Ethereum
Ethereum koers herstelt na FOMC – welke crypto nu kopen?
Ethereum (ETH) heeft na de recente FOMC-aankondiging een sterk herstel laten zien, met een stijging van 5,35%. Historische data tonen aan dat de koers vaak snel terugveert na volatiliteit, soms met winsten tot 34%. Ook institutionele interesse neemt toe, met een netto-instroom van $67,77 miljoen in ETH ETF’s, geleid door BlackRock.
In dit artikel analyseren we de recente koersontwikkelingen, de impact van institutionele investeringen en de koersverwachting van Ethereum.
Ethereum koers herstelt na FOMC
In de afgelopen maanden heeft Ethereum een opvallend herstelpatroon laten zien na perioden van marktvolatiliteit als gevolg van FOMC-aankondigingen. Uit gegevens van Sentiment Feed’s Net Realized Profit/Loss (NPL)-indicator blijkt dat ETH vaak een significante prijsstijging doormaakt tijdens deze momenten van verhoogde volatiliteit.
Specifiek reageert Ethereum op plotselinge dalingen met snelle herstelbewegingen, waarbij de omvang van deze rebounds varieert. In sommige gevallen steeg de koers met maar liefst 34%, terwijl het herstel in andere situaties beperkter bleef, rond de 14%.
Door Ethereum’s prijsschommelingen te overlappen met de capitulatiedata op de grafiek wordt dit patroon nog duidelijker zichtbaar.
Sinds de laatste FOMC-aankondiging is Ethereum al met 5,35% gestegen, wat wijst op een aanhoudend positieve trend. Dit sterke marktsentiment kan ETH verder omhoog stuwen richting de $3800, ondanks wereldwijde economische onzekerheden.
Daarnaast maakt de institutionele vraag naar Ethereum een comeback. Op 30 januari steeg de totale dagelijkse netto-instroom voor Ethereum ETF’s naar $67,77 miljoen. BlackRock liep voorop met een aankoop van $79,86 miljoen aan ETH.
Andere opvallende kopers waren Fidelity en Grayscale, met respectievelijke aankopen van $15,41 miljoen en $12,79 miljoen. De enige verkoper op 30 januari was de Grayscale mini-Ethereum trust, die $40,29 miljoen vrijgaf. De overige vijf Amerikaanse spot Ethereum ETF’s registreerden geen instroom.
ETH breekt uit na bullish omkering
Op de 4-uursgrafiek laat de ETH prijstrend een bullish omkering zien met een ‘double bottom’ patroon. Zoals eerder voorspeld, heeft de omkeringsrally het 23,6% Fibonacci-niveau op $3248 overschreden.
De herstelrally heeft tevens de bovenste Bollinger-band opgerekt, wat een stijging van 1,12% in de afgelopen 4 uur weerspiegelt. Nu Ethereum een post-retest omkering heeft voltooid op het 23,6% Fibonacci-niveau, lijkt de opwaartse trend de overhead-weerstandstrendlijn uit te dagen. Met de rally die voortduurt, suggereren de Bollinger-banden een mogelijke uitbraak.
Koersverwachting Ethereum
Volgens de In/Out of the Money-grafiek van Intotheblock nadert ETH een cruciale weerstandzone tussen $3264 en $3342. Deze zone bevat 6,26 miljoen ETH, wat het een hoogaanbodgebied maakt.
Momenteel houdt de ‘at the money’ zone 7,85 miljoen ETH vast tussen $3109 en $3264, wat wijst op een belangrijk niveau.
Op de daily benadrukken Fibonacci-niveaus cruciale doelen bij het 50% en 100% retracementniveau, respectievelijk op $3509 en $4079. Aan de onderkant blijft de $3000 supportzone naar verwachting sterk in het eerste kwartaal van 2025.
Hoewel ETH er goed voor staat en met de tweede plek qua marketcap de meest prominente altcoin is, kan het interessant zijn om ook opkomende crypto met een lagere marketcap te ontdekken voor potentieel grotere winsten. Een opvallend voorbeeld hiervan is Mind of Pepe (MIND).
Dit project combineert AI-innovatie met meme coin charme en fungeert als een autonome AI agent in crypto. Het analyseert altcoin trends en biedt exclusieve inzichten aan MIND holders. De presale heeft al $4,6 miljoen opgehaald en biedt ook de optie om te staken tegen een APY van 490%.
Ethereum
Ethereum Price Spikes 5% In A Day—Will the Rally Continue?
Ethereum appears to be regaining momentum, showing a notable recovery after reclaiming the $3,200 level. The asset has surged over 5% in the past day, pushing its market capitalization and daily trading volume higher.
This recent movement has narrowed the gap between Ethereum’s current price and its all-time high to just 33%, giving investors reasons to pay closer attention. Various analysts have weighed in on the potential implications of this price action, offering a mix of short- and long-term outlooks.
Analysts Discuss Key Levels and Future Targets
Elite, a well-known crypto analyst, pointed out that Ethereum’s resilience came in the face of “hawkish signals” from the Federal Reserve. The analyst wrote:
Despite the Fed’s hawkish signals yesterday, ETH broke past the $3,200 mark, showing impressive resilience. But that’s not all—on-chain activity is soaring.
According to IntoTheBlock data, active Ethereum addresses have increased by 37% over the last few months, reaching 670,000—significantly surpassing the 400,000 level seen in early 2024.
This sharp rise in network activity is viewed by some as an indication of growing demand and renewed bullish momentum as the new year unfolds.
Several other analysts have also shared their perspectives on Ethereum’s price trajectory. WorldofCharts highlighted the cryptocurrency’s consolidation within a tight range, forming a bullish pennant.
He suggested that a successful breakout from this pattern could propel Ethereum toward the $4,000 resistance area. This ascending triangle level, previously outlined in his analysis, may serve as a critical milestone for the asset’s upward trajectory.
$Eth #Eth Consolidating Within Tight Range Of Bullish Pennant, Expecting Upside Breakout Soon, Incase Of Successful Breakout Ethereum Can Target 4000$ Area Ascending Triangle Resistance Area “Which I Shared Recently” https://t.co/Gq5sYBiKfA pic.twitter.com/B36VRnN9Qm
— World Of Charts (@WorldOfCharts1) January 30, 2025
Ethereum On The Path To A $9,000 Rally?
Another prominent analyst, Ted, emphasized that Ethereum’s higher lows on longer timeframes signal a strengthening bullish structure. He identified the $4,000 level as pivotal, predicting that its recovery could open the door to a new all-time high.
Ted went even further, forecasting that Ethereum could reach $9,000 to $10,000 within the next three to four months if these bullish conditions persist. This optimism is supported by growing on-chain activity and sustained investor interest.
Ethereum is forming higher lows on the longer timeframe.
$4K remains the most crucial level, and the reclaim of that will send $ETH to new ATH.
Once that happens, I’m expecting Ethereum to hit $9K-$10K within 3-4 months. Trump will buy more and more pic.twitter.com/c3fFVXh8Xl
— Ted (@TedPillows) January 29, 2025
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Ethereum MVRV Forms Signal That Last Led To 40% Price Crash
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
Ethereum
Ethereum Price Forms Falling Wedge Pattern On 1-Day Chart That Suggests 20% Rally Is Coming
Ethereum’s price action is showing signs of an impending breakout as it moves back and forth within a falling wedge pattern on the daily candlestick time frame chart. According to an analysis first posted on the TradingView platform, this formation is a strong bullish signal that could push the Ethereum price toward $3,800 if history repeats itself.
The falling wedge, which is generally known to be a bullish price action structure, is developing between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages for Ethereum, in line with a similar pattern from that preceded an Ethereum price rally last year.
Ethereum Repeating Falling Wedge Pattern
Ethereum has largely underperformed this cycle without any clear breakout yet. Furthermore, the cryptocurrency has yet to recover towards its 2021 all-time high unlike many of its other crypto counterparts with large market caps.
Related Reading
Technical analysis of the current Ethereum price action shows that the leading altcoin has been trading in a decline since the beginning of the year. This decline has been characterized by the formation of lower highs and lower lows, which is quite like a falling wedge pattern. What’s very interesting is that this wedge pattern on the Ethereum price chart is developing between the 50-day and 200-day moving averages, which makes it even more peculiar.
The TradingView analyst highlighted that the current falling wedge price structure mirrors the March 2024 pattern, which saw Ethereum forming a triple bottom before breaking out and reaching the 0.786 Fibonacci extension level. If the same scenario unfolds, the current falling wedge could serve as a launchpad for a price surge towards a target at the $3,800 level. This represents a potential 20% upside from Ethereum’s current trading range.
Resistance Levels Could Delay the Rally
At the time of writing, Ethereum is trading at $3,180, up 1% in the past 24 hours. This marks a steady climb from the lower end of the wedge pattern, bringing the cryptocurrency closer to breaking above the upper trendline around $3,250.
Related Reading
While the technical setup leans bullish after the predicted breakout, it is important to note that Ethereum faces a significant resistance hurdle between $3,400 and $3,500. Sellers positioned at this resistance zone have acted as a strong barrier in recent months, and they have successfully stalled previous attempts by the bulls to push higher.
If Ethereum fails to break through the upper end of this range, another temporary rejection could occur before any sustained move toward $3,800.
If Ethereum successfully clears the $3,500 resistance, it could pave the way for a more extended bullish trend, with $3,800 as the next logical target. Notably, this $3,800 target reflects a tempered outlook on Ethereum compared to past market expectations, a sentiment shaped by its recent price action. However, if strong bullish momentum builds toward $3,800, it could trigger an even larger push toward the $4,000 mark.
Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com
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