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Ethereum Price Eyes $4,000 With Rising Channel Pattern

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Crypto analyst BasicTrading has revealed a bullish pattern that has appeared for the Ethereum price, which hints at a rally to $4,000. This again provides some optimism concerning ETH, which has continued to underperform in this market cycle. 

Ethereum Price Eyes $4,000 With This Bullish Pattern

In a TradingView post, BasicTrading revealed that a breakout to $4,000 looks to be on the horizon for the Ethereum price following the formation of a rising channel pattern. This bullish prediction came as the analyst noted that ETH had been retesting the previous all-time high resistance and was not able to break it. 

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However, this time, it could be different following the rising channel pattern. The analyst added that with the bullish break and retest and Ethereum price action, the breakout is about to happen. With Ethereum likely to break this psychological $4,000 resistance level soon enough, the analyst suggested that this could ultimately pave the way for ETH to reach and possibly surpass its current ATH of $4,800.

Ethereum
ETH moving in an ascending channel formation | Source: BasicTrading on Tradingview

BasicTrading remarked that the sky is the limit for the Ethereum price if it manages to break above its current ATH. Interestingly, the crypto analyst raised the possibility of ETH rising to between $20,000 and $25,000 if it replicates its historical performance from previous bull cycles. This price range represents the upper resistance trendline of the rising channel. 

However, the analyst stated that the Ethereum price must first achieve a clear breakout of its current ATH before a rally to as high as $25,000 can become a possibility. This bullish projection for ETH comes just days after crypto analyst Ali Martinez explained why it wasn’t time to give up on Ethereum despite its underperformance in this market cycle. Martinez mentioned that a decisive breakout above $4,000 could send ETH to $7,000. 

ETH To Reach Five Digits In This Bull Run

Crypto analyst CrediBULL Crypto has also backed BasicTrading’s bullish outlook as he predicted that the Ethereum price would at least reach $10,000 in this market cycle. The analyst asserted that ETH will come back with a “vengeance” in the coming months. He added that $10,000 is the bare minimum once Ethereum breaks out. CrediBULL Crypto further opined that $20,000 is certainly not unreasonable by the end of this cycle. 

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Crypto analyst Mikybull Crypto also provided a bullish outlook for the Ethereum price, stating that ETH’s hated rally that will bring it to $12,000 is loading. He further remarked that the chart is giving market participants a glimpse and that patience is all it takes. 

At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $3,400, up over 5% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $3,386 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from iStock, chart from Tradingview.com



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Ethereum Flashing Bullish Signals, But Rising Exchange Reserves Raise Concerns

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Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap, is flashing multiple bullish signals that suggest a potential upside move. However, rising exchange reserves are tempering this optimism.

Has Ethereum Formed A Local Bottom?

Ethereum has dropped nearly 20% over the past two weeks, falling from approximately $2,805 on February 23 to just above $2,200 at the time of writing. This decline has wiped out $80 billion from ETH’s market cap.

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Despite this sharp pullback, crypto analysts are pointing to several bullish indicators that could signal an impending price reversal. Crypto analyst Merlijn The Trader, for instance, has highlighted that ETH is following the Wyckoff Reaccumulation Pattern.

For those unfamiliar, the Wyckoff Reaccumulation Pattern is a technical analysis method developed by Richard Wyckoff. In the context of ETH’s current price action, this pattern suggests that the asset may be entering an accumulation phase before a potential upward movement.

The analyst further noted that the “spring phase” has just been triggered – indicating a possible bear trap where a brief dip below support levels misleads sellers, potentially setting the stage for a rally. A bounce from this level could see ETH climb to $4,000.

merlijn
Source: Merlijn The Trader on X

In a separate X post, Merlijn The Trader also pointed to a bullish divergence in Ethereum’s 4-hour chart. According to the analyst, ETH’s next immediate target is $2,700 before moving higher. Fellow crypto analyst CryptoGoos echoed these sentiments.

goos
Source: Cryptogoos on X

Beyond technical indicators, whale activity has added to the bullish sentiment surrounding ETH. In an X post, crypto analyst Ted noted:

Ethereum whale bought 17,855 ETH worth $36,000,000 at an average price of $2,054. Total holding $2,530,000,000 Ethereum. You think this is going down? Think again.

Rising Exchange Reserves May Spoil The Party

On the bearish side, crypto analyst Ali Martinez pointed out that ETH reserves on exchanges have been steadily rising. Over the past two weeks, more than 610,000 ETH has been transferred to exchanges, which could increase selling pressure.

ali
Source: ali_charts on X

Martinez’s analysis aligns with a recent report that found that despite ETH’s Relative Strength Index (RSI) being at a multi-year low, there could still be further downside in store for the digital currency.

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Indeed, ETH has been marred by significant bearish sentiment due to its relatively weak price performance over the past two years compared to cryptocurrencies like Bitcoin (BTC), Solana (SOL), and XRP.

However, extreme bearish sentiment could act as a contrarian signal, setting the stage for a surprise rally. At press time, ETH trades at $2,200, up 6% in the past 24 hours.

ethereum
ETH trades at $2,200 on the daily chart | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image from Unsplash, charts from X and Tradingview.com



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Ethereum Surges Nearly 10% As MVRV Ratio Drops Below 1—Bigger Rally Incoming?

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Ethereum’s price has mirrored Bitcoin’s recent market movements. ETH experienced a rollercoaster performance earlier this week before rebounding with a 10% increase in the past 24 hours. This recovery follows a broader market correction that initially led to fear among investors.

While Ethereum’s performance remains closely linked to Bitcoin’s price action, recent on-chain data suggests that ETH may enter a renewed accumulation phase.

MVRV Ratio and Institutional Accumulation Trends

A post uploaded on the CryptoQuant QuickTake platform by a contributor known as Mac has particularly pointed out Ethereum’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio, which suggests the asset is currently undervalued.

The latest data indicates that large-scale investors are increasing their ETH holdings, signaling potential support at key price levels. According to Mac, these accumulation patterns could influence Ethereum’s trajectory in the coming weeks.

Ethereum’s Market Value to Realized Value (MVRV) ratio.

Mac revealed that the MVRV ratio, a key on-chain metric used to assess whether an asset is overvalued or undervalued, has fallen below 1 for Ethereum. Historically, such levels indicate an undervalued zone, meaning that Ethereum is trading close to the average purchase price of all holders, including institutional investors.

The analyst also mentioned that in past market cycles, when Ethereum’s MVRV dropped below 1, it was followed by notable price recoveries. Additionally, there has been a surge in the number of ETH accumulation addresses—wallets that receive ETH but have never withdrawn.

This suggests that large investors and institutions are strategically increasing their holdings, particularly at the current price range of $2,200–$2,300, where the realized price for whale investors is concentrated. This level is expected to act as a strong support zone, reinforcing the possibility of sustained accumulation.

Market Conditions and Long-Term Ethereum Outlook

Beyond accumulation trends, macroeconomic factors continue to play a role in shaping Ethereum’s price movements. Mac noted that liquidity policies in the US, particularly the Trump administration’s trade and monetary policies, have so far influenced risk asset performance, including cryptocurrencies.

Stricter monetary policies and inflation concerns could contribute to “sharp price drops.” Despite this possibility, Mac concluded, noting:

However, Ethereum still maintains its position as the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap and is a proven network with thousands of mature DeFi projects. As such, institutional investors are likely to accumulate more in this undervalued zone. Therefore, from a long-term perspective, the outlook for Ethereum remains positive.

Ethereum (ETH) price chart on TradingView

Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView





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What Important Technical Indicators Are Saying

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Crypto analyst Tony Severino has drawn similarities between Ethereum’s price action in 2024 and this year. Specifically, the analyst highlighted important technical indicators and what they are saying about ETH’s future trajectory. 

Ethereum’s Price Action In 2024 Vs. 2025 Based On Important Technical Indicators

In an X post, Tony Severino provided a Japanese candlestick, TD Sequential and Parabolic SAR analysis of the 2024 and 2025 Ethereum price action. He noted that ETH’s 2024 candle made a lower high both on a candle close and wick high basis. On the other hand, he revealed that 2025’s candlestick is currently a bearish engulfing with the candle body fully engulfing 2024’s candlestick and is entering 2023’s candle body. 

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Meanwhile, Severino stated that the yearly support is drawn at $735, while the Parabolic SAR is at $370. He also remarked that the TD Sequential count is now on a red 1, potentially denoting the start of Ethereum’s first ever yearly downtrend. The analyst assured that it is still very early to worry about a yearly candlestick that has ten more months to close. 

Ethereum
Source: Tony Severino on X

Ethereum is currently in a downtrend, having dropped below $2,000 yesterday for the first time since December 2023. Although ETH has recovered above this psychological level, concerns remain about its current price action. As Severino noted, the Ethereum price could be facing its first-ever yearly downtrend. 

Ethereum began the year in an unusual manner, recording a negative monthly close in both January and February, the first time this has happened. Crypto analyst Ali Martinez warned that the Ethereum price could still drop to as low as $1,600 or even $1.200, having broken below the lower boundary of a parallel channel. 

ETH’s Bottom Might Be In

In an X post, crypto analyst Titan of Crypto asserted that Ethereum’s bottom is in. He revealed that the 2024 low has been swept on ETH’s perpetual daily chart, tapping into what the analyst believes is the most significant point of interest for a potential reversal. The analyst’s accompanying chart suggested that the Ethereum price could still come close to or even reach its current all-time high (ATH). 

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In the short term, the Ethereum price is still expected to rebound. The analyst revealed that two ETH CME futures gaps remain unfilled above $2,500. The first is between $2,540 and $2,620, while the second is between $2,900 and $3,300. He noted that these ETH CME futures gaps traditionally tend to get filled, indicating that the crypto could soon rebound to these price levels. 

At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $2,176, up over 3% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $2,235 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com



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