Ethereum
Ethereum Exchange Reserve Stays At 2016 Lows: Bullish Sign?
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On-chain data shows the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has remained at low levels recently. Here’s what it could mean for the ETH price.
Ethereum Exchange Reserve Has Been Moving Flat Recently
As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has recently been at its lowest level since 2016. The “Exchange Reserve” here refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the total amount of ETH that’s sitting in the wallets affiliated with all centralized exchanges.
When the value of this metric goes up, it means the investors are depositing a net number of tokens to these platforms. As one of the main reasons why holders transfer to exchanges is for selling-related purposes, this kind of trend can have a bearish impact on the ETH price.
On the other hand, the indicator witnessing a decline suggests the exchange outflows are overwhelming the exchange inflows. Such a trend can be a sign that the investors are accumulating, which can naturally be bullish for the asset.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum Exchange Reserve over the past decade:
The value of the metric seems to have been following a downward trajectory in recent years | Source: CryptoQuant
As is visible in the above graph, the Ethereum Exchange Reserve started riding a downtrend back in 2021, which accelerated during the 2022 bear market. In this new cycle, the decline in the metric has continued, although it’s notably slower than back then.
Nonetheless, the fact that coins have continued to leave exchanges could be a positive sign, as it means the investors are preferring to hold in their self-custodial wallets. Holders tend to move to self-custody when they plan to hold into the long term, as it’s the safer method of doing so.
More recently, the decline has completely crawled to a stop after the indicator hit the lowest levels since 2016, which implies the sector may have reached a state of equilibrium. ETH has been showing bearish price action lately, but the flat trajectory means the holders haven’t yet panicked into net selling.
It’s possible that the pause in the downtrend is only a temporary deviation for the Exchange Reserve, but for now, it seems inflows and outflows are balancing each other out.
While the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has been in this state recently, the same hasn’t been true for Bitcoin, as another analyst has pointed out in a Quicktake post.
The trend in the BTC Exchange Inflow/Outflow Ratio over the last ten years | Source: CryptoQuant
From the chart, it’s visible that the ratio between the Bitcoin exchange inflows and outflows has been under the 1 mark, which means these platforms have been witnessing the exodus of a net amount of BTC recently.
ETH Price
At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $2,700, up 1.5% over the last seven days.
Looks like the price of the coin has been moving sideways over the last few days | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView
Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum
Ethereum’s Path To $10,000 Milestone Is A Conservative Target – Market Expert Shares Insights
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Regardless of its persistent waning movements and underperformance compared to a few major crypto assets, Ethereum still has the potential to undergo a significant rally in the ongoing bull market cycle. With key developments surrounding ETH and its ecosystem, many analysts foresee a move to unprecedented levels in the upcoming months.
Current Cycle’s Target For Ethereum Above $10,000
Ethereum may have been demonstrating weak performances in the ongoing cycle as it failed to initiate a major rally. However, market expert and investor Ted Pillows has expressed his confidence in ETH’s long-term prospects, predicting a new all-time high target for the altcoin.
Pillows predicted that ETH will reach $10,000, stating it is a conservative target this cycle. Addressing the reasons why the $10,000 target and beyond is conservative, the expert highlighted that Ethereum is currently the optimal layer for organizations like central banks, credit unions, insurers, and government-affiliated companies.
Also, adoption is increasing worldwide, and the United States pro-crypto position acts as a major driving force for Ethereum. “With plans to bring the US Treasury on-chain, ETH is positioned for a strong comeback and widespread use,” Pillows added.
Following a comparison with past trends, Ted Pillows claims that “Ethereum is destined to go above $10,000 this current cycle.” The analyst cites a similar trend between the 2016 cycle and this cycle, whereby ETH witnessed a breakout to new all-time highs.
Should the development repeat itself, Pillows foresees a substantial move in the coming months, reaching between the $10,000 and $11,000 price range. His prediction indicates that ETH’s fundamentals continue to remain strong in light of recent market fluctuations, marking the $10,000 not just possible, but predestined.
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Several bullish factors around Ethereum back pillows’ bold forecast. For example, ETH has the highest Total Value Locked (TVL) and stablecoin liquidity. Furthermore, the altcoin is experiencing heightened adoption and accumulation by institutional investors. Ethereum’s inflation is presently lower than that of Bitcoin and 99% of all altcoins.
As a result of these advancements, the expert urges investors and traders to focus on a rally for ETH to $10,000 rather than a rally to $5,000 this market cycle.
ETH Set For A Notable Price Recovery?
Following a significant underperformance in 2024 in comparison to other large caps, there has been some expectation of a recovery for ETH. On-chain platform Santiment reported that the altcoin recently displayed mild signs of a rebound as its price moved to $2,745, outperforming most altcoins to begin the week.
According to Santiment, ETH keeps leaving exchanges and entering cold wallets at a remarkable pace from a long-term perspective. Currently, the percentage of available ETH in exchanges is at 6.38%, marking its lowest level ever. This persistent withdrawal reflects investors’ confidence in Ethereum’s long-term performance, which might trigger a rebound.
Featured image from Adobe Stock, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum
Ethereum Fees Back To Lowest Since August: Is This Bullish?
Keshav is currently a senior writer at NewsBTC and has been attached to the website since June 14, 2021.
Keshav has been writing for many years, first as a hobbyist and later as a freelancer. He has experience working in a variety of niches, even fiction at one point, but the cryptocurrency industry has been the longest he has been attached to.
In terms of official educational qualifications, Keshav holds a bachelor’s degree in Physics from one of the premier institutes of India, the University of Delhi (DU). He started the degree with an aim of eventually making a career in Physics, but the onset of COVID led to a shift in plans. The virus meant that the college classes had to be delivered in the online-mode and with it came free time for him to explore other passions.
Initially only seeking to make some beer money, Keshav unexpectedly landed clients offering real projects, after which there was no looking back. Writing was something he had always enjoyed and to be able to do it for a living was like a dream come true.
Keshav completed his Physics degree in 2022 and has been focusing on his writing career since, but that doesn’t mean his passion for Physics has ended. He eventually plans to re-enter university to obtain a masters degree in the same field, but perhaps only to satiate his own interest rather than for using it as a means to find employment..
Keshav has found blockchain and its concepts fascinating ever since he started going down the rabbit-hole back in 2020. On-chain analysis in particular has been something he likes to research more about, which is why his NewsBTC pieces tend to involve it in some form.
Being of the science background, Keshav likes if concepts are clear and consistent, so he generally explains the indicators he talks about in a bit of detail so that the readers can perhaps come out having understood and learnt something new.
As for hobbies, Keshav is super into football, anime, and videogames. He enjoys football not only as a watcher, but also as a player. For games, Keshav generally tends towards enjoying singleplayer adventures, with EA FC (formerly FIFA) being the only online game he is active in. Though, perhaps due to being ultra-focused on the game, he is today a semi-pro on the EA FC scene, regularly participating in tournaments and sometimes even taking back prize money.
Because of his enthusiasm for anime and games, he also self-learned Japanese along the way to consume some of the untranslated gems out there. The skill didn’t merely remain as just a hobby, either, as he put it to productive use during his exploration for small-time gigs at the start of COVID, fulfilling a couple of Japanese-to-English translation jobs.
Keshav is also big into fitness, with agility and acceleration-related workouts making a big part of his program due to the relevance they have in football. On top of that, he also has a more traditional strength based program for the gym, which he does to maintain an overall fitness level of his body.
Ethereum
Ethereum Holds Multi-Year Bullish Structure – Time For A Comeback?
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Ethereum has been closing between $2,650 and $2,750 for the past week, creating uncertainty in the short term. The price action remains indecisive as bulls struggle to reclaim the $2,800 level, a key supply zone that could determine Ethereum’s next move. While the long-term outlook remains uncertain, Ethereum is trading at crucial demand levels, facing continuous selling pressure that has kept price action muted.
Related Reading
Investors are trying to stay calm amid volatility, but fear is spreading as Ethereum shows signs of weakness compared to Bitcoin. Some analysts worry that if ETH fails to hold above $2,600, a deeper correction could follow. However, others remain optimistic, suggesting that ETH could be forming a long-term bullish structure.
Crypto analyst Jelle shared a technical analysis on X revealing that ETH still trades inside a multi-year ascending triangle, a formation that has historically signaled strong potential for a breakout. If ETH can hold above the current levels and push past the $2,800 mark, it could trigger a recovery toward the key $3,000 resistance. For now, all eyes are on Ethereum’s next move, as the coming days could be decisive in shaping its short-term trajectory.
Ethereum Testing Crucial Liquidity Levels
Ethereum is currently trading between key liquidity levels of short-term demand and supply, with price action trapped in a tight range. Over the past week, ETH has closed between $2,650 and $2,750, creating uncertainty about its short-term direction. Investors remain divided, with some expecting a further correction and extended consolidation phase, while others anticipate a recovery rally soon. The market is waiting for a breakout or breakdown confirmation to determine the next trend.
Related Reading
Ethereum is attempting to push above the $2,700 mark and hold it as support, which would be the first sign of bullish momentum. However, for a confirmed recovery phase, ETH must reclaim the $2,800 and $3,000 levels. These key resistance zones have acted as strong supply areas in the past and will likely dictate Ethereum’s next major move. If ETH fails to reclaim these levels, a deeper correction into lower demand around the $2,500 mark could take place.
Jelle’s analysis on X reveals that ETH is still trading inside a massive ascending triangle, a multi-year bullish pattern. He noted that fakeouts have occurred on both the upside and downside, taking out liquidity in both directions. With downside liquidity now taken, Jelle expects a comeback soon, suggesting ETH could soon attempt to reclaim lost ground.

If Ethereum manages to break above the $2,800 mark and sustain its momentum, a move toward the $3,000 level would be the next target. However, if selling pressure continues to dominate the market, ETH could remain in a consolidation phase or even experience further downside. The next few days will be crucial in determining whether ETH can regain bullish momentum or if a deeper correction is ahead.
Price Action Lacks Short-Term Direction
Ethereum is trading at $2,720 after days of sideways movement below the $2,800 mark, struggling to gain momentum for a breakout. Bulls need to step up and push the price above this level as soon as possible to shift sentiment and reclaim control of price action. The $2,800 mark has acted as a strong supply zone, and breaking above it would open the door for a move toward the $3,000 level.

On the downside, defending the $2,700 and even the $2,600 level is crucial for maintaining bullish momentum. If ETH holds these levels for an extended period, it would signal strong demand and support the possibility of a recovery rally. A sustained move above $2,700 would encourage buyers to step in, increasing the chances of ETH retesting higher resistance zones.
Related Reading
However, failure to hold above $2,700 could expose Ethereum to further selling pressure. If ETH drops below the $2,600 level, a deeper correction into lower demand areas around $2,500 could follow. The next few days will be decisive in determining whether Ethereum can establish a solid base for a bullish reversal or if bears will continue to dominate price action.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
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