Ethereum
Could $4,000 Be The Next Move?
Ethereum, the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, is currently poised at a crucial juncture, with a prediction of a potential breakout.
Prominent crypto analyst Jelle recently pointed out that Ethereum is nearing the end of a falling wedge pattern, a situation often interpreted as a bullish signal in technical analysis.
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Technical Indicators And Market Sentiment
Jelle observed a falling wedge pattern on Ethereum’s chart, which emerges as ETH recently reclaimed its 100-day Exponential Moving Average (EMA), a development that further bolsters the bullish case.
According to Jelle, if Ethereum can sustain this momentum and push past the upper boundary of the wedge, it might set its sights on the $4,000 level, a significant “psychological and technical” threshold.
$ETH is close to breaking out from this falling wedge!
After reclaiming the 100-day EMA, all it needs is a little push to break out from the multi-month continuation pattern.
Target: >$4000.
— Jelle (@CryptoJelleNL) May 20, 2024
The anticipation of this breakout is heightened by the current market dynamics, where Ethereum is trading just above $3,000, specifically trading at price of $3,088, at the time of writing.
The asset has experienced a modest increase of 0.2% in the last 24 hours and a total of 4.1% over the past week. However, looking at the price chart, Ethereum appears to have been consolidating just above the $3,000 level, suggesting a building base for future significant movement.
This consolidation period, often called accumulation, may be largely due to market participants awaiting the upcoming decision from the US Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) on the approval of the much-anticipated spot Ethereum ETF.
With this critical announcement expected later in the week, buyers and sellers appear to be in a holding pattern, cautiously awaiting the news that will likely determine their next strategic moves.
Ethereum Regulatory Decisions And Market Speculation
So far, Bloomberg’s Senior ETF Analyst, Eric Balchunas, has expressed a cautious stance concerning the spot Ethereum ETF estimating only a 25% chance that the spot ETF will receive approval.
On the other hand, Nate Geraci, President of the ETF Store, has revealed that the process for ETF approval involves several critical steps, including the acceptance of both 19b-4 filings (Exchange Rule Changes) and S-1 registration statements (initial registration forms for new securities).
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While there is optimism that the 19b-4 filings might be approved, there is less certainty about the S-1s. The SEC’s slow engagement with these filings could indicate a prolonged review period, which might delay the introduction of Ethereum spot ETFs.
SEC decision deadline this week on spot eth ETFs…
SEC must approve both the 19b-4s (exchange rule changes) & S-1s (registration statements) for ETFs to launch.
Technically possible for SEC to approve 19b-4s & then slow play S-1s (esp given reported lack of engagement here).
— Nate Geraci (@NateGeraci) May 19, 2024
Featured image from Unsplash, Chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Justin Sun Potential $66 Million Loss Revealed As Ethereum Price Declines
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Ethereum
Doomsday for Ethereum? ‘A Crash Down To $1,500 Is Coming,’ Says Skeptic, Here’s Why
The crypto market is currently navigating through a turbulent phase, particularly for Ethereum, which has seen a significant downturn of nearly 15% in its value over the past week.
Amid this negative price performance, Peter Schiff, a well-known economist and a skeptic of cryptocurrencies, has chosen to add salt to the wounds by projecting a stark prediction for ETH. According to Schiff, Ethereum could plummet to as low as $1,500, marking a substantial decline from its current levels.
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Shiff’s Bearish Outlook And Community Reaction
Schiff’s prediction comes when Ethereum is trading below the previous crucial support of $3,000 mark, a sharp 30% fall from its peak above $4,500 in March.
This decline coincides with heightened speculation surrounding the potential launch of an Ethereum spot exchange-traded fund (ETF), which seems to have triggered a premature sell-off among investors instead of propelling the price.
Schiff’s commentary suggests that the market’s response to the ETF rumors has been to liquidate positions rather than hold, adding further downward pressure on Ethereum’s price.
He expressed his view on Elon Musk’s social media platform, X, stating, “It looks like those buying the Ethereum ETF rumors couldn’t wait for the fact to sell,” indicating a market driven by speculation rather than sustained investment confidence.
While Schiff’s bearish outlook has garnered attention, it has also sparked a mix of skepticism and agreement within the crypto community. Users have expressed varying opinions on social media platforms, with some questioning the technical basis of Schiff’s $1,500 target.
Others humorously noted that Schiff’s pessimistic predictions often come at market bottoms, suggesting his views might inadvertently signal a buying opportunity. For instance, one user remarked on the irony of Schiff’s timing, indicating that his bearish predictions could contradict market sentiment indicators.
thx for your inputs
you do realize you only become relevant on this side of twitter as a bottom signal lol
youre like those acoustic wif kids who had a stroke on stage the wif party as a top signal
— agent pretzel (@agent_pretzel) July 5, 2024
Ethereum Faces Critical Juncture
Ethereum is experiencing a significant downturn, trading at $2,975—a 4.2% drop over the past day. This decline and Bitcoin’s similar trajectory have led to a 4.1% reduction in the global cryptocurrency market cap, erasing more than $200 billion in value.
According to Coinglass, this downturn has triggered substantial losses for traders, with 207,020 liquidations in the past day, totaling $576.53 million. Ethereum-related liquidations account for $134.58 million, predominantly from long positions.
While Peter Schiff’s outlook may seem too pessimistic amid these market conditions, another voice in the crypto analysis sphere, Inspo Crypto, offers a slightly more moderate view.
He notes that Ethereum’s price has fallen to early May levels and suggests that the next 8-hour trading window could be crucial in determining the market’s direction.
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If Ethereum can rise above these levels, it might potentially ease the bearish trend. However, failure to reach the $3,170 mark (which it already has) could lead to further declines, possibly down to $2,700, exacerbating losses across the altcoin market.
$ETH has broken down below $3,170. The next 8 hours (1D candle) will show whether the bulls have given up or not. If the price retraces back above, we should consider this a deviation. But if $ETH instead retests the lower trend channel next at $3,170 unsuccessfully, it could… pic.twitter.com/1msfKQBf2v
— InspoCrypto (@InspoCrypto) July 4, 2024
Featured image created with DALL-E, Chart from TradingView
Ethereum
Analyst Predicts Ethereum Nosedive, Cautions Investors To Prepare For $2,700 Target
Amid the ongoing bloodbath in the cryptocurrency market, Ethereum (ETH), the second-largest cryptocurrency by market capitalization, has not been spared. Over the past week, ETH has experienced a significant 9% price decline, bringing it down to the $3,130 level.
As market participants closely monitor the situation, the focus now lies on crucial levels that must be held back to prevent a deeper retrace that could lead to substantial losses and heightened liquidation rates not witnessed in months.
Make-Or-Break Moment For Ethereum Price
Crypto analyst “Inspo Crypto” has drawn attention that Ethereum’s price has retraced to levels last seen at the beginning of May.
According to the analyst, the upcoming 8-hour trading period, represented by a 1-day candle, will be a critical juncture to determine whether the bulls have capitulated or can muster a comeback.
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A retracement above the abovementioned level could be considered a deviation from the bearish trend. However, if Ethereum fails to retest the lower trend channel at $3,170, it could pave the way for a further decline towards $2,700, consequently impacting altcoins and leading to significant losses across the market.
Upward Trajectory To $5,000 if Price Holds At $3,170
The analyst further asserts that, in his opinion, Ethereum has been operating within a new trend channel since October 2013. Hence, if ETH manages to hold its price within the range of $3,170 without breaking down, it would confirm an upward trajectory towards $5,000. It is important to note that this timeframe extends until the end of the year.
Additionally, it should be considered that Ethereum is still operating within a long-term trend channel.
If the described scenario unfolds, it would also confirm the long-term trend channel, indicating that ETH was trapped in a bearish phase between August 2023 and February 2024 and is now embarking towards $8,000 over the coming months.
However, it is crucial to acknowledge that this analysis does not account for external factors such as monetary policy decisions or geopolitical conflicts.
Nevertheless, if Ethereum manages to hold the $3,170 level and begins an upward ascent, the possibility of an altcoin season becomes increasingly feasible, as suggested by the analyst.
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Ultimately, ETH’s next moves will affect its trajectory and impact the broader crypto landscape, particularly the altcoin market, which has also seen significant losses in recent days.
ETH trades at $3,130 at the time of writing, reflecting a 5% decline in the past 24 hours. As a result, it becomes crucial that the token closes above the aforementioned critical level of $3,170 in the coming hours to prevent potential additional losses, as emphasized by the analyst.
Featured image from DALL-E, chart from TradingView.com
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