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Ethereum Drops Below Key Realized Price: Last Time Was March 2020 Before A Rally

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Ethereum has suffered yet another blow this week, sliding to a fresh low of around $1,380 — a level not seen since March 2023. The ongoing downtrend has left investors increasingly concerned, with many now questioning whether ETH’s long-term bullish structure is still intact. Market conditions remain harsh, driven by persistent macroeconomic tensions, rising global instability, and uncertainty stemming from U.S. trade and fiscal policies.

Sentiment across the crypto space continues to deteriorate, and Ethereum’s price action reflects that unease. After months of struggling to hold key support levels, the breakdown below $1,500 has added to fears that a deeper correction may be unfolding.

However, amidst the gloom, there may be a silver lining. According to CryptoRank data, Ethereum is now trading below its realized price — a rare occurrence historically associated with market bottoms and strong recovery phases.

While the near-term outlook remains uncertain, such rare on-chain signals could indicate that Ethereum is entering a key accumulation zone. The coming days and weeks will be critical in determining whether this is just another leg down — or the beginning of a long-term reversal.

Ethereum Sinks Below Realized Price As Fear Takes Over The Market

Ethereum has now lost over 33% of its value since late March, triggering deep concern among investors and analysts alike. The price plunge has brought ETH down to levels not seen in over two years, sparking panic and despair among holders who once expected 2025 to be a breakout year for altcoins. Instead, Ethereum has become a symbol of market fragility as the broader macroeconomic landscape continues to worsen.

Trade war fears, inflationary pressure, and a potential global recession are shaking financial markets to their core. In this climate, high-risk assets like Ethereum are among the first to suffer. As capital exits speculative assets in favor of safer havens, ETH’s selloff has only accelerated — and investor confidence has taken a serious hit.

However, there may be a glimmer of hope in the data. Top crypto analyst Carl Runefelt recently pointed out on X that Ethereum is now trading below its realized price of $2,000 — a rare occurrence that has historically signaled major turning points in ETH’s price trajectory.

Ethereum Realized Price by Accumulating Addresses | Source: Carl Runefelt on X
Ethereum Realized Price by Accumulating Addresses | Source: Carl Runefelt on X

Runefelt emphasized that the last time ETH dipped below its realized price was in March 2020, when it crashed from $283 to $109 — only to recover strongly in the following months. While the current environment is full of uncertainty, such on-chain metrics hint at the possibility that ETH is entering an accumulation phase once again.

Still, confidence remains fragile, and price action must stabilize before any real bullish narrative can return. Ethereum’s next moves will be critical in determining whether this level marks a true bottom — or just another stop on the way down.

ETH Struggles Below $1,500 With No Clear Support in Sight

Ethereum is currently trading below the $1,500 level after suffering a brutal 50% decline since late February. The aggressive selloff has erased months of gains and left investors in a state of uncertainty, as ETH shows no signs of recovery. Market sentiment remains overwhelmingly bearish, and there is little indication that a bottom has been reached.

ETH facing aggressive selling pressure | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
ETH facing aggressive selling pressure | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

At this stage, Ethereum lacks a clearly defined support zone. Bulls have lost control, and price action continues to drift lower with weak demand and increasing fear. For a meaningful reversal to begin, ETH must first reclaim the $1,850 level — a zone that previously served as a key support and now stands as major resistance.

Until that happens, any upside attempt is likely to be met with strong selling pressure. The situation becomes even more precarious if Ethereum loses the $1,380 level, which has so far acted as a psychological threshold. Falling below this area could open the door to a deeper correction toward the $1,100–$1,200 range.

With macroeconomic tensions still high and volatility expected to persist, traders and investors will be watching closely to see whether Ethereum can stabilize — or continue its sharp decline.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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Ethereum Reclaims Key Support At $1,574, Here’s The Next Price Target

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Semilore Faleti is a cryptocurrency writer specialized in the field of journalism and content creation. While he started out writing on several subjects, Semilore soon found a knack for cracking down on the complexities and intricacies in the intriguing world of blockchains and cryptocurrency.

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In two years of active crypto writing, Semilore has covered multiple aspects of the digital asset space including blockchains, decentralized finance (DeFi), staking, non-fungible tokens (NFT), regulations and network upgrades among others.

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His dedication to demystifying digital assets and advocating for their adoption, combined with his commitment to social justice and political engagement, positions him as a dynamic and influential voice in the industry.

Whether through his meticulous reporting at NewsBTC or his fervent promotion of fairness and equity, Semilore continues to inform, educate, and inspire his audience, striving for a more transparent and inclusive financial future.



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Ethereum Stays Below Realized Price: Once-In-A-Cycle Opportunity?

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Ethereum surprised the market with a powerful bounce on Wednesday, surging more than 21% from its recent low of $1,380. The move came shortly after US President Donald Trump announced a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China, which now faces a 145% tariff. This development injected optimism into global markets, triggering a broad recovery across risk assets — with ETH among the top beneficiaries.

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Despite the relief rally, Ethereum still trades below critical technical levels, and the broader price structure suggests ongoing consolidation rather than a confirmed reversal. Analysts remain cautious, as the asset’s inability to reclaim the $1,800–$2,000 range keeps the long-term trend in question.

However, on-chain data from CryptoQuant adds an intriguing layer to the current outlook. Ethereum’s price is still trading below its realized price — the average price at which all ETH in circulation last moved. Historically, this scenario has represented a high-probability accumulation zone, often appearing once per cycle.

According to some analysts, this could present a rare buying opportunity for contrarian investors willing to look beyond short-term volatility and macro uncertainty. As Ethereum continues to consolidate, all eyes are on whether bulls can build on this momentum.

Ethereum Faces Critical Test Amid Volatility And Trade Tensions

Ethereum is at a pivotal point after enduring weeks of relentless selling pressure and extreme volatility. The broader market has been shaken by macroeconomic uncertainty and escalating global trade tensions, with US tariffs under Trump’s administration continuing to rattle investor confidence. The crypto market, particularly altcoins like Ethereum, has taken the brunt of this instability. ETH has lost over 60% of its value since late December, raising fears of a prolonged bear market.

However, a shift may be unfolding. Bulls are beginning to reappear, with Ethereum bouncing and setting a strong support above $1,400. This recovery follows aggressive price swings not only in crypto but also in global equities, which have seen significant rebounds following the announcement of a 90-day pause on reciprocal tariffs for all countries except China.

Still, Ethereum remains below crucial resistance levels, especially the $2,000 mark — a level that represents more than just a psychological barrier. According to top analyst Quinten Francois, ETH is currently trading under its realized price, which averages the cost basis of all coins in circulation.

Ethereum Realized Price for Accumulation Addresses | Source: Quinten Francois on X
Ethereum Realized Price for Accumulation Addresses | Source: Quinten Francois on X

Historically, such conditions have presented rare buying opportunities. Francois suggests this might be a once-in-a-cycle — or even once-in-a-lifetime — chance for long-term investors to accumulate ETH at undervalued levels. The coming days will determine whether bulls can reclaim key resistance and shift sentiment toward a sustained recovery.

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Price Action Details: Key Levels To Reclaim

Ethereum is currently trading at $1,650 after failing to break above the $1,700 level, a psychological and technical barrier that continues to cap bullish momentum. Despite a sharp rebound earlier in the week, ETH remains stuck in a consolidation range and is struggling to find direction amid broader market uncertainty.

ETH testing short-term supply | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView
ETH testing short-term supply | Source: ETHUSDT chart on TradingView

For bulls to regain control and initiate a stronger recovery, Ethereum must push above the $1,850 mark — a level aligned with the 4-hour 200-day moving average (MA) and exponential moving average (EMA). These indicators have acted as short-term resistance since ETH fell below the $2,000 mark in February and reclaiming them is critical for confirming a shift in trend.

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However, if Ethereum fails to break above $1,750 in the coming days, downside risk increases significantly. A rejection at current levels could trigger another wave of selling, potentially sending the price below the $1,500 support zone. This would put further pressure on bulls and undermine recent gains.

With market sentiment still fragile and macroeconomic uncertainty weighing on investor confidence, Ethereum remains at a crucial juncture where a decisive move above resistance is needed to shift the outlook from bearish to neutral.

Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView 



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Ethereum Inverse Head And Shoulders – The Pattern That Could Spark A Reversal

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Beneath Ethereum’s recent price stagnation lies a potentially explosive setup taking shape. The emergence of a near-perfect inverse head and shoulders pattern suggests that ETH may be preparing to shake off its sluggishness. This stealthy accumulation pattern, now approaching its make-or-break moment, has historically preceded some of Ethereum’s most dramatic rallies.

Ethereum’s current chart structure reflects this classic pattern, where the price has formed a “left shoulder,” followed by a deeper “head” and a “right shoulder,” with the neckline acting as a critical resistance level.

Understanding Ethereum’s Inverse H&S Formation

A surge for Ethereum is becoming increasingly compelling, driven by the formation of an inverse head and shoulders (H&S) pattern. This reversal pattern suggests that Ethereum could be on the verge of a significant upward move after a period of consolidation. If the pattern completes successfully, the inverse H&S formation typically indicates an imminent bullish trend.

One key factor to watch is the neckline of the inverse H&S, which serves as a critical resistance level represented by a yellow line on the chart. For Ethereum to confirm this bullish reversal, it needs to break above the neckline. A successful breakout above this level would signal growing buying pressure, potentially triggering a surge toward higher price levels.

Ethereum
Head and Shoulders pattern reflecting growing momentum | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Moreover, supporting indicators like the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) show improving momentum, further strengthening the case for a rally. The RSI, in particular, remains in a neutral zone, giving room for more upward movement without hitting overbought territory. 

With these technical signals in place, ETH might be preparing for a major surge, especially if it can hold above critical support levels and push through the neckline of the inverse head and shoulders pattern.

Ether’s Bullish Reversal: Key Levels To Watch

Beyond the neckline, Ethereum faces additional resistance at several strategic levels. The first notable level is around $2,160. A break above this zone may push Ethereum to challenge the next resistance at $2,858, where selling pressure has historically been more intense. 

If the price can push through these levels, ETH would be primed for a potential run toward $3,360, a critical area marked by previous price highs. Each of these resistance levels represents psychological barriers for traders. 

As ETH approaches these zones, it will be essential to observe the volume and momentum accompanying the price action. A breakout above these resistance points, confirmed by increasing volume and positive technical indicators, hints at a prolonged rally, pushing Ethereum to even higher price targets.

Ethereum
ETH trading at $1,595 on the 1D chart | Source: ETHUSDT on Tradingview.com

Featured image from Pexels, chart from Tradingview.com

Editorial Process for bitcoinist is centered on delivering thoroughly researched, accurate, and unbiased content. We uphold strict sourcing standards, and each page undergoes diligent review by our team of top technology experts and seasoned editors. This process ensures the integrity, relevance, and value of our content for our readers.



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