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Ethereum Set For $5,000? ETH Open Interest Expanding On CME Ahead Of Spot ETFs Trading

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Ethereum is tracking lower when writing, sinking roughly 18% from March 2024 highs. Even though bears appear to be in control at spot rates, keeping the second most valuable coin below $3,700, confidence is high among analysts.

ETH Futures Open Interest Rising On CME

Taking to X, one of them noted that there are solid signs that institutions are positioning themselves to push prices higher. Citing rising open interest in Ethereum Futures at CME, a bourse, the analyst said it is highly likely that the “big money” is accumulating ETH, taking advantage of the recent correction.

ETH CME futures open interest | Source: @Ashcryptoreal via X

To reassert this outlook, the analyst said the trend observed from the Ethereum CME futures contracts’ open interest is a reliable telltale sign.

Notably, this trend mirrors what transpired with Bitcoin futures before the launch of spot Bitcoin exchange-traded funds (ETFs). For this reason, the analyst is convinced that a similar pattern is printing for Ethereum.

Currently, Ethereum is printing discouraging lower lows. Sellers have been resilient, deflating any momentum buildup and placing caps on bulls.

So far, it is emerging that $3,700 is a resistance level for traders to monitor closely. Bulls did not launch a counter once it was broken on June 7, and the bear breakout was confirmed four days later on June 11.

Ethereum price trending downward on the daily chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Binance, TradingView

Despite the current market conditions, the launch of Ethereum spot ETFs could still drive prices to new heights. The analyst predicts a potential expansion to $5,000, confirming the Q1 2024 trend and the breakout above the current flag.

Still, whether bulls will be in control depends on how price action pans out. Technically, open interest shows the cumulative summation of both open or long-leveraged positions. If buyers push prices to rise, ETH should expand in the coming days, even breaking $3,700 this week.

Spot Ethereum ETF Optimism: Will They Be A Success?

Beyond this, the recent flurry of activity surrounding spot Ethereum ETF applications bolsters this optimism. On June 21, seven applicants, whose 19b-4 forms were recently approved, submitted amended S-1 registration statements with the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC). Analysts now think the regulator could approve the trading of these products by early July 2024.  

While bullish for Ethereum, some analysts are not convinced they will enjoy similar success as those seen when spot Bitcoin ETFs began trading. Eric Balchunas, Senior ETF analyst at Bloomberg, predicted that spot Ethereum ETF would succeed if it grabs just 20% of all the capital inflow going to its Bitcoin counterpart.



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Ethereum Staking Gets Major Boost With 60,000 Unique Depositors In One Month

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On-chain data recently showed that the Ethereum staking has experienced significant growth over the last month. This undoubtedly presents a bullish outlook for the Ethereum ecosystem, which is already oozing with a lot of bullish sentiment heading into July. 

Almost 60,000 Unique Depositors Join Ethereum Network

Data from the on-chain analytics platform CryptoQuant shows that 59,894 new depositors have joined ETH’s staking network since May 20. Interestingly, this significant increase began around the time Bloomberg analysts James Seyffart and Eric Balchunas increased their approval odds for the Spot Ethereum ETFs to 75%. 

Ethereum
Source: CrptoQuant

 

This again highlights the Spot Ethereum ETFs’ positive impact on ETH, although they haven’t begun trading. Thanks to these funds, the network has achieved a 4% increase in staking participation in just over a month. Increased staking participation is bullish for ETH, making the network more decentralized. 

Furthermore, the increase in the number of new depositors will also reduce ETH’s already dwindling circulating supply since these depositors have to lock up a significant amount of ETH to become validators on the network. Data from Dune Analytics shows that over 33 million ETH is locked up, representing almost 28% of Ehereum’s total supply. 

ETH’s Supply Side Paints A Bullish Picture

A reduction in Ethereum’s circulating supply is a bullish fundamental since it helps reduce the impact of any potential selling pressure on the crypto token. The positive impact of these locked-up tokens also becomes more evident as the demand for Ethereum increases since ETH’s price will bow to the dynamics of supply and demand. 

ETH’s distribution also paints a bullish picture for the crypto token. Data from the market intelligence platform IntoTheBlock shows that about 78% of ‘s supply, including staked ETH, is held by long-term holders, those who have been holding the crypto token for over a year. 

This shows that Ethereum’s supply is concentrated in the hands of individuals who are unlikely to offload their holdings anytime soon. This is significant, considering institutional investors are set to increase ETH’s demand once the Spot Ethereum ETFs begin trading. These funds are expected to start trading this month. 

Balchunas recently suggested that these Spot Ethereum ETFs could begin trading soon after July 8. Balchunas and Seyffart had previously predicted that these funds could begin trading by July 2. However, Balchunas noted that the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) had taken extra time to get back to the Spot Ethereum ETF issuers, so they had to change their timeline for when these funds would launch. 

Bitwise’s Chief Investment Officer Matt Hougan recently predicted that these Spot Ethereum ETFs could attract $15 billion in their first 18 months of trading. 

At the time of writing, ETH is trading at around $3,470, up over 2% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap. 

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com
ETH price drops below $3,500 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum Price Heading For $3,360 – Can Key Support Levels Sustain The Uptrend?

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Ethereum (ETH) is currently facing a critical test as it approaches the key support level of $3,360. This price point has emerged as a significant marker in recent trading sessions, with market participants closely watching to see if ETH can maintain its footing or if further declines are imminent. 

The $3,360 level represents a crucial battleground between bullish and bearish forces, and its outcome could set the tone for Ethereum’s short-term price trajectory. In this article, we will explore ETH’s potential price implications in the event of a rejection or a breach with the help of technical indicators.

At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading at around $3,387 and was down by 1.62% with a market capitalization of over $407 billion and a 24-hour trading volume of over $11 billion. Its market capitalization is down by 1.52%, while its trading volume is up by 32.02% in the past day.

Will $3,360 Support Hold Or Break?

It can be observed on the 4-hour chart that ETH’s price has experienced a drop toward $3,360 and is trading below the 100-day Simple Moving Average (SMA). Currently, the price is moving in a consolidating manner, which is slightly above this level.

Ethereum
Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Additionally, the 4-hour Relative Strength Index (RSI) indicates that Ethereum’s price may breach below this support level and continue in its downtrend as the RSI line has dropped below 50% and could drop into the oversold zone.

Taking a look at the 1-day chart, it can be seen that ETH is attempting to drop below the 100-day SMA. Although the price of ETH is still bullish, based on current price action it may tend to fall further in the long run.

Ethereum
Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Finally, the 1-day RSI indicator signals a bearish trend ahead as the signal line has already dropped below 50% and is heading toward the oversold zone. From the price analysis and the formation of technical indicators, it can be suggested that the crypto asset may likely break below the $3,360 support.

Ethereum’s Path Beyond $3,360

Exploring ETH’s prospects and strategies beyond $3,360, it was revealed that if the price of ETH breaks below this level, it may move lower to test the $3,051 support level and probably move on to test the $2,865 support level and other levels below if the price breaches this level.

However, if ETH’s price faces rejection at the $3,360 support level, it will begin to move upward toward the $3,659 resistance level. Should the digital asset breach this support level, it may move further to test the $3,975 resistance level and possibly other higher levels.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $3,390 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com



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SEC Sues Ethereum’s ConsenSys Over Lido And Rocket Pool Offerings

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The US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) has intensified its legal battle with the crypto industry by filing a lawsuit against ConsenSys, a blockchain firm known for its MetaMask wallet product and its focus on the Ethereum network. 

The SEC alleges that ConsenSys violated federal securities laws by operating as an unregistered broker and dealer while offering services for “crypto securities,” amassing fees exceeding $250 million. 

SEC Lawsuit Against ConsenSys 

The SEC’s lawsuit against ConsenSys echoes similar complaints against other crypto firms such as Coinbase and Kraken. However, what sets this lawsuit apart is the context surrounding ConsenSys’ response to the SEC’s actions. 

In April, ConsenSys filed a lawsuit against the SEC after receiving a Wells notice seeking clarity on whether Ethereum should be classified as a security. Just recently, ConsenSys announced the closure of the SEC’s “Ethereum 2.0” investigation, interpreting it as an indication that Ethereum fell outside the agency’s jurisdiction. 

Notably, the SEC did not name Ethereum as one of the unregistered securities offered by ConsenSys in Friday’s filing, which may have led to the approval of the Ethereum ETF applications by the world’s largest asset managers on May 23.

Crypto Industry’s Regulatory Battle

ConsenSys, founded by Joseph Lubin, one of Ethereum’s developers, distinguishes itself from previous SEC targets. Rather than operating as an exchange, ConsenSys focuses on software development, including the MetaMask digital wallet. 

The SEC’s lawsuit argues that the firm violated securities laws by enabling the “swapping” of crypto assets through MetaMask. Particularly, the agency has targeted Ethereum staking services, namely Lido and Rocket Pool, alleging that their tokens, stETH and rETH, respectively, are unregistered securities.

The SEC further claims that ConsenSys facilitated over 36 million crypto asset transactions, including at least 5 million involving what the agency deems to be securities. 

Previously, the SEC had brought similar charges related to staking against Kraken, resulting in a $30 million settlement, while Coinbase has contested the charges.

While the new SEC complaint against the blockchain firm does not classify Ethereum as a security, it represents another front in the SEC’s ongoing campaign against major players in the crypto industry. 

Many within the crypto community may view this as a partial victory, given the absence of Ethereum’s inclusion as an unregistered security. However, the lawsuit further highlights the regulatory uncertainties surrounding the industry’s top companies. 

ConsenSys, currently engaged in an ongoing lawsuit against the SEC in Texas, criticized the agency’s actions, accusing it of pursuing an “anti-crypto agenda” through arbitrary enforcement actions and regulatory overreach.

ConsenSys
The 1-D chart shows ETH’s price trending downwards. Source: ETHUSD on TradingView.com

At the time of writing, ETH was trading at $3,777, down 2.3% in the past 24 hours as the crypto market continues to experience significant selling pressure. 

Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com 



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