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Ethereum price: Analyst points to potential short-squeeze

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  • Ethereum price traded near $2,600 as crypto experienced a brief lull.
  • A CryptoQuant analyst says ETH could witness a short squeeze, but points to $2.7k as key resistance.

Ethereum traded to near $2,750 on Monday, Oct. 21, rising amid broader gains for the crypto market as Bitcoin shot past $69,000. However, with BTC dipping, the ETH price followed suit and tested support near $2,600 on Oct. 22.

The price of Ethereum has returned above $2,620, and a CryptoQuant analyst says the top altcoin could see a short squeeze scenario. According to Shayan B, this outlook results from the rising leverage. If the bulls manage to break out above the supply wall around $2.7k, then ETH price could rise further.

Ethereum price outlook

Currently, the market seems bearish on ether price prospects, which means many traders expected a downside continuation. But with “leverage at concerning levels,” a short squeeze would mean unexpected price surge and major liquidations.

ETH would notch gains in such a case.

“With leverage at concerning levels, the futures market is now considered overheated. This leaves Ethereum vulnerable to a potential short-squeeze event. In such a scenario, if ETH’s price rises unexpectedly, traders with short positions could be forced to cover their positions by buying back ETH, creating an impulsive price spike,” the analyst noted.

The key level however remains at the 100-day moving average near $2,700. This area presents a notable resistance area that bulls may have to conquer to see further gains.

Data from Coinglass showed total 24-hour crypto liquidations stood at over $165 million.

Most of this, about 75% were long positions rekt over the past 24 hours at $129 million. Shorts accounted for about $36 million. Looking at Ethereum, data showed longs accounted for $36 million of the total $39 million liquidated over the past 24 hours.

ETH price reached its year-to-date peak of $4,070 in March.





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Ethereum

Ethereum Bullish Breakout Confirmed – Top Analyst Predicts $3,400 Target

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

Ethereum (ETH) trades above $2,600 after a 5% retrace from local highs around $2,750. Over the past two weeks, ETH has maintained a bullish trajectory, sparking optimism across the market as investors look for further signs of strength in the price action.

Top analyst and investor Carl Runefelt recently shared a technical analysis, highlighting that Ethereum has broken out of a bullish pattern that began forming in early August. According to Runefelt, once ETH confirms solid demand around its current level, it’s only a matter of days before the next rally kicks off.

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With the broader crypto market gaining momentum, Ethereum is positioned to continue climbing, and investors are closely watching for confirmation of support at this key level. If ETH holds, the next leg up could be targeting higher price zones, adding to the bullish sentiment. The coming days will determine whether Ethereum can resume its upward trend and capitalize on the ongoing market strength.

Ethereum Pushing Above $2,600

Ethereum has underperformed compared to Bitcoin this year, leaving many investors concerned as the next bull run approaches. While Bitcoin has surged, Ethereum has struggled to rally with the same strength. This has sparked worry among ETH holders, who expected the second-largest cryptocurrency by market cap to lead the charge.

Top analyst Carl Runefelt recently shared a compelling analysis on X. The analysis features a price chart that reveals Ethereum breaking out of a symmetrical triangle on the daily timeframe—a classic bullish pattern. 

Ethereum breaking out of bullish pattern
Ethereum breaking out of bullish pattern | Source: Carl Runefelt on X

If price action holds, it could send ETH to $3,400, according to Runefelt’s analysis. This breakout is a key signal for Ethereum, but its sustainability depends on whether the price can successfully retest the upper triangle line, which had previously acted as resistance.

Currently, Ethereum is testing support at this critical level, with $2,600 being the line in the sand. A close below $2,600 would invalidate the symmetrical triangle’s bullish thesis and could lead to further downside, putting a dent in the optimism surrounding ETH’s future price action. 

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However, if Ethereum holds above this level, it could signify that the breakout is intact, setting the stage for a strong rally as the broader market prepares for a bull run. The next few days will be crucial for ETH’s trajectory.

Price Action: Technical Levels To Watch 

Ethereum is at $2,620 after failing to reclaim the 200-day exponential moving average (EMA) at $2,795. The price is testing support around the crucial $2,600 level, which will determine the direction of ETH’s price action in the coming days.

ETH holding above $2,600
ETH holding above $2,600 | Source: BTCUSDT chart on TradingView

If Ethereum holds above this level, the next target would be back above the 1D 200 EMA at $2,800. This is a crucial price zone as it aligns with ETH’s local high set in late August at $2,820.

A successful breakout above $2,800 would signal a strong bullish continuation, making a push toward higher levels imminent. However, if ETH fails to consolidate above $2,600, the risk of a retracement to lower demand zones becomes increasingly likely. 

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Traders and investors closely watch these levels as Ethereum seeks to regain momentum amid broader market uncertainty. The next few days will be critical in determining whether ETH continues its upward trend or faces further downside pressure.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView



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Crypto Analyst Says Things Are ‘About To Get Interesting’

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Este artículo también está disponible en español.

The Ethereum price started the new week by extending last week’s gains, which kicked off after it bounced off support at $2,350. This run has seen the Ethereum price now pushing towards resistance at $2,800, which the bulls look forward to breaking before the week runs out.

In light of the recent Ethereum price move, a crypto analyst has noted that the leading altcoin is gearing up for a massive move, and things are about to get interesting.

Things Are About To Get Interesting With The Ethereum Price

According to the analyst, known as @IamCryptoWolf on social media platform X, the current market conditions and technical setup suggest that Ethereum could be gearing up for a significant breakout, hinting that “things are about to get interesting.

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The prediction is based on an analysis of Ethereum’s price action against the US dollar (ETH/USD) on a 3-day candlestick timeframe, where the analyst has identified the formation of an inverse head and shoulders pattern.

This inverse head-and-shoulders pattern is considered a powerful reversal signal in technical analysis, indicating a transition from a downtrend to an uptrend. The pattern consists of three distinct lows: the left shoulder, the head, and the right shoulder. 

The head forms the deepest low, while the two shoulders are smaller lows. The neckline, connecting the peaks between the shoulders, acts as a critical resistance level. Once price action breaks above this neckline decisevely, it often sparks a surge in bullish momentum.

In the case of Ethereum, the analyst identified this neckline at approximately $2,800. Ethereum has recently been trending upwards toward this level, suggesting that a breakout may be close. 

In terms of a breakout target, the analyst pointed to the $3,400 level as the first key price zone to watch. Breaking out of the $3,400 level would open up the path to Ethereum retesting its yearly high above $3,920 towards $4,000 and probably even creating a new one. 

Ethereum price

The $3,400 and $3,920 price targets represent 25% and 45% increases, respectively, from the current price of Ethereum.

 

Ethereum And The Broader Market Context

The Ethereum price performance in 2024 has been closely tied to the overall market conditions, particularly Bitcoin’s movements. Many large market cap cryptocurrencies have started the week with gains, as many bullish traders look to continue on last week’s momentum.

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The Ethereum price broke above $2,700 for the first time in October during this weekend as many addresses crossed into the long-term holding cohort, further increasing the bullish sentiment. At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $2,720 and is up by 2.83% in the past 24 hours. 

As things stand, the coming days could be pivotal for the rest of the year, with Ethereum potentially gearing up for a significant upward move above $2,800, making things ‘about to get interesting’ indeed.

Ethereum price chart from Tradingview.com
ETH price struggles to break $2,700 resistance successfully | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com



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Why Are Ethereum ETFs Underperforming? Bitwise CEO Reveals

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The launch of spot Ethereum exchange-traded funds (ETFs) has not met the high expectations set by their Bitcoin counterparts, leading industry experts to analyze the underlying reasons. Since their inception on July 23, all spot ETH ETFs have seen outflows of $463 million, according to Farside Investors data. The main culprit is Grayscale’s ETHE with $2.996 billion in outflows, while BlackRock has $1.258 billion and Bitwise $321 million in inflows.

Why Are Spot Ethereum ETFs Not Doing Better?

Hunter Horsley, CEO of Bitwise Asset Management, took to X to shed light on the factors affecting the performance of the US spot Ether ETFs. “Why didn’t the Ethereum ETFs do better? A question I got at an event last week,” Horsley began. “First, how do you judge success? The ETPs from iShares, Fidelity, and Bitwise are all in the top 25 fastest growing new ETPs this year,” he added.

Despite their position among the fastest-growing exchange-traded products (ETPs), Horsley identified several factors that worked against the successful launch of spot Ethereum ETFs. He noted that the timing of the launch during summer, a typically slow period for investors who “monitor but don’t take on a lot of new projects,” may have dampened immediate interest.

Additionally, the market conditions played a role: “Bull markets always draw focus. Bitcoin ETPs launched amid a rising Bitcoin. Ether ETPs launched in a sideways market.” The lack of bullish momentum in Ethereum’s price may have contributed to the tepid response.

Furthermore, the sequential launch of Ethereum ETFs following Bitcoin ETFs may have overwhelmed investors still acclimating to cryptocurrency assets. “For many traditional investors, some time has been and continues to be needed to figure out how to incorporate Bitcoin after the launch of the ETPs. Ethereum arriving before that was solved made it hard to turn attention to it,” Horsley explained.

Nate Geraci, President of The ETF Store and co-founder of the ETF Institute, highlighted the broader success of crypto-related ETFs in 2024. “Update… Out of 525 ETFs launched in 2024, 13 of top 25 are either bitcoin or ether-related. 14 if you include MSTR Option Strategy ETF. Top 4 ETFs all spot btc. 5 of top 7 crypto-related. I call this masterpiece ‘no demand’.”

Related Reading: Ethereum Founder Buterin Lays Out Possible Futures For ETH Protocol

In response, Christopher Perkins, President of CoinFund, suggested that yield-generating products could enhance appeal. “Yield would help. Total return ETH is the killer product,” he stated. Horsley acknowledged the value of staking but downplayed its immediate impact on ETF performance. “Agree, ET32 has been growing rapidly in our Europe franchise,” he replied.

However, Horsley also added, “I don’t think lack of staking yield is a huge issue. Most of ETH today is owned directly so could be staked, yet ~2/3 don’t. But agree it’s valuable. We have an ETH ETP with staking in Europe that’s growing nicely.”

Industry veteran Dan Tapiero, founder and CEO of 10T Holdings, remained optimistic about the future of spot Ethereum ETFs. “Just wait. They’re gonna do just fine,” he asserted. Horsley concurred, simply stating, “Agree.”

At press time, ETH traded at $2,705.

Ethereum price
ETH price trades below the 20-week EMA , 1-week chart | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView.com

Featured image created with DALL.E, chart from TradingView.com



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