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Ethereum Retraces: Here’s Why ETH Bulls Must Decisively Break Above $3,500

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Ethereum is firm when writing, rapidly rising after slipping to around $2,800 earlier this month. As of writing, the second most valuable coin is up by over $24% and remains in an uptrend despite the scare of July 4 and 5.

Ethereum Finds Strong Resistance At $3,500

Even as buyers expect ETH bulls to press on and push the coin above $3,700, a key resistance line, on-chain data shows that there is resistance. According to IntoTheBlock data on July 22, ETH has strong resistance at $3,500, which has been the case since July 16.

At this level, 3.13 million unique addresses bought ETH at an average price of $3,547. Therefore, if prices trend below this level, these holders are in red and contemplating exiting at a loss.

Over 3 million ETH addresses bought at $3,547 | Source: @intotheblock via X

The fact that some addresses could be willing to dump and exit the market when prices fall makes the general environment fragile, a considerable hindrance to the upside. This makes the situation even dire, considering that ETH is not all that firm despite the expansion of July 15.

From the daily chart, the uptrend remains, but there are pockets of weaknesses due to the sharpness of the July 4 and 5 dumps. The sell-off forced ETH towards the $2,800 level, reversing gains of May 20.

Ethereum price trending upward on the daily chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Binance, TradingView

 

For buyers to take over, reaffirming the uptrend of July 15, prices must zoom past $3,500 but, most importantly, $3,700. This reaction line is crucial and is the only local resistance buyers must overcome for ETH to float above $3,900 and $4,100.

Millions Of ETH Pulled From Exchanges, Spot ETF Launch Fanning Demand

For now, there is strength in reading from on-chain analysis. Though over three million users are in the red, more ETH continues to be moved from exchanges.

On July 19, IntoTheBlock data revealed that $126 million worth of ETH was moved from leading exchanges. Notably, this development comes amid the expected approval of the first batch of spot Ethereum ETFs in the United States.

ETH outflows from top exchanges | Source: @intotheblock via X

 

If the United States Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) greenlights these products this week, it would be a massive win for ETH.

The regulatory clarity that comes with this move will be of importance. United States SEC officials have yet to clarify the status of ETH.

However, once spot Ethereum ETFs are listed in various bourses in the country, it would be assumed that the regulator agrees that the second most valuable coin is a commodity, just like Bitcoin.



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Is This The End For Ethereum Or A Generational Opportunity?

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum holders are definitely being tested by some tough times, with recent price action failing to create a bullish perspective for the digital asset. One of the major disappointments has been the performance of spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs), which were launched in the U.S. with great fanfare. These ETFs were seen by numerous market participants as the key that could unlock significant upward movement for Ethereum. Since their introduction, they have not delivered the expected results, leaving investors frustrated.

Matt Hougan, Chief Investment Officer of Bitwise, a popular crypto index fund manager, continues to maintain a positive ETH outlook. According to him, Ethereum is still at the forefront of blockchain applications that are seeing breakthrough success.

This Is Not The End For Ethereum

The lack of positive momentum in the Ethereum market has been enough to shake the confidence of seasoned investors. The combination of uncertain macroeconomic factors, rising competition from Solana and other blockchains, and the unmet expectations surrounding the Ethereum ETFs has contributed to the pessimistic outlook for the digital asset. 

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Among the optimists is Matt Hougan, who shared his views in a recent memo. Hougan has maintained a bullish outlook on Ethereum, standing firm in his belief that the current challenges are only temporary and that the asset still has the potential to rebound. Hougan argues that although Ethereum has fallen behind Bitcoin and Solana’s year-to-date growth of 38% and 31%, respectively, the cryptocurrency’s long-term prospects remain strong.

In his memo, Hougan highlighted ETH’s continued dominance as the leading blockchain for decentralized applications (dApps), stating that it retains the lion’s share of activity among developers building on blockchain technology. He went as far as to liken Ethereum to the “Microsoft of blockchains.” 

To support his claim, Hougan pointed to notable examples of Ethereum’s adoption by major companies. One such example is BlackRock’s tokenized money market fund, which launched in March 2024 and now has more than $500 million in assets under management. Another example is Nike’s Web3 gear platform called .Swoosh. 

Ethereum has the most active developers and users. As such, Hougan believes the blockchain will be first on the radar of the next large traditional company wanting to do a blockchain product.

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What’s Next For ETH?

According to Hougan, Ethereum is a contrarian bet for the rest of the year. What this basically means is that he expects Ethereum to go against the ongoing market sentiment and surprise many investors with a bullish run by the end of the year. 

At the time of writing, ETH is trading at $2,440 and is up by 5.2% in the past 24 hours. This recent uptick brings Ethereum close to testing a key resistance level at $2,450 once again.

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com
ETH price holding $3,400 | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Bitcoin’s price jumps to a three-week high

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Bitcoin price jumps to a three-week high
  • Bitcoin’s price has surged 5.6%, hitting a three-week high of $61.1K on Tuesday morning
  • Altcoins like Celestia, Immutable X, and Near have seen double-digit percentage gains
  • Crypto stocks rose modestly ahead of the Fed’s expected rate cut announcement

Bitcoin’s price has surged to its highest level in three weeks, triggering gains across the cryptocurrency sector and related stocks.

It soared 5.6%, reaching $61.1K before returning to around $61k.

Bitcoin price jumps to a three-week high

The surge marks a sharp reversal from the quiet start to the week, signalling renewed interest in digital assets.

Altcoins and Bitcoin price soaring ahead of Fed cuts

Besides Bitcoin, other major cryptocurrencies have also seen significant gains, with Ethereum (ETH) advancing 4.2% to $2.38K.

Notably, some altcoins have outpaced the larger tokens. For example, Celestia (TIA) has seen a 15.7% increase, Immutable X (IMX) has risen by 14.8%, Near Protocol (NEAR) is up 9%, Uniswap (UNI) has climbed 8.9%, and Sui (SUI) has gained 8.1%.

The rally comes just ahead of the Federal Reserve’s highly anticipated decision on interest rates.

Market analysts widely expect the central bank to lower rates for the first time in four years. With inflation largely under control and the labour market showing signs of cooling, many believe the Fed will adopt a more accommodative stance.

Lower interest rates are typically bullish for cryptocurrencies, as reduced borrowing costs make traditional savings and investment vehicles less attractive. As a result, investors often turn to riskier assets like cryptocurrencies in search of higher returns.

Crypto-focused stocks also surge

Crypto-focused stocks have also benefited from Bitcoin’s rally, though their gains were generally more modest compared to digital tokens.

MicroStrategy (MSTR), a company known for holding large reserves of Bitcoin, inched up by 0.6%.

Crypto exchange platform Coinbase Global (COIN) has risen by 3%, while crypto investment firm Galaxy Digital (OTCPK) has gained 5.4%.

In the crypto mining sector, Riot Platforms (RIOT) has advanced 2.4%, MARA Holdings (MARA) has risen by 1.9%, and HIVE Digital Technologies (HIVE) has climbed 4.3%. Bit Digital (BTBT) saw the largest jump, gaining 13%, followed by Hut 8 (HUT) with a 6.6% rise, and CleanSpark (CLSK) up 3.1%.

As the broader stock market also experience buying pressure ahead of the Federal Reserve’s pivotal decision, the crypto sector continues to ride the wave of optimism surrounding the potential for lower rates and increased investment in digital assets.



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Bitcoin targets $63k as crypto market awakens after Fed rate cut

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Bitcoin (BTC) price breaks above $62K as crypto market awakens after Fed rate cut
  • Bitcoin has broken past $62K post-Fed rate cut; next resistance at $63K
  • Ethereum and Solana have also surged, reflecting a broader crypto market rally
  • Caution remains due to economic uncertainties and potential regulatory issues

Bitcoin’s (BTC) price has surged past $62,000 following the US Federal Reserve’s decision to cut interest rates by 50 basis points.

The move by the Fed, aimed at bolstering economic growth and mitigating recession risks, has ignited a rally across digital assets. The monetary policy adjustment not only energized Bitcoin but also lifted a broad range of altcoins and risk assets.

The next Bitcoin price resistance level at $63k

Currently trading around $62,096, Bitcoin’s price has demonstrated a solid 24-hour gain of 2.29% and a more impressive 7-day increase of 6.20%.

Most notably, the price breach above the $62,000 mark represents a crucial psychological milestone for Bitcoin, following a period of consolidation near $60,000.

Technical analysis highlights that Bitcoin’s next significant resistance level is positioned at $63,000, with the potential for further gains if this barrier is surpassed. The upper boundary of Bitcoin’s Bollinger Bands indicates heightened volatility, suggesting that while a short-term profit taking phase may occur, the overall trend remains strongly bullish.

Support is firmly established at around $60,100, acting as a critical floor that has been repeatedly tested and held firm.

Investor sentiment towards Bitcoin is largely positive, with increased trading volumes reflecting growing institutional interest.

As Bitcoin’s price continues to climb, it benefits from a broader narrative of cryptocurrencies serving as a hedge against traditional market volatility and inflation fears, which have been exacerbated by the Fed’s dovish stance.

Ethereum and Solana lead as altcoins mirror Bitcoin’s surge

The rate cut by the US Federal Reserve not only impacted Bitcoin’s price but has also spurred a broader rally in the cryptocurrency market, lifting major altcoins alongside Bitcoin.

Ethereum (ETH), for instance, has surged past $2,400, marking a 24-hour increase of 4.94% and a 7-day rise of 2.97%. Ethereum’s price reached $2,430 before settling slightly, mirroring Bitcoin’s bullish trend. Technical indicators show Ethereum facing immediate resistance at $2,430, with potential for further gains if it breaks above this level.

Solana (SOL) has also seen significant price movements, surging by 6.03% to reach $138.65. This gain underscores renewed confidence in Solana’s ecosystem and its applications in decentralized finance (DeFi) and non-fungible tokens (NFTs).

Other altcoins, such as Ripple (XRP) and Shiba Inu (SHIB), have also experienced notable increases, with XRP rising by 1.20% to $0.59 and SHIB climbing 7.85% to $0.00001427.

Analysts remain cautious

Despite the overall positive sentiment, market participants remain cautious. Mixed reactions and concerns about the sustainability of the rally are prevalent. Analysts suggest that while the rate cut has provided a significant short-term boost, the broader economic uncertainties and potential regulatory challenges could impact future performance.

In particular, Presto Research notes that the market remains divided, highlighting the need for relief from growth concerns to maintain upward momentum.

Amid the mixed market outlook, the coming months will be critical in determining whether the current Bitcoin (BTC) price rally can sustain momentum and push digital assets to new highs.



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