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Ethereum Exchange Reserve Stays At 2016 Lows: Bullish Sign?

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On-chain data shows the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has remained at low levels recently. Here’s what it could mean for the ETH price.

Ethereum Exchange Reserve Has Been Moving Flat Recently

As explained by an analyst in a CryptoQuant Quicktake post, the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has recently been at its lowest level since 2016. The “Exchange Reserve” here refers to an on-chain indicator that keeps track of the total amount of ETH that’s sitting in the wallets affiliated with all centralized exchanges.

When the value of this metric goes up, it means the investors are depositing a net number of tokens to these platforms. As one of the main reasons why holders transfer to exchanges is for selling-related purposes, this kind of trend can have a bearish impact on the ETH price.

On the other hand, the indicator witnessing a decline suggests the exchange outflows are overwhelming the exchange inflows. Such a trend can be a sign that the investors are accumulating, which can naturally be bullish for the asset.

Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Ethereum Exchange Reserve over the past decade:

Ethereum Exchange Reserve

The value of the metric seems to have been following a downward trajectory in recent years | Source: CryptoQuant

As is visible in the above graph, the Ethereum Exchange Reserve started riding a downtrend back in 2021, which accelerated during the 2022 bear market. In this new cycle, the decline in the metric has continued, although it’s notably slower than back then.

Nonetheless, the fact that coins have continued to leave exchanges could be a positive sign, as it means the investors are preferring to hold in their self-custodial wallets. Holders tend to move to self-custody when they plan to hold into the long term, as it’s the safer method of doing so.

More recently, the decline has completely crawled to a stop after the indicator hit the lowest levels since 2016, which implies the sector may have reached a state of equilibrium. ETH has been showing bearish price action lately, but the flat trajectory means the holders haven’t yet panicked into net selling.

It’s possible that the pause in the downtrend is only a temporary deviation for the Exchange Reserve, but for now, it seems inflows and outflows are balancing each other out.

While the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has been in this state recently, the same hasn’t been true for Bitcoin, as another analyst has pointed out in a Quicktake post.

Bitcoin Exchange Inflow/Outflow

The trend in the BTC Exchange Inflow/Outflow Ratio over the last ten years | Source: CryptoQuant

From the chart, it’s visible that the ratio between the Bitcoin exchange inflows and outflows has been under the 1 mark, which means these platforms have been witnessing the exodus of a net amount of BTC recently.

ETH Price

At the time of writing, Ethereum is floating around $2,700, up 1.5% over the last seven days.

Ethereum Price Chart

Looks like the price of the coin has been moving sideways over the last few days | Source: ETHUSDT on TradingView

Featured image from Dall-E, CryptoQuant.com, chart from TradingView.com



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Ethereum Accumulation Is Almost Over – Breakout Above $2,200 Could Trigger Expansion Phase

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Ethereum is trading back above the key $2,000 level after spending several volatile weeks attempting to reclaim it. Since late February, ETH has dropped more than 38%, triggering widespread panic as the price broke below major support and briefly dipped under $1,800. The decline sparked fears of a prolonged downtrend, with many questioning whether Ethereum had entered a bear market.

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However, sentiment is beginning to shift. Investors are now looking for signs of recovery as ETH stabilizes and retests important levels. A growing number of analysts believe that the recent volatility may have been a final shakeout before a new uptrend.

Top analyst Ted Pillows shared insights on X, suggesting that Ethereum may be wrapping up its “manipulation phase.” This phase typically features erratic price action designed to exhaust both bulls and bears before the market commits to a clear direction. If the phase ends soon, Ethereum could rebound significantly in the coming weeks.

As ETH hovers near $2,000, the next few sessions will be crucial in determining whether bulls can maintain momentum or if further downside lies ahead.

Ethereum Bulls Face A Test As Expansion Phase Looms

Ethereum is showing early signs of strength as it hovers just above the critical $2,000 mark, a level that has acted as both a psychological and technical battleground for weeks. Bulls are being called into action as the broader market begins to stabilize, with ETH price action hinting at a potential recovery. However, the situation remains fragile, with uncertainty dominating sentiment and no clear trend established yet.

Speculation is split between those anticipating a deeper correction and others betting on a full-scale recovery. For now, Ethereum remains range-bound, and any breakout attempt must be backed by strong conviction to shift momentum. Bulls must defend the $2,000 level and begin targeting higher resistance zones to spark confidence in a sustained uptrend.

Pillows stated that Ethereum is likely exiting what he calls the “manipulation phase” — a confusing, price movement designed to exhaust buyers and sellers. According to Pillows, this phase is nearly over, and Ethereum’s expansion time is about to begin.

Ethereum about to enter expansion phase | Source: Ted Pillows on X
Ethereum about to enter expansion phase | Source: Ted Pillows on X

A confirmed breakout above the $2,200 level would be the catalyst for a new expansion cycle, potentially sending ETH into higher territory in the weeks ahead. Until then, price action will remain sensitive, with the next few sessions crucial in deciding Ethereum’s trajectory.

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But Bulls Face Key Resistance Ahead

Ethereum is currently trading at $2,070 after managing to reclaim the $2,000 level—a crucial psychological and technical zone that had acted as resistance in recent weeks. This move marks an important step for bulls who are now trying to solidify momentum and prevent further downside. However, the real test lies ahead, as ETH must reclaim the $2,250 level to initiate a true recovery phase.

ETH trying to push above higher supply | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
ETH trying to push above higher supply | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

The $2,250 mark aligns with previous areas of heavy trading activity and could act as the launchpad for a broader uptrend if bulls manage to flip it into support. Successfully retaking this level would likely attract fresh demand and restore investor confidence, especially after the asset shed more than 38% of its value since late February.

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Despite the short-term optimism, downside risks remain. If Ethereum fails to hold above $2,000, the market could experience renewed selling pressure, potentially pushing ETH back toward the $1,800 support level. Such a drop would reinforce bearish sentiment and delay any potential recovery rally.

For now, traders are watching closely to see if Ethereum can build on its current strength and reclaim higher levels in the sessions ahead.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 



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Time To Buy Ethereum (ETH)? Here’s What This Analyst Thinks

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Ethereum (ETH) registered some minor gains in the past week, rising by 2.80%. Nevertheless, the prominent altcoin remains far from breaking out of a downtrend stretching as far back as December. Amid this bearish market state, renowned market analyst Ali Martinez has highlighted critical price levels in deciding if ETH’s correction is over and suitable for a market entry.

Ethereum: A Buying Opportunity Or More Downside Ahead?

In a detailed analysis post on X, Martinez explains that Ethereum has crashed by 57% from its local peak of $4,100 in December. This decline has been attributed to a widespread distribution by large Ethereum holders, especially the whales. Over the past four months, wallets holding 10,000 ETH have declined by 80. Meanwhile, ETH whales i.e. wallets holding 100,000 ETH and above, have offloaded 130,000 ETH within this period.

During ETH’s decline, the Ethereum Spot ETFs have also suffered massive withdrawals as indicated by a net outflow of $760 million in just the last month. Furthermore, investors have transferred 100,000 ETH to investors with intentions to sell in fear of a price loss.

Ethereum
Source: @ali_charts on X

Looking forward, Martinez notes several technical indicators further suggest a downside for Ethereum amid this intense selling pressure. For example, a breakdown from an ascending triangle on the 3-day charts suggests ETH may be headed for a price target of around $1,000.

Meanwhile, the ETH pricing bands have also highlighted $1,440 as another downside target indicating a potential 27.4% decline from current market prices. Interestingly, data from the Cost Basis Distribution correlates with both bearish projections as Ethereum is currently above key support at $1,887. However, a price fall below this level will result in a further decline to lower targets such as $1,440, $1250, and $1,000.

Albeit, Martinez notes there is potential for an ETH market recovery. By analyzing the amount of ETH acquired at each price level, the analyst notes that ETH bulls are facing a serious resistance between $2,250-$2,610. If ETH bulls can push past this resistance, it would invalidate the current bearish market outlook.

Ethereum Price Overview 

At the time of writing, Ethereum was trading at $1,985 reflecting gains of 1.10% in the past day and 2.10% in the past seven days. However, the altcoin is down by 27.32% in the last month. Being the largest altcoin in the market, Ethereum boasts a market cap of $239 billion representing 8.7% of the total crypto market.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $1,982 on the daily chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Ledger Insights, chart from Tradingview

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Ethereum Exchange Reserve Hits New All-Time Low — Bullish For ETH Price?

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Ethereum’s price action has been one of the most disappointing features of 2025. The “king of altcoins” recently slipped below $2,000 for the first time in over a year. However, the latest on-chain data shows that the fortunes of the second-largest cryptocurrency might be about to change.

Here’s Why ETH Price Could Rebound From Current Lows

In a recent post on the X platform, popular YouTuber Crypto Rover revealed that significant amounts of Ethereum have been flowing out of cryptocurrency exchanges in the past few weeks. This on-chain observation is based on changes in the “Ethereum Exchange Reserve” metric, which tracks the total amount of ETH tokens on all centralized exchanges.

An increase in the value of the Exchange Reserve metric suggests that investors are moving their assets to wallets affiliated with these centralized platforms. This is usually considered a bearish signal for the asset, as selling is one of the main reasons investors send their coins to centralized exchanges.

On the other hand, when the metric’s value declines, it implies that more assets are flowing out of the centralized exchanges. This trend could signal fresh buying from investors or renewed interest in long-term holdings, which could be bullish for the asset price.

Interestingly, a separate on-chain revelation shows that Ethereum whales have been loading their bags in the past few days. Data from Santiment shows that whales holding between 1,000,000 and 10,000,000 tokens have purchased over 120,000 ETH tokens in the last 72 hours.

Ethereum

Source: @rovercrc on X

As shown in the CryptoQuant chart above, the Ethereum Exchange Reserve has fallen to a new all-time low of 18.3 million ETH tokens. This is a positive sign for the Ethereum price, as increased allocation to self-custodial wallets signals an elevated confidence in the asset’s long-term potential

Crypto Rover noted that if the Ethereum reserves on centralized exchanges continue to dwindle, the altcoin could experience a “supply shock” — or more fittingly a supply crunch. For context, a supply crunch refers to a decline in the amount of an asset available for purchase, leading to a jump in prices.

Ultimately, this fall in Ethereum supply on centralized exchanges could act as a significant catalyst for ETH’s price recovery.

Ethereum Price At A Glance

As of this writing, the price of Ethereum stands at around $1,990, reflecting a 0.6% increase in the past 24 hours.

Ethereum

The price of ETH on the daily timeframe | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

Featured image from iStock, chart from TradingView

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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