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Ethereum is still under significant bearish pressure, with the possibility that the downward trend might continue in the coming days or weeks as the market struggles to recover. After dropping sharply over the last few days, ETH may have finally reached that crucial moment that could trigger a significant upward surge.

A Strong Rally To New Highs On The Horizon For Ethereum?

During negative market conditions, Ethereum, the second-largest crypto asset, tends to decline along with other major digital assets like Bitcoin and Solana. ETH’s price has now fallen below $2,000 once again, raising uncertainty about a short-term upside breakout and reversal.

However, seasoned market expert and investor Trader Tardigrade points to a bullish development on the ETH’s chart that could lay the groundwork for a rebound and a rally. His prediction suggests that ETH is gearing up for a significant recovery as the altcoin enters a crucial oversold zone.

With Ethereum trending in an oversold zone, this implies that selling pressure may have reached exhaustion, which could pave the way for buying pressure. Once buying pressure returns, a new wave of optimism will be introduced to the market, increasing the likelihood of another rally.

According to the analyst, Ethereum has entered the oversold zone on the Stochastic indicator in a 3-year span. Besides determining overbought and oversold conditions, the key indicator is also used to gauge trend reversals and divergences.

Considering the development, Trader Tardigrade believes that the altcoin may have reached the bottom at the current level. Historically, ETH has seen notable growth from the bottom, as seen in the monthly chart. The chart shows a similar trend in 2019 and 2022, in which each cycle spurred a strong rally.

These past scenarios provide more confirmation of Trader Tardigrade’s upsurge expectation. Should it mirror previous trends, the analyst foresees a move toward new all-time highs, mainly targeting the $11,500 mark. Many crypto experts have predicted that ETH’s path to the $10,000 milestone and beyond is programmed and natural.

ETH’s Upside Momentum Hinges On This Key Area

Ethereum is witnessing another day of bearish movement as its price loses the $1,900 support level. Delving into ETH’s current price action, Ali Martinez, a crypto expert and trader, has predicted the next possible move for the altcoin using the Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) Pricing Bands.

After examining the MVRV Extreme Deviation Pricing Bands metric, Ali Marinez highlighted that ETH is testing key support levels that are crucial for its next move. If the realized price of $2,060 fails to hold, Martinez noted that the next significant support is located at $1,440, suggesting a potential deeper decline in ETH’s price.

At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading at $1,892, displaying a 0.30% drop in the last 24 hours. With ETH falling below the $1,900 mark, bearish sentiment has risen around the asset, as evidenced by a more than 37% decrease in its daily trading volume.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

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Ethereum’s price has been facing significant downward pressure in recent days, with the cryptocurrency even dipping below the $2,000 mark for the first time since December 2023. The crash below $2,000 has done more harm to the already declining bullish sentiment, and the next outlook is whether there will be more incoming declines or whether the leading altcoin is already nearing a bottom. 

Notably, an interesting signal of a probable outcome has been revealed through the Ethereum CME Futures chart, where the monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) just reached its lowest level on record, surpassing the readings from the 2022 bear market.

Ethereum’s Monthly RSI Drops Below 2022 Levels

Crypto analyst Tony “The Bull” Severino has highlighted a significant development in Ethereum’s technical indicators, pointing out that the cryptocurrency’s monthly Relative Strength Index (RSI) on the CME Futures chart has now fallen to its lowest level on record.

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This decline has pushed the RSI below the 2022 bear market bottom, a period that saw Ethereum reach multi-year lows before eventually staging a recovery. Severino shared this observation in a detailed technical analysis post on social media platform X, using Ethereum’s Futures monthly candlestick timeframe chart. 

The analyst noted that although this drop suggests strong selling momentum, it could also be forming a hidden bullish divergence. This is because the last time Ethereum’s RSI dropped to such extreme lows, it eventually found its footing around $900 and embarked on a price uptrend in the months that followed. This previous performance raises the possibility of Ethereum approaching a bottom, despite its current downward momentum. It is possible that Ethereum has now found a footing around $1,900 and is now gearing up for another uprend in the coming months.

However, Severino remained cautious about the situation, stating that the reading could also mean that the selling pressure is at its strongest and could continue driving Ethereum lower into oversold conditions. Interestingly, he also made it clear that despite the potential for a reversal, he is currently leaning more toward a bearish outlook on Ethereum.

Stochastic Indicator Points To A Deeper Bearish Phase

Beyond the RSI levels, another key indicator that Severino highlighted is Ethereum’s one-month Stochastic oscillator, which has now dropped below the 50 mark. In a previous analysis, he noted that Ethereum’s drop below the 50 mark is characteristic of a bear maket territory. However, it typically does not find a bottom until the Stochastic indicator reaches below 20 and is in extreme oversold conditions.

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As shown by the chart below, past trends indicate that when Ethereum’s Stochastic oscillator enters bear market territory, it often takes months before the asset stabilizes and begins a strong recovery.

At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $1,920, having recently reached a low of $1,851 in the past 24 hours.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

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Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has experienced renewed downward pressure amid a widespread market crash. After reaching a mid-December high of $4,107—still below its November 2021 all-time high of $4,868—ETH slipped below $1,800, marking a 53% drop from its December peak. But while traders scramble to assess the depth of this current downturn, a new on-chain development has momentarily stolen the spotlight.

Is It Really The Ethereum Foundation?

A transaction flagged by on-chain analytics service Lookonchain raised alarms this week, suggesting an alleged liquidation risk for the Ethereum Foundation (EF). Lookonchain reported via X: “A wallet suspected to be Ethereum Foundation deposited 30,098 ETH ($56.08M) to Maker to lower the liquidation price 5 hours ago. Currently, this wallet has 100,394 ETH ($182M) on Maker, and the liquidation price is $1,127.06.”

The magnitude of the transaction—reportedly worth $56.08 million in ETH deposits—sparked widespread speculation about EF’s potential exposure. Lookonchain’s data implied that 30,098 ETH (approximately $182 million) was being used to back a MakerDAO vault with a liquidation threshold hovering around $1,127, a pivotal level givenETH’s recent price crash.

Chinese crypto news outlet Wu Blockchain was among the first to circulate the story. However, shortly thereafter, Wu Blockchain offered a clarification based on analytics from Arkham Intelligence.

The updated analysis indicates that the wallet’s connections to the Ethereum Foundation may have been overstated. The address, it appears, belongs to an early ETH investor who once interacted with EF’s official wallets but has since managed funds independently. The deposit of 30,098 ETH was presumably a strategic move to shore up collateral and lower the MakerDAO vault’s liquidation price during a market downturn.

Wu Blockchain noted via X: “Correction: Although 0x22…1246 was flagged by Arkam as a suspected Ethereum Foundation address, on-chain data confirms otherwise. While this address received a 4M DAI transfer from the Ethereum Foundation ETH Sale in May 2022, its transaction behavior and initial ETH funding trace back to jonny.eth (0xb76), indicating that it is more likely an early ETH investor rather than the Foundation itself. This address deposited 30,098 ETH into the MakerDAO vault today, with an outstanding debt position of 78,035,224.7182 DAI.”

While the liquidation price remains $1,127—a level that some observers believe could be tested if market pressures persist—there is currently no official evidence linking the vault to the Ethereum Foundation. Consequently, rumors of an EF liquidation seem to be unfounded, given the clarifications brought forth by Wu Blockchain based on Arkham data.

At press time, ETH traded at $1,925.

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.