Ethereum is trading above the $1,500 mark after a week of heightened volatility and continued global trade uncertainty. Macroeconomic tensions — driven by tariffs, shifting policies, and weakened investor sentiment — continue to weigh heavily on crypto markets. Despite the recent bounce, Ethereum’s price action still hints at a broader downtrend, with bulls struggling to reclaim key resistance levels that could trigger a meaningful recovery.

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However, there are signs of potential strength ahead. If bulls manage to push ETH above immediate resistance zones, a bullish momentum shift could emerge. Market watchers are closely monitoring cost basis levels to identify where strong demand may resurface.

According to data from Glassnode, Ethereum’s Cost Basis Distribution reveals three key price clusters likely to shape short-term action. Among them, the $1,546 level stands out as the most significant, with 822,440 ETH previously accumulated in this range. A successful hold or breakout above this zone could provide a solid foundation for a larger recovery.

For now, Ethereum’s outlook remains cautiously neutral, with bulls needing to reclaim higher levels to shift sentiment and challenge the broader downtrend.

Ethereum Key Cost Basis Levels Could Define Price Action

Ethereum has lost over 50% of its value since early February, setting the stage for a challenging but potentially pivotal recovery phase. After months of heavy selling pressure, ETH is now trading just above the $1,500 mark, a zone that could serve as a springboard if bullish momentum builds. While the broader market has shown signs of recovery, Ethereum’s underwhelming price action continues to test investor patience. Still, analysts believe a recovery rally is possible, especially if macroeconomic sentiment improves.

Persistent global trade tensions, ongoing tariff battles, and US foreign policy shifts continue to inject volatility into financial markets. These factors have suppressed demand for risk assets like Ethereum, but some believe that the worst may be behind.

Glassnode’s on-chain data offers a more detailed look at Ethereum’s short-term outlook. According to their Cost Basis Distribution analysis, three price clusters are likely to shape ETH’s near-term price action. Around $1,457, roughly 408,000 ETH were previously accumulated. At $1,546, over 822,000 ETH sit, making it one of the most critical levels. Finally, approximately 725,000 ETH were acquired around $1,598.

These clusters reflect areas of high on-chain activity and are expected to act as support or resistance zones during the current phase of price consolidation. A breakout above the $1,600 level could trigger a more significant move toward $1,800 and beyond. For now, Ethereum’s price remains range-bound, but market participants are watching these levels closely for signs of a decisive shift.

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ETH Faces Crucial Resistance As Bulls Fight to Regain Momentum

Ethereum is currently trading at $1,580 after failing to break above the $1,700 resistance level, signaling that bullish momentum remains weak. Despite a brief recovery from recent lows, ETH has struggled to reclaim higher ground, and key resistance levels continue to weigh on price action.

For bulls to confirm the start of a true recovery phase, Ethereum must push above the 4-hour 200 MA and EMA, both hovering around $1,820. A decisive move above these indicators would indicate renewed market confidence and open the door for a push toward critical demand levels around $2,000.

However, the risk of further downside remains. If Ethereum loses the $1,500 support level, selling pressure could accelerate, potentially driving the price below the $1,400 mark. This zone served as a key level in early 2023 and could be retested if bearish momentum builds.

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With macroeconomic uncertainty and trade tensions still dominating the narrative, investors remain cautious. The next few trading sessions will be critical for ETH, as it hovers between potential recovery and the threat of renewed decline. Traders should watch for volume spikes and reaction around the $1,700 and $1,500 zones to assess the next move.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

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Ethereum (ETH) is down nearly 50% over the past year, eroding investor confidence in the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap. However, crypto analysts suggest that ETH’s fortunes might be about to turn.

Ethereum Set For A Bullish Breakout?

Unlike Bitcoin (BTC), ETH has not significantly benefited from the bullish developments of 2024. While the approval of spot BTC exchange-traded funds (ETFs) opened the floodgates for institutional capital to flow into the top digital asset, ETH ETFs have failed to generate the same level of interest.

Moreover, ETH’s underperformance relative to BTC has only deepened. Crypto analyst Daan Crypto Trades shared the following two-week ETH/BTC chart showing how ETH has consistently broken through key high time-frame support levels against BTC over the past few years.

Currently, ETH is trading at levels not seen since 2020 relative to BTC. According to the analyst, the final major ETH/BTC support lies around 0.016 – nearly 20% below the current level of 0.019.

On a more optimistic note, fellow analyst Ted pointed out that ETH may be breaking out of a downward-sloping trendline on the two-hour chart. He commented:

Global markets are gaining some strength, so expect Ethereum to hold the $1,550-$1,600 level. For now, I’m hoping for a breakout above and close above $1,670 for a rally towards $2K.

Similarly, seasoned analyst Titan of Crypto highlighted that ETH appears poised to break out from an ascending triangle pattern on the weekly time frame. According to him, ETH is currently trading at the bottom of the structure and could be setting up to test the top of the formation around $3,600.

For the uninitiated, the ascending triangle is a continuation pattern that forms when price makes higher lows while facing resistance at a horizontal level, eventually creating a triangle shape. It signals building buying pressure, and a breakout above the resistance line often leads to a strong upward move.

Rising ETH Exchange Reserves Could Suppress Price

While the analysts above point to a potential bullish reversal for ETH, crypto analyst Ali Martinez noted that over 368,000 ETH has been sent to exchanges since the beginning of the month. A rise in exchange reserves for a digital asset is typically bearish news, as it indicates that holders may be looking to sell their assets in the near-term. 

Additionally, even if ETH has already bottomed for this market cycle, it still faces strong resistance around the $2,300 mark. At press time, ETH trades at $1,612, down 2.7% over the past 24 hours.

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Ethereum (ETH) continues to hold a crucial support level after recovering from last week’s correction. Its recent bounce from historical demand zones has led some analysts to suggest that the altcoin is gearing up for a breakout.

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Ethereum Holds Key Support

Ethereum has reclaimed the key $1,600 level after dropping below the $1,400 support for the first time since 2023. The second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization recently fell to a two-year low during last week’s correction, fueled by US President Donald Trump’s trade tariff war.

ETH touched $1,385 last Wednesday, retesting the 2018 all-time high (ATH) levels before recovering. Amid Trump’s 90-day tariff pause announcement, Ethereum jumped over 10% from $1,480 to $1,600, briefly nearing the $1,700 resistance. However, its price retraced to the $1,400-$1,500 support zone on Thursday amid the market’s volatility.

Over the weekend, the King of Altcoins recovered, hovering between the $1,580-$1,680 price range for the past four days. Ethereum has reclaimed the $1,600 support in the past 24 hours, fueling a bullish sentiment among some market watchers.

Analyst Ted Pillows noted that ETH might be getting closer to a breakout from its short-term downtrend line. According to him, investors could expect the cryptocurrency to hold the $1,550-$1,600 level now that global markets are gaining some strength.

He considers holding this range could propel Ethereum’s price toward the one-month downtrend line. A breakout and confirmation of this resistance, at around $1,670, could set the base for a 20% jump toward the $2,000 resistance level.

Is ETH Out Of The Woods?

Merlijn The Trader suggested that ETH is gearing up for a breakout. The market watcher pointed out the cryptocurrency’s two-month descending channel, which could be “history” if volume surges.

The analyst considers that as Ethereum nears the channel’s upper boundary, “all we need now is volume” for a surge above the $1,690 mark, adding that a breakout from this level would target $2,700.

He also underscored that ETH’s double top formation was completed after “smashing” the $1,432 target, signaling that it “survived the storm.” Notably, the cryptocurrency confirmed this pattern, which developed within its $2,196-$3,904 Macro Range, following its March close below the $2,100 support.

After recovering from the recent lows, “Now comes the face-melting rally no one expects. $4,000 is only the beginning.”

Meanwhile, Rekt Capital highlighted that Ethereum’s Dominance has almost equaled old All-Time Lows. He explained that since June 2023, ETH’s Dominance has dropped from 20% to 8%, historically a reverse area for the cryptocurrency.

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“Generally, Ethereum Dominance needs to hold this green area for a chance at reversal Increasing ETH Dominance would be highly beneficial for Altcoin valuations over time,” he noted Monday.

When the ETH Dominance hit the $7.5%-8.25% range, it reversed “to become more market-dominant,” which could signal a reversal for the King of Altcoins.

As of this writing, ETH trades at $1,609, a 1% decrease in the daily timeframe.

Featured Image from Unsplash.com, Chart from TradingView.com