Ethereum
ETH Derivates Volume Have Flatlined Despite Spot Ethereum ETFs Approval, What’s Going On?
ETH derivatives volume suggests that Ethereum investors have little confidence in the Spot Ethereum ETFs, sparking a massive rally for the second-largest crypto token by market cap. This development comes amid the imminent launch of these funds, which are expected to begin trading next week.
Ethereum Futures Premium Highlights Little Confidence In ETH’s Price
According to data from Laevitas, Ethereum’s fixed-month contracts annualized premium currently stands at 11%, suggesting that crypto traders aren’t bullish enough on ETH’s price. Further data from Laevitas shows that this indicator has yet to sustain levels above 12% this past month.
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This is surprising considering that the Spot Ethereum ETFs, which could launch next week, are expected to spark a price surge for Ethereum. Crypto analysts like Linda have predicted that ETH could rise to as high as $4,000 thanks to the inflows these Spot Ethereum ETFs could witness.
However, crypto traders are not convinced that Ethereum’s reaching such heights is likely to happen, at least not soon enough. A plausible explanation for this lack of excessive bullishness is that Ethereum’s price could continue to trade sideways for a while, thanks to the $110 million daily outflows that research firm Kaiko projected could flow from Grayscale’s Spot Ethereum ETF.
Moreover, this seems likely following the final S-1 filings by the Spot Ethereum ETF issuers, which showed that Grayscale has the highest fees. The asset manager plans to charge a management fee of 2.50%, while the highest fee among other Spot Ethereum ETF issuers is 0.25%.
Grayscale had done something similar with its Spot Bitcoin ETF, setting its management fee at 1.5%, while the other Spot Bitcoin ETF issuers had management fees ranging between 0.19% and 0.39%. That move is believed to have been one of the reasons why Grayscale’s Bitcoin ETF witnessed significant outflows following the launch of the Spot Bitcoin ETFs.
Making A Case For Ethereum’s Inevitable Price Surge
Crypto analyst Leon Waidmann has made a bullish case for ETH’s price and explained why Ethereum investors should be more bullish. He noted that the discount between Grayscale’s Ethereum Trust (ETHE) and ETH’s price has significantly narrowed since the Spot Ethereum ETFs were approved earlier in May.
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Waidmann stated that this has given ETHE investors ample time to exit their positions without significant discounts compared to Grayscale’s Bitcoin Trust (GBTC). Another reason GBTC is believed to have experienced such outflows was because of investors who were taking profits from having invested in the trust at a discounted price to Bitcoin’s spot price.
However, unlike GBTC and other Spot Bitcoin ETFs, ETHE and other Spot Ethereum ETFs didn’t start trading immediately after approval. Therefore, Waidmann believes that whoever intended to profit from the discount between ETHE and ETH’s price must have already done so before now. As such, Grayscale’s ETHE shouldn’t witness the same amount of profit-taking as Grayscale’s GBTC did after it began trading.
Featured image created with Dall.E, chart from Tradingview.com
Ethereum
Ethereum Could Be Set To Explore New Highs As On-Chain Metrics Light Up
On-chain data shows metrics related to network activity have spiked for Ethereum recently, something that could pave way for a further rally.
Ethereum Transaction Volume & Whale Transfer Count Have Spiked Recently
According to data from the on-chain analytics firm Santiment, Ethereum has seen an uplift in two activity-related metrics. The indicators in question are the Transaction Volume and the Whale Transaction Count.
The first of these, the “Transaction Volume,” keeps track of the total amount of the cryptocurrency (in USD) that users on the ETH network are shifting across the network with their transactions.
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When the value of this metric is high, it means the ETH blockchain is processing the transfer of a large number of coins right now. Such a trend suggests the investors actively invest in asset trading.
On the other hand, the low indicator implies the interest in the cryptocurrency may currently be low as the holders are only moving around a low amount of ETH.
Now, here is a chart that shows the trend in the Transaction Volume for Ethereum over the last few months:
As displayed in the above graph, the Ethereum Transaction Volume has registered a sharp surge recently, implying interest in the asset has increased alongside the price rally.
This could be considered a constructive development for the cryptocurrency, as an increasing network activity is generally required for rallies to be sustainable.
In the past, some price moves have kicked off sharply, but the Transaction Volume didn’t register much of an increase at the same time. Such moves generally died out before long.
The chart also contains the data for the other metric of relevance here, the “Whale Transaction Count.” This indicator measures the total amount of ETH transfers valued at more than $100,000.
Transactions of this scale are assumed to be coming from the whale entities, so the Whale Transaction Count reflects the activity level of the big-money investors.
From the graph, it’s apparent that this indicator has also spiked for Ethereum recently, which implies that the recent increase in the volume isn’t just a sign of interest from the smaller investors but also the humongous hands.
Naturally, it’s impossible to say based off these indicators alone, whether the investors are buying or selling, as all types of transactions look the same from their view. Because ETH has seen a sharp rally recently, this activity has probably been for accumulation so far.
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The analytics firm explains,
Expect any growth from Bitcoin, during this bull run, to see profits redistribute into Ethereum and potentially push it toward its own all-time high while its network activity looks very healthy.
ETH Price
After observing a surge of more than 27% over the last seven days, Ethereum has broken beyond the $3,150 level.
Featured image from Dall-E, Santiment.net, chart from TradingView.com
Ethereum
Ethereum Weekly Volume Hits $60 Billion As ETH Aims For Yearly Highs
Ethereum has staged an impressive 35% rally since last Tuesday, marking a bullish breakout as it tests crucial supply levels for the first time since late July. Investor sentiment is increasingly optimistic, driven by a surge in Ethereum’s on-chain activity.
Key data from IntoTheBlock reveals that transaction volume on Ethereum’s mainnet has reached its highest levels since July, a bullish signal highlighting renewed interest and activity in the network. This surge in volume is often seen as confirmation of a breakout, aligning with expectations from investors who have anticipated a strong rally toward Ethereum’s yearly highs.
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With momentum building, ETH now stands at a pivotal point: if it can maintain strength above these new levels, the stage may be set for further upside as the broader crypto market rallies alongside Bitcoin.
The next few days will be crucial for Ethereum as traders watch to see if the bullish sentiment can sustain and propel ETH higher into new price territory.
Ethereum Bullish Trend Begins
Ethereum has entered a new bullish phase after eight months of consistent selling pressure and significant accumulation by smart money. Following a long period of subdued price action, ETH is finally rising, signaling a trend reversal many analysts and investors eagerly awaited.
Data shared by IntoTheBlock on X shows that Ethereum’s mainnet transaction volume has surged significantly, with nearly $60 billion settled over the past week—the highest level since July. This spike in volume is a clear indicator of renewed market interest, and it suggests that more investors are actively trading and accumulating ETH.
When transaction volumes rise alongside price increases, it often signals healthy demand and strong market confidence, supporting the likelihood of a sustained bullish trend.
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The next few months are expected to be volatile as speculative interest and trading activity heat up, with many traders positioning for substantial gains. Despite the anticipated price swings, analysts agree that Ethereum’s next major target is its yearly high of $4,000. Breaking this level would confirm Ethereum’s bullish momentum and set the stage for potential new all-time highs, aligning with the broader market’s optimism.
ETH Consolidates Above $3,000
Ethereum is trading at $3,180, following a recent push to a local high of $3,250. After a strong weekend rally, the price paused, hinting at the need for consolidation before another potential breakout. This period of sideways movement could be essential for ETH to establish support and prepare for further upside, as it allows buyers to gather momentum while absorbing any short-term selling pressure.
Key technical levels show that bullish sentiment is likely to strengthen if ETH maintains its position above $2,950, aligned with the 200-day moving average (MA). Holding this critical support level would signal buyers remain in control, setting up ETH for a potential rally toward $3,500 soon.
However, it’s also possible that ETH could take a few days to build up the momentum needed for its next substantial move as investors assess the recent rally and consider upcoming catalysts.
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In the meantime, the market appears optimistic, with analysts noting that maintaining levels above the 200-day MA is crucial for confirming the long-term bullish trend. ETH’s consolidation phase could be the foundation for continuing its upward trajectory.
Featured image from Dall-E, chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Bitcoin breaks $82,000 boosted by Trump’s re-election win
- Bitcoin’s upward trajectory follows Donald Trump’s presidential win last week
- Over the past 30 days, Bitcoin has increased in value by more than 30%
- Institutional interest is rising with Bitcoin ETFs, noted by BlackRock’s IBIT ETF reaching $1.12 billion in daily inflows
Bitcoin has hit another record, reaching over $82,000 on Monday, boosted by Donald Trump’s re-election to the White House last week.
According to data from CoinMarketCap, Bitcoin’s value has risen more than 19% in the past seven days and 30% over the past 30 days. Taking to X, Anthony Pompliano, host of the Pomp podcast, said:
“The first pro-Bitcoin President was elected in US history and Bitcoin hit $80,000 within a week. The market is preparing itself.”
The first pro-bitcoin President was elected in US history and bitcoin hit $80,000 within a week.
The market is preparing itself.
— Anthony Pompliano 🌪 (@APompliano) November 10, 2024
While Trump’s win has helped push crypto prices up, many don’t think it’s the sole reason. In response, Sleep Money Maker said: “Think bigger than one week or one event. We’re watching decades of regulatory friction starting to dissolve. When barriers fall, capital flows – that’s just market physics in action.”
Speaking to CoinJournal last week, James Toledano, COO at Unity, a self-custody crypto wallet, said it was “disingenuous” to say the US election directly caused the price increase.
In the long-term, it won’t be the election that moves the crypto market, but “broader macroeconomic events, technological advancements, shifting market sentiment, and factors outside of the next President’s control,” Toldeano explained.
Institutional appetite for Bitcoin is rising
Institutional interest in Bitcoin has also reached new levels, noted by BlackRock’s iShares Bitcoin Trust (IBIT) exchange-traded fund (ETF) bringing in a record $1.12 billion in daily inflows. This followed BlackRock setting a new record in October when its total assets reached $30 billion in 293 days.
Speaking of the recent price rally, Toledano, said:
“There is clearly heightened confidence in Bitcoin as a key investment vehicle and institutional investors are not only recognizing Bitcoin’s resilience as an asset class but are increasingly allocating capital in response to favorable macroeconomic conditions, including recent rate cuts and political shifts.”
Other coins that are rallying include Ethereum, trading over $3,100, Solana, at $216, and Dogecoin, up nearly 158% in the past month at $0.2877.
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