A new technical analysis suggests that the crypto market, which includes altcoins like Ethereum (ETH) and Dogecoin (DOGE), is about to experience a major altcoin season that could last 217 days. If critical support levels are maintained, the analyst suggests that we may finally see the long-anticipated altcoin season. 

Ethereum And Dogecoin To See An Altcoin Season Soon

Sporia, a TradingView crypto analyst, has shared a detailed technical analysis of the altcoin market. The analysis highlights key indicators within the Total2 chart, which represents the total crypto market cap excluding Bitcoin. The market expert emphasizes the importance of holding a critical support level, noting that the highly anticipated altcoin season could finally begin if this zone is maintained. 

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Notably, top cryptocurrencies like Ethereum and Dogecoin could benefit from this market shift into an altcoin season. The analyst also noted that current market conditions coincide with Fibonacci time sequences, which may signal an inflection point for altcoin prices.

Sporia shared a price chart, describing it as his secret weapon in determining bottom signals for altcoins. Since 2022, the chart has indicated a significant bottom each time the market encountered resistance at a crucial point. As of this week, the chart has recorded a bottom, marking the fourth hit around the critical resistance zone. 

The analyst has expressed excitement about this trend, solidifying his confidence in a strong altcoin season. He further underscores that the alignment of events, including key support line formations during the week of the Fibonacci time sequences, indicates the heightened possibility of a major market shift. 

While tracking Fibonacci-based time cycles, Sporia revealed that the first two hits did not trigger any major events, but the third hit at the 2.618 level led to a significant pivot. Currently, this fourth hit at the 3.618 level coincides with the August 2024 altcoin crash, which mirrored the COVID crash in the last cycle. This suggests a 50% accuracy rate for the current Fibonacci sequence, making it an ideal target to watch for a potential bottom and pivot. 

Altcoin Market Bull Rally To Last Only 217 Days 

Diving further into his analysis, Sporia predicts that the altcoin market could rally for 217 days, peaking by October 13, 2025, roughly 20 to 30 days after Bitcoin reaches its projected cycle top. He argues that, historically, Bitcoin has always hit a cycle top before altcoins. 

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In 2021, Bitcoin peaked in April, and the altcoin market topped 28 days later. Similarly, in 2017, Bitcoin reached the top of the market, and altcoins followed 22 days later. For this market cycle, Sporia projects that Bitcoin will hit its highest point by mid-September after a typical 1,050-day cycle from its previous market bottom. 

Notably, the analyst revealed that the last time the altcoin market hit the 3.618 Fib level, its total market capitalization surged to $5 trillion. Overall, Sporia has indicated a 99% surety that the altcoin market will bottom so long as the key diagonal support holds. If it does, he highlights that the market should expect a V-shaped recovery and an uptrend lasting for 217 days.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com

Ethereum (ETH) has been stuck in a tight range, trading below $1,900 and above $1,750 after days of heavy selling pressure. The broader crypto market remains under stress, with fear dominating sentiment and keeping ETH from regaining momentum.

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The downturn is largely driven by macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating trade war fears, which have shaken both crypto and the U.S. stock markets. As investors brace for further volatility, some fear that the market is setting up for a deeper correction.

However, not all analysts are bearish. Some believe that a recovery could be on the horizon in the coming months, especially if technical indicators begin to show strength. Top analyst Daan shared insights on X, revealing that Ethereum has been consolidating since the major sell-off and has formed a falling wedge pattern—a bullish formation that could indicate a local trend reversal.

For now, ETH remains at risk of further declines, but if this pattern plays out, Ethereum could soon break out of its consolidation range and start building momentum for a recovery. The next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether ETH can stabilize or if more downside is ahead.

Ethereum Falling Wedge Could Signal a Reversal

Ethereum has lost over 57% of its value, creating a challenging environment for bulls as selling pressure continues. ETH is now trading below a multi-year support level, which has flipped into strong resistance. As long as Ethereum remains below the $1,900–$2,000 range, bulls will struggle to regain momentum, keeping bearish sentiment intact.

The entire crypto market has mirrored this weakness, experiencing a significant breakdown alongside the U.S. stock market. Global trade war fears and uncertainty surrounding U.S. President Trump’s policies have further fueled the sell-off in risk assets. Since the U.S. elections in November 2024, macroeconomic volatility and rising uncertainty have driven markets lower. With the U.S. stock market hitting its lowest levels since September 2024, investors remain on edge, questioning if Ethereum has further downside ahead.

Despite this bleak outlook, there is some optimism. Daan’s insights suggest that Ethereum has been consolidating since the major drop and has formed a falling wedge pattern. This bullish formation could lead to a local trend reversal if ETH breaks out and holds above resistance.

For this potential recovery to materialize, ETH must break above the white zone and reclaim $2,000. If this happens, bulls could start testing higher levels and build momentum for a broader market recovery. However, the ETH/BTC ratio remains near multi-year lows, showing only minor resilience in recent days. Sustained strength is needed before a real reversal can take place.

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With Ethereum still struggling, the next few weeks will be crucial in determining whether this falling wedge breakout can lead to a meaningful rally or if the downtrend will continue.

Bulls Struggle Around $1,900 

Ethereum is currently trading at $1,900, after days of struggling below the crucial $2,000 mark. Bulls have lost control, and ETH is now at its lowest levels since October 2023, reflecting the broader market uncertainty and ongoing bearish sentiment.

With macroeconomic volatility and trade war fears weighing heavily on risk assets, Ethereum continues to face selling pressure, making it difficult for bulls to build momentum for a recovery. The longer ETH stays below $2,000, the stronger the resistance at this level becomes, pushing buyers further out of the market.

For Ethereum to avoid deeper losses, bulls must reclaim the $2,000 mark as soon as possible and establish it as a new support level. A break and hold above this threshold could trigger a recovery rally, allowing ETH to test higher resistance zones. However, losing current levels would leave ETH vulnerable to another drop, potentially retesting support near $1,750 or lower.

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The next few days will be critical, as bulls need to step in and defend current demand to prevent further downside. If they fail to do so, Ethereum could extend its bearish trend into deeper territory.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView

Crypto analyst The Cryptagon has raised the possibility of the Ethereum price mirroring Bitcoin’s 2018 to 2021 cycle, which he indicated was bullish ETH. This development comes amid record selling among ETH investors, which continues to exert downward pressure on the crypto. 

Ethereum Could Be Mirroring Bitcoin’s 2018-2021 Cycle 

In a TradingView post, the Cryptagon stated that Ethereum has been repeating Bitcoin’s 2018 to 2021 cycle very closely. He remarked that ETH’s long-term holders may remain bullish just by looking at this BTC cycle, seeing as ETH could achieve a similar end result like the flagship witnessed in that cycle. 

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The analyst admitted that Ethereum has been under heavy pressure since early December last year and almost touched the 12-month falling support this week. However, despite this development, the Cryptagon suggested that this is not the time to be bearish on ETH, as it could still reach new highs as it mirrors Bitcoin’s 2021 cycle. 

He noted that in the 2021 cycle, a rebound on the falling support caused a massive breakout above the falling resistance and the Bitcoin price rallied to the 1.618 Fibonacci extension. In line with this, the Cryptagon predicted that Ethereum could at least reach $8,000 in this market cycle as it repeats a similar price action. 

This bullish outlook for Ethereum comes amid record selling, which threatens any bullish reversal for ETH. In an X post, Cryptoquant founder Ki Young Ju revealed that Ethereum has faced record active selling over the past three months. 

This has contributed to ETH’s underperformance, with the altcoin being outperformed by other major altcoins like XRP and Solana over this period. While XRP touched its current all-time high (ATH) and SOL hit a new ATH, ETH has yet to come anywhere close to its current ATH. 

The Most Important Price Level For ETH At The Moment

In an X post, crypto analyst Ali Martinez, revealed that $1,887 is the most important support level for Ethereum at the moment. At this level, investors bought 1.63 million ETH. A drop below this level could lead to another massive crash for the second-largest crypto by market cap, with many of these investors possibly selling off their coins in order to cut their losses. 

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Martinez has already raised the possibility of Ethereum crashing to as low as $800. He noted that the $4,000 price level had been holding a strong horizontal resistance trendline. However, ETH recently broke out of this trendline, which has significantly increased the probability of a 70% price drop to this $800 target. 

At the time of writing, the Ethereum price is trading at around $1,893, up over 1% in the last 24 hours, according to data from CoinMarketCap.

Featured image from Unsplash, chart from Tradingview.com