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Ethereum TD Setup: Why The ETH Price Must Hold $2,250

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Ethereum has largely exhibited a sideways movement between $2,500 and $2,350 in the past seven days. This sideways movement has yet to give rise to a clear path as to how the crypto performs moving forward, denting the sentiment of many bulls. 

In an interesting analysis with the use of the TD Setup, crypto analyst Ali Martinez highlighted a critical price point for investors to watch on the ETH price trajectory. At the heart of this analysis is the $2,250 price point, a level that could be the line between a bullish recovery and a steep correction.

ETH Price Must Hold $2,250

The TD setup is very popular among crypto analysts and investors. Historically, Ethereum has shown a clear reaction after breaking above or below the TD setup. Its reliability in pinpointing key reversal points has made it a go-to tool for analysts like Ali Martinez. 

Using an ETH/US Dollar price chart that he shared on social media platform X, Martinez noted that the TD Sequential has made or broken the cryptocurrency’s price action in the past while also highlighting notable examples. Each time the ETH price broke above the TD setup resistance trendline, a strong bull run has always followed. On the flip side, when ETH dipped below the setup’s support line, it corrected by an average of 53%. 

The first significant breakout above the TD setup resistance triggered an 8,885% surge, which saw the ETH price reach an all-time high of $1,138 at the time. Conversely, the first time the ETH price broke below the TD setup, it corrected by 56.67%. The latest break above the TD setup occurred in March of this year, which saw the ETH price surge by about 113% as it crossed above $4,000 for the first time in two years. 

Ethereum

Recent price dynamics puts the TD setup around $2,250. According to Ali Martinez, breaking below this price point could trigger a significant price drop. If a historical 53% average were to repeat itself, Ethereum could correct to as low as $1,100. 

Current Market Snapshot

As of the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at approximately $2,410, roughly 7% above the critical $2,250 threshold identified by the TD setup. While the ETH price has managed to stay above this level for now, its proximity to this key price level makes it a critical level to watch. 

The TD sequential indicator identifies potential points of exhaustion in an asset’s trend, whether bullish or bearish. Therefore, a break below $2,250 could mean the final reversal from a bullish Ethereum to a bearish sentiment. 

Market sentiment towards Ethereum remains mixed at the moment. Sellers currently have the upper hand, but a break above $2,500 could set the path for a bullish momentum.

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum

Ethereum’s Rally Loses Steam: Analyst Foresee A Possible Brief Correction

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Negative sentiment is gradually growing in the general crypto market once again, with major digital assets like Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency, witnessing a notable setback that led to a slowdown of its renewed upside price momentum. Due to the sudden drop, several crypto analysts believe that the altcoin could face an extended bearish movement shortly.

Ethereum Set To Enter A Correction Phase

IC News, an informative platform has delved into Ethereum’s current price action, offering an insightful perspective about its performance in the near term. After a thorough examination, the platform highlighted that ETH might be on the brink of a temporary corrective phase as market momentum cools off following recent gains. The platform’s prediction is due to signs of overbought conditions and profit-taking by retail and institutional investors, which could affect the stability of the crypto asset’s value.

According to IC News, Ethereum is currently getting close to a critical resistance area at the $3,600 price level, where there is a lot of supply and room for profit-taking. Given how robust this resistance level is, the platform claims there is a good chance that a brief period of correction could occur soon to limit buying pressure.

Furthermore, IC News points out that in order to create a more stable uptrend for Ethereum, the market will have to fall back toward the 200-day Moving Average (MA). 

Ethereum
Ethereum poised for a brief correction phase | Source: IC News on X

While the analysis might spark worries about the altcoin‘s short-term trajectory, the pullback may turn out to be healthy for the asset. This is because the altcoin may create new strong support levels during the correction phase and fortify its base for future price expansion. It could also present several buy signals and opportunities for new and seasoned investors, allowing them to reassess their positions in light of waning market sentiment.

Despite the sudden price decline, the digital asset persistently demonstrates bullish potential in the broader outlook, with market expert and trader, Captain Faibik predicting a mid-term price target for Ethereum at the $5,450 level.

Thus far, Ethereum continues to move within the Broadening Wedge pattern, a key indication of rising momentum. Meanwhile, Captain Faibik anticipates a breakout from the bullish formation in the coming days, which will trigger another huge rally for ETH, potentially to $5,450 in the mid-term.

ETH Now Ahead Of America’s Banking Giant

Ethereum’s recent upswing has led the altcoin to crucial milestones in the last few days, such as surpassing financial behemoth Bank of America by market capitalization. On Sunday, ETH saw a surge in its overall market cap by over 5%, bringing it to a total of $383 billion and breaking past the market cap of Bank of America by a whopping $40 billion.

IC News stated that the crypto asset’s high valuation in comparison to Bank of America reflects a change in the dynamics of the traditional sector as blockchain technology adoption and growth start to outpace traditional banking systems.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $3,171 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum’s Positive Funding Rates Push Price Near $4K—Are There Any Downsides?

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Ethereum has recently climbed to a major high above $3,400, reigniting enthusiasm among market participants and signaling a potential upward trend that may lead to a push above $4,000 toward a new all-time high.

This optimism has been met with major speculation of ETH’s price from the crypto community and analysts, who are observing key indicators within the market to assess the asset’s trajectory.

Ethereum Rise and Market Sentiment

According to a report shared by a CryptoQuant analyst known as ‘ShayanBTC,’ Ethereum’s recent price performance, up by 35% in the past week, has been accompanied by positive sentiment in the futures market, providing a detailed look into potential short-term fluctuations.

Shayan pointed out that the funding rates for Ethereum futures have remained positive, demonstrating strong demand and bullish sentiment among investors.

Ethereum funding rates.

Notably, positive funding rates typically indicate buyers are willing to pay a premium to hold long positions, which signifies market confidence.

The analyst highlighted that this surge in positive sentiment was especially evident when Ethereum surpassed the $3,000 mark, reflecting a similar pattern observed during the March 2024 rally that culminated in a yearly peak.

This pattern now raises questions about whether the current momentum can be sustained or if the market is vulnerable to sudden reversals, just as it did following a major rally earlier this year.

What Is Expected

While positive funding rates are a favorable sign of market interest, they can also indicate heightened risk when they become too elevated. Shayan particularly noted:

Although positive funding rates generally signify healthy demand in a bullish market, elevated funding rates can be a red flag.

The analyst cautioned that high funding rates may point to an “overheated” market, which could increase the likelihood of a long liquidation cascade if the price faces significant resistance or experiences even a modest correction.

Elevated rates suggest that traders may be over-leveraged, creating conditions where a sharp pullback could trigger a wave of sell-offs as leveraged positions are liquidated.

The CryptoQuant analyst further revealed that with Ethereum experiencing high funding rates in the current market climate, investors may need to “exercise caution and adopt strategies to mitigate potential risks.”

The analyst emphasized that with heightened funding rates comes an increased chance of market volatility. Rapid price movements could lead to liquidations, particularly if profit-taking or minor corrections unsettle the market.

Meanwhile, Ethereum has breached the $3,400 price mark to trade as high as $3,424 earlier today. However, at the time of writing, the asset appears to have seen a slight correction with a current trading price of $3,289, albeit still up by 2.2% in the past day.

Ethereum (ETH) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView



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Ethereum Could Be Set To Explore New Highs As On-Chain Metrics Light Up

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

On-chain data shows metrics related to network activity have spiked for Ethereum recently, something that could pave way for a further rally.

Ethereum Transaction Volume & Whale Transfer Count Have Spiked Recently

According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, Ethereum has seen an uplift in two activity-related metrics. The indicators in question are the Transaction Volume and the Whale Transaction Count.

The first of these, the “Transaction Volume,” keeps track of the total amount of the cryptocurrency (in USD) that users on the ETH network are shifting across the network with their transactions.

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When the value of this metric is high, it means the ETH blockchain is processing the transfer of a large number of coins right now. Such a trend suggests the investors actively invest in asset trading.

On the other hand, the low indicator implies the interest in the cryptocurrency may currently be low as the holders are only moving around a low amount of ETH.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Transaction Volume for Ethereum over the last few months:

Ethereum Volume
The value of the metric appears to have been quite high in recent days | Source: Santiment on X

As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Transaction Volume has registered a sharp surge recently, implying interest in the asset has increased alongside the price rally.

This could be considered a constructive development for the cryptocurrency, as an increasing network activity is generally required for rallies to be sustainable.

In the past, some price moves have kicked off sharply, but the Transaction Volume didn’t register much of an increase at the same time. Such moves generally died out before long.

The chart also contains the data for the other metric of relevance here, the “Whale Transaction Count.” This indicator measures the total amount of ETH transfers valued at more than $100,000.

Transactions of this scale are assumed to be coming from the whale entities, so the Whale Transaction Count reflects the activity level of the big-money investors.

From the graph, it’s apparent that this indicator has also spiked for Ethereum recently, which implies that the recent increase in the volume isn’t just a sign of interest from the smaller investors but also the humongous hands.

Naturally, it’s impossible to say based off these indicators alone, whether the investors are buying or selling, as all types of transactions look the same from their view. Because ETH has seen a sharp rally recently, this activity has probably been for accumulation so far.

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The analytics firm explains,

Expect any growth from Bitcoin, during this bull run, to see profits redistribute into Ethereum and potentially push it toward its own all-time high while its network activity looks very healthy.

ETH Price

After observing a surge of more than 27% over the last seven days, Ethereum has broken beyond the $3,150 level.

Ethereum Price Chart
The price of the asset appears to have been riding bullish momentum recently | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com



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