Bitcoin
What If Altcoin Season Never Arrives? Analyst Raises Concerns
Duo Nine, a prominent crypto educator and analyst, posed a question no one wants to hear. “What if altcoin season never comes?,” he asked, with multiple data to back his rhetoric.
An altcoin season is an informal term describing a phase where investing in altcoins provides better returns than pouring capital into Bitcoin (BTC).
Analyst Explains Altcoin Season Delay
After the fourth Bitcoin halving, the crypto market’s next major focus, aside from Ethereum ETFs (exchange-traded funds) approvals and launches, was the anticipation of an altcoin season. Several key events typically lead up to this phase.
First, fresh capital enters the cryptocurrency market, initially flowing into stablecoins, Bitcoin, or Ethereum. These assets are prioritized due to their perceived stability compared to smaller market cap cryptocurrencies. Next, this influx of capital triggers a market rally.
Finally, profits from these assets, along with additional capital, begin to flow into altcoins. This capital rotation is what sets off an altcoin season. According to the altcoin season index, the crypto markets are currently still in the Bitcoin season.
Negative Flows for Ethereum ETFs
Duo Nine outlines a scenario where the sequence leading to an altcoin season hasn’t fully materialized. He suggests that investing entirely in altcoins might be problematic, pointing to negative flows for Ethereum ETFs as a concerning sign.
“Since January 2024, the Bitcoin ETFs managed to attract over $17 billion in net investments after Grayscale sales. Ethereum’s ETF went live in July. Net balance on that? -$406 million,” the analyst wrote.
Read more: What Is Altcoin Season? A Comprehensive Guide
The negative flows for Ethereum ETFs come amid ongoing Grayscale customer redemptions following the conversion of its trust to ETFs. Before the approval of spot ETFs, the Grayscale Bitcoin Trust (GBTC) was allowing investors to redeem shares for value in US dollars. Now, with BTC and ETH ETFs available, customers are opting to redeem their shares by selling Bitcoin and Ethereum, contributing to the negative flows.
Per the analyst, while Grayscale’s customers sold $2.3 billion in ETH since July, ETF buy pressure has not been enough to offset this sell-off. Duo Nine sees no difference for an altcoin season if a Solana ETF launches.
However, it’s important to recognize that the ETH ETF market is still in its early stages. Given this context, it’s crucial to understand that while the short-term outlook for spot Ethereum ETFs may be bearish, the mid- and long-term prospects remain bullish.
In hindsight, it took some time before Bitcoin rallied following spot BTC ETF launches on January 11. The pioneer crypto chopped horizontally for slightly over a month before extending north.
“The reason that investor buying of the new Bitcoin ETFs isn’t pushing up the price of Bitcoin is that the outflows from GBTC plus selling of BTC exceed the combined inflows into all of the other ten Bitcoin ETFs. Once the initial ETF demand wanes, I expect a bigger price drop,” economist Peter Schiff said at the time.
Since the launch of Ethereum ETFs on July 23, barely a month has passed, leaving ETH with ample time for price discovery. Once Grayscale customer redemptions ease, ETH ETF flows could stabilize in the positive, with capital inflows into Ethereum rotating into altcoins.
Bitcoin Dominance Breakout
The analyst also bases his ‘no altcoin season’ thesis on the breakout seen in the Bitcoin dominance chart. This means BTC outperforms altcoins, suggesting a lack of confidence in the latter. Based on CoinGecko data, BTC dominance currently sits at 53.8%.
This turnout is likely ascribed to prevailing market uncertainty amid global geopolitical tension, political frenzy in the US, and recession fears, among other volatility-inducing narratives. These prompt investors to rally behind Bitcoin, a flight to safety, as BTC is considered a better haven than altcoins.
Nevertheless, some investors view high Bitcoin dominance as an opportunity to accumulate altcoins at lower prices. When Bitcoin’s dominance is high, altcoins may be undervalued relative to Bitcoin, presenting a buying opportunity for those who believe in the long-term potential of specific altcoins.
Read more: 11 Cryptos To Add To Your Portfolio Before Altcoin Season
Based on the chart above, while Bitcoin dominance continues to rise, it approaches critical resistance, which could see altcoins make headway. However, amid the skepticism for an altcoin season, some say even if it does come, it may fail to be as rigorous as that of 2017 and 2020.
“This narrative comes every cycle by Bitcoin maxis and never worked. Eventually, a portion of the bitcoin supply flows into ALTs when the dominance starts plummeting. There comes a time when dominance goes below 45% and it would happen this cycle as well,” another X user added.
Altcoin season delays notwithstanding, analysts are already watching some altcoins this month, with some rekindling hope that delay may not necessarily mean total absence.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
US Bitcoin Revolution Begins, Senator Lummis Says
Senator Cynthia Lummis has laid the groundwork for the upcoming development of Bitcoin in the United States. As an avid supporter of cryptocurrency, Lummis has worked very hard for years to integrate digital assets into the financial system of the country, and every statement seems to be underlining what has been done so far in terms of crypto regulation. Under her leadership, Bitcoin is on the verge of being recognized as a key component of the national economy.
Lummis’ Vision For Bitcoin
Lummis is however looking beyond investment in Bitcoin and seeing it as a key ingredient in the financial future of the US. Ongoing efforts span legislation that would foster a nurturing environment for crypto technologies to grow.
Taking a proactive posture, Lummis has indicated that she believes, in the future, Bitcoin could quite possibly provide an alternative means to decentralized financial systems for the unbanked population.
So great to meet with David Bailey. The future for Bitcoin and digital assets in America has never been brighter. pic.twitter.com/m2apTVpFVO
— Senator Cynthia Lummis (@SenLummis) January 21, 2025
Changing Regulatory Landscape
Certainly, one of the most pertinent things she said is that she would work towards having a crypto regulation that seeks a balance between innovation and transparent oversight. It should lessen the barriers for institutions and encourage greater integration into the mainstream financial services ecosystem.
This could open more doors for Bitcoin adoption into both sectors-public and private-in light of the recent developments with regard to regulatory measures.
Institutional Interest Grows
The increase in interest from institutional participants in Bitcoin and other currencies is also noted. Crypto platforms like CryptoCom have invested heavily in rolling out services targeting institutional investors because they simply acknowledge the need for Bitcoin in the wider financial ecosystem.
Lummis, also known as the “Bitcoin Senator,” has declared 2025 to be a critical year for Bitcoin and cryptocurrency. She anticipates that a number of proposed policies and critical government positions will coalesce and precipitate change.
Most Pro-Crypto Admin?
“This will be the most pro-digital asset administration ever,” Lummis recently wrote on X, with David Sacks serving as Crypto Czar. “I am eager to collaborate with [Sacks] to ensure the successful passage of comprehensive digital asset legislation and my strategic bitcoin reserve.”
Proposed Bitcoin Reserve bill. Source: US Congress
Lummis’ enthusiasm is the result of a recent reorganization of key government officials, which includes the appointment of a new SEC head, prior to Donald Trump’s reelection.
The “Bitcoin Act,” also known as the “Boosting Innovation, Technology, and Competitiveness Through Optimized Investment Nationwide Act,” is integral to the Senator’s vision.
She characterized the legislation as “a network of secure storage vaults, purchase program, and other programs to ensure the transparent management of Bitcoin holdings of the federal government.” The legislation proposes the establishment of a Strategic Bitcoin Reserve.
Featured image from Inc. Magazine, chart from TradingView
Bitcoin
Roger Ver Supporters Call for Clemency after Ulbricht’s Pardon
Elon Musk, who leads President Donald Trump’s Department of Government Efficiency (D.O.G.E), has committed to exploring the pardon of ‘Bitcoin Jesus’ Roger Ver.
It comes after US President Trump recently granted Ross Ulbricht, the founder of the Silk Road, clemency.
Elon Musk to “Inquire” on Roger Ver’s Pardon
Ross Ulbricht’s presidential pardon has ignited a spirited online campaign for the pardon of Roger Ver, another high-profile figure in the crypto arena. As BeInCrypto reported, Ulbricht’s full and unconditional pardon on Tuesday was widely celebrated. Trump called his previous sentence of two life terms “ridiculous.”
Amid the celebratory discussions, however, attention quickly shifted to Bitcoin Jesus. Ray Youssef, an executive at the crypto platform Noonesapp, was among the first to call for Ver’s release.
“Ross is free. A full unconditional pardon has been signed. Thank God. Don’t forget Roger Ver and all the builders who have been through hell,” Youssef said.
Roger Ver was a vocal proponent of Bitcoin Cash and an early adopter of cryptocurrency. He faced legal troubles over tax evasion allegations. Nine months ago, US authorities accused Ver of owing $48 million in taxes, allegedly stemming from his expatriation process.
Ver challenged these charges two months ago, asserting that he relied on expert advice to ensure compliance with the law. His defense also cited constitutional violations, including claims that privileged communications with his legal team were subpoenaed. Critics have argued that this represents overreach and a troubling precedent for attorney-client privilege.
“Please look into a pardon for Roger Ver. That privileged communications with his lawyers were subpoenaed is a terrible precedent for privacy and the ability to defend oneself,” said Naomi Brockwell, founder of Ludlow Institute.
They also say potentially exculpatory evidence was withheld during grand jury proceedings. Meanwhile. Angela McArdle, chair of the Libertarian National Committee, also expressed her support for Ver’s release. Following these calls, Elon Musk said he would inquire about it.
“Will inquire,” Musk tweeted.
Ver’s supporters argue that a pardon would correct a perceived injustice and reinforce the principles of privacy and due process. The parallels with Ulbricht’s case highlight the dangers of excessive sentencing and systemic government overreach. Taken together, these have strengthened the calls for Ver’s pardon.
Elon Musk’s acknowledgment of the issue has brought renewed attention to the case, potentially amplifying the push for clemency. Many hope that his platform, D.O.G.E, and influence will pressure leaders to address what they see as an unjust precedent. This is amidst a broader campaign for freedoms essential to innovation and prosperity in the cryptocurrency space.
“Roger Ver deserves a pardon to liberate him from the malicious prosecution he still faces–lawfare that threatens to take his freedom for 109 years for an exotic crime he *clearly* did not commit. Pardoning Roger is the strongest signal the President could send that Biden’s war on crypto is over. Please, President Trump, Free Roger Ver,” Bret Weinstein lamented.
Meanwhile, others see Bitcoin Jesus’ case as emblematic of the tension between individual liberties and state power.
“Also (preemptively) Roman Storm while you’re at it please Elon Musk. Publishing open-source privacy tools is an act of free speech — not an act in furtherance of a conspiracy. Whatever crimes committed with the software — developers should not be held vicariously liable for them,” another user added.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
Bitcoin
Brian Armstrong’s Bold Bitcoin Prediction: Multi-Millions Ahead
Coinbase CEO Brian Armstrong has expressed the belief that Bitcoin could eventually reach a price in the multi-million dollar range. This comes as BTC peaked at a new all-time high just hours before Donald Trump returned to the Oval Office for a second term.
Armstrong attributed Bitcoin’s impressive growth to increasing institutional interest and rising national-level adoption.
Coinbase CEO’s $1 million Bitcoin vision
Speaking on CNBC’s Squawk Box, Armstrong described Trump’s presidency as the “dawn of a new day” for cryptocurrency.
Although the first round of executive orders under Trump’s new term did not directly mention crypto, the CEO remained optimistic about Bitcoin’s long-term potential.
“I think over time we’ll see Bitcoin get into the multiple millions price range,” Armstrong predicted.
He attributed this confidence to the growing demand from institutional players. For instance, on January 21, MicroStrategy purchased 11,000 BTC worth $1.1 billion in Bitcoin. This acquisition increased the company’s total reserves to a staggering 461,000 BTC.
Armstrong also pointed to Bitcoin ETFs as a significant factor contributing to the asset’s growth. Approved in January 2024, these ETFs have attracted substantial inflows. According to data from Farside Investors, Bitcoin ETFs have seen cumulative net inflows of $38.9 billion so far.
Additionally, the ETFs recorded four consecutive days of inflows, with the daily net inflow reaching $802.6 million as of January 21.
US Bitcoin Strategic Bitcoin Reserve: A Possibility?
Armstrong explained that Trump’s campaign promise to establish a strategic Bitcoin reserve could further accelerate the adoption of cryptocurrency on a national scale. It could also act as a catalyst for other G20 nations, which have already shown interest, to follow suit.
“Bitcoin has a long way to go. It’s going to become the new gold standard, and crypto is much bigger than that too,” noted the Coinbase CEO.
Notably, Trump has already fulfilled one of his initial promises by pardoning Silk Road founder Ross Ulbricht, effectively ending his life sentence. This move has sparked renewed hope that the President may deliver on other promises, including creating a strategic Bitcoin reserve.
“If Ross Ulbricht got the pardon, we are definitely getting the Strategic Bitcoin Reserve,” CEO of Professional Capital Management, Anthony Pompliano, said in an X post.
Prediction platform Polymarket corroborated this sentiment, showing a 37% probability that Trump would create a Bitcoin reserve within his first 100 days in office. This was a noticeable recovery from the previous day’s low of 29%.
As these developments unfold, Bitcoin continues to soar. At the time of writing, the leading cryptocurrency was trading at $105,366. This marked a 3.0% increase over the past 24 hours.
With increasing institutional involvement, rising ETF inflows, and potential national-level initiatives, Armstrong’s multi-million-dollar Bitcoin prediction may not be far-fetched.
Disclaimer
In adherence to the Trust Project guidelines, BeInCrypto is committed to unbiased, transparent reporting. This news article aims to provide accurate, timely information. However, readers are advised to verify facts independently and consult with a professional before making any decisions based on this content. Please note that our Terms and Conditions, Privacy Policy, and Disclaimers have been updated.
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