Ethereum
Ethereum Price Tied To BitMEX Whales: Quant Uncovers Link
A quant has pointed out how the trends in the BitMEX exchange reserve have affected the Ethereum price during the past few years.
BitMEX Ethereum Whales Have Shown Smart Money Behavior In Recent Years
In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst discussed a pattern in the ETH exchange reserve of the BitMEX platform. The “exchange reserve” here refers to an on-chain metric that keeps track of the total amount of Ethereum that’s sitting in the wallets of any given centralized exchange.
When the value of this metric rises, investors will make net deposits to the platform right now. As one of the main reasons investors transfer to exchanges is for selling purposes, this trend can have potential bearish implications for the asset’s price.
On the other hand, a decline in the indicator suggests a net amount of the cryptocurrency’s supply is moving off the wallets associated with the exchange. Investors generally take their coins off into self-custody when they plan to hold for extended periods, so such a trend could be bullish for the coin.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum exchange reserve for BitMEX over the last few years:
As is visible in the above graph, the Ethereum exchange reserve on the BitMEX platform observed a sharp increase back in mid-2022. This would suggest that the investors had made some hefty net deposits into the exchange.
According to the quant, the platform houses a significant number of whales, so this large inflow activity would reflect the behavior of these humongous investors.
Interestingly, the rapid growth in the indicator had come right before ETH had crashed towards its bear market lows. Thus, it would appear possible that these large holders had anticipated that things were about to get worse for the asset, so they had pulled the trigger on selling while they still had the chance.
Another notable shift in the exchange reserve of BitMEX occurred in September 2023, when the whales took out a huge amount of Ethereum, almost completely retracing the earlier bear market increase.
From the chart, it’s apparent that soon after these net outflows occurred, the cryptocurrency’s price started on a sharp rally that would eventually take it above the $4,000 level for the first time since December 2021.
It would appear that these smart money whales were again correct in their intuition about the market, as they could time their buys just in time for the rally.
Since these net outflows in September, the indicator hasn’t displayed any significant shifts, as its value has been moving sideways. Given the historical trend, any new deviations that crop up could be worth watching out for, as they could potentially spell another shift for Ethereum.
ETH Price
Ethereum showed a recovery push from its lows yesterday, but the run has calmed down as ETH is still trading around $3,400 today.
Ethereum
Analyst Reveals When The Ethereum Price Will Reach A New ATH, It’s Closer Than You Think
The Ethereum price has been consolidating for about a week since it hit a four-month high at $3,420. As the second largest cryptocurrency, Ethereum has the biggest price correlation with Bitcoin. However, you could argue the Ethereum price has been largely left behind in terms of performance throughout the ongoing bull cycle. Interestingly, a crypto analyst, Ben Lilly, has shared a bold prediction about the trajectory of the Ethereum price.
Taking to a post on the social media platform X, Ben Lilly forecasted that the Ethereum price will reach a new all-time high (ATH) between December 21, 2024, and January 7, 2025. The prediction stems from his analysis of the previous performance of the ETH price movements during Bitcoin’s ATH discovery phase in 2021.
A Historical Parallel: Ethereum’s 2021 Rally
In his analysis, Ben Lilly referenced Ethereum’s price behavior during the historic rally of the Bitcoin price in the 2021 bull run. At the time, the Ethereum price was trading nearly 60% below its 2018 peak. After Bitcoin broke out to fresh ATH levels, it took Ethereum five weeks to follow suit, rallying by about 640% to reach its current ATH of $4,878.
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Lilly believes the present market conditions mirror those of 2021, with the Bitcoin price recently entering price discovery mode. Ethereum, which was approximately 50% below its 2021 peak of $4,418 as of November 2024, has started to rebound, showing over 20% gains within just two weeks from a low of $2,366 on November 4.
Interestingly, the analyst’s comments suggest that as the Bitcoin price continues to set new price records this bull run, Ethereum is likely to follow with a substantial price leap very soon. The timeframe for this substantial price leap, he projects, aligns closely with late December 2024 and early January 2025.
Based on his projections, the analyst asserts that Ethereum could repeat its historical pattern and rally significantly within a short timeframe. He highlights that a 300% surge from Ethereum’s November 4 low price level could push it toward the $10,000 mark.
ETH will form a new ATH between Dec 21-Jan7.
I don’t make the rules. pic.twitter.com/NVgVdQ8Bsj
— Ben Lilly (@MrBenLilly) November 20, 2024
Current State Of The Ethereum Price
Ben Lilly’s Ethereum price prediction highlights the importance of the Bitcoin price momentum to that of the second-largest asset. Particularly, the 2021 pattern he pointed to is a result of an altcoin season where the altcoin market (led by Ethereum) started to outperform the Bitcoin price.
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As it stands, an altcoin season has yet to materialize this cycle, and all the interest is going into Bitcoin. The Bitcoin price is currently on an all-time high roll, meaning the market will have to continue to wait for the interest to roll into Ethereum.
At the time of writing, the ETH price is trading at $3,107 and is down by 3.84% in the past seven days.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum
Ethereum A Ticking Bomb? Derivatives Metrics Break Records
Data shows the Ethereum derivatives-related metrics have shot up recently, a sign that the price is at risk of going through a volatile storm.
Ethereum Open Interest & Leverage Ratio Have Both Spiked Recently
In a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, an analyst has discussed about the trend in the derivatives indicators of Ethereum. The metrics in question are the Open Interest and the Estimated Leverage Ratio.
First, the Open Interest keeps track of the total amount of ETH-related contracts that are currently open on all derivatives platforms. The metric naturally takes into account for both long and short positions.
When the value of this metric rises, it means the investors are opening up fresh positions on the market. Such a trend suggests derivatives trading interest in the coin is going up.
On the other hand, the indicator registering a drawdown implies positions in the market are going down. This could be because of investors willfully closing them up, or due to exchanges forcibly liquidating them.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum Open Interest over the last few years:
The value of the metric appears to have been shooting up in recent days | Source: CryptoQuant
The above graph shows that the Ethereum Open Interest has witnessed rapid growth recently. It has surpassed the previous all-time high (ATH) to set a new record above $13 billion.
When considering the timeframe of the past four months, the indicator has increased by over 40%, which suggests an explosion in speculative interest around the cryptocurrency has occurred.
This development, however, may not be the healthiest, as the trend in the second indicator of relevance, the Estimated Leverage Ratio, would suggest. This metric measures the ratio between the Open Interest and the Derivatives Exchange Reserve.
The Derivatives Exchange Reserve is naturally just the total amount of the cryptocurrency sitting in wallets associated with all centralized derivatives exchanges.
The Estimated Leverage Ratio tells us the amount of leverage or loan that the average derivatives user in the Ethereum market is currently opting for.
Below is a chart for this indicator.
Looks like the value of the metric has been heading up over the last few weeks | Source: CryptoQuant
From the graph, it’s apparent that the Ethereum Estimated Leverage Ratio has shot up recently. This would mean that the increase in the Open Interest has been more rapid than the rise in the Derivatives Exchange Reserve.
The investors are now sitting on all-time high (ATH) leverage, which can be a bad sign for ETH as it implies any volatility in the future could take down the overleveraged positions and induce a mass liquidation event called a squeeze.
The quant has pointed out that the Ethereum Funding Rate, a ratio between long and short positions, is positive right now, which suggests that if a squeeze is to happen shortly, it’s more likely to involve the bullish side of the market.
ETH Price
At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $3,000, down almost 7% over the past week.
The price of the coin seems to have been consolidating sideways recently | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum
Fundraising platform JustGiving accepts over 60 cryptocurrencies including Bitcoin, Ethereum
- JustGiving now accepts over 60 cryptocurrencies for people to donate with
- 94% of crypto users are Millennials and Generation Z
- More than $2 billion has been donated to charitable causes over the past five years
UK-based fundraising platform JustGiving is teaming up with The Giving Block, a digital asset company, to start accepting crypto donations.
JustGiving now allows users to donate in more than 60 cryptocurrencies, including Bitcoin, Ethereum, Tether, and Doge, according to a report from UK Fundraising. The move comes as the crypto market is experiencing a surge in value, with Bitcoin recording a new all-time high of over $94,000 yesterday on CoinMarketCap.
According to JustGiving’s website, over the past 24 years, the fundraising platform has raised $7.2 billion (£6 billion) and is trusted by thousands of charities worldwide, including the Alzheimer’s Society, the British Heart Foundation, Macmillan Cancer Support, and Mind.
Pascale Harvie, President and General Manager of JustGiving, said:
“In recent years there has been a surge in the use of cryptocurrencies and our decision to enable cryptocurrency donations is the latest demonstration of our commitment to forward-thinking innovation.”
Tapping into a tech-savvy demographic is also key. According to JustGiving, 94% of crypto users are Millennials and Gen Z.
Alex Wilson, co-founder of The Giving Block, said that “charities need to tap into this new donor demographic,” adding:
“580 million people now use cryptocurrency around the world and the market is worth nearly $3 trillion. Our goal is to make accepting cryptocurrency donations just as easy as taking any other online donations.”
In a 2024 Annual Report from The Giving Block, it noted that more than $2 billion has been donated to charitable causes over the past five years.
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