about to embark on a long-awaited rally or fall to new lows.
Top analyst and investor Ali Martinez has provided an optimistic outlook, sharing a technical analysis on X that suggests Ethereum’s price movements closely mirror those of the S&P 500. According to Martinez, this dip could be the final one before Ethereum experiences a massive upswing, potentially tripling in value to hit the ambitious $10,000 target.
Martinez’s analysis taps into broader market sentiment, noting that ETH has shown resilience at key levels and that this correlation with the S&P 500 could indicate strength and stability shortly.
As the U.S. election results unfold and the Federal Reserve’s upcoming interest rate decision looms, the potential for volatility remains high. These factors could introduce sharp price swings, driving ETH lower temporarily before it rebounds and gains momentum for a sustained rally.
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The combination of market catalysts and Martinez’s analysis has sparked cautious optimism, suggesting that while the near-term risk is high, Ethereum could be on the verge of a significant breakout if it holds its ground through the coming turbulence.
ETH Testing Crucial Demand
Ethereum briefly dipped below the $2,400 mark, a key support level, before rebounding to $2,440. This bounce has given bulls hope, but to maintain upward momentum and challenge the prevailing bearish outlook, ETH must keep rising and target higher supply zones.
Critical to this effort will be breaking above the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $2,758—a level that has consistently pushed down price action and acted as a significant resistance since early August.
If bulls succeed in reclaiming this EMA, it could mark a shift in momentum, potentially setting up ETH for a stronger bullish trend. However, if ETH fails to hold above $2,400 in the coming days, it risks a deeper retracement. Analysts have identified the $2,220 level as a crucial line of defense.
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This lower demand zone could provide the final support necessary to prevent further losses, but if breached, it would likely deepen the bearish sentiment surrounding Ethereum’s current price action. This week will be pivotal, as holding above these key levels could provide ETH with the stability it needs to stage a more aggressive push upwards.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
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